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JUST one tip for me today at Southwell. COISTE BODHAR had a nice course and distance win last time out and despite the 3lb rise in the weights should go close again today. Good recent form and course and distance form are crucial at this sort of level and he has won off much higher handicap marks in the past.
Recommendation:
3.50 Southwell – COISTE BODHAR – 2pt e/w at 6/1 with William Hill
Johnb's Tuesday Tips
- Southwell 2:20 – Archimedes 7-2 ladbrokes NB
- Southwell 5:20 – Mimic’s Memory 2-1 paddy power NAP
Related Topic:
Southwell
@elvis-parsley to answer your comment on Monday’s thread,
Archimedes last time out ran a blinder and a run like that again should give him a couple of lengths win, the reason for a performance like that last time against vastly better horses “the first three were rated 95 90 90” was he was out well and running down the middle of the track which is the quickest part as it’s a more firmer surface and although he went from leading to being beat just over two lengths he wasn’t stopping, he was still finishing his race off well but was just beaten by better horses, that run last time was so impressive as on ratings I think he was running about 17lb overweight
Against Something Lucky he was pushed to the far rail which is a lot slower and he was eased late on, that was after being slowish away and doing too much early on to get to the lead, nothing really went for Archimedes that day and against Crosse Fire I got the impression Archimedes won more comfortably than the distance suggests, on Tuesday he is drawn better but going back to that last run it was just so impressive that he has to be the pick here
Saying that though, we would want a good start, I do like Something Lucky on this surface and I have selected the horse a few times, he isn’t out of it but I have to side with Archimedes here
Cheers John.
Reverse forecast then for me given what you just said. Or tricast with crosse fire as all 3 have recent form on sand.
Unlucky with your thinking john, looked at the race and couldnt see beyond top 2, despite a decent effort in a class 3 recently. Onwards.
Has your tip in Australia seen much money John?
Southwell
3.20- Katie Gale- 7/2
4.20- Boots and Spurs- 12/1– e/w
He opened at 50/1 and went to 14/1 but that was mainly down to form although some people are on at 50/1
He has since been backed from 14/1 to 10/1 with bet365 and from 11/1 to 9/1 with paddy power
What’s the horse John I’ve missed it
In Australia 24th March, Santos to win the Golden Slipper
After a nice break I’m back recharged and ready for the big one next week.. no bet today but will use today’s money for the skybet offer on day one on slate house at 28/1.
4.50 Southwell Magicinthemaking@4/1
I got on him last night, has shortened a little so here’s hoping. It is Kelly’s only mount, he rides for Mike Murphy again, they teamed up for 1 run Saturday, which won. Since moving stables, the fav ERTIDAAD has won 3 from his last 4 off 45, 47 & 47, today he is rated 51. However, none of those wins had an apprentice take off 7lb and as such, he is running off 44 and remains a danger, as do a few others. Bol.
Here’s hoping database.
There is not a lot I do wrong at racing, results are far better than last year but as I said previously last year was a strange year for results, that’s not just me, that’s also the view of many of the top names in the sport, we had a large amount of horses that came 2nd last year especially being beat a neck or less, this year it’s still a lot of 2nds but we are also getting a high percentage of winners
There is nothing different I am doing this year compared to last year and it’s always the strongest horses at the value prices I advise,
So as I said I haven’t changed my racing betting but working with the people I work with has got us to try and maximise our sports bets, sports are different from racing, in racing you can have so many outcomes whereas others sports it’s either one or the other with some sports also having a draw in there as well, so with other sports we are working with shorter prices,
Through trial and error with virtually every sport imaginable the two biggest increases in profit that we have come up with are
(a) we like a team to score over 1.5 goals as a bet but we now only back our fancied selections at half-time if they didn’t score in the first half, this has brought us a far bigger profit with six months of trials, two examples were Hibernian v Aberdeen 0-0 half-time with Hibernian 4/1 to score over 1.5, it ended 2-0
Last night Palace v Man Utd 2-0 half-time we backed Man Utd over 1.5 at 7/4 but also baxked over 2.5 at 13/2, these are only two examples but there has been far more
Teams only have 45mins but the rewards are far greater as you are getting far bigger odds while placing fewer bets.
(b) Tennis has always been a profitable sport for me but I wanted to make it more profitable and after six months of trials comparing figures i could see that a far bigger profit was when I only back my fancied selections if they lost the first set
Anyone who backs these sports might want to look at doing this
Three teams we would look at backing tonight to score over 1.5 goals but only if they don’t score in the first half are Middlesbrough, Bristol City and Aston Villa
It’s an interesting strategy. I was watching the Man United game least and at 2-0 down I’d normally look at their price to win.
But they were playing so badly a comeback didn’t look likely. And anyway I already had them in my double.
They still didn’t play that well in the second half but did play better, it’s something worth keeping an eye on
I will – the prices are good. But as you say Man Utd were poor. Palace just tired at the end.
Tagged you in a pic on twitter so you can see they are genuine bets we are placing, did get lucky with the third goal though, coming so late but at 2-2 they did look like getting another
i backed united to win when they were 2-0 down i only got 11/2
when spurs went 2-0 down against juventus they were 40/1 i know theres a big difference in juventus and c palace but thats a massive difference in prices
two for today short prices
something lucky 11/8
avocet 11/10
The reason is bookies wouldn’t be wanting piles more money on Man Utd having taken loads at the start.
With Juve’s defence so good they would have thought Spurs winning from 2-0 down to be highly unlikely.
thanks for your reply mrfixit
Thread flying again. Been looking for tipsultans 4 point naps but he aint been giving them out lately?? Also busstop naps iv not seen?? Theplug we got any info bud? And weres alanm gone
hi trotters,been a while since you have been on,havent got anything yet hopefully the weekend .will post as soon as i get anything
You know your getting old when someone says Istabraq won his third Champion Hurdle 18 years ago but it brings back great memories, Istabraq a true racing great and was described as “the medoicre flat runner with royal blood who would rise to the status of a Superhero in the history of the British National Hunt”
He was so loved by racing fans that in the 2002 Champion Hurdle when he was pulled up after just the second hurdle he was given a standing ovation
He was related to the also great Secretariat
He would have won 4 but for foot and mouth !!.
I remember it well .but connections should not have ran him that day because the horse was not 100% but he was something special
run with pride 2.20 up ten down two 2.50/pearl spectre 4.20 ertidad l15 singles well done all winners yesterday
ertidad 4.50
My worst run for a while from a horse, I did say though that we would want a good start and he blew the start which meant he couldn’t dominate upfront, it makes a big difference
Unlucky johnb hats off to something lucky a real winning machine at soutwell
Afternoon all well done winners yesterday
Go on gal 2.50 12/1
Coiste bodhar 3.50 9/1
Quadriga 4.50 12/1
Limerick lord 5.20 10/1
Ew singles & ew lucky15☘️Gl all
Nice, 2 l8 for me but good win.
Cheers database nice to get the first in ?gl today
Hi John
Have you already posted any Cheltenham tips. If so how could I find them.
Thanks very much.
Bobby
He said yesterday he was waiting to see what the ground was like.
John, your story is an incredible one. From being homeless to becoming a top tipster and racing adviser. Take us through your journey from the beginning John.
Nearly gone through the rail there Mimics Memory, good run after that interference
Well done all winners today?
EW THIEF
YOU WERE ON FIRE TODAY HOPEFULLY YOU CAN CARRY THAT FORM INTO CHELTENHAM NEXT WEEK,WELL DONE
TOMORROW
colorado gold 4-50 catt 5/2
duhollow tornado 4-20 catt 3/1
de dollor man 2-20 catt 7/4
cliffs of dover 5-00 ling 11/8 nap/nb
lucky 15
Wednesday
Kempton
5:40 – Dark Red 12/1 paddy power eachway 1/4 odds 1-2
Lingfield
3:30 – Di Medici 6/4 skybet NAP/NB (double stake)
Kempton
7:10 – Bobby Biscuit 25/1 paddy power eachway 1/4 odds 1-2