FOR about 6 months I’ve harped on about how good the price was on the Rams to win the NFC West and now you can barely get better than 4-5 across the board.
As I had mentioned in previous posts (they have been lost in transit to a new computer) they have had one of the better off-seasons with big players added to positions of need. Prices would lead you to believe this will be closer than you think, but I think otherwise. I’ve got the Rams finishing at least 2nd seed in the NFC based on wins, with the 49ers coming second in the West division, miles behind LA!
I have previously posted the LA Chargers to win their division @ 2-1, and best now is 9-5 @ bet365. Losing tight end Hunter Henry won’t help their chances, but for me are still one of the best teams in the league this year with one of the easier schedules.
I’ve had a hunt around other places and feel there is value to be had around the league. Jacksonville and Houston can’t be picked between them to win the AFC South, but for me, both will be going to the post season. They have very favourable schedules, and Houston in particular should be up there as long as Watson stays healthy. Jaguars lost a few offensive weapons, but their main man (not Bortles) will still do the damage on the ground in Fournette. Very rare does a defense that good regress that badly the next season, so they should be there or thereabouts.
Speaking of regressing defenses, the New York Giants went from one of the best in 2016, to worst in 2017. They’ve got rid of everyone in the backroom and with Saquon Barkley in the backfield, you have to be scared when you look at their line-up every week. Eli isn’t hyped up as one of the elite QB’s, but with this offense and most importantly an improved offensive line, I have them having a very decent turn around this season and they hold excellent value to make the playoffs.
The way I see it, the Eagles aren’t going to be as good as last year, Dallas haven’t got a receiver I can name in the top 50 in the league, and Washington traded their long stay QB for an aging vet in Alex Smith. Its there for the Giants to take.
Final pick is Baltimore to make the playoffs. This would have landed last season if it wasn’t for the final game of the season where they let the Bengals score on a 49 yard TD on 4th and 12. every year they bring out a defense that means business, but have seemed to lack those offensive weapons over the last few seasons.
With additions of Crabtree, Brown and Snead, they have added a receiver for every slot on the field, to go with their two first round weapons from the draft. I doubt Lamar Jackson will make much of an impact this year, but tight end Hayden Hurst should. Very much a catch first tight end, Joe Flacco could find his favourite target very quickly.
Jordan's NFL Tips
- LA Rams NFC West Winners (4-5, William Hill)
- Jacksonville Jaguars To Make Playoffs (5-6, William Hill)
- Houston Texans To Make Playoffs (EVS, bet365)
- LA Chargers To Win AFC West (9-5, bet365)
- New York Giants To Make Playoffs (4-1, William Hill)
- Baltimore Raves To Make Playoffs (13-8, bet365)
- La Rams NFC Winners (11-2, bet365) EW (1/2 Odds – 2 Places)
Bottom bet should be LA Rams NFC Winners. Cheers and apologies ??
Sorted.
@jordan out of interest, how many points are you placing on the LA Rams?
@jawan biggest bet in a long time. Make of that what you will but bet what you can afford to lose ??
Bookies got the totals very wrong last week for the first pre-season games. They’ve adjusted tonight but its still fairly low considering these guys are playing for their jobs, rustiness will cause penalties, as will the new helmet rule which saw 15 yards added to plenty of drives last week. This will be close and has already been bet up a point. Aaron Rodgers will likely start, but I imagine it’ll be one drive only. Both these teams have decent backups at QB and plenty of depth at receiver so this should be a good ‘warm-up’.
Steelers @ Packers Over 43 Points @ 10/11 @ 365 – 2.2 points