I HAD three or four Super Singles in mind for Wednesday but picked the wrong one in Middlesbrough. Red cards cost teams and cost punters and while Boro fought back to draw 1-1 at Birmingham they were up against it after a first-half sending off.
Bradford not conceding beat the Top Treble which also consisted of both to score at Basel-Porto and Real Madrid -1.
In what was exclusively a Champions League column for the Daily Record Real -1 was my Super Single so hopefully the guy who was having a go at me for not putting Sheffield Utd in the paper on Tuesday will be feeling a bit happier. It’s swings and roundabouts as they say.
Thursday’s Record column only covers Celtic v Inter Milan for obvious reasons and the Super Single in the paper is both teams to score at 11-13 with 888sport.
Tonight’s card is dominated by the Europa League and while some of the big guns will be taking ties more seriously than usual because of the carrot of a Champions League place picking winners still isn’t easy.
I’ve been looking at team news, form and stats and I have to say the Europa League is as usual a minefield. My first tip is for over 2.5 goals and I’ll put reasoning on a separate thread.
For the Super Single I put together a shortlist that included Torino, Spurs and Guingamp but I’ve decided to go with Young Boys draw no bet at 21-20 with Ladbrokes. I believe they’ll beat Everton and that price is 19-10 at Betfred but I’m happier to play it safer.
The Swiss are strong on their own plastic pitch and won their three group games without conceding – including 2-0 against Napoli. We know the form Everton are in and it’s nowhere like the side who beat Wolfsburg home and away. Roberto Martinez’s men are without eight players including Leighton Baines, Aiden McGeady, Leon Osman, Steven Pienaar and Arouna Kone.
Young Boys have won eight out of their last nine matches and lie second behind Basel in the league – if matches were settled on confidence they’d win by the length of a large Toblerone.
For the Top Treble I’m starting with Torino not to lose at home to Athletic Bilbao because they are as big as 7-5 to win. Torino are unbeaten in nine European matches and haven’t lost any game since the end of November so will be confident of progressing against a side who have had their struggles in La Liga.
Crucially Bilbao are missing star striker Aritz Aduriz and midfielder Ander Iturrapse and this is a chance for a decent Torino side to carve out a first-leg lead.
Much has been said about Villarreal v Red Bull Salzburg and the fact goals are expected. Most of Villarreal’s matches have gone over 2.5 goals as have all of Red Bull’s European games this season.
The way Red Bull play you expect them to score in every game but remember Europa League top scorer Alan left for China in the transfer window and midfielder Kampi also departed. They still have a an attacking threat with the likes of Jonathan Soriano and I expect them to score.
However, without Alan Villarreal must be favourites to win and they have lost just two in 18 games. One of those came at Rayo at the weekend but players were rested with this tie in mind.
Complete the treble with Roma at home to Feyenoord. Roma’s title hopes have just about disappeared after five draws in six games so they can focus a bit stronger on this tie and expect to have talisman Francesco Totti back which is a massive bonus.
Feyenoord’s form has been poor and they suffered a shocking 2-0 defeat to lowly Heracles at the weekend and as long as Roma are up for this one they should win. Reports suggest they want to finish it off in the first leg as they face Juventus four days after the return.
3.7pts Super Single
Young Boys draw no bet
1pt Top Treble
Torino double chance (6pm)
(3-1, BetVictor, Betfred)
(1pt Over 2.5 goals treble
Wolfsburg v Sporting (6pm)
Ajax v Legia Warsaw (8.05pm)
Villarreal v Salzburg (8.05pm)
Super Single February record:
16 bets (8 winners, 6 losers, 2 void)
Remember to check out the guys from We Love Betting for more tips and video chat.