TUESDAY was action-packed and while it was profitable it could have been so much better.
My 8-1 Top Treble was winning going in to injury time at Plymouth – but with the Wycombe game delayed – so I advised cover on Crawley to score at 8-1 and they did equalise.
And the 27-1 moneyback fivefold was up when Derby led at Luton so cover or cashout available but with the Hatters fighting back I had to settle for the stake back as a free bet.
Plenty of winners on the site including Scott with an 11-10 members bet – his fifth win out of six – Greg and maccathered who backed Aston Villa to KO Leicester.
I tipped the Foxes and they had plenty of chances to win but paid right at the death for a bit of defensive slackness.
Villa are likely to meet Man City who take a 3-1 lead into tonight's other Carabao Cup semi-final at home to Man United and for me there's no way back for the Old Trafford men. I don't like backing sides who don't need to win but City should ease through.
Liverpool are set to storm 19 points clear of City at the top of the Premier League by winning their game in hand at West Ham.
And in Scotland we have Rangers v Ross County and St Johnstone v Celtic as the battle for the Premiership continues. I've posted a separate Scottish preview and with time running out to tackle the Super Single losses I can't resist a punt on ban-free Alfredo Morelos to score first at 11-4 with bet365.
Someone mentioned the absence of Bonkers Bets recently so how about this one – Morelos and Celtic's Odsonne Edouard both to score first. The double pays just over 15-1 at bet365.
Elsewhere there are a couple of League One games and cup clashes in Spain, France and Italy. Sunderland should see off a Tranmere side that's bound to be weary after their cup exploits but they are really short at about 4-6.
Shrewsbury, fresh from their draw against Liverpool, face a tough trip to Gillingham and be interesting to see how they perform with a trip to Anfield on the horizon.
Earlier I said I was thinking about a moneyback fivefold on Celtic, Liverpool, Man City, Lille at Epinal and Inter at home to Fiorentina. In the end I've decided to go with Real Madrid at Real Zaragoza in the Cup instead if Inter – still pays 17-5 at McBookie.
2.5pts Super Single
- Morelos to score first
- (11-4, bet365)
1pt Bonkers Bet
- Morelos/Edoaurd to score first
- (15-1, bet365)
*4pts Moneyback Fivefold
- Lille (5.30pm)
- Celtic
- Man City
- Liverpool
- Real Madrid (8pm)
- (17-5, McBookie)
- *Stake back as free bet for 1 wrong
Man January Super Single Stats: -17pts
January Advised Acca Stats: -11.3pts
Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
Thank you for putting up the 8-1 Mr F, unlucky to lose right at the end. I lost again because I decided to combine different picks to get a bigger payout. I combined Sean’s goals selections and was let down by Al-Ahli. I then went for Blackburn, Plymouth and Crewe all to win and added Exeter draw no bet.
I really wanted to follow your treble and money back 5 fold but got put off by some of the h2h stats, I also like many others could not trust Leeds and of course they go onto win, I also could not trust Derby as they only had 1 away win all season and was proved right as they lost. Wycombe only had 1 home win out of 8 against Blackpool so decided to scratch them off and of course they went onto win. Personally, fancied St Etienne to beat Monaco but was not brave enough to put money on it and they went onto win as well. I fancied Parma away to Napoli earlier in the season during their crisis and civil war, Parma were as big as 11-1 and again was not brave enough. I just can’t get it right at the moment, I’ve lost my last 22 bets.
At this time of the year I find stats mean less – so many games in such a short space of time has a big effect.
The 8-1 loser was also an 8-1 winner due to the cover bet.
Completely disingenuous to claim an 8 point win on Crawley scoring next. How long was that available for? 30 seconds in injury time?
How many people managed to get on that?
You posted something similar about being able to cover when Forest were in the lead for 3 minutes at the weekend.
No it’s not dangerous – it’s exactly the right thing to do. Dangerous suggests risk when there’s no risk.
I posted it as soon as I covered – and any savvy punter on the treble would have been looking to do it with or without my advice.
Covering isn’t for everyone but remember these are just my stats and I only include cover bets in the figures if I’ve advised – often I can’t do that especially if I’m working.
Colo Colo v Palestino 23.30..
Betbuilder – 2/1 ???
Over 0.5 HT gls
Over 1.5 gls
Over 9 corners
—
Longshot – 14/1 ?
Over 14 corners
Only 11 corners finishing 8-3
Man City v Man Utd
Man City to win -1.5 Asian handicap
Man Utd come into this derby 3-1 down from the first leg.Now this game can go one of two ways United can either accept defeat and damage limitation or go for it and i believe they will do the latter as in a derby you can’t just accept defeat they simply have to have a go.The problem though for United is they are going to lack pace with the loss of Rashford and i think City will be able to pick visitors off at will here,for me comfortable home win.
Correct score 4-1
Liverpool
Man City
Rangers
Celtic
All to win at 6/4*****(NB)
Best of luck
I prefer backing goals, especially team goals. Do you think all 4 teams will score at least twice?
I’d say it’s highly likely
I think Man United do have a history of randomly turning up at the Etihad, whose yo say they couldnt do it again.
For me United have too many players missing to do it this time.
Too cold and wet for golf but meeting up with a couple of pals at the range then maybe put up an acca.
Macca’s advised a fourfold on Rangers, Celtic, City and Liverpool and that should land at 6-4.
I’m looking at taking out Rangers who are so short and adding in Lille and Inter in cups for a moneyback fivefold paying around 17-5.
If i thought for one minute United could win this game then i would back them,i have backed and tipped United to beat City at 9/1 this season at the emptihad but circumstances were different,they don’t have the pace now Rashford is out so City all the way for me.Enjoy your day mr f.
Haha, it was freezing even under shelter. Heading to the office soon for a busy night although in reality it will be a crazy two hours or so after the games finish.
Weds goals tips
Over 1.5 tgs
Celtic/Liverpool
19/20 ladbrokes (boost) NAP
PSG/Inter/Lille
157/100 coral NB
Nice one with NAP yesterday sean.
Is your NB for today teams to win?
May I ask what is the function “boost”? Can not find it with bet365.
It’s a promotion so you might not have access. Allows you to edit a bet inplay.
thanks misafir, the NB today is over 1.5 tgs as well. ive just posted both bets under the same heading. unfortunately you wont find the “boost” function on bet 365 as they don’t do it.
Thanks mate.
The ladbrokes boost is just a price boost mr fixit. Nothing to do with editing bets.
I know that – I thought he was asking about something different.
BOLIVIAN APERTURA
The best two bets in Bolivia are back in action again tonight. Starting with The Strongest at home by far to Real Potosi, followed by Royal Pari hosting big hitters Bolivar. When the strongest host real Potosi there’s no shyness of hitting the back of the net.. The last 5 times they’ve met there The home team have scored 6-5-4-6-6… And in those fixtures the away team have found the net 4 times, with this in mind its hard to see how there won’t be a truck load of goals again. The 2nd game hosts a little interest but I’m wary that Royal Pari do well against the strongest and that a lot of there home games don’t see as many as the league average, that being said Bolivar have scored at least twice away in every match since th last time these two met, this combined with the fact Bolivar are without doubt the form team in Bolivia in recent times leaves me still confident enough to back them.
THE STRONGEST v REAL POTOSI OVER 3.5 MATCH GOALS 4/5 (NAP) ****
THE STRONGEST OVER 2.5 TEAM GOALS 1/2,
BOLIVAR OVER 1.5 TEAM GOALS 4/7 DOUBLE 7/5 (NB) ****
Other Favourable picks tonight..
THE STRONGEST -2 5/6 ****
REAL POTOSI TO SCORE 5/4 **
BOLIVAR WIN 10/11 **
Gl Everyone….
ROYAL PARI v BOLIVAR 700PM
THE STRONGEST V REAL POTOSI 1015PM
*Correction on post.. The Strongest should read Bolivar (Royal Pari do well against Bolivar) *
Sammy great write up love the Bolivian league especially the two teams in action tonight the strongest are great at home. I do prefer bolivar to be at home as home and away in this league all ways favours the home teams but they are more than capable of scoring a few good luck with you bets
Cheers Tommy?
Ended up a decent night
Over 3 cards at Monaco won at over 1/1
Red card Lost
Mr f advised double of Falkirk and Hibs 5/2 Won
33 + goals in League two 11/8 Won
Well done all winners
GIBH
Asia cup
Paro
Master 7
Yangon Utd
EVENS@skybet
Fancy goals in these games
Last night was a lot better the goals double won and the other goals treble was a winning double, tonbridge game postponed ?
Team goals double looks good sean might be on that mate,
Similar theme to most for tonight;
Man City, Liverpool, Celtic all over 1.5 TGs & a GIBH Rangers game 2.2/1
Good luck
20 + Rangers booking points 13/8 — big price imo .
Skybet
4fold
Liverpool
Man City
Celtic
Rangers
All to win/over 1 goal in game
@ 3/1 Bet365 {Betbuilder}
Good Luck but to be honest we shouldn’t need it with this.
I agree Sean – be with you on this.
Celtic
Tranmere vs Sunderland BTTS and Over 2.5 gls
Double
3/1
Mr f, I used to love your bonkers bet and top treble when they were posted in the record. They were the good old days!!!
Problem with the Bonkers Bet was it was meant to be a mad long shot but people wanted it to win.
Punters backed it blind in shops – in those days that’s how people did it – and expected a winner.
But mostly it was 25-1 and upwards on a correct score single and to be fair there were enough winners to keep it going.
Liverpool o1.5tgs & o5.5 Team corners
13/10
Rayo
Sociedad
Inter
Chaleroi
Moreirense
Over 1.5mgs 5fold
2/1
Morning, Celtic ? game tonite,
Edouard atgs 19/20@ladbrokes
Griffiths atgs evens@ladbrokes will be on these just awaiting team news?.
GL☘
AC Milan women btts
5/4
Cheers, coulle pennies on Bari women for another goal 8/1.
Just about made it?6-3 lol
Lol yeah took over 2.5 goals on 80 mins at 8/1 for bari women, just logged in just now to see it was a winner, cheers for the tip dude.
United have to score at least 3 tonight and they’re not waiting until the second half trying to do just that. Half of Citys matches at home in the league this season have had over 1.5 goals in the first half. I think there’s value here at odds 2,00+.
My bet:
MANCHESTER CITY – MANCHESTER UNITED
OVER 1.5 GOALS IN THE FIRST HALF
ODDS: 2,25
(STAKE: 12.50 UNITS)
(BET 1/100)
GIBH
UAE
Al Wahda
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
EVENS
Early corner double for me tonight
Corner before 7 min at Ibrox 10/11
Corner before 9 min at Perth 4/5
5/2 ish Bet365
Is that for both teams mate in both games??
Charleroi
Osnabruck
Holstein Kiel
Over 1.5mgs treble 6/5
Good luck
Man City v Man Unt
20 + City booking points 11/8
40 + Booking points in the match 11/10
Skybet
Same bets are odds on with bet365.
Going to be looking at bookings tonight in the St Johnstone vs Celtic match
Jason Holt ( ex rangers) worth a shout at 2/1
Will post shortly
Aye Greg Celtic 11/10 for over 1 booking and maybe Stevie May for a card are also on my radar . GL.
HULL SHAKER
can you see San Jose scoring at guabira later ?.
Interested in your thoughts
Bonkers bet.
Copa libertadores
10-15 pm
Guabira (Paraguay) v San Jose (Bolivia)
San jose over 0.5 team goals 7-1 (betway).
Worth a few quid for interest, could be own goal, penalty etc.
San Jose are 100-1 to win which explains the price ?
I reckon they will mate ?
*could not will ?
Unlikely.. they couldn’t even do it at home even with a serious altitude advantage even though they dominated the game. The bolivian teams travel horrendously in the sudamericana and libetadores against other countries teams. Its only my opinion but I’d say very unlikely.. I’d want min 2s and still wouldn’t back it myself
Jeez sorry elvis at that price I’d stick I’ll be sticking £100 on it 7/1.. Like Hull said anything can happen.. How that price changed my tune.. You don’t even get those odds on San Marino to score against england
Gutted there only 2/1 with other bookmakers.. That’s some find on betway
If you can’t find it, it’s under goals, down the bottom team B over 0,5 goals.
Only got £10 on.
Oddly San Jose went off favourites for the home leg yet are 100-1 today.
Altitude factor I guess.
Just been back on the betway app.
Slashed to 6-1 now.
Must have been my tenner ?
Owe you a drink if it comes in Elvis managed to get £50 on it at 6s ?
7-1 suggests it won’t come in Sammy.
Thought my tenner was pushing the boat out, but £50 ??.
Let’s hope for an own goal or something similar mate.
Tbh I would say 2 or 3-0 for guabira as Guabira already lead. hope the goal God’s are with us Sammy ??
Yeh not be elvis… By all accounts they give it a good go. Obviously 7/1 suggests that but had they scored I suggest someone at betway would of been getting the sack. The market price was 2/1. Not the 7s they had it at. So there was plenty of bet value and it was worth backing.
That is simply known as a TRAP. Many leagues around the world engage in match fixing especially South American countries. They upped their price because most likely received inside information.
William Hill are offering 13/8 for over 2.5 goals in the Gillingham V Shrewsbury game.
Got to be worth a punt at that odds.
Good Afternoon Guys,
Just 1 goal short on yesterdays Sky Requestabet effort.
Will have another go today with a Skybet “Requestabet” on the Bundesliga 2 match
between Stuttgart vs Heidenheim which kick’s off at 17:30
BTTS and 20+ booking points each team @ 7/2, 4 pts staked.
This is a 3rd vs 4th place with one point between them, there has been 9 H2H’s with only
1 match not achieving the BTTS.
Stuttgart have only failed to score in 1 of last 12 home fixtures, whilst only keeping clean
sheets in 3 of said games.
Heidenheim have only failed to score in 1 of last 12 away fixtures.
Of the 18 league matches each team have played this season, Stuttgart have received a
total of 40 yellow cards and 4 reds, whilst Heidenheim have only received 24 yellows.
With this being a top of the table clash I am hoping that there may be a bit of needle in this
game and there will be a few cards flying around.
Good Luck with all bets today!
Mr F I was wondering do you actually put on the bets that u give tips for. Last night your 1pt 5 fold acca returned stake as a free bet. Yet today u have a 4pt acca bet. And u added 1pt on to your advised acca total for the month. Are u going to be on the super single and bonkers bet.
I do – Super Single is void though as Morelos hasn’t started as he has a slight niggle.
Why I asked Mr F is because sometimes I feel u are using monopoly money just to improve your stats for the month rather than putting up genuine bets. In a way you are chasing your losses. For instance today if you had bet on the tips u gave, lille was beat in early kickoff. U would have known morelos not starting prior to match starting. Last night u got a 1pt stake returned as a free bet. Did u use it. Yet today u got a 4pt acca on just to get in the red before the month ends. If you look u should add an extra point from last night
4pts isn’t monopoly money! Maybe 40pts would be.
I’ll use the free bet when I feel like it.
I knew Morelos wasn’t starting but not on Tuesday when the tip was posted.
WARNING… punters being sucked in by BIG teams tonight particularly the glasgow gruesome rwosome. the rangers didnt have a gd result at the weekend and whilst sellic picked up an expected 3 points at home i feel that this time of the year they grind out results away so just a wee warning for those thinking four certs tonight. the foyr big team acca is terrible value
Agreed you are getting 17/10 for Ross Co to score 1 or 2 goals. Great value.
Yup Rangers have struggled to score goals recently aswell.
Afternoon gents,
Corners for me this evening!
LIVERPOOL OVER 6.5 TEAM CORNERS
(11/10, bet365) NAP ⭐⭐⭐⭐
LIVERPOOL OVER 6.5 TEAM CORNERS
MAN CITY OVER 6.5 TEAM CORNERS
(5/2, bet365) NB ⭐⭐
GOALS LONG SHOT
LIVERPOOL
CITY
GUARANI
NACIONAL POTOSI
THE STRONGEST
OVER 2.5 GOALS 5-FOLD
(5.4/1, bet365) ⭐
Best of luck!
Went on your corners Hull cheers mate
Good stuff Oxbally ?
Tranmere vs sunderland
Inter milan vs Fiorentina
Over 2.5 match goal double 2.68/1
Goodluck tonight and lets hope united can somehow get what we need against city, highly doubt it like, were more than likely going to get pumped
basket live – ladies adriatic league
orlovi vs beroe stara zagora (ht 60-45_
orlovi team total under 95.5
beroe (+7.5)
gl
Evening gents
??????? St Johnstone vs Celtic ??????? KO 7.45pm
?Over 1.5 goals
?Over 8.5 corners
?Over 1.5 cards
? 6/5 (Bet365 Bet-builder) (NAP)
Couple of booking options tonight in this game
?Jason Holt to be booked 14/5 (Skybet)
?Ali McCann to be booked 14/5 (Skybet)
Liverpool > 1.5TGS, > 3 Team Corners, Man City Win Evens – Main Bet
KDB Assist 11/10 – quarter stake
Firmino ATGS & > 2.5 MGS, City – 1.5 AH, Charleroi BTTS 10/1 – smallish stake
GL all!
Scotland Premiership 19:45
Rangers vs Ross County – over 3 Rangers first half team corners
Coppa Italia 19:45
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina – Inter Milan to win either half
Double 21/20 Bet365 **NAP**
Add
England EFL Cup 19:45
Man City vs Man Utd – Anthony Martial over 0.5 shots on target
Treble 23/10 Bet365 **NB**
Good luck all
Can’t disagree with the general consensus regards City coming up trumps in the Manchester Derby cup game tonight
Without Rashford and McTominay, were much weaker. Have been hit bad with injuries and having to field Matic v City says it all really.
On a side note very happy we’ve finally landed Bruno Fernandes, much needed.
Will post my tips shortly just doing final checks.
On the following;
—4-Fold—
City v United
West Ham v Liverpool
St Johnstone v Celtic
Dynamo Dresden v Karlsruher
All 4 games Over 1.5 MGls
EVENS
4 POINTS
*53/50
BetVictor
Double tonight:
Celtic & over 2.5gls
Rangers & under 3.5gls
@ 3.5/1
Punts:
De Gea booked @ 11/1
De Gea sent off @ 100/1
All with Bet365
Using free bets with Paddy Power for cards in Italy with Inter v Sampdoria:
Red card @ 11/4
Both teams red card @ 45/1 (boosted)
Stevie May on the bench — so i am on Gregs bookings
McCann and Holt to be carded
2 x singles and a double
Double pays 16/1 Hills Build your odds
Premier League
West Ham vs Liverpool
Liverpool Over 6.5 Team Corners
5/4 @ Paddy’s *NAP*
if sammyt an tommyt aint yer man from over the water i’ll sit in the east enclosure thenite wearing a bumble bee tap thats how confident i am……………………
Already clocked that crane lad
aye macca same type of post same style of writing same old some new poster praising the insight………… its not insight the stats are all there for all of us that take the time and effort to do research, just siting in a local govan ale house looking at stevie g’s team for tonite and dont fancy it one little bit………….. obviously hope i’m wrong
?????
In Rangers last three home games the handicap corners bet came in might be a bit of value tonight it’s set at -6. Should be available at 5/6. This is not a tip just something I follow to try get a decent price as the handicap goals is very short
Man City -1.5 handicap evens******
Man City -2.5 3.100 ***
Man City -1.5 first half 3.800 **
Man City 2+ goals each half 5/1 (betbuilder) *
All bet365, Asian lines handicaps
Evening folks,
I’ve managed to land some winners the last two nights in my match previews. My thoughts on the Manchester derby can be found below.
https://mrfixitstips.co.uk/previews/manchester-city-vs-manchester-united-betting-tips-and-predictions/
Good luck with all bets tonight
I decided to ignore your tips and it backfired! Maybe if I heard your voice explaining why you were backing Man Utd to score it may have stopped me from backing Man City to score 2 or more. Then again, I can’t expect you to do a podcast every day?
Fan of Chris Guy’s choices, see he could not get his post through on other page, anyone aware of his picks
Gillingham v shrewsbury
both teams to score
Ladbrokes 5/4
NAP
both teams to score treble
osnabruck v sandhausen
Charleroi v club brugge
moreirense v braga
Ladbrokes 5/1
accum all 4
William hill 13/1
all lost
tonite
liverpool, man city, celtic o1.5tgs boosted on hills to 2/1
all of above win -1 at 5/1
rangers, st johnsone, zaragoza btts 8/1
atgs trebles
katic, mcgregor, de bruyne, origi all 4 pays 50/1
Liverpool 3.0
Celtic 3.0
Double 75/1
?
Liverpool 3.0
Celtic 3.0
Double 75/1
?
Close one
BRAGA
PALMIERAS
INTER 1X
MAN CITY O1.5GL
No joy with my early corners LOSER
Man U turning up again tonight.
You need to change that username to comment on here.
Weds goals tips
Over 1.5 tgs
Celtic/Liverpool✅✅
19/20 ladbrokes (boost) NAP
WINNER
PSG/Inter/Lille
157/100 coral NB
LOST ❌
No joy with the NB again tonight but NAPs in nice and early. Wd all the winners
Nice work on the Nap Sean ?
Cheers hull- nothing from me tomorrow be back Friday morning with Sydney v Brisbane
Cheers for the NAP Sean. Great work as usual mate…
Scotland Premiership 19:45
Rangers vs Ross County – over 3 Rangers first half team corners ✅
Coppa Italia 19:45
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina – Inter Milan to win either half ✅
Double 21/20 Bet365 **NAP** WON
Add
England EFL Cup 19:45
Man City vs Man Utd – Anthony Martial over 0.5 shots on target ✅
Treble 23/10 Bet365 **NB** WON
Nice couple of wins after a rough month. Well done all winners
Nice one Bully!
Great stuff Bully ??
Thanks chaps
Well done Bull
Mr F what did u bet on with your 1pt stake returned as a free bet from yesterday
Liverpool o1.5tgs✔
o5.5 Team corners✔
13/10 *WON*
Main bet in but lack of goals at chaleroi downs the side bet. Well done winners.
Well done Gigi ?
Cheers Bully
Charleroi
Osnabruck
Holstein Kiel
Over 1.5mgs treble 6/5**LOST** lack of goals in Belgium was the game I was most worried about
Well done all winners
Was torn between corners and goals for the main bets but opted for the former and glad I did ?
LIVERPOOL OVER 6.5 TEAM CORNERS
(11/10, bet365) NAP ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ✅
LIVERPOOL OVER 6.5 TEAM CORNERS
MAN CITY OVER 6.5 TEAM CORNERS
(5/2, bet365) NB ⭐⭐ ✅
??
Nice 1 mate, love my city and Liverpool corners and followed this ??
Well done Greg too, was on the betbuilder for saints v celts, canny beat a late corner to land it ??
Well done Hull
Superb shaker
Nicely done Hull!
Great tipping Hull sir…Cheers for posting
Cheers gents ?
good result, United played very well considering injuries. did themselves proud shame couldn’t grab a second to make it interesting.
4-fold fell short. Well done any winners.
Two winners tonight in my Manchester derby match preview on site.
Well done all winners.
Great work Grant…Thanks for posting
Nice work Grant ?
Decent night on my bookings
20 + city bp 11/8 WON
40 + BP in the match 11/10 WON
20 + Rangers bp 13/8 WON
McCann booking 7/2 WON
Holt booking 3/1 LOST
Double 16/1 LOST
Happy with that
Well done all winners .
Good work there Cocker!
2215 ko’s
The strongest – over 2 goals
Guarani Asuncion – over 2 goals
Odds 1.19/1
all bets LOST………….. WD all with a winner……………
Easy double winner that @ 3.5/1 ✅ and sensational first half from Celtic ☘️
Well done all winners!
Double tonight:
Celtic & over 2.5gls ✅
Rangers & under 3.5gls ✅
@ 3.5/1 ✅
Punts:
De Gea booked @ 11/1 ❌
De Gea sent off @ 100/1 ❌
All with Bet365
nice arras on the 7/2 andy……….
Cheers Crane and the title race rolls on…..
great spots again grant…………. WD sir
some nice winners there cocker……………. gallus
Ceara RT7 corners 11/4
Over 7.5 asian corners 1.925
0-1 down at HT