Simpson vs Woodall prediction: New super-middleweight king in the making?

Callum Simpson, the unbeaten fighter from Barnsley, England, will put his British and Commonwealth Super Middleweight belts on the line this Saturday, January 11th, when he squares off against Steed Woodall from Birmingham in Sheffield, England. Read on for our Simpson vs Woodall prediction ahead of the fight. 

Tale of the tape

Having fought 60 rounds after going professional in 2019, Simpson boasts a perfect 15-0 record with 10 knockdowns.  

Simpson, a former football player, won 38 of his 53 amateur contests. He has above average punching power, with a knockout ratio of 66.7 percent and six stoppages in his last nine contests.

The 30-year-old Woodall arrives to this bout with a 19-2-1 record including 12 knockouts and 90 professional experience since his 2014 debut. 

In his amateur career, he competed in the 2012 English Junior and Youth National Championships, as well as the Great Britain Youth Championships. He also won two British crowns, five national medals, and advanced to the World Championship quarterfinals.

Callum Simpson vs Steed Woodall hot tip: Simpson to win via knockout 

Simpson and Woodall should be a fine piece of British boxing spectacle since the fighters are not too far apart in level. 

Simpson has enjoyed a meteoric rise under the BOXXER banner. A series of impressive wins earned him the opportunity to fight for the British and Commonwealth straps at the Oakwell Stadium. The Barnsley FC fan did not let the chance slip and  beat Zak Chelli. 

Fresh off the finest win of his career, Woodall defeated Lerrone Richards in six rounds in an upset in Bolton last June to take the WBO Intercontinental Super Middleweight championship.

This should be a tight fight at first, but given Simpson's considerable size advantage, we anticipate him handing Woodall a knockout at some stage.

Callum Simpson vs Steed Woodall: Key stats 

• With a knockout percentage of 67% compared to Woodall's 63%, Simpson has a small power advantage according to the data.
• Simpson, who turned professional in 2019, lags Woodall in activity and experience. Simpson's career started five years and three months later than his competitor, whose professional path began in 2014; he has seven less fights and thirty less rounds under his belt—60 compared to Woodall's 90.
• At 28 years old, Callum Simpson is the younger of the two by a margin of two years.
• Simpson has a reach advantage of five extra inches and stands four inches taller than Woodall.

Fight odds and win probability 

Here are the current Callum Simpson vs Steed Woodall odds:

Callum Simpson: 1/9 (1.11) – Implied probability 90.01%

Steed Woodall: 11/2 (6.50) – Implied probability 15.38%

Draw: 20/1 (21.00) – Implied probability 4.8%

*Simpson vs Woodall betting odds from Boylesports, subject to change.

Keys to victory

This fight should be closer than the odds suggest. Simpson lacks the experience, but has recent form and championship pedigree by his side. 

Woodwall, on the other hand, has been active in the scene longer, faced stronger opposition, but lags behind in power. Here’s how both fighters can win the fight. 

Callum Simpson: Leverage Size Advantage

Simpson clearly has an advantage in height (four inches) and reach (five inches). He can keep Woodall at distance, break his flow, and compel him to put more effort to bridge the space by using a sharp, steady jab.

Simpson should start with a fast, solid jab, use it to open doors for combinations and maintain Woodall on the defensive. This strategy can also stop Woodall from settling into close-range exchanges. As a result, it would be easier for Simpson to outpunch his opponent. 

His towering physique can also allow him to drag the battle and exhaust Woodall. Simpson has a better range, hence Woodall will have to be more agile to strike his opponent. He will have to work much harder, so it’s normal for fatigue to set in as the fight goes on. Simpson can take advantage of this in later stages and deliver a decisive blow.

Steed Woodall: Focus On Lateral Movement 

Simpson's height and reach provide a challenge, but Woodall's technical ability and ring savvy can efficiently nullify these threats. Woodall can evade Simpson's jab using lateral movement, then score crisp counterpunches. Simpson's flow will be disrupted by this strategy, so he will find it more and more difficult to control the pace of the fight.

Woodall has the means to control the pace of the fight, particularly if he can make Simpson uncomfortable, with his experience and composure. Using feints, varying his punch intensity, and applying smart clinches can help him to upset Simpson's rhythm.

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