IT was a night of near misses although no damage done to the Super Single total. I tipped PSG -2 AH and the only surprise was they conceded in a 3-1 win at home to Metz.
That mean the stake was returned but I wasn’t so lucky with the Top Treble. Rotherham and PSG -1 came up but Bayern Munich conceded late to Dortmund then amaazingly missed all of their penalties in the shootout. Very un-Germanlike.
There are plenty of games to look at on Wednesday with Leicester-Chelsea a big one in the Premier League. Leicester are going for five wins in a row but with Newcastle at home on Saturday at lunchtime there’s a chance they’ll play a weakened team and focus all of their energies on the Geordies.
I’d fancy Chelsea, unbeaten in 13, whatever and Chelsea -1 will tempt if Nigel Pearson does rest his main men. Chelsea’s price to win has gone out to 4-5 and the market is worth watching.
Elsewhere Wolfsburg face third-tier Arminia for the right to face Dortmund in the German Cup Final. Arminia have taken some big scalps to get this far – Hertha Berlin, Werder Bremem and Gladbach – but surely Wolfsburg will be too good for them even if they’ve haven’t won in four.
Wolfsburg are a best 8-15 with BetVictor and my Super Single in the Daily Record is Wolfsburg -1 at 8-9 with the same firm. If Wolfsburg go full strength I can’t see past them. The indications are they’ll put out the strongest available side but star man Kevin de Bruyne is a doubt.
In La Liga there are five matches and Real Madrid will be keen to match the big win notched by Barcelona last night as they entertain Almeria. Real have banged in 19 goals in their last four home meetings with the strugglers so I’ll be looking at them to win -2 or -3 and for Cristiano Ronaldo to score at least once.
For the Super Single I’ve gone for a form-based bet and taking Atletico Madrid at Villarreal. The home side are on a terrible run having drawn five and lost two of their last seven. And for such a good footballing side to have scored just two goals in that run shows how off form they are.
Atletico have lost touch with the leading two but remain in decent form and will be looking to nail down third place in the closing weeks. Traditionally Villarreal is tough place to go – Atletico have one win and two draws in five visits – but the visitors should be able to take advantage of their opponents’ woes and do enough to win.
They are a best 5-4 at Betfred and I’m willing to risk my Super Single 2.6pts profit on Atletico to edge it.
There are eight games in Serie A and while champions-elect Juventus let me down at the weekend as they lost to city rivals Torino for the first time in 20 years I reckon they’ll bounce back at home to a Fiorentina side who have lost their last four in Italy and crashed out of the Italian Cup semis despite a first-leg away success.
For the Top Treble I’m starting with Juventus and adding Real Madrid -2. I was tempted to complete it with Wolfsburg but let’s wait for team news because I suppose Arminia, who are unbeaten in 20 at home, deserve some respect.
So complete with both to score at Molde v Stromsgodset in Norway. Molde have netted in their last 17 home games and six in their previous two. On the h2h the last five meetings have seen both score and over 2.5 including two 2-2s and a 3-2.
Molde should win the match and in Scandinavia other short-priced sides such Malmo and Elfsborg. A treble on those pays just under 2-1 at 888sport.
I’d be happy to add Chelsea and Wolfsburg to the treble but let’s wait for the line-ups. The fivefold pays 6-1 at 888sport.
2.6pts Super Single
Atletico Madrid (9pm)
2pts Top Treble
Real Madrid -2 (7pm)
Molde v Stromsgodset btts (6pm)
0.5pt Scorer Treble
April Super Single Record
28 bets (12 winners, 15 losers, 1 void)
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