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GLASSES UP (3.45) bounced back to winning form a fortnight ago and returns to Ayr with high hopes on Monday.
Local trainer Mike Smith has the gelding in great shape and Glasses Up is a proper course specialist, with all four career victories coming at the Craigie course. A 2lb rise for beating Club Wexford is fair and he has run well over this longer 1m 2f trip in the past, most notably when chasing home Addis Ababa here on deep ground last October.
Colony Queen is on a hat-trick for Steve Gollings and the filly ploughed through the mud to win at Newbury last autumn. Rab Havlin takes the mount. Secretarial showed little at Beverley but last summer’s defeat of Caravan Of Hope, the subsequent Northumberland Plate winner, gives her every chance.
MAC’S BLESSINGS (1.10) was pipped by Mr Shelby on heavy here last August and proved his well-being with a course and distance success from in-form Lincoln Red two weeks ago. Jesse Allan was a couple of lengths adrift in third and appears held. Dodgy Bob showed plenty of resolution when scoring at Hamilton 12 days ago and is clearly in good heart.
THREE COINS (2.45) may have needed the outing when fourth to easy winner Exceptional at Pontefract and can turn around form with runner-up Lion Tower back on this slower surface. Richard Fahey’s filly won a Thirsk Novice Stakes on soft last August and third home Poet’s Lady landed some tasty bets at Haydock last Saturday. Three Coins is a tasty each-way price.
Iain Jardine’s Alix James won on soft at Musselburgh last October and his comeback third at Newcastle was a solid effort. Productive’s fourth to Gert Lush at Newmarket puts him in the shake-up as well.
COMPTON’S FINALE (3.15) won over course and distance last July, beating Kaafy and Hard Solution. The gelding finished fourth when apprentice ridden at Redcar nine days ago and will appreciate stronger handling today.
Uttoxeter 3.30 Minellacelebration 11/2
Uttoxeter 4.00 Bold Record 6/1
Windsor 7.15 Lady Magda 11/2
more info regarding the 15:15.
jockey bookings can sometimes be all you need, Ben Curtis on COMPTON’s FINALE for instance, his presence draws the eye. But let’s look into it a little more.
as mentioned, CF beat HARD SOLUTION over CD a year ago, HS carried 9lbs more and lost by 2 lengths. Today there is an 11lb swing in Hard Solutions favour, CF is 2/1, HS is 5/1. On that basis alone CF cannot be touched, also take into consideration that win was CF’s only win, it came off 55 (with claimer taken into consideration) and today he runs off 63, 8lbs higher. HARD SOLUTION last won off 63 and now runs off 61. CF seemingly has a SMALL edge in terms of ground suitability.
If you like HS, then look at LYDIATE LADY 16/1, lost to HS by a neck with the same weight disparity as today. Last won off 60 and runs today off 57, that was on heavy , today it’s good to soft but no more rain’s expected.
SEE MY BABY JIVE 11/2, HCAP debutant, first run over 5f, hard to judge form wise, carried 4lbs more and lost by a short head to a horse who ART POWER beat by 5.5l carrying 12lbs more, again chances but not for me.
Somewhere Secret runs off 61, won off 64 in August, likes Haydock and has won on heavy. Not for me today. Northen Society 14/1 is 1lb below a Good to Soft win at Musselburgh last August, he was beaten on similar terms on this track by Hard Solution & Lydiate Lady.
Star Citizen almost dead last for in every race since 2017 when 3rd over 5f on soft, 19lbs below that today. B Fifty Two hasn’t done well here and is also old, but is on last winning mark from last Sept.
Ayr 2.45 .Northern hope 18/1
Ayr 3.15 See my baby jive 6/1
Ayr 3.45 Amjaady 9/1
all each way today
INSIDER WHAT ARE YOU ADVISING TO BACK IN THE RACE
nothing, 35 races today, that doesn’t look like one I could tip a winner it, it’d be a hopeful guess at best. alan is on the fav who has ben curtis on… i’ll happily watch and hope it wins for him.
but to say it’s beaten hard solution and not mention an 11lb swing in the weights is a bit irresponsible.
dustys choice 12.55 timeshenko 1.25 escapabillity 2.30 that’s a given 3.00 miss farage 5.05 Well done all winners yesterday
OLLY MURPHY has won his last 5 races. he sends 5 to uttoxeter.
HIGHLAND BOBBY was last seen at the track in december, 3/14 on heavy. richard johnson won a poor race on him off 113, a 5lb claimer has been on him most recently but dickie is back on board, he’s won on good ground and also has won off 3 and 5 month breaks. he is also an ew PRICE AT 6/1s for top 3.
OLLY’s last 4 jump winners ALL won on debut, 2 over jumps and 2 NHF, so he can clearly get them ready and that leads me to look at his one in the last. MINI CREST 7/2 who is half sister to an 87 rated winner now rated 95. 4/6 is a joke but for top 3, looks a decent acca booster.
sorry if you find this ambiguous info rog, looks pretty handy to me mate.
HB is running off 102 sorry, 13/8 for top 3 seems viable acca booster too. BOL.
also backed pickamix 3.30 ew just hope it can get round and not pull up this time
Afternoon all . good to have some jump racing and a few meetings this week
UTTOXETER
14.30. .Escapability. .2/1
16.30. .Midnight Magic. .7/2
17.05. .Gerboise Borget. .7/2
13.55. . Emma Lamb . .7/1 .E/W
GL ALL
make that 6 in a row for olly murphy ;)
hi All !!
Weekend was not so good , but up in to next week .
Win
Sirobbie – R. 5 Uttoxeter ( 4 times , Course winner )
Each Way
Glasses Up – R. 7 – Ayr ( won last time a class 3 . today class 4 , can handle soft ground )
Nice Monday , G Luck !!
Nice Winner Alan with , Three Coins : – ) , you see again in the race with Glasses Up , not the best horse won , the best Jokey , great front ride from Fanning , this horse won 2019 / 18 , one race , 2 rides with Fanning one win ! , I have stop to count how much money I lost by bad rides at Jokeys , from now , not the form is for me is the most important , only strong and in fine form Jokeys , best example if you bet last 2 – 3 weeks only on W Buick , you will be a rich men , he is the second best after super Frankie , no wonder he is the first jokey at the Godolphin imperium , not forget J Crowley he is also in top form at moment .
Nice evening !!
Escapability 2-30 uttoxeter 7-4 NAP
”shocked” to see 3 regulars all opt for ESCAPABILITY, time to delve into the form to see what they had to look at.
Escapability had never won a race in 18 starts prior to today. Furthermore, it’d only ever had 4 hurdle runs. It’s 2nd rated run today, it was 3rd over 2 miles at Fakenham lto. Not only was it raised 3lbs today but it lost the assistance of a 5lbs claimer, so effectively 8lbs above a very modest 3rd, over a distance which was 600m fewer than today, by far the furthest the horse has ever been asked to travel.
Looked to have many question marks for something so skinny in price, anyone care to comment? Was it tipped based on Alan King’s Royal Ascot performance??
Cheers
You forget the corona break , was very long for Jumps horses , the can not have the normal rhythm in racing , I think most horses need 1 – 2 runs , to show the best form .
Superb Alan! Three coins. Got 22/1. Absolutely fantastic tipping. Cheers ?
Great stuff Alan , I’m on all 4 for a £1 lucky 15 ?and had a single on Three Coins , was worried with the price drift but never in doubt ?
Feking belter m8. 11/8 for macs blessing & 3 coins at 20/1. First 2 winners on my lucky 15. Legend you are sir,,
what are your final 2 selections luis lad
315 Northern Society nap/nb ew 18/1 :D
1530 Anteros 18/1 nnb