IT was one each-way winner on Saturday with the other missing out by a place.
So it was a 1.8pt loss on the day and October is now 5.56pts down, Well done all winners on Saturday and good luck today.
Jay Kay has won his last two races at Ayr from marks of 71 & 76 but runs today from a mark of 74. He won with more in hand both times, those last two wins were in much stronger races, class 3 & class 4 handicaps whereas today's race is a class 5. That means he has to give weight to all bar one horse but is running from a 2lb lower mark than his last run.
Jay Kay has also won at Southwell before and his form on soft and heavy ground is good so the surface isn't a problem. All in all there doesn't seem to be a negative so Jay Kay really should be winning this.
Mama Africa is 21 runs into her career but has yet to taste success. This is a weak race and she is the top-rated horse here so is well in at the weights. She hasn't run on this surface yet but looks to me like she will like the fibresand with her high knee action.
Although she hasn't won yet her form stands out and it's only last year she ran 11th out of 30 in a class 1 at the Curragh. That was a €148,000 to the winner race and she was only beaten four lengths. Her best runs come in testing conditions so that is another positive for this course and I really can't see her getting beat here.
Johnb’s Sunday Tips
- Southwell 1.30 – Jay Kay 9-4
- Southwell 2.30 – Mama Africa 2-1 NAP/NB (double stake)
- Double 8-1
Johnb’s Antepost Tips Update
- 1000 Guineas
- CLEMMIE advised at 25-1
- Now 7-2 betfred best price and as low as 5/2 betway
- The Oaks
- MAGICAL advised at 33-1
- Now 14-1 best price and as low as 8-1 boylesports