MFT RacingTips Safe 04

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Do No Wrong was a non-runner at Uttoxeter which was a shame, which left Katey Kontent being the only runner of the day. I'm a big fan of Rossa Ryan but he got it wrong. He was on the best horse in the race but she got no run at all, blocked at a crucial point. Hopefully, she doesn't go up in the handicap for that as she'll have her day in the sun soon.

Yarmouth 3:45 – Al Asifah (was 6/4 when writing, now odds-on, probably best to leave her alone at those prices unless she drifts out again)

It's probably an easier decision to leave Al Asifah alone at the odds, especially on the back of her most recent run from Royal Ascot, but this doesn't appear to be a strong race and I believe that if she bounces to back to form, she'll be far too good for this field.

She was 2/2 when entering Royal Ascot. She was fancied to run well, she went off ridiculously short in the market (5/6F) and she ran way below what was expected. She has been given a break since that day and I think that was the correct decision. She might've had something wrong with her at Ascot, but it wasn't a true showing, that's for sure. It's interesting that the Gosden's have decided to drop her back to 10f from 12f, she was very impressive on her first starts over 10f, especially the Salisbury race, which has produced a decent level of form since. Sumo Sam was in that race, granted she was running over a trip far too short, but she has gone on to win two Group 2s over 14f.

Being by Frankel, you'd like to think that the soft ground that she'll encounter today is going to be perfectly fine for her. Frankel has produced plenty of soft ground lovers, and I'd go as far to say that he is getting a tag as a Sire that his horses prefer slower ground.

She is short enough in the market, but definitely at a price which you can happily have a bet on her. If she does return to form, she'll win, as I don't think the others in this race are as naturally gifted as Al Asifah.

Sandown 3:40 – Knight 3/1 (2pt Bet365)

I was trying to avoid going with Knight as I thought his profile was a bit iffy, but the more I looked into I think he is the one to beat and could be extremely tough to beat.

Knight is much better on the testing ground, that's a certainty. Sandown is soft and is expecting a bit of rain to fall, so the ground will be perfect for him. His recent form is up there with the best in this race, and I think if he repeats the run of last time out when finishing 2nd to Angel Bleu, he will be very tough to beat.

He has had a tendency of not running his race every time, which is my only concern for this horse, however, I think he has been getting better with each run this year, so it must be a fitness thing with him. Sandown offers a different set of questions to Goodwood where he has run the last two times, but his running style would suggest the stiff finish is going to be fine for him. He wasn't stopping at the line at Goodwood last time out, he was beaten by a horse who was staying on stronger than he was, but that isn't to mean he wasn't staying on. I don't think this race is as strong as what it might look to be on paper, as many of them will not enjoy the conditions. A couple of horses who I thought would be the likely dangers is Novus and Raadabarg, who both clearly enjoy juice in the ground.

Horse Racing Tips
Al Asifah
Yarmouth - 3:45 pm

@ The Pools

Knight
Sandown Park - 3:40 pm

3/1 @ Bet365

21 Comments
  1. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 1 year ago

    Took the 14s ew on A Wave of The Sea for the Kerry National 4.25.
    Ran really well staying on in the Galway Plate which is over 2m 6f.
    He’s 10lbs better off with Ash Tree Meadow who won and 2lbs better off with runner up Authorised Art.
    JOB has won the race for the past 2 years and this is his sole runner this year.
    Obviously a very competitive race so just interest stakes.
    There is a deluge expected so I’m expecting soft ground at best.

    BOL

    3
    • Avatar of robyn
      robyn 1 year ago

      any stamina concerns?? only wins over 18months ago over 2m1f, long way tailed off when tried anywhere near this trip.

      2
    • Avatar of Double carpet
      double carpet 1 year ago

      4th in Munster National over similar distance and ground. 13lbs better off with the runner up ain’t that a shame for 10 1/2L.
      And as already said a staying on 4th in the Galway Plate. If it’s completely bottomless then I’d be worried but it’s saying yielding to soft so should be ok.

    • Avatar of robyn
      robyn 1 year ago

      ok cheers good luck. physical weight a stone less so must help. problem for me, seems elliot picks and choose what races he wants to win atm, be interesting viewing whilst one i suggested to punt seemingly going to go off much bigger than quoted price.

  2. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 1 year ago

    2:55 Beverley- local arms 8/1 e/w

    6
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 1 year ago

      2:55 Beverley- local arms 8/1 e/w

      6
  3. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    dream for all 11.15 France

    6
  4. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    million miles away 11.50 ew well done all winners yesterday

    6
  5. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    silver sword 3.40 ew

    4
  6. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    khinjani 3.45 ew well done all winners yesterday

    4
  7. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    miss anya 2.20 nap al hujaija 2.40 nb

    4
  8. Avatar of robyn
    robyn 1 year ago

    1710 contrast 9s ew / panama city 12s ew 4 places.

    why not

    4
    • Avatar of robyn
      robyn 1 year ago

      1625 listowel
      not looked but go with Stumpton ew around 7s for six places, bit to prove at weights but cromwell smashing it and danny won with horse before say no more.

      gl

      7
    • Avatar of robyn
      robyn 1 year ago

      both place in the 1710 so recoups anything lost on the irish runner and a smidge more. good luck rest

  9. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    life in the park 4.25 ew well done all winners today

    1
  10. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    stealthy tom 4.25 ew backed two did win in good style last time and as got terrific form

    1
  11. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 1 year ago

    ??
    Belterra -R1..Authoritarian. 6/4 ****
    Or go 1-5 Reverse forecast for fun cause when it stops!!??

    1
    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 1 year ago

      Sorry 1-8. NOT 5 ?‍♂️

    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 1 year ago

      Well winner most important part. forecast in…well.the un amended one! ?

      **Side Bet Yankee **

      Yankee for Belterra and all SP so just SMALL stake for interest and couple should be decent prices if they go off anything close to projected prices.

      Belterra – R3…No:3
      R4…No 4
      R6…No: 6
      R7…No: 1

      Main stuff

      Finger Lakes -R8…C C B Crunch 15/8 Bet365 ****
      Thistledown -R5…Falk 2/1 **** Coral
      Churchill Downs -R5… Stormquist EVS ***** Skybet boost
      R6…Beauxs Artes 3/1 *** various
      R8….Giant Mischief 6/5 ****+ various

      GL all rest of evening and well one to the winners ✅

      1
    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 1 year ago

      Side Bet on Churchill Downs -R6
      50 cents combo tricast 5-3-11.
      Really I think No:3 Blue Light is the danger to Giant Mischief so a saver straight forecast is the smart play BUT I don’t do smart. ?
      Also old No:11 from tracker worth a place at 12/1

      GL ? ??

  12. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 1 year ago

    Well flip flopped between 2 and the other pick won but 4/5 and singles plus we Bruce’s Bonus on Belterra with 3/4

    Br dead and buried before most of these go off but try keep it rollin..

    Penn National -R2..Court And Spark 5/2 ***+
    R3…Coffee With Alex 2/1
    R4…Yes Sir Robert 11/4 ***
    Presque Isles -R7…Rainas Rollin 3/1 ***
    Mountaineer -R2..Hurry Ip Chic 7/4
    R3..Magnificent Maddy 5/2

    ? ?? ?‍⚖️

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