JOHNB'S been dangling a carrot recently by promising a huge antepost tip and here it is.
Nothing's ever certain when it comes to bets that need to run the whole season and with goalscorers there is the chance a player picks up an injury or plays so well he moves to a bigger club.
Most people will look to Celtic, Rangers or Aberdeen for Premiership Golden Boot winner but remember last season it was taken by Ross County's Liam Boyce ahead of the likes of Moussa Dembele, Scott Sinclair and Adam Rooney.
At 66-1 this gamble could be worth a pound of anyone's money. I'd back it each way but I know Johnb doesn't like ew bets.
Johnb says: “We have Neil Lennon to thank for this selection. A couple of weeks ago I wouldn’t have contemplated backing him, I thought he looked another Jason Cummings in that he was wasteful with chances but thanks to the manager having a word with him he now looks a different player who is high on confidence just now with 5 goals in his first 3 games.
“Looking at Simon Murray he would drift into positions that weren’t dangerous. Last season he scored 18 goals for Dundee United but admits himself the service he received was poor and he had to make a lot of his own chances.
“The service he has been receiving at Hibs and will continue to receive is on a different level to last season, with the players we have … John McGinn, Martin Boyle, Steven Whittaker, Danny Swanson, Lewis Stevenson, David Gray and others all have the ability to get that ball into and around the six-yard box for Murray and with that service he looks lethal.
“I know it’s only 2 goals against Montrose and 3 against Arbroath but over the last three seasons we have proved we can make plenty of chances against the top teams, we just needed someone to put those chances away consistently.
“Thanks to Lennon we now have a goalscorer capable of getting 30+ goals. Lennon’s advice was he didn’t need to drop off and try to make something happen himself, he has told him to simply stay between the posts and the chances will come.
“Murray did that against Arbroath and got his reward and told us what Lennon said so he knows what he has to do and has admitted the service he is receiving is different class to what he got last season and knows it’s working. He is high on confidence and 66-1 is simply far too big. This is my largest ever antepost bet on football.”
Scottish Premiership top scorer
Simon Murray (Hibs)
(66-1, bet365)
Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
It’s a big price as I think hibs will have a good season, but for me it’s e/w as the best I think he’ll achieve would be a place.