Alexander Zverev admitted after his first-round match at the US Open that he complicated his match more than he needed to. According to our Zverev vs Muller prediction, he’s going to do it again.
The German is known to complicate early Grand Slam matches like this, and when he faces a potent player like Alexandre Muller, the betting tips are pretty clear. In this case, we’re going to back him to drop at least one set.
It’s a big match for Muller, and you can expect him to come out motivated. Zverev is likely to drop his focus, and that’s more than enough for the French player to pounce.
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Player form: Zverev searching for best form
Zverev hasn’t played his best tennis for a while. He was amazing a few months ago, but in recent weeks, he’s faltered a little bit. He did find a few wins in Cincinnati, but his first match here clearly showed that he was not playing at his peak.
Muller is a very streaky player, so he’s never really in or out of form. It generally depends on the match, and at times, he’s amazing and other times, pretty poor. Overall, though, he’s been pretty solid this year.
How the bookies view it: Zverev overwhelming favourite
As the fourth seed at the US Open Zverev is hugely favoured in this one. He’s 3/100 to win this one which tells you what the bookies are thinking. It makes sense; he’s one of the contenders for the trophy, and is likely to make the semi-finals.
With projections like that, it’s no wonder that he’s that much of a favourite. Muller though won’t be without chances even though his odds for winning are 14/1.
Recent head-to-head: Never played
These two have never played against each other, but in general, it’s not a favourable matchup for Muller.
Anything else catch the eye?
While Zverev is expected to win this matchup comfortably, there is great value in him doing so in four sets. He showed against Marterer that he’s prone to lapses in focus, and there is a long history of him doing that.
Muller is incredibly streaky, but it’s not out of the question that he will have one set where everything clicks. He’s an aggressive baseliner with a powerful serve, so if things click for him, he’ll likely win that set.
Overall, the odds are what makes this a great play. Zverev dropping a set is not that uncommon, and getting 7/2 for that is massive.
Zverev vs Muller betting tips & predictions
Muller is a player who is capable of winning a set against anybody. He is just that good when he finds his best tennis. It doesn’t happen often, but he looks good in New York. Zverev has an affinity to complicate matches, which we saw in the first round as well.
- Zverev to win 3-1 @ 7/2
- Over 3.5 sets @ 17/10
The match will be played on August 28th in New York, which is the third day of the US Open.
Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been playing or watching sports down under in New Zealand for the better part of three decades. With 12+ years experience as a professional writer, Bren loves to dive deep into all things sport to bring the best betting analysis and predictions here at Mr Fixits Tips.
