SOME surprise results in Serie A made it a bad day even before day turned into night.
My Super Single and top tips went down with the Italians and while I don’t like chasing losses I thought I’d recouped some of them with a 7-4 Daily Double on West Ham not to lose and Juventus. But we know what happened there.
With the benefit of hindsight I’d have gone West Ham draw no bet for the Super Single but Everton were well tipped on the site and at the end of the day unlucky to lose.
So it was a bad day at the office, mainly due to the Serie A results, and hopefully there won’t be too many more like it.
It’s a quieter night on Wednesday with the main game being Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid in the Spanish Cup and I’ll have a separate preview on that one.
In other ties it’s Villarreal v Real Sociedad, Almeria v Getafe and Valencia v Espanyol and I’ll take a better look at those in the morning before putting up tips.
And in the French league Lille tackle Evian while Braga will be well backed against Belenenses in the Portuguese Cup.
Lille have only two wins in 18 matches so BetVictor’s 7-10 about a home win can’t be taken without any confidence. It was 2-2 when the sides met earlier this season so both to score looks a good shout.
I don’t like betting on JP Trophy games but I’m tempted by Preston at home to Walsall in the first leg of the Northern Final. I was interested to hear Preston boss Simon Grayson say after his side’s FA Cup defeat of Norwich at the weekend that he rested players because the JP Trophy was more important with this side close to a Wembley appearance.
Preston are unbeaten in 10 matches in all competitions and there display against Norwich was impressive with half a first team.
Grayson’s men have won all four of their home cup clashes this season but lost 3-1 at Walsall in the league so that will give the visitors some hope. However, at this stage I’ll be on Preston at 5-6 with boylesports.
Having studied team news and form for all the matches I’m taking Preston plus Valencia as a double. When Grayson said Preston were resting players for this game I was convinced to back them while Valencia should be close to full strength tonight.
Valencia, who have won six of their last seven at home to Espanyol, are in the opposite half of the draw from Barcelona, Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid and have a great chance of going all the way.
The Atletico-Real game is tough to call with both to score the best bet with the last six meetings at the Vicente Calderon going that way – and all over 2.5 goals.
Villarreal beat Real Sociedad 4-0 in the league last month – the only bad result Davie Moyes’s side have suffered – but it seems as if they’ll rotate their squad tonight and with Moyes also making changes after his side’s defeat of Barcelona it also looks one to leave alone.
The Super Single profit for 2015 could be wiped out tonight and as I’m taking a big chance I’m putting up a 3.25pts pick while the double will be a four-pointer.
There have been a lot of tips on the Gateshead-Woking match in the COnference Premier with most going for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals and the stats suggest that will be the case.
But I’m chancing Gateshead to win at a biggest 13-10 with Coral and I know it’s a risky win. Both sides are in poor form in the Conference with Gateshead without a win in four and Woking seeing no victories in seven.
Gateshead though looked half decent despite Saturday’s 7-0 FA Cup defeat at West Brom. They were the better sides until conceding a 40th-minute opener and even Mark Lawrenson said for the first they looked like the Premier League team.
That’s some assessment and surely the north-east and the display could be a tide turned for the north-east side who showed play-off form earlier in the season. Woking too looked set for the play-offs until the loss of top scorer Scott Rendell coincided with a run of two points in 18.
Rendell hit 14 goals before suffering a foot injury and is unlikely to be ready to return tonight. Woking have received a boost though with the news on-loan Ipswich player Jack Marriott has extended his loan deal until the end of the season despite reports he had left the club.
So it’s Gateshead for me but please if that concerns you at all leave it out or go for the alternative goals bet – and remember my confidence is reflect by a 3.25pts stake.
3.25pts Super Single
4pts Daily Double
(17-10, William Hill, Ladbrokes and others)
Super Single 2015 record: 5 bets
(2 winners, 2 losers, 1 void)
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