This tip has expired. Please check our free horse racing tips section of the website to find the most up to date.
It was nice to get a good day on the board with two winners from three selections. Island Bandit did the back-to-back at Sandown and was impressive in doing so, with 8/1 looking like a steal. Shamida got home, just about, at the Curragh. They went a crawl which wouldn't have suited either of the first two, and with a stronger gallop, I'd probably say she'd have been beaten.
Bangor-on-Dee 6:05 – The Bomber Liston 11/1 (0.5pt EW)
The usual stuff for a Monday, a typical rubbish day of racing and something I wouldn't want to get heavily involved in so I've found myself back over the jumps in the best race of the day, a Class 3 chase which looks decent.
You could easily say that the favourite, Farouk De Cheneau is decent value at 2/1 as he is 3/6 over fences and has won with ease on every victory. However, after going through his replays I think his jumping is a bit sketchy, he does get from one side to another but he is a low jumper and the way his rider reacts after a fence, it looks unnatural. He is the top weight in this contest and I'm not sure his form is worth the paper it's written on so I'll be siding against him. My selection, The Bomber Liston hasn't looked a natural either, but I think he is the value play in this race, but I'll be praying for a clear round of jumping.
He was behind Any News and Pull Again Green at Uttoxeter. He was leading them until making a shuddering mistake which he was lucky not to have fallen. His confidence was shattered after that and he went backwards through the field, which was to be expected, but his jumping up until that point was good and I'd like to see Nico be positive on him again and get a clear sight of his fences, get him into a nice rhythm and I think he is a big player if managing that. This is his second try at 3m or further, he's not guaranteed to stay, but Nicky Henderson is the master trainer and he will have a good gauge of whether he'll stay. The fact he is sending him up to Bangor and Nico rides him suggests they are much more confident than what the market suggests. This isn't a regular track for both jockey and rider, but they both operate at a 26% SR when attending Bangor, so the proof is in the pudding that they don't mess around when sending a horse to the north Welsh track.
They must feel like he has the ability as a chaser as he was sent off a strong 7/4F on chase debut, which saw him depart early, but normally they get it spot on when the money arrives, especially a McManus horse.
I don't think Pull Again Green or Grey Skies are strong enough stayers at the trip. Any News has a good chance but was smoked by the favourite. Jesuitique is the dark horse in this on chase debut, but his best form has come on testing ground and his siblings like that type of surface too.
Nice couple of winners yesterday Rizz well done
5:30 Bangor on Dee – bush mill boy 12/1 e/w
5:20 catterick- darbucks 8/1
It’s all a load of Monday monkey shit but I can’t help chasing the tingles a good old loss gives me ! 😂
If they don’t place I will down a pint of cat vomit ! Polished off with a couple of squirts of liquid ass in the mouth 😂
If they don’t place I will down a pint of cat vomit ! Polished off with a couple of squirts of liquid ass in the mouth 😂
⬆️
Glitch in the Matrix Dazzman I’d never second such filth!
sefton warrior 2.25 ew well done all winners yesterday
Massive drift on this one azz from 8s to 50s.
Noticed myself this morning
🤞
If they don’t place I will down a pint of cat vomit ! Polished off with a couple of squirts of liquid ass in the mouth 😂
The dancing poet 2-25 catterick
6-1 ew 4 places SKYBET
Rain cap 5-20 catterick.
12-1 ew 4 places SKYBET
Les blues Mots 3-05 clairefontaine 🇫🇷
5-2 win bet365
before night falls 1.23 clarfontaine
zarica 1.58 clairfontaine
flyawhile Johny 3.35 ew well done all winners today
flying standered 4.30 ew
AZZ
Any reasoning behind these last 2 ?
I’m struggling to make a case for either.
Do you know a man who knows a man who knows another man who knows the trainer 😂
Mon
17:20
silks
14 – Camacho Star @ 12/1
Win
17.20 Catterick – Paying 5 Places instead of 3
Free to watch shortly before 17:20
perhaps i should give in straightaway
i won’t though
onwards
Evening all
Eagles realm 6.35b 8-1
Shayekh 6.50l 8-1
Benito 7.05b 11-2
Primrose maid 7.20l 16-1
Teeceethree 7.35b 17-2
I’m mable 7.50l 6-1
Maggie o 8.05b 15-2
Ew singles & ew super hienz ☘️☘️gl all
Like Maggie O there EwThief.
GL 👍
🇺🇸
Finger Lakes -R7…Flowing River 2/1 Paddy Power *****. Gets in as Reserve and that’s what im after,think price won’t last.
Thistledown -R7…Ronnie Storm 6/5 ***
R/fc 1-7
Philadelphia -R11…Nimitz Class ***+
NR I was looking at around 7/2 v this favourite is out so easier decision
GL all and well done winners today ✅
Teeceethree 7-35 Bangor
8-1 ew 4 places SKYBET
Never no trouble 8-05 Bangor
11-2 win
11-10 top 3 finish
10-90 stake
toghasoldboots 7.35 ew
on last winning mark and gos with a hood today I’ll give my reasoning Elvis nope don’t no a man who nows a man who no the horse can’t really go for a 5/1 ew would really pay anything mate
and it’s trained by Donald McCain so must be toughasoldboots
if you don’t go on anything above 10/1 quite pointless backing each way unless your putting thousands of pounds on the horse
wasn’t as toughasoldboots wasn’t as tough as I thought thought it’s souls must have fell fell off
Lol
That’s why I go 20-80 or 10-90 stake on 5-1 or similar each ways with the bet heavily weighted towards the place element.
Especially in class 5 or 6 where the race fixers are at large.
Never no trouble finished 3rd.
But because I had 90% on the place element I made profit.
£100 or 10% win at 11-2 = lost
£900 or 90% place at 11-10 = won.
£1000 stake £1890 return
Profit = £890
Of course if it had won, I would have lost extra profit but I was happy to finish that race ahead of those damn bookies
Of course these stakes are fanciful but explains my theory.
🇺🇸
Finger Lakes -R8…After Alpha 25/1 Ew *+
4 places Skybet
Race 9 – Philadelphia- Beren 4/1 💰
E/w of course 😂
You must be rolling in it tonight recoba ! Every fav won at finger lakes tonight !