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IT was one each-way winner on Saturday with the other missing out by a place.
So it was a 1.8pt loss on the day and October is now 5.56pts down, Well done all winners on Saturday and good luck today.
Southwell 1.30
Jay Kay has won his last two races at Ayr from marks of 71 & 76 but runs today from a mark of 74. He won with more in hand both times, those last two wins were in much stronger races, class 3 & class 4 handicaps whereas today's race is a class 5. That means he has to give weight to all bar one horse but is running from a 2lb lower mark than his last run.
Jay Kay has also won at Southwell before and his form on soft and heavy ground is good so the surface isn't a problem. All in all there doesn't seem to be a negative so Jay Kay really should be winning this.
Southwell 2.30
Mama Africa is 21 runs into her career but has yet to taste success. This is a weak race and she is the top-rated horse here so is well in at the weights. She hasn't run on this surface yet but looks to me like she will like the fibresand with her high knee action.
Although she hasn't won yet her form stands out and it's only last year she ran 11th out of 30 in a class 1 at the Curragh. That was a €148,000 to the winner race and she was only beaten four lengths. Her best runs come in testing conditions so that is another positive for this course and I really can't see her getting beat here.
Johnb’s Sunday Tips
- Southwell 1.30 – Jay Kay 9-4 10bet
- Southwell 2.30 – Mama Africa 2-1 NAP/NB paddy power (double stake)
- Double 8-1 paddy power
Johnb’s Antepost Tips Update
- 1000 Guineas
- CLEMMIE advised at 25-1
- Now 7-2 betfred best price and as low as 5/2 betway
- The Oaks
- MAGICAL advised at 33-1
- Now 14-1 best price and as low as 8-1 boylesports
Leopardstown
3.30- Bye Bye baby- 6/4- (NAP/NB)- 3 points
Custard The Dragon 3.05 Southwell.
Great course form. You have tipped him before John B. At 4s looks a good each way bet to nothing.
Know the truth 2.30 southwell
Piazon 4.40 southwell
Serenity now 5.10 southwell
good luck folks
NAP CANNONBALL 6/4 4.00 leop
NB THE LITTLE INDIAN 7/2 5.00 leop
BOL
EW BEAU SATCHEL 12/1 4.30
GL
2.30 South – Bo Selecta
3.05 South – Lady Perignon
3.40 South – Very First Blade
Good Luck
Afternnon all . Well done yesterdays winners. Managed 2 myself 11/4 and 7/2 bit of profit for a change.
KEMPTON
14.40. .SAINT CONTEST. . 15/2
16.50. . FLIGHT COMMANDER. . 9/2
just 2 small stakes
The rest of the meeting P NICHOLS has 6 horses out nothing clever picking these but i have done various multiple bets on them.Might be worth a look.
Of for my usual Sunday few games of snooker watch the football and racing and a few beers.
so
gl all
Bound over in Ireland 4.00 11/2 small bet on it don’t fancy anything else today
on that already jimron great minds!!
on that already jimron great minds!!
Jay Kay 6/4 out to 11/4 tailed off any stewards enquiry ????
230 s EPONINA 7/2
255 l DRGON GIRL 6/1
510 s SERENITY NOW 10/3
free stone hill 2.40 very first blade 3.40 ayresome angel 4.40 treble strike 5.10 ew l15 ew singles well done all winners yesterday
Supreme horse racing knowledge John B, thanks for Mama Afria, great drift.
What happened with Jay Kay?
Southwell, 22 Oct 17
Race 1 – 1:30pm
THE BRAMLEY APPLE HANDICAP STAKES (CLASS 5)
The performance of JAY KAY, which finished unplaced, was considered. K. R. Burke could offer no explanation for the gelding’s performance. The Veterinary Officer reported that a post-race examination of JAY KAY during routine testing failed to reveal any abnormalities.
My own view is that for all the movement onboard the horse it all looked a bit false as the horse was showing signs of wanting to do more, I thought connections might have said the horse couldn’t dominate from the front as they would have liked but I see it as the jockey could have done more to dominate the pace of the race but after saying that, I may be wrong and there might be a valid reason for that well below par performance
On the plus side the bookie that has done me out of 17k “IBAS still investigating it” has just been taken for six figures by one Johnb Racing Club member with their bet on Mama Africa
2-55
Magic of the Sea 7/1
Air of Nobility 7/1
10 points win on each
20 points total
October minus 98 points after just 3 days ☹️
Here’s a better idea – go and count your toys instead.
No one’s impressed.
Great NAP johnb
JohnB what did you think of Kenya there at Leopardstown?
He did it well enough with a little left in the tank but it wasn’t the strongest of races
well done jimron and spurs55
great minds !!
You are spurs55????
??
Johnb’s Monday Tips
Pontefract
4:20
Aristo Du Plessis 9/1 bet365
Pontefract
4:50
Minotaur 11/10 NAP/NB bet365 (double stake)
Double 20/1
Well done jb had a small double on ours today £10 double went along way today ?
Busy tomorrow two for me are
Sir roderic 9/1 3.10
And
Tuff rock 11/2 3.20
For a quick fire ew double
well done johnb
went a bit too heavy on jay kay
and left mama africa out
had a good treble on and cashed out b4 kenya
aagh