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It wasn't the ideal start to Day 1 of the St Leger Festival with Oisin Murphy deciding to run into the back of the only horse ahead of him on See The Fire and Golden Lyra was pulled up in her race, which was very strange.
Doncaster 1:50 – War Rooms 5/2 (1pt Bet365)
I'm not getting too heavily involved at Doncaster today, but War Rooms did catch my eye.
I was gutted that I let War Rooms go unbacked on debut over today's C&D as I was close to putting him up but decided against it as he was a debutante and it can go drastically wrong when doing that, but he went on to win and win in great style. This race is obviously a huge step up in grade now he's venturing into Class 1 territory on just his second run, but based on his win over the C&D I think he could play a key role in this race. The form of his win hasn't amounted to anything, but we know he handles the soft ground, which he should get today with a few mm of rain expecting to fall on the already soft ground, he handles the track and given the law of averages, he should improve from his debut run. He ran to an RPR of 91 on his debut, which is a fairly strong standard to run to on a horse's first run, and that RPR puts him ahead of a lot of the horses in this field today.
He debut didn't entirely go to plan, he was slow out of the gates, was green and outpaced but when the penny dropped he started to motor and slice through the field like a hot knife through butter, eventually winning by 4.75L. He is going to be best on soft ground, as his half-brother Herring Island was a winner twice on soft ground from his four career runs, and chances are that War Rooms will need further at some point later this year/early next year, but I think his strong stamina will be an advantage if the ground remains soft as it will be tough on the legs of these young horses and he might be able to outstay them.
Chester 3:20 – Wonderwall 2/1 (1pt PaddyPower)
It's a bit strange to see Wonderwall on the flat, having been very lightly raced over the jumps in recent years, but I can see why they are running him on the flat because he is clearly on a low mark.
A handicap rating of 79 is definitely low for Wonderwall who is a horse who has shown plenty of ability over jumps in every code. He was a very good bumper horse, which saw him finish 3rd behind two classy bumper horses in a Class 1 race at Ascot back in 2020. He was 7th in the Champion Bumper at Cheltenham in the same season. He was rated 134 over hurdles and was unlucky not to win a Listed race when he fell at the last hurdle. He has made just the one chase appearance, but he was heavily gambled in that day from large odds in a Grade 2, he wasn't terrible, but still ran to an RPR of 139. Based on his exploits over the jumps I firmly believe he can win a few races on the flat, and especially now since he is running over a longer distance.
This is his first time running over 2m, having been running over 10f, which was clearly to get a handicap mark so that they can make a good run of it and win a few races. Saying that, he did run well over 10f, much better than I thought he would, he was 2nd on his two first starts and bumped into a couple of progressive horses, so I think the form is solid. He was poor last time out on the AW, but he might not be suited to that surface, and he looked more at home on the turf, producing RPRs of 85. I think he will stay 2m on the flat, he has run well in 2m bumpers, they are completely different to 2m flat races as they are run at much different speeds, but I think he will stay given the fact he has won over 2m 5f over hurdles.
2:05 sandown – cover point 2/1 now
5:20 Doncaster- kingswood flyer 4/1
4:25 sandown – going to give mitros on fire another go 13/2 now so a e/w punt to nothing hopefully
well done dazzman 1979 good start
Nice dazz 👍
Thought mitros was going to grind the leader down then just needed a little further gave him to much of a lead silly man ! 😂
No joy with my 2 selections yesterday but both ran with credit.
1.50 Dancing Gemini 13/2 ew
Getting better with each run and finally won lto. The 3rd has won well since.
Trainer is 1-1 in the race and he should handle the soft going
3.35 Quantum Leap 7/1 ew
Fav will love conditions and will take a lot of beating but QL will also like the ground. Didn’t stay 2m lto but dropping back to 14f should be ideal.
Trainer in good form too 4-9 last 14 days
BOL
Dancing Gemini pisses in👍
good start dc well done
Cheers azz
Well done dc, cheers also! Put a quid on double of this and cover point! 20/1 also had it in another too so thanks! Keep up the good work
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Penn National-R5…Keystone Warrior 9/1 Ew Paddy Power **+
Sadly only 2 places now
1440 Sandown Devil’s Angel
9/2 betvictor
Been waiting patiently for this horse to come back to this track. Runs over 5f today on good ground in a class 5. He has a 67% strike rate over C+D with 2 wins from 3. His last run at the track was in a much better class( class 3) where he finished 5th beaten only 1 and a half lengths, he actually started the race awkwardly that day so could have finished even better. His run here before that was over today’s trip in a class 4 where he won by a head. The time before that was a class 4 where he won by 1 and three quarters of a length.
Today he runs off a mark of 72, the same mark as his last run 3 weeks ago where he finished second. That winner that day went on to finish second off a 5lb higher mark in a better class race. His last win was off 80 and has won twice on a mark off 77 so is well treated today.
The trainer rarely send his runners down to Sandown. He has only had 6 runners here with 3 of them winning. It is the yards only runner of the day sending him on a 550 mile round trip.
What’s really interesting is after his win over C+D in June 22 where he won, the stewards enquired into the horses apparent improvement in form. Where Jedd O’ Keefe stated the gelding was suited by a return to Sandown where it had previously been a C+D winner as well as benefiting from the quicker ground ( it was good ground that day). That quote shows us how much better he is when he runs at this track.
There’s alot of boxes ticked for this horse today, think the standout pointer is the C+D form and the yard bringing this all the way down here really gets your attention. Yard hasn’t been regularly amongst the winners this calendar year which is the only negative. Although they did have a winner 2 weeks ago. 1 winner from last 7 runners in last 14 days.
Had forgotten to mention the draw as a negative as well. The sprint course here tends to favour the low numbers. Drawn in stall 10 today isn’t ideal. I think this could drift out in the betting a bit to maybe about 6/1. One or two question marks today, although there are many positives, so just being fairly sensible stake wise.
Legend for the cover point tip and the winner yesterday, on form buddy 🔥
You had Wiltshire win last night at Chelmsford I think Warminster will win tonight at Salisbury 5:30 9/4 😂
520 don boardroom 10/1 ew could be overpriced in calmer waters.
gushing gold 1.50 ew
Francis meynal 2.25 well done all winners yesterday
staincliff 2.05 ew
berkshire nugget 2.10 nap
trushan 3.00 nb
What a race! Nice one mate
What a race! Nice one mate
cheers burge 100 trushan is back
b365
coltrane
boosted
7/4
3pm? doncaster
the goat 3.35
winner winner admins
Able Kane 4.45d 9-1☘️☘️gl all
Well done winners today 👏💰
Get in line 5-45 Downpatrick 🇮🇪 2-1.
Mullins is 30 wins in 48 bumpers 🤔
Got a decent looking fatty Elliott prospect to best today
🏇🏇🏇🏇🏇🏇🏇🏇🏇🏇🏇🏇🏇
Corinthia knight 6-05 Salisbury
4-1 win
13-8 top 3 finish
SKYBET
20-80 stake.
Ran well last time, rarely wins away from Pontefract but has a chance at class 6 level
Corinthia top 2 not top 3 finish
To seconds ! and nap first ! Pure dogshit ! 😂
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Belmont -R8…Lady Beth 4/1 ***
Combo tricast 10-8-3
Well done any winners today!
Well I was more looking for about 8/1 for Lady Beth so could Ew and here we are! 😆
Well 13/2 now.
It’s on with BOG but not Ew
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Lord Melbourne 7.30 ew
7.10
well done all winners today