As with every Grand Slam, seeding matters. It’s no different at the US Open this year, with the top 32 players in the draw receiving a protected path through the draw, and the best of the best not facing each other until the final weekend.
But who are the US Open men’s seeds? And how are they expected to fare over the next fortnight? We break down the 32 seeded men in New York, outlining their projected finishes, plus a full entry list for the tournament.
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US Open men’s seeds and projected finishes
Below are the 32 seeds for the men’s draw, along with our projections for where they will finish in the 2024 US Open:
- Jannik Sinner – semi-finals
- Novak Djokovic – semi-finals
- Carlos Alcaraz – champion
- Alexander Zverev – runner up
- Daniil Medvedev – quarter-finals
- Andrey Rublev – first round
- Hubert Hurkacz – quarter-finals
- Casper Ruud – round of 16
- Grigor Dimitrov – round of 16
- Alex de Minaur – round of 16
- Stefanos Tsitsipas – third round
- Taylor Fritz – quarter-final
- Ben Shelton – third round
- Tommy Paul – round of 16
- Holger Rune – round of 16
- Sebastian Korda – third round
- Ugo Humbert – third round
- Lorenzo Musetti – third round
- Felix Auger-Aliassime – round of 16
- Frances Tiafoe – round of 16
- Sebastian Baez – first round
- Alejandro Tabilo – round of 16
- Karen Khachanov – third round
- Arthur Fils – third round
- Jack Draper – third round
- Nicolas Jarry – first round
- Alexander Bublik – third round
- Alexei Popyrin – third round
- Francisco Cerundolo – first round
- Matteo Arnaldi – third round
- Flavio Cobolli – third round
- Jiri Lehecka – first round
As you can see, we’re picking the majority of the seeding to hold at the top of the men’s draw. The top four are all projected to make the semi-finals, while just two of the top seven are forecast to fall before the quarter-finals.
Further down the list, we smell a few upsets, however. Some of these seeds, such as Sebastian Baez, Francisco Cerundolo and Nicolas Jarry are not in good form, and struggle on hard courts. Though they have been given an advantage with seeding, we still expect they will stumble early in New York.
Full US Open entry list
Keen to see if your player will be in action at the US Open? Here’s the full entry list of players that will be present in New York.
Non-seeded direct entrance
- Jordan Thompson
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
- Nuno Borges
- Jan-Lennard Struff
- Mariano Navone
- Luciano Darderi
- Tomas Machac
- Tallon Griekspoor
- Zhizhen Zhang
- Adrian Mannarino
- Pedro Martinez
- Matteo Berrettini
- Gael Monfils
- Marcos Giron
- Brandon Nakashima
- Fabian Marozsan
- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
- Yoshihito Nishioka
- Alex Michelsen
- Miomir Kecmanovic
- Roberto Carballes Baena
- Sebastian Ofner
- Arthur Rinderknech
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
- Lorenzo Sonego
- Roman Safiullin
- Alexander Shevchenko
- Hugo Gaston
- Facundo Diaz Acosta
- Pavel Kotov
- Jakub Mensik
- Rinky Hijikata
- Dusan Lajovic
- Roberto Bautista Agut
- Corentin Moutet
- Thiago Seyboth Wild
- James Duckworth
- Fabio Fognini
- Sumit Nagal
- Botic van de Zandschulp
- Thiago Monteiro
- Aleksandar Kovacevic
- Juncheng Shang
- Federico Coria
- Marton Fucsovics
- Dominik Koepfer
- Jaume Munar
- Emil Ruusuvuori
- Thanasi Kokkinakis
- Zizou Bergs
- Christopher O'Connell
- Borna Coric
- Taro Daniel
- Daniel Altmaier
- David Goffin
- Max Purcell
- Luca Nardi
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
- Aleksandar Vukic
- Adam Walton
- Arthur Cazaux
- Laslo Djere
- Denis Shapovalov
- Francisco Comesana
- Constant Lestienne
- Albert Ramos-Vinolas
- Mackenzie McDonald
- Dominic Stricker
- Daniel Evans
- Pablo Carreno Busta
- Reilly Opelka
- Soonwoo Kwon
All of these players earned their place in the 2024 US Open courtesy of their ATP ranking (the top 100 men gain automatic qualification). Or, in the case of Reilly Opelka and a few others, they used protected rankings – a system where the ATP allows a players ranking to be briefly frozen when injury occurs, and used a certain number of times afterwards.
US Open men’s wildcards
- Zachary Svajda
- Christopher Eubanks
- Stan Wawrinka
- Tristan Schoolkate
- Dominic Thiem
- Learner Tien
- Matthew Forbes
These seven players all did not meet the cut for the US Open main draw in terms of rank. However, the tournament organisers are able to hand out wildcards at their discretion. This is usually done to past Grand Slam champions (Stan Wawrinka, Dominic Thiem), home players (Christopher Eubanks) or young players (Learner Tien).
Qualifiers in the US Open men’s draw
- Diego Schwartzman
- Maks Kaśnikowski
- Bu Yunchaokete
- Hamad Medjedovic
- Mitchell Krueger
- Li Tu
- Timofey Skatov
- Gabriel Diallo
- Eliot Spizzirri
- Radu Albot
- Otto Virtanen
- Mattia Bellucci
- Jan Choinski
- Kyrian Jacquet
- Hugo Grenier
- Quentin Halys
These 16 men all fought their way through three matches to qualify for the US Open. While their rankings are low, watch out for this year’s qualifiers – they’ve had more time to get used to the conditions, and are primed to cause an upset or two.
Men’s lucky losers at the 2024 US Open
- Maximilian Marterer
Just the one lucky loser has earned a spot in the main draw so far, with Maximilian Marterer stepping in after Emil Ruusuvuori withdrew over the weekend.
Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been playing or watching sports down under in New Zealand for the better part of three decades. With 12+ years experience as a professional writer, Bren loves to dive deep into all things sport to bring the best betting analysis and predictions here at Mr Fixits Tips.
