MFT Safe James Acca

Ready to up the ante on your weekend football bets? We've scoured the top clashes in La Liga, National League, and Serie A to bring you a four-fold accumulator that promises high stakes and even higher excitement. From a goal-frenzy in Real Sociedad vs Mallorca to Lukaku's expected brilliance against Monza, here's the perfect acca for those who love both the thrill of the game and the thrill of the bet.

Real Sociedad v Mallorca

Saturday, 1pm

We're back following the international break and La Liga is where we hope to get our acca up and running, in what is the first of four selections this weekend. Straight off the bat, we look towards the intriguing clash between Real Sociedad and Mallorca, where the hosts are odds-on to get back to winning ways following a slender loss to Athletic Madrid last time out. Mallorca have just the one league win to their name this season, but three straight draws, including at home to Barcelona, suggests they're not far away from improving upon that unwanted statistic.

There has been a notable difference across Real Sociedad's matches this season compared to last and that is the involvement of more goals. Across the previous La Liga campaign, their games averaged 2.3 goals per game, nine clashes into the current season that number has increased to 3.2, and there's no reason to suggest that won't continue this weekend. Their home fixtures alone has averaged 4.40, including 5-3 and 4-3 victories. With that being the case, the question is should we expect goals in a game involving Mallorca?

The short answer is yes! Their away matches alone are averaging 4.00 goals, and Mallorca alone has contributed to the goal count in all five of those on their travels. It is their home matches which has tended to be tighter affairs, but on the road they seem more willing to open up and have a go, depsite the fact they're likely to sit back and play on the break. I don't trust them defensively to keep a clean sheet, so this game should open up at some stage.

The first leg of the acca is Over 1.5 Goals in this contest, and this selection has regularly paid out this season in matches involving these teams. The only slight concern is that this comes following the international break, but I see these two teams just happy to get back playing again and will be eager to impress.

Bromley v Oxford City

Saturday, 3pm

The National League is one of my favourite leagues from a punting perspective and the clash against Bromley and Oxford City immediately jumped off the page for me. It presents fifth from top against fifth from bottom, and Bromley are rightly favourites to emerge with three points in this Saturday afternoon encounter. Andy Woodman's side have been going great guns over the last few months, with only league leaders Chesterfield managing to defeat them over their past 14 games in league and cup.

Bromley have been particularly effective at Hayes Lane for a little while now, and it is just impossible to back against them when playing at home. They are on a run of six straight home victories in all competitions, which does include some notable defeats against the likes of Gateshead, Oldham and Southend. Only three teams have managed to defeat them here since the start of 2023, which does include last season's National League champions Wrexham.

They entertain an Oxford City side that is still adjusting to life at this higher level, but has shown in sparks that they are capable of competing. However, it is one win in their last nine in all competitions, including a shock FA Cup home loss to Scarborough last time in a replay. The concern for them is their defensive record, which is not showing any signs of improving. In that mentioned nine-game run, they've shipped two of more goals in seven of those, which has also happened for five away games running.

Bromley should indeed win this, but I'm just wary backing them outright as their impressive home run will end at some point, probably unexpectedly. Therefore, for leg two of the acca I'm just going to include Over 1.5 Bromley Goals, which I firmly expect to not let us down.

Roma v Monza

Sunday, 11:30am

There are some big games across the Italian Serie A this weekend and plenty of good opportunities for bettors to get involved. For me personally, I really like the look of Roma against Monza, and there is one glaringly obvious bet that has screamed out to me. It will also form as the biggest priced leg in our weekend acca, but I am arguably the most confident of this one coming through out of all four!

If reports are to be believed, Roma and Jose Mourinho will be a partnership that comes will separate at the end of the season. The Special One was reached a major European final in each season at the helm, but they'll want to make an impact in the league before he is to exit. Back-to-back wins before the international break has improved their league situation, but they'll need a few more to break back into the European places.

They take on a Monza side that is sitting above Roma in the table, but the hosts would leapfrog them with a win. Monza too have enjoyed back-to-back triumphs in league action, and have kept three clean sheets in succession. They'll been a tough nut to crack defensively this season, shipping only seven goals. They are coming up against the second-best attack in the league this weekend however, with only Inter netting more times than Mourinho's men, boring football eh!

Romelu Lukaku has been a sensation since returning to Italy after again being frozen out by Chelsea. That is very much to the benefit of Roma, the Belgian football is in fine form, even more so when you consider he didn't really have a pre-season with Chelsea. He has fired in 11 goals across his past 10 appearances for club and country, including in the recent match with Sweden that was abandoned at half-time. If Roma are to win this game, which they will obviously target, then he will surely have to score. He is very much the top dog in this team and you just have to back him to score here, purely because of the form he finds himself in. Monza's defensive record in a concern, but they're going to come under pressure here. Lukaku anytime scorer is leg three of the acca, but I wouldn't put you offer backing it as a single as odds-against.

Girona v Almeria

Sunday, 3:15pm

All being well we will have reached this point in the acca with three successful legs, requiring just a winning selection from this Sunday afternoon clash between Girona and Almeria. Certainly Girona have been one of the surprise packages across Europe this season as they currently sit second in the La Liga table, just two points behind top of the table Real Madrid and also one point in front of Barcelona in third. Bottom side Almeria, who are also winless, are their opponents this weekend. The hosts are odds-on to claim another three points, but could complacency cost them? We shall see.

It is worth noting that Girona have seven league victories to their name this season, dropping points in only two games. Those came with a 3-0 loss to Real Madrid and a more than appreciated 1-1 away draw at Real Sociedad. Those two are the highest ranked opponents Girona has faced this season, the rest coming at clubs currently positioned 10th or below. In only two of those seven losses have they not netted at least two goals.

Almeria are just conceding goals for fun at present and it clearly is not aiding their quest to get off the bottom of the standings. They have kept zero clean sheets and only once not conceded a minimum of two goals in any game. They have had some tough games early into the season, but they can now add Girona to that list, and they're super confident right now. Almeria have only twice not scored, so they're at least offering an attack threat, but certainly not doing enough in protecting their own goal. Girona has the third-best xG figure in the league, only behind Real Madrid and Barcelona, whilst Almeria has the worst xGA metrics, suggesting their defensively somewhat limited.

The final leg of our acca presents Over 1.5 Girona Team Goals, and hopefully they can an early enough goal to make it quite a comfortable afternoon for them. I swerve Girona outright just to hopefully play it a little safer. Hopefully they are not famous last words!

Acca Tips

  • Real Sociedad v Mallorca Over 1.5 Goals
  • Bromley Over 1.5 Team Goals
  • Girona Over 1.5 Team Goals
  • Romelu Lukaku Anytime Goalscorer
  • 7.26/1 (William Hill)
Avatar of James O'Rourke

James O'Rourke

69 articles

2 Comments
  1. Avatar of PMF
    PMF 1 year ago

    Great write up mate will be following

    2
    • Avatar of James O'Rourke
      mightyimp1 1 year ago

      Thank you my friend 👍

      Been close over the last couple of weekends and managed to win one beforehand.

      They always look obvious when you place it. Here’s hoping form plays out 🤞

      6

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