THERE'S goals to chase in South America and one game fits the bill perfectly.
CHAPECOENSE v ATLÉTICO MINEIRO (8pm)
I reckon there are three ways to pick out bets. The first is to have a good knowledge of the broader picture of team and league, the second is to get under the skin of a game with stats and team news while the third is to go with what your gut is telling you!
This one hits all 3 of the above criteria and I’m convinced we will see goals at a good price.
Chape will need a minor miracle to escape the drop back down to Serie B this season but they have a chance. Their last 4 consecutive games have seen 3 or more match goals and while it’s a poor run of form they have scored in 7 of the last 8 and have fired only 5 blanks in their last 31 on home soil.
Mineiro head into this after smashing Recife 5-2 last time out and are generally in sound form – goals-wise 12 of their last 20 matches have seen over 2.5 mgs but it’s the H2Hs that catch my eye here.
The two sides have met twice in domestic league action over the last 11 months with a combined total of 11 goals made up of 3-3 and 2-3 scorelines – in all 7 of their last 12 H2Hs have seen a minimum of 3 goals.
With Mineiro still able to reach an automatic Copa Libertadores place and Chape fighting to keep their heads above water I sense this will be an open game which hopefully may just leave the back door open for some value.
Recommended Bets
Born and bred in Bury but now exiled to Hull: long-suffering Shakers supporter and member of Mr. Fixit's site since 2013. Football mad with a depth and breadth of knowledge including specific focus on South American football, the Icelandic Leagues and English Lower League football.
