IT'S the start of a busy week with the latest round of Champions League qualifiers taking centre stage.
There are also two games in the English Championship and while stats don't really back it up the best bets could be both to score after just one of 24 teams (QPR) failed to net on the opening weekend.
Again the English games look tough to call with a draw a possibility at Nottm Forest v West Brom while Middlesbrough could edge out Sheffield United.
I've picked out a treble from the Champions League and the reasoning is on a separate Champions League post.
2pts Top Treble
- Qarabag (6pm)
- Malmo (6.15pm)
- Standard Liege v Ajax over 2.5 goals (7pm)
- (33-10, McBookie)
August Advised Super Singles: +2.2pts
August Advised Accas: -0.5pts
This month's football partner at MrFixitsTips is BetBright. They've a great welcome offer where you can claim up to £50 to play with when you deposit £10 upon opening a new acount. 18+. T&Cs apply. New customers only.
Put this up now as away out early doors – few other games in the lower leagues and might try and piece a longshot together but main pick as follows…
BILLERICAY TOWN VS. CONCORD RANGERS:
I tipped up Billericay as my main antepost last week and have been following their dealings and growth over the last few months; they have established a really impressive squad who will take some beating this campaign.
One of the few sides who may come close are local rivals Concord who play out of Canvey Island and who, themselves, have assembled a host of ‘localised’ stars from the Essex and surrounding area under the watchful eye of new gaffer Sammy Moore who has built a new look side over the summer.
Players of a decent pedigree for both sides will be on show including a certain Billy Knott who Bradford, Lincoln and even Chelsea (Youth) fans may remember and it looks like Concord will give the hosts a tough game – it will likely be one of the few matches that I wouldn’t confidently tip Billericay goals and an emphatic win with so much lower league talent on show.
I’m taking both teams to find the net in what could be a cracker of a game:
One selection:
BTTS…4/5
(Bet365)
???
Best of luck ?
Was on both south America games cheers
Cheers @oneoff ?
@hullshaker
?? Credit where it’s due…. only back from a break and I have to say your own thread is truly deserved your insight into South American football is second to none
Keep up the good work
Cheers @bettingman1 – it look a long time to get my head around the pitfalls of SA football and the leagues/teams to avoid as well as learning about the ones to follow and trends to look out for!
Well worth sticking at it and putting the research in…plenty of value to be had!
Best of luck sir ?
Brasilia
Atletico Mineiro vs Internacional
BTTS and Overs
6/4
Sky bet – 4 Points
BTTS 1st Half
7/2
Sky bet – 1 Point
August Profit / Loss: – 2.75 Points
**LOST**
August Profit / Loss: – 7.75 Points
Bet 1
Uruguay u20 4/7
Lose
Rogers Cup:
Krygios and Nishikori to win @ 1.94- 5 units
Tsitsipas and Tiafoe to win @ 2.26- 5 units
Ostapenko to beat Konta @ 2.25- 5 units
All five players above to win @ 9.9- 1 unit.
already advised: Bouchard to beat Mertens @ 3.25- 3 units
+10.3 units yesterday. Still down 15.7 for the month. But a long way to go yet
Liverpool v Torino (FRIENDLY 7.30)
Over 3.5 goals at 1/1 (NAP)*****
Over 4.5 goals at 12/5 (NB)****
Over 5.5 goals at 9/2
This is the last friendly before kick off at the weekend and as it’s at Anfield i’m willing to put my money on the goals markets.Jurgen klopp will probably play the first eleven for the first half the rotate to the second eleven second half,that doesn’t put me off one bit as the second eleven has been as deadly as the first eleven.One thing football fans will notice this upcoming season is Liverpool’s new approach where they hold an exceptionally high line,which in turn means opponents will be stifled even more,this new tactic comes as Allison will be used a sweeper keeper.I expect Liverpool to get caught out from time to time but if it means winning more games then the benefit of it out weighs the risk,Man City are the only team to adopt such a style and Liverpool are following suit.aka the high press.
Best of luck
Looked deadly against Napoli so good luck.
Off to the golf today so check in later on.
Enjoy mr f
Maccathered,
Good morning sir, hope your well not really getting much time myself off late just busy with work and stuff! Always checking in when possible. A pre-contract pulsic deal sounds perfect.So want fekir top player and something tells me it’s a done deal! Hopefully have a fast start in the premiership as pre season have looked proper fit and ready. #YNWA
MINT…
Morning Mint lad i’m good mate hope your well too.I get the feeling also that Fekir is a done deal,there’s a surprise for us fans and i reckon it could be Fekir,Pulisic’s father prefers him to join Liverpool and a pre contract is more than likely,lets hope so.Best of luck mate for the upcoming season.
looking like fekir might be going to chelsea @maccathered
I have heard reports but it would be pretty hard for Fekir to do that considering he has already donned a Liverpool shirt,you never know though.If he goes to Chelsea then that would mean Hazard would be leaving.
Hi Macca
Can u please let me know if this is the correct bet
“Liverpool @8/1
Nabil Fekir club after summer window? – Which Club?” WilliamHill
Thanks in Advance
Cheers, was a cracking day – the sun was out and the putts were holed.
Poor old Ace beaten again.
@xbets Liverpool hopefully.there’s only a few days left and its reported Klopp has bid for him.
Thanks macca 50quids on it
Think forest look a good price tonight
Seattle Mariners @ 1.87- 6 units
Cleveland Indians -1.5 runs @ 1.83- 6 units
Washington Nationals (game 2- Scherzer) and New York Yankees @ 2.16- 5 units
We will have one more play and a multi later
I’ll be keeping an eye on the card markets in the Astana v Zagreb game as a certain Mr Beaton is the man in the middle. I grew up with this lad and the boys done well. Maybe he didn’t get many birthday/xmas/valentines cards as a kid and that’s why he dishes out the cards regularly. Even his first season which he took charge of just 5 games he managed 20Y & 2R and since then he’s not relented with a cards per game average over 3 for 6 seasons. He started this season with 4 in the Killie match at the weekend. A match penalty could also be possible as he’s been known too point too the spot occasionally
You know, inside info like that is Gold !! I have a buddy, he was my section Corporal in Cyprus and he shoved me into football refereeing ( probably so he’d have less games to officiate ) but I did enjoy it. Well he moved out to Australia ( lost count of how many of the guys I’ve served with have moved there ) anyway, about 4 years ago, he started coaching an amateur women’s football team, we’re talking the worst of the worst women’s team you could imagine. They started their first season and they won I think 14 games on the bounce and were crowned league champions. 12 months earlier they were last. I spent 12 months looking for bookies that covered that market, but because the league was so low down the pecking order, nobody took bets on it. Its that long ago now, I cannot even remember what the side was. Imagine, we’d of had the heads up on all of that and probably driving a nice new car. I’m gonna add Mr Beaton ( billy no-mates ) to my active ref radar and see how it pans out. This is really human nature, but worth thinking about; when a person has literally no clout in the social pecking order – no power, being the man in the middle can give them an injection of confidence, quite often that person who’s spent most of his life being ignored by everyone will thrive in that environment of extra responsibility and take any/every opportunity to exert his authority because come the final whistle, he’s back to being billy no-mates. Being the man in the middle, may well be his ONLY chance of getting any credibility in life.
Cheer @mr h
Referee G Y R
Greg Aitken 29 111 12
Euan Anderson 32 105 5
John Beaton 36 137 5
Kevin Clancy 32 140 2
William Collum43 151 12
Barry Cook 28 92 4
Andrew Dallas 34 139 8
Gavin Duncan 30 120 5
Stephen Finnie 32 128 6
Bobby Madden 39 137 7
Steven McLean 35 130 4
Alan Muir 32 119 4
Don Robertson 32 122 3
Craig Thomson 38 134 12
Nick Walsh 30 117 6
Ref stats from last season @nathanufton
@mr h looks like Mr Beaton isn’t the only billy no-mates. I used to look a lot more into refs and stats when I played the cards markets a few times but somehow it has slipped down my priority list. I shall endeavour to look a little deeper in future. Cheers.
4 cards this time but you’re right about Beaton – he sometimes go card crazy.
He reffed the last Premiership game I was at and Hearts fans were going mental at him.
Lower League Longshot:
WREXHAM VS. FYLDE
BLYTH VS. BPA
SPENNY VS. DARLO
YORK VS. STOCKPORT
BILLERICAY VS. CONCORD
WESTON S-M VS. TRURO
BTTS 6 FOLD…26.73/1
?
?
Hartlepool, Gateshead BTTS Double 2.2/1 – half stake
GL all today
Qarabag/B Barisov
Btts
6/5
Halfax/barrow
2 or 3 match goals
20/21
Mbro’ / S.Utd
Btts
5/6
In a game that closed with 10201 bets 63% on Phillies win accounting for 42% of money wagered against 58% Money behind 37% bettors on Arizona,62% bets went on under accounting for 50% of money wagered on totals Peralta’s homered in 14th to
lift Dbacks over Phillies
3-2 to settle the argument between Pro And public bettors with Sharp winning Arizona Money line and public paid for Under leaving them to fight another day.
Sharp Report went 2-1 with Under 8.5 landing in Cardinals 2-1 win over Pirates to make sharp play here at Mr Fixit 4-2 66.66% Win Rate 22.83% ROI all bets graded as 1 unit play for statistics purposes.
Corrections Miami won 2-1 against Cardinals and not Cardinal win over Pirates as mentioned above.
Combo ? @ 12.33 ⭐
⚫ Wawrinka – Kyrgios – Wawa +1.5 set handicap @ 1.53
⚫ Querrey – Mannarino – 1st Set over 9.5 games @ 1.50
⚫ Donskoy – Rublev – Rublev to win @ 1.40
⚫ Dimitrov – Verdasco – 1st Set over 9.5 games @ 1.60
⚫ Chardy – Shapovalov – Shapovalov to win @ 1.50
⚫ Coric – Cilic – 1st Set over 9.5 games @ 1.60
=================================================
?
Yesterday, just about everything I looked at came in, some I bet on, some I stayed away from. Hindsight is a wonderful thing but when it goes belly up, it nullifies any progress you’ve made particularly in the style of betting which i’m currently having a bash at.
Start with a small amount, in my case a £5, pick one or two off here and there and see how many days you can keep it going.
I started my day on Sunday with a tiny 2/7, in the evening I picked up I think a 1/2 to put me around £9.
Yesterday, I kind of did my own thing and took Ostersunds away at a massive 29/20. I didn’t tip it because I wasn’t entirely convinced as to why such a big price was there and somehow forgot to ask the community on thoughts, so I apologise for that. I think they won 2 nil.
I’d ummed and arred about BTTS or maybe a close fought win for Villa and both sets of fans and Mr F advised to steer clear, I did. Both teams had a goal inside 17 mins and got Villa added 2 more around the 70 minute mark. That’s the problem with betting, when we do our homework and the numbers look good, we have to take the advice on affer. I cannot grumble because the community gave some interesting feedback on both sides and it created a safety net. So thanks guys, I know it played out how I kinda expected but that extra bit of info on any other day would of saved me from a bank buster.
I then saw hullshaker having an eye on the Bolivian league and he picked a belter out, but my question was about the other big game – Real Patosi vs The Strongest. My interest was with the away side. His input recommended value in taking a -1 h/c on the away team. Both of his Bolivian tips coasted in. Cheers @hullshaker . I cautiously took a straight win to see my new balance of around £36.
I’ve been looking into Quarabag winning and a BTTS in the Ajax game, @mr-fixit already had Quarabag win and overs 2.5’s in the Ajax game. I shall carry on with a bit of personal admin, I then have until the 6pm kick off to see what I can find out.
I don’t want to drive a sh*tty stick into the middle of a hornets nest here, but am I missing something here? Notts Forest priced so short for promotion. I know they’ve brought in fresh faces, I know they have a quality manager, but they’ve really struggled this past 4 or so years to keep pace ( points wise ) with the top 6-8. We’re not talking a few points off, but there or there abouts 20 pts from the top 6. If you remove the likes of Rotherham, Bolton and Reading ( possibly Wigan, possibly Swansea ) who could find themselves regularly in the trapdoor fight, there’s still 8-10 teams who’s squads are more bedded in and equipped to push for a top 6 finish than Forest. What am I missing here guys? I know there’s at least one Forest fan on here ( he gives me grief every so often so I know he’s reading these posts ) Can you share please?
Thursday
Europa League
Vitesse v Basel
Slovan Bratislava v Rapid Vienna
Over 2.5 double 2.75/1 (Marathon)
Saturday
Premier League
Fulham v Crystal Palace
Wolves v Everton
Over 2.5 double 3.5/1 (Marathon)
Nottingham Forest vs west brom over 2.5 goals
Halifax vs barrow over 2.5 goals
Chesterfield vs aldershot over 2.5 goals
Sutton vs eastleigh over 2.5 goals
Leyton orient vs ebbsfield over 2.5 goals
Standard liege vs Ajax over 2.5 goals
60/1
Gateshead
Southport
Billericay
Over 1.5mgs Treble Evens
Btts treble a tad under 4/1
Good luck
Two for me today, a straight win double and mixed treble
—Double—
Red Star Belgrade (7.30PM)
Malmo (6.15PM)
EVENS
—Treble—
Red Star Belgrade -1 AH (7.30PM)
Standard Liege v Ajax – BTTS (7PM)
Astana v Dinamo Zagreb – BTTS (3PM)
7/1
Afternoon gents
It’s non league Tuesday ⚽️⚽️⚽️
Down south this morning so won’t be able get anything up until around 6.30pm
Plenty of games from the conference and conference north / south. ( Was close to going to the Havant and Warerlooville game)
This is @hullshaker patch – great leagues for goals both north and south leagues
Post shortly
Burnley are in talks to sign Matej Vydra permanently from Derby County, with Nahki Wells moving in the other direction on loan, according to Sky sources.
Another striker. How many doe Lampard want on the books? I kinda consigned myself to figuring out that the shape Lampard wants to play wouldn’t accommodate Vydra. Just hope we get more than 11 mill for him. I think with add-ons, if it happens, we might see a fee closer to what I think he’s worth £16-18 mill.
I like the look of over 9 corners. L/Pool v Torino . 1/1 bet365
Sky are only offering 8/11 for the same bet.
bet365 have always been a bit of a step ahead on the corners market. If you can hold off for 5 mins and no corner comes in, you might be able to lower the line in the sand by 1 or take an enhanced price.
??????? Non league Tuesday???????
It’s round two of fixtures for the three conference divisions – historically the conference south has always been a bit of a gem for goals. It’s hard so early in the season to work out where to go for goals but have picked out a double – there’s also a good opportunity from the Vanarama National League
Skybet Speical
12 matches from the Vanerma National Legaue
I think the bookies are being a bit generous with markets set for total match goals . 31+ goals in all 12 matches is good value in my opinion. You Always get a coupe of games that see 4 or 5 goals. There was 26 scored on Saturday and worth some teams already showing their defence frailties I’m happy to get on this
31+ match goals in the Vanarama National League 10/11 (NAP)
****************************
Conference South Goals
Hungerford Town v Wealdstone
Weston Super Mare v Trueo City
Over 2.5 match goals double 7/5 (MarathonBet)
Liverpool ready to sign Nebil Fekir from Lyon a bid is imminent and a deal looks likely to be done by thursday.Keep the faith Fekir’s..
@maccathered How are things. Do you really see this happening yeah..cannot find any info on it at all. Cheers
@glucey i hope so,it’s all i have been hearing this afternoon,with Chelsea’s interest according to a reliable report then Klopp has revived his interest and a bid is going to be made very soon,Klopp does not want to lose out on Fekir.
Excellent. Hopefully so. Hes obviously looking to move for lyon to leave him out of squad.
It’s being reported that Klopp will do all he can to get Fekir and stop him going to Chelsea.
BTTS Treble
Gateshead
FC United
Hungerford
1pt @ 4.53
looks good at ht mate!!
tonite, too many choices again so hopefully keep it simple…………..
billericay overs, red star belgrade o1.5tgs 7/5
GL…………….
MLB Pro bettors went 2-1 Monday night winning Under 8.5 in Miami 2-1 win over Cardinals and Arizona Diamondback’s 3-2 against Phillies losing Over 8 in the same matchup each bet graded 1 Unit play for statistics purpose.
Tuesday wiseguys are hammering totals in New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals with heavy cash loaded on under from Pro 37% of bettors who account for 71% of the dollars dropping the line from opening 9.5 to current 9
Sharp Angle
NYY vs KC Under 9 -1.96
Boston vs Toronto Blue Jays
Behind 26% of bets on Toronto which account for 50% of dollars against 74% of bets on Boston Blue Jays have have gone from opening underdog of 2.15 to favorite 1.90 and 1.96 across various sports book with Boston moving from opening favorite 1.74 to current 1.96 why would 26% of bets cause such huge reverse movement because sharp money is buying on Toronto.
Sharp Angle
Toronto Blue Jays -1.96
Correction New Yotk Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Not Kc
Evening all,already taken goals but also taken over 1.5 first half goals at 5/6 in the Liverpool v Torino game,i can’t resist.
Best of luck
What’s the team
Yankees vs Chicago White Sox
Blyth vs Bradford
Over 2.5 MGS
4/5
Looking great for goals in your boys’ game Macca ?
That’s me first half goals in hull lad fingers crossed for the rest,looking sharp.
@maccathered do you think here’s more goals in this second half?
*there’s
Sorry alex for the non reply didn’t see it.
IN PLAY
Red Star Belgrade to win
11/10
Currently 1-1 55 mins and the Serbian leaders should put this to bed.
Lost 1-1
Hartlepool, Gateshead BTTS Double 2.2/1 WON :) :)
happy enough with that!!
Nice one WC
Gteat on a tough night!
Nice winner for a Tuesday evening ? well done all winners ??
—
BTTS Treble
Gateshead
FC United
Hungerford
1pt @ 4.53
—
August: -1.69
well done!
Superb ausie
Superb ausie
No joy with CL picks. Final one for the day, team I followed all last season who are very consistent at home and expected to havr to much for Atletico PR.
Copa Sudamerica
Penarol v Atletico PR
Penarol Win
8/11
Penarol O1.5Tgls
EVENS
Blyth vs Bradford
Over 2.5 MGS
4/5
**WON**
2 late goals!!
Nice shout again nate
?Nate
Nice one
Gateshead
Southport
Billericay
Over 1.5mgs Treble Evens **WON**
Btts treble a tad under 4/1 **WON**
Well happy with that
Lovely work DC!
Lovely stuff
Excellent well done
It aint over until the fat (Essex) lady sings ?
BILLERICAY TOWN VS. CONCORD RANGERS:
I tipped up Billericay as my main antepost last week and have been following their dealings and growth over the last few months; they have established a really impressive squad who will take some beating this campaign.
One of the few sides who may come close are local rivals Concord who play out of Canvey Island and who, themselves, have assembled a host of ‘localised’ stars from the Essex and surrounding area under the watchful eye of new gaffer Sammy Moore who has built a new look side over the summer.
Players of a decent pedigree for both sides will be on show including a certain Billy Knott who Bradford, Lincoln and even Chelsea (Youth) fans may remember and it looks like Concord will give the hosts a tough game – it will likely be one of the few matches that I wouldn’t confidently tip Billericay goals and an emphatic win with so much lower league talent on show.
I’m taking both teams to find the net in what could be a cracker of a game:
One selection:
BTTS…4/5
(Bet365)
???
***WON***
???
Well done as usual Hull ??
Well in Hull lad,never in doubt!
?
Well done hull
tonite…………… bet LOST……………. belter in billericay hull on the btts me old cock cant beat a late equaliser
WD all with a win
Cheers Crane – goals were hard to come by tonight so well done any winners…the 26/1 six fold was 2 shy but no complaints with the main bet in late on ?
Some great winners on the lower leagues tonight (Ausie, Hull and John!!)
belters………… aussie, dc, nate WD on a tough nite
Cheers lads, been been some cracking winners tonight
dc, al be in the louden on copeland rd sunday afore the st mirren gem if yer wantin tae get me a pint aff the nites winnings :) :)
That’s a pity as I will be in the grapes afore game ?
Qurabag downed my rolling acca today. I took them to win doubled up with the Ajax btts.
WBA got an 87th minute equaliser against Forest but Middlesbrough pushed Sheff Utd aside with a resounding 3 nil win. I know its early doors and there’s many twists and turns left but BTTS seems the way to go so far in this years championship.
I’ll be around over the next few days but I need to get my head around the start of what could be a new chapter in my life.
My own thread on this site. Its been a blast being part of this community and I am really stoked to be chosen to hopefully add extra value to this already awesome bunch of guys and gals. My written English needs a little tweaking and i’ll make sure my stats are spot on. If only my old English language teachers could see this now…. 4 attempts to pass my O’ level, yet I have a very small foot in a very big door called sports writing. I have to try to find something of value in the small match between Derby and Leeds at the weekend.
Wish me luck guys.
Good luck Nathan.
Nice1 mate, gd luck ?
Good luck – and don’t worry too much about the language as we can edit.
Getting the tips right is more important – and that way you might earn more than the teacher.
Liverpool v Torino
Over 3.5 goals (NAP)***** WON
Over 4.5 goals lost
Over 5.5 goals lost
took over 1.5 first half goals at 5/6 so still happy with that,missed penalty also,plenty to look forward this coming this season and got a great double lined up for the weekend,plenty of value.
Well done all winners.
Nice picks Macca ?
Cheers hull.
Well done all winners
On a side note, newly promoted Alty just beat FC United 4-3 away. What a result.
My second team, home town, great to see them putting in a solid following the 2-2 draw v Leamington on Saturday I watched. Great atmosphere.
No signs of promotion fear here, going to keep a close eye on them and be at a fair few of the home games when I can. A team to watch for Team goals at good odds.
Sorry I’m drunk lol. Southport not FC United. 3-1 away. 5th in the league come on.
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