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Sometimes less is more and there's just one tip for Thommo on Wednesday over the jumps at Market Rasen.
Market Rasen 1.15
THEFLYINGPORTRAIT (1.15) takes a welcome drop in class in the 2m 1f handicap chase at Market Rasen.
Jennie Candlish's grey was a very smart chaser a few seasons ago but will become a 12-year-old in a couple of days' time. He can still raise a good gallop, however, and his recent Doncaster third to Carolines Charm came in tougher Class 3 grade.
Lucy Pinchin takes off 5lb and the handicapper has dropped my selection 2lb by way of an early birthday present.
There's also racing at Taunton and Wolverhampton on Wednesday so let's see your racing tips in the comments section below.
Win double
3:50 Taunton – millbank flyer 5/4
3:25 market Rasen – courtland 7/2
Gl with all your selections
Eaton Miller 3:15 Taunton 6/1e/w
Zhiguli 12-35 Taunton 3-1.
kavanaghs corner 1-25 Limerick 9-4.
Little red lion 2-05 Taunton 7-2.
Place only.
Red giant 2-15 market rasen 7-4 top 4 finish (Paddy power).
Irish odyssey 3-25 market rasen 11-4 top 4 finish (Paddy power).
Well done with little red lion . Think you can tell it’s going to be a tough day when Alan only picks one and probably feels duty bound to do so although a couple of others have thrown up a winner if you can be lucky enough to Chuck them into your accumulators
Aye, small profit and refund for a non runner.
Just got one placed for ew money down the thread so we live to fight another day and it’s back to my post round tomorrow ☹️
wahey alan has tipped one of mine, good news! or bad news for him.
There’s plenty of good looking racing about but given I didn’t start looking until late and it’s now 4am, for now I’ll leave you with these to avoid! Best of Luck
1315 Mkt – THEFLYINGPORTRAIT 11/4 0.5pt win
There’s a few in this race which could spring a surprise and given the short price, perhaps I should’ve looked elsewhere especially as we’re carrying top weight on ground which is apparently less than ideal. However, the horse is rated 14 below his last win, that was over a year ago but I’ll happily chance and halve the stake to compensate. The trainer once again uses a promising apprentice who she had a winner with at the weekend. NIGHT OF SIN at a price may have place claims but doesn’t justify a selection just yet.
1415 Mkt – TERRIERMAN 11/2 0.5pt ew 5 places
One of this seasons stand out trainers has CYCLOP, he’s on a hattrick and is now 12lbs above his latest win, another of Lily Pinchin’s rides. The horse actually has a CD win off 2lbs higher going back to 2018 so definitely not a forlorn hope and looks set for a big run. I will however side with the Skelton’s. TERRIERMAN is unexposed, wont mind any juice in the ground and can hopefully go one better than lto when a length 2nd to the current joint fav COOL DESTINATION. That was over slightly shorter but we were staying on and we’ll be 4lbs better off. Not the type of EW price I like in a race such as this but a place (5 paid) ensures a small amount of profit and looks a safe option.
1450 Mkt – CILLUIRID 9/2 0.5pts ew
My eye was drawn to PELLADY in what looks a minefield of a race, I scrapped it at the last minute and decided to go EW on a 9/2 shot, that is a bit laughable given we have at least 50pts to play with but it’s not the worst decision I’ve ever made. If we can only place, we lose 5% of our stake and I can live with that. The horse won LTO, the claim means he’s only up 3. Given he beat LUCA BRASI’S BOY LTO and I’m currently watching the Godfather, I am not willing to ignore it, although that may not be enough grounds for you to part with a few sheckles. Watch the market at ideally get at least 5/1, as for PELLADY, he was around 7/1 at time of writing so check close to off for any support.
1325 Lim – JURBY 15/2 0.5pt ew
The horse beat Cappacurry Zak when last seen in this sphere and is double the price, he’s only ran once since that, recently over hurdles when 18/18. There is unfortunately enough risk to overlook but given how I operate, it is really no risk to me and I am happy to be on. If new to betting anything 5/1 or bigger returns your full stake back assuming you’ve gone EW, certain firms pay more places at shorter odds, something it always pay to at least look at.
exellent write up
Haha I expect Alan has seen this and cancelled his bet now (only joking ) thanks for the input wn or lose still appreciated
haha my concern with TFP is it looks a bit too obvious but if you back to an affordable sustainable stake, hopefully in time the profit will begin to accrue, may mean smaller gains but is the best option. must stress i didn’t look at many in the TERRIERMAN race and JURBY was more in hope give I like cromwell and he is popping up now and then – he does have a few other runners. BOL
falberto 12.10
gulshanigins 12.35 ew
Rock on Tommy 12.45 ew
cherokee bill 1.15 well done all winners yesterday
Henry star 12.50 ew
little red lion 205 taun 10/3
turanga leela 440 wolves 8/1
Morning all well done winners yesterday
Bang on 12.35t 14-1
Ridgeway flyer 1.35t 14-1
Galileo silver 1.45m 9-1
Lough derg farmer 2.15m 20-1
El hombre 2.25w 6-1
Steel native 3.15t 18-1
Ew singles & ew lucky63☘️☘️Gl all
free £5 bet on skybet if you opt in and place at least 5p
on the liverpool game
well spotted tinmantim
will have that, do like free money and you can put it on anything???
bol
Major drift on Alan’s tip . could it be the ground is against it (soft) now at 5/1
Sun Power
first race wolves
bol today chaps
Astro Jakk
must be worth a little bit ew
same race
Lovely jubbly
Great start
Bloody hell that was a good pick ! Wish I was on that one
Don’t look any worse than soft , but it does look like it’s going to be one of them days
sadly it looks very very ominous for TFP’s win chances now, out to 5s with TWO NON RUNNERS, I don’t think it has a chance now, the ground was a niggle for me but I checked the local weather and it hadn’t been raining too much apparently and with such cold temperatures I would’ve thought it’d firmed up. I live in the next county and last week it relentlessly rained here for 3-4 nights, not sure if they had it but perhaps.
Anyway, RIKOBOY is not backable for me and despite the connections I am going to say he is now the fake fav, fully capable of landing this race but not backable, 3s into 2s. The biggest mover is NIGHT OF SIN 10s into 11/2 but with the 2 NRs that isn’t as big as I first thought and still not worth a bet based on just that.
I’d have to say I am most wary just on gut feeling of ZOUTOISE. however I has just spotted it’s only CHEROKEE BILLS 2nd run for the trainer, and LTO was his first run in 10 months, he was a close enoug 4th off 100/1 and if I was to chance anything, CB ew would be the pick. BOL.
bit late now going off but IRON HEART no NRs 5/1 into 13.8,.
lucky it was late, never even had a sniff.
Delta River Wolverhampton 2.55 17/2 E/W
In from 18/1
One bet for me today
W 4.40 Steelriver e/w 13/2
Down in class, back to last winning, great chance to win and should be a certain place!!
Thanks for that
Confirming my thoughts Lossie Jim
I’m on
Bol
Sun power wins
Lovely jubbly
Well done bud on we go ?
Well done bud on we go ?
That’s a good place ewt ✅
That’s a good place ewt ✅
Sorry new123
Didn’t mean to still your thunder
Hopefully great minds think alike
Bol
?
Shout Sun Power
im tippping 7f flat horses which are dying mid race at the minute so perhaps avoid but a very thin line in the 1515. kiwi myth was 4 lengths behind IN ARREARS when carrying 10 less, there’s a 12lb pull in IA’s favour today, IA is 33s and KW 9/2, maybe not enough to back IA but enough to lay KW perhaps.
boom there u go down at the first, takes down the other one i chucked some change at mr magill,
think im sticking to the AW leave the rest to u lads.
Lady Fatma
wolves
sticking with my numbers!!!!!
4th
Few for tonight
Miracle garden 3.30-12-1
Groupie 4.05 7-1
Thowr 4.40 11-1
Weloof 5.10 12-1
Blue whisper 5.40 6-1
The met 6.10 10-1
Ew singles & ew lucky63 ☘️☘️Gl all
Montys Médoc 3-50 Taunton.
16-1 bet365 ew extra 7 places.
Paul nicholls 2nd string, worth a try as it’s Paul nicholls ?
MY FOOTSTEPS
wolves
now thinking groupie or inner circle ???
so groupie or my footsteps
forget inner circle thats for the 17.10 race
4-05 my footsteps ..money for it probers been flying on all weather so at now 7/1 tenner to rescue my day – come on Davy boy
Apologies for that shxt
Hole just gets deeper
Number 4 in the next at 8/1 twice done the c/d fingers crossed this number 3
Norway spruce for sale 1 careful owner
Montys Médoc 3-50 Taunton.
16-1 bet365 ew extra 7 places.
Paul nicholls 2nd string, worth a try as it’s Paul nicholls ?
6th ?
Lady of desire 6:40 wolv 15/2
Blue Dawn
sure this is going to win
so not wasting any money on this race
did a little on inner circle earlier so that will do
5:40 wolv – mayson mount 5/1
Staying with my law in the next race
Won me big last time at kempton ?
Yeah I was on my law last time
whatwouldyounow 6.10 ew well done all winners today
I was just going to post this for a bit of interest azzer?.
Whateouldyouknow 6-10 wolves.
16-1 bet365 ew extra 6 places 1/4 odds.
Masked identity ?
Spark fury in the unlucky last 6-40.
10-1 bet365 ew extra 6 places 1/5 odds
6th lol.
Hooves Like Jagger
like the name sticks out to me
HANOVERIAN KING
only the numbers