MFT RacingTips Safe 04

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Dollerina was placed over at Deauville back in third. Grande Des Champs was given a strange ride which would suggest it wasn't all about today. The horse jumped fine on chase debut, was up with the pace then Derek let him go through the field towards the rear and didn't move a muscle on the horse, the horse then stayed very strongly on the bridle. It's a ride which needed looking into, as it gave no run for the punter's money and could've easily been pitching for the win if he tried. Fransham was shocking, had everything in his favour to return to form today and he didn't get near.

Carlisle 1:50 – Western Zephyr 10/1 (0.5pt EW PaddyPower 3pl)

The race could be over before it starts for Western Zephyr, it all depends on how he is in the preliminaries and on his way down to the start as he can often blow over, but if he behaves himself then I'm sure he has a big part to play on chase debut.

He was kept to novice races for the entire of last season apart from two runs in Class 1 company and in those novice races he was 3/4 with the only defeat at that level coming to Pembroke who was the talking horse of Dan Skelton's novice charge last year, so it's nothing to be ashamed of. He did struggle in Class 1 company, but it was a big jump up in class and I believe that he will make a better chase than a hurdler so it's great to see him get his head in front on three occasions over hurdles. He has plenty of scope and jumps his hurdles with plenty of air so fences were more than likely always going to be his game, as his PTP success would enhance those claims as he was a 25L win on his sole PTP run.

There are some decent horses in this race but I think you can take them on. Benson makes his belated chase debut at the age of 8 and he is running off a tough mark. Fringill Dike is 3/3 over fences so far but the form doesn't convince me to be the strongest. Nells Son is back over fences after two runs last year, but his technique wasn't convincing that he is an out-and-out chaser, with him looking sticky over the fences. Snake Roll is a player on chase debut, but I think he might be better over further and if it becomes a match I think Western Zephyr will have too much speed for him.

Carlisle 3:35 – Wasdell Dundalk 15/2 (0.5pt EW PaddyPower 4pl)

Wasdell Dundalk clearly has a liking to Perth and has racked up three wins in fairly quick succession over this summer for his new trainer, Lisa Harrison, so it does raise questions now he is racing outside of Perth, but with the form he is in I think you can take a chance on him landing the four-timer.

I have tipped this horse up and been on the receiving end of tipping against him and I thought he has been brilliant this summer on all types of ground. He won very nicely last time out, this race is deeper but he won with ease yet again last time out and the runner-up has franked the form. Cyclop was second to Wasdell Dundalk and he went on to finish 3rd at Chepstow behind my selection, Good Boy Bobby, which I think is a good piece of form, yet he was 14L behind my selection at Perth.

My selection is one of two horses who have had a recent run so fitness will be on his side, he'll like whatever the ground is (should turn soft with the expected rain) and he is in great form at present. His jumping has been immaculate since transitioning to Lisa Harrison's yard and I think they'll be fancying their chances for this race today.

Wincanton 3:10 – Juniper 11/4 (1pt)

It looked like Juniper was going to get the better of My Silver Lining at Cheltenham in April but the latter just managed to outstay Juniper in the final 50 yards to grab the win, I think back on a flatter track the form can be reversed.

This mare has won when fresh before and the majority of her best performances have come on the back of a break so the 182-day absence doesn't concern me. She has moved to Anthony Honeyball's yard as Harry Whittington has decided to pack it in as a trainer. I see that being a positive, which isn't a dig at Harry as he was a very capable trainer, Anthony is just a great trainer and is very good at picking races out.

Though this mare is now a 9yo and is running off a career-high mark of 115 I think there is more to come as she is still very lightly raced with just 8 career starts over fences, with the run lto being the joint best of them all. She is an incredibly sound jumper and seems to handle any surface. There are some well-handicapped horses in this race, but I think with the swap to Anthony's yard is likely to bring out further improvement, especially with his yard being in great form, she is the pick in this race.

Horse Racing Tips
Western Zephyr
Carlisle - 1:50 pm

10/1 @ PaddyPower

Wasdell Dundalk
Carlisle - 3:35 pm

15/2 @ PaddyPower

Juniper
Wincanton - 3:10 pm

11/4 @ PaddyPower

20 Comments
  1. Avatar of ItsTrixie
    ItsTrixie 1 year ago

    Trixie

    1:50 Carlisle – Dancewiththewind 12/1*
    1600 Thurles – Aspire Tower 11/4*
    1720 Carlisle – Tommys Law 9/4*

    8
  2. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 1 year ago

    🇺🇸
    Remington -R1…For Fun 12/1 Coral Ew **
    Lot of big prices and horses with form coming from lay offs etc so long shot combo tricast. Aka To finish in any order
    12x 50p bets… 9- 1 – 12 -2

    2
    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 1 year ago

      *Posted this yesterday lots of hours ago but without the side bet Tricast.

      Well done winners yesterday an GL

      2
  3. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 1 year ago

    ⬆️
    For Fun …a fast finishing and annoying 4th!

    🇺🇸 Waiting on few prices there

    Yankee for the road…

    Delta Downs -Race 7….Hulk 5/2. ***
    R8…Half Full 5/2 *****
    Remington Park -Race 4…. Reality Check 9/2 ***+
    R9..Sunlit Song 9/4 ***

    All Paddy Power

    Locked in now but Mountaineer -Race 8…Thirsty @ EVS now with2nd favourite looks good and surely price won’t last

    An that’s all she wrote!”

    GL and Goodnight 😴

    3
    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 1 year ago

      Remington Park ABANDONED due to Jockey and others being kicked about off a horse going wild in the tunnel /exit to the track!!??

      3
  4. Avatar of chris johns
    hibee1 1 year ago

    Get Stuck In 6.00 Chelmsford 8/1

    Looks an interesting runner tonight with a visor on for the first time. First time back at the track since winning after being gelded. Runs off a 1lb lower mark than that success. Charlie send this as his only runner of the day. Must easily be a 550 mile round trek. Only Gary Moore has a better level stakes profit at the track this season. 26% strike rate with 9 from 35 this season for Charlie at Chelmsford. If you backed all his 3 yo on the AW you would be in profit.
    Has been poor lately but the visor on, back at Chelmsford and now running off 72, we might see a mockery made of the current odds. Will bounce out and try to make all. Looks worthy of an ew bet for me.

    Best of luck everyone, Chris.

    12
  5. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 1 year ago

    Looking at the betting for Cheltenham (yeah I know it’s early) but quite a bit of movement in some of Mullins horses already from Sky Bet. Maybe they did his stable tour and it will probably be out soon.
    Energumene is definitely out of the festival which makes El Fab an evs money shot already.

    Away from the Mullins camp I’ve had my first Antepost bet on MASKADA currently 25/1 for the Mares Chase which I just can’t understand.
    She Bolted up in the Grand Annual with Dinoblue 6 1/2L back in 2nd giving her 2lbs. Dinoblue is 6/1 3rd fav and Maskada 25/1 ????
    I know there’s an extra 1/2 mile but that just makes no sense.
    With huge doubts over Impervious (currently injured) the market could look a lot differently come next march and if I didn’t take that price now I’d be kicking myself.

    5
  6. Avatar of chris johns
    hibee1 1 year ago

    Esopoi De Romay Uttoxeter tomorrow

    Going to be too busy to get time on here tomorrow so a quick mention now for a more serious bet tomorrow. If your from the Cotswolds area you possibly already heard a tip for this. Had wind surgery for the second time in July. Coming off a 7 months break. First time he had the wind op he had almost identical break and went a won by 10 lengths. Runs off 138 tomorrow, has won off 140 and 142. He loves it soft and has soft ground tomorrow, the softer the better so any rain would be even more of an advantage.
    Trainer just had a winner last week Chianti Classico which had same time layoff and a wind op and won by 5 length. Mikhailovich won last week for the yard after a 7 month layoff by about 10 length.
    Big confidence coming from the right people for this tomorrow. Been told to expect around 5/2. Keep your eyes open for the market later this afternoon if you also like the look of it.

    Best of luck everyone and I’ll be back next week with a horse from the Skelton yard I’ve been waiting for if it runs.

    13
    • Avatar of chris johns
      hibee1 1 year ago

      Just been told rain forecasted from 4 pm today non stop overnight and all day tomorrow. Couldn’t be more perfect.

      11
    • Avatar of chris johns
      hibee1 1 year ago

      1st career win: coming off a 232 day break
      2nd win coming off a 61 day break
      3rd win coming off a 233 day break ( and first wind surgery)
      4 th win : coming off a 100 day break

      Clearly loves to run fresh. Tomorrow will be a 153 day break and after wind surgery once again. Then that added bonus of the perfect ground and weather.
      That’s me done, good luck today gents.

      11
    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 1 year ago

      Good information dudes! 👍.

      🇺🇸
      At the risk of getting a big “Lasty” here and egg on my Chevy Chase but few in here over bet that are NOT improving like there famous trainers hoped.

      Belmont – Race 1…Rayya Valentine 11/1 ** Ew Extra Bet365
      16/1 various for 2 places

      Behind Paris Style on a Sloppy’ track last run which was VAST improvement from debut and that was only his 2nd outing. Workouts compare well and as I hint at im sure there’s a reason and Fav with Ortiz Jnr probably worthy but well worth a go at 3 places? 🤷‍♂️

      GL

    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 1 year ago

      🇺🇸
      Typically 4th ⬆️
      The favourite a stinker with Paris Style 2nd to 7/1 shot but he beat Rayya Valentine again who went off at 22/1 and certainly wasn’t the rank outsider.

      Belmont Race 2…Implicated 4/1. ***
      Chad Brown has 2 here and this has had 331 days off but with his other runner 4/6 it’ll be a bet on Chad doing an O’Brien here with “2nd string”

      GL

  7. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 1 year ago

    Mr coalville 12-50 deauville 🇫🇷.

    9-4 top 4 finish SKYBET
    11-1 ew 5 places bet365

    4
  8. Avatar of Gateacre Pete
    Gateacre Pete 1 year ago

    Come on John 8.30 Chelm 25-1 ew
    GL

    2
    • Avatar of Gateacre Pete
      Gateacre Pete 1 year ago

      Now we’ll never know 🙄

  9. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    cabhfullifungi 2.25

    2
  10. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    highland frolic 2.35 ew well done all winners yesterday

    2
  11. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    lillas cross 7.30 ew well done all winners today

  12. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 1 year ago

    🇺🇸

    Deleware -R6….Sansa Ariel 5/2 Skybet boost ***+
    Belmont-R8…Love Appeals 7/2 ****
    Presque Isles …R1…Meant To Be Lucky 2/1 Bit close to the off?? 🤷‍♂️
    R2….Chief Raider 9/4

    GL yoll

  13. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 1 year ago

    8:30 Chelmsford- liberated lad 16/1

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