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Friday was a blank day, with a dud run in the form of Have Secret being the main blunder on my part.
I completely overlooked the jockey booking on Have Secret, and it definitely came back to bite me. It was a rookie mistake not seeing Oisin Orr on the other Richard Fahey runner in the race, and sure enough, the other horse won at 28/1.
Have Secret was slow out of the gates, which was a big problem. He was drawn in a low number and had a wall of horses in front of him after being tardy at the start. Unfortunately, he was never competitive and was tailed off.
Mr Professor ran much better than he had previously shown in his last four starts. He missed the places by one, which is always frustrating. The rain didn't come down as heavily as I anticipated and with softer ground, he could've gotten closer.
The Lion In Winter 7/1 (0.5pt EW, 4pl) – Epsom 3.30
There is a possibility that I have landed on the front runner for the Ballydoyle battalion, but I can't believe that they would sacrifice a quality horse like The Lion In Winter.
Last year, The Lion In Winter was one of the most promising juveniles from the Aidan O'Brien stable. He won his two race starts, which included a Group 3 at York over 7f. He was off the track until the Dante last month, where nothing went to plan. He apparently needed the run, but in the race he was keen and sweating, which makes his performance not too bad.
Aidan has come out and said that his work has been impeccable since, and with that run under his belt, he should be 100% for today. The main question for my selection, and for many in this race, is whether he will stay the trip. Going off his pedigree, there is every chance that today's trip of 12f will be within his reach. He is by Sea The Stars, who won the Derby in 2009, and is out of a mare who stayed this distance.
Another question is the ground, but once again, the Dam handled the surface. The sire of the dam is Lope De Vega, who has produced many high-quality soft ground horses over the years, so I believe he'll handle it.
Stall 19 of 19 isn't ideal, and when questioned, Aidan said he might not need to settle towards the rear. I'm hoping that will be mind games and that he will not be a pacesetter, but if that is the case, he can still win like the runaway Ballydole frontrunner did a few years ago.
Seeing neither Ryan Moore nor Wayne Lordan on board would put many off, but having Colin Keane in the saddle isn't necessarily a bad thing. Aidan has won this race with jockeys who aren't his first string, or even his second string. Hopefully, The Lion In Winter is another one to add to the tally.
GambleAware
JM jungle 2-45 epsom
EVENS top 6 finish (single)
8-1 ew 5 places
Both bet365
Has been very consistent in these types of sprints recently
*****************************************
Midak 3-30 epsom
EVENS top 6 finish (single)
12-1 ew 4 places
French invader, only had 3 runs and been supplemented by François graffard on the back of his most recent win.
Might be a bit novicey but is bred by the aga khan whose name honours today’s race in memoriam.
1.00 Royal Dress
Should have won this race last year but was boxed in and only seen daylight when it was too late.
Back for another crack
2.45 Diplomacy Dilemma
Would have preferred a higher draw with conditions soft but was runner up last year. 2 horrible runs so far this season has dropped him to within 2lbs of last year’s mark and won’t be phased by conditions.
The Derby
I’ve already gone in deeply earlier in the week so won’t go on too much now.
Yesterday’s Oaks was won purely on stamina. Racing TV did a thing on fastest furlongs run yesterday morning and both Minnie Hauk and Whirl had the 2 slowest times recorded yet came out well on top at the end.
So we’re looking for a horse that has stamina in abundance as it will be even more testing today.
I’m sticking with Stanhope Gardens ew. It’s not a confident pick but at least he should stay. The french horse Midak should also stay but I’m not sure of his form and I think he’s been supplemented so the Aga Khan has a representative in the race that’s been named after him. The 75k fee is like water off a ducks back to them.
Watch him bolt up now.
5.40 Solar Acclaim
Is 11 & 13lbs better off when you include jockeys allowance with Eye of Dubal and Rousing Encore for an unlucky defeat on soft last Oct.
Jockey comes over from Ireland for this one ride (must have got a recommendation)
BOL
Big Bad Rizz 2.00 Nav ew 80s top 3
Just go for the fun of it
GL
Bad Boy Rizz sorry
Epsom 1.00 Chic Colombine 18/1 ew
Epsom 3.35 Delacroix 5/2
Epsom 1.35 Persica 9/4
Epsom 2.10 Against the wind 11/2
proud Lucy 3-10 musselburgh
6-5 top 2 finish
7-2 win
80-20 stake
Cracking race this for musselburgh.
Last year’s winner jabaara carries 10 pound more today and is still a danger as odds suggest.
Stop the cavalry hasn’t run yet this season but has won first time out in her 2 seasons so far.
Proud Lucy gets the 10 pound age allowance jabaara had last year and though has a habit of finishing 2nd her run in the breeders cup meeting is good form and the 10 pound weight gain edges it for me.
But beware seconditis 🤕
Ps
It’s Gavin Cromwell’s only runner here today over from ireland
Royal Dubai 1.35e 12-1☘️☘️gl all
4.25 Mission Command 13/2 ew
GLIYF
I’ve gone round the houses in the Derby, landed on Lambourn 7/1
Great shout Alex .
Everyone seems to have missed this post 👍🏇
Yep missed this post.
Well done Alex👏
Thanks guys and well done the winners
JM jungle gets his win at last 🐵.
Be hammered by the handicapper now….
Nice winner elvis
Delacroix for me with as I’ve followed him since he let my Yankee down on only his 3rd start around end of the summer 2024 at odds on and I’m not abandoning him now.
Every man and there dog tip wise isn’t convinced.
🤷
Worst is Kevin Blake of ITV 🇮🇪 “don’t think he will stay and his stride pattern blah blah etc” yet he likes Tennessee Stud for top 3 with Delacroix nowhere in his predictions??
He wiped TS aside on comeback by 6l and 5 next time 🤷
Get off the computer Kev it’s a horse not AI or “The predictor” and YES I know I’m setting myself up for looking stoopid but that’s my thoughts
20p combo tricast NO: = 3 – 11- 5 – 17 –
Ps. NOT tipping a favourite so close to the race track m just saying
Haha just as well I copied his “computer based Tricast from ITV racing show this morning in a big 8p combination 😂
if only put more on it as without seeing what it pays it should be BIG
Delacroix shouldn’t have ran and dickh€ad here didn’t see it playing up before the race which made no difference to my bets just might not been any kind of bullish. 🙈
Onwards 👉 🇺🇸 🫡
Just got done on the line for a place. Stamina once again the key.
Once again Dubawi fails to land the winner of the Derby. Delacroix is a 10f horse.
Winner will win the Leger
6p sorry it paid £414.75 William Hilks…are you f@cking kidding me Kevin Blake you legend and your Nintendo.
Usual 10-25p or even 50p combo tricasts would just been ridiculous 😮 👏
Can’t get my head round that for 6p or 30p whatever way you look at it 🤯
An I’ve had a few in USA but that’s a ding dang doozy 🇬🇧 🫡
Pmsfl your calling him all the names under the sun on 1st post now he’s a legend 🤣🤣🤣
Act 1 – Worst is Kevin Blake of ITV 🇮🇪 “
Act 2 – are you f@cking kidding me Kevin Blake you legend
🤣👓🤣👓🤣👓🤣
Thats what u call the proverbial bookie bashing mate get in. Love hearing people turn money u find down the back of the couch into a decent amount 👏👏👏
small fry 4.15 NB well done all winners today and yesterday
treasure rose 4.30 nap
reservardo 4.25
Romany brown 4.20
Night Breeze @ 12/1SP
Win – 16.15 Epsom Downs – Paying 4 Places instead of 3
New spurs manager ???
Who do you want
Who do you think will get it.
One thing that is certain is that levy will go for the cheapest option
love talk 5.00 ew
the bookies know elvis,they always do !!
Thomas Frank
2/9
i think he will fit 👌
I’d have Xavi myself but Levy would go mental paying for his players 🙂
ange should have had more time i think
he is a nice man
Mauricio Pochettino (WILL NEVER KNOW)
Nice men are easy dispensable in football.
Makes the chairman look good sacking them .
That’s why conte left because levy is a minge and wouldn’t take no for an answer.
Thomas Frank is best off where he is rather than going to a mad house with a chairman whose primary aim is making money and ignoring the team and fans
Just had a shout for Badri 5.40e 9-1 only bet what you can afford ☘️☘️gl all
Ventura express 5.45d 18-1☘️☘️gl all
Camtank @ 15/2SP
Win – 18.07 Lingfield – Paying 4 Places instead of 3
Croeso Cymraeg @ 25/1SP
Win – 18.37 Lingfield – Paying 3 Places instead of 2
thanks archie young
that was agood ride @ 28-1
Worthington Lake @ 11/1SP
Win – 18.30 Chepstow – Paying 4 Places instead of 3
what sh*t that football was
even spursy could play better ⚽⚽⚽⚽