The quarter-finals of Wimbledon are here, and with them some brilliant betting opportunities. One of the most anticipated matches is between Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev, who play on Tuesday for a spot in the semi-finals in London.
Can Medvedev cause an upset and oust the No. 1 seed? Or will Sinner continue his dominant year by making a third consecutive Grand Slam semi-final? Read on for our Sinner vs Medvedev prediction and betting tips, based on the latest odds from Betfred.
Player Form: Red-Hot Sinner
Anyone who has followed tennis at all this year will know that Sinner has been the man to beat. So far in 2024, he’s won four titles, including a maiden Grand Slam, a second Masters 1000 title, and two ATP 500s. He recently ascended to the No. 1 position in the ATP rankings, and has been by far the best player of the last six months.
Here at Wimbledon, he’s gone about his business efficiently. The Italian did drop sets in each of his opening two matches against Yannick Hanfmann and Matteo Berrettini, but most recently has locked in and defeated Miomir Kecmanovic and Ben Shelton in straight sets.
Medvedev hasn’t been quite as red-hot as Sinner, but has still had a solid year. He’s titleless, with two finals at the Australian Open and Indian Wells Masters.
So far this tournament, he’s been as expected for a No. 5 seed. His first three opponents–Aleksandr Kovasevic, Alexandre Muller and Jan-Lennard Struff–were all dispatched in three or four sets. In the last round, however, Medvedev got cut a break when No. 10 seed Grigor Dimitrov retired injured after just eight games.
How the Bookies View It: Sinner in Control
Bookmaker Betfred has Sinner a heavy favourite in this clash. The Italian is 2/9 to win, while Medvedev trails at 16/5. Set betting puts a Sinner 3-0 result at 11/8.
Recent Head-to-Head: Bizarre Turnaround
Interestingly, Medvedev leads this head-to-head 6-5. However, Sinner has won each of the last five matches between the two, including earlier this year at the Australian Open.
Anything Else Catch the Eye?
Medvedev came within a whisker of defeating Sinner in Melbourne this year by adopting some unconventional return patterns and a far more aggressive style of play. He ultimately fell short, in part because he’d had to play so many five-setters ahead of the final.
Coming into this clash off the back of a walkover, is Medvedev in a position to execute what he threatened to do in Australia?
Sinner vs Medvedev Betting Tips & Predictions
We expect Sinner to win this one, but not without a fight.
- Medvedev +6.5 games @ 1.50 (1/2)
- Sinner to win and both to win a set @ 2.10 (11/10)
Medvedev should get at least one set, and it might even go the distance like earlier this year.
Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been playing or watching sports down under in New Zealand for the better part of three decades. With 12+ years experience as a professional writer, Bren loves to dive deep into all things sport to bring the best betting analysis and predictions here at Mr Fixits Tips.
