JOHNB landed his first winner of the year as Minella Charmer paddled to victory at Plumpton before the meeting was abanadoned.
He has one winner and three seconds from six tips so January is a 6.65pts loss.
Johnb’s Monday Tips
Shrewd 7-1 NAP/NB Coral (double stake)
Bracing 6-1 Coral
Double 55-1 Coral
Not seen over hurdles since 2014 as a 4yo but form wasn’t too bad but was let down by his jumping and was quickly moved back to the flat where he has changed yards a few times,
Shrewd was a half decent horse as a 3yo on the flat and since joining Ian Jardine he looks to be getting back to that form.
As I said though his jumping was letting him down when previously tried over hurdles but that looks to have improved significantly.
I was asked to take a look at a horse for someone looking at buying one and while I was there I took the chance to watch some horses schooling over hurdles and this horse Shrewd caught my eye.
When last seen over hurdles he was rated 113 but after 552 days since his last hurdle race he has been dropped to 105.
You then have a claimer taking another 7lb off, so for a horse that is rated 85 on the flat and that’s a horse that is just starting to improve again, being only 13lb higher for a hurdle race looks a really lenient mark.
Shrewd opened up at 10-1 and just as I was about to post he dropped to 7-1 so I had to change my odds.
Shrewd was a horse I was expecting money for and hoping money would come for him.
I would be surprised if he drifted a lot by race time as he looks an improving horse on a very low handicap mark.
He has raced at Musselburgh on the flat before but that was in a class 2 handicap and he was never put into the race, Musselburgh is a course that will suit this horse but the main reason for tipping Shrewd is what I have seen first hand.
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