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KALASHNIKOV (1.50) is a worthy favourite in a hot 2m 4f handicap chase on day one at Newbury.
Amy Murphy's gelding is returning to the scene of his 2018 Betfair Hurdle victory and has since developed into a smart chaser. Kalashnikov was a little disappointing on his return at Aintree, looking the probable winner two out before being out-gunned by Forest Biham. He should strip sharper today. Glen Forsa made all to run Kalashnikov ragged over two miles in the Kingmaker Novices' Chase at Sandown in February but his form later dipped quite alarmingly.
With several bookmakers offering five places each-way, the three-mile handicap hurdle has an attractive profile. ONE FOR THE TEAM (3.35) is still learning his trade on the back of only four career starts and Nick Williams gives him his handicap debut off a tempting mark. One For The Team ran into subsequent winner Big Shark at Worcester and should handle the deep ground, having won his bumper on soft.
L'INGANNO FELICE (2.00) has been given a chance by the handicapper at Southwell and would walk-over if Scobie Jardine has him back in top form for his Fibresand reappearance. The strapping gelding powered home over course and distance by seven lengths off the same official rating in January before going on to land a Listed hurdle at Market Rasen. He hasn't done much in the interim but the betting should be an accurate indicator to his chances. Favourite Sociologist finished second to Born To Please in the Nottingham mud at the end of October when sent off a warm order.
At Kempton, QATAR QUEEN (5.30) is preferred to market rivals Qaabil and Sheriffmuir in the opener. Qatar Queen was no match for Nazeef at Chelmsford City but the winner went on to land a Newmarket handicap by six lengths off a mark of 93. Qaabil, running off an official 72 rating, was well held by The Gill Brothers (good third last night) on debut for William Haggas, while Sheriffmuir pulled hard and looked an awkward ride at Lingfield.
Newbury.
1-50 Kalashnikov top 3 finish 11-10.
2-25 champ to win 10-11.
Double pays 3-1 NAP.
12-45 khage 13-2 Ew.
3-00 paisley park and uknowwhatimeanharry reverse forecast.
3-35 captain Tommy 14-1 and as I see it 10-1 Ew (4 places).
VOICE OF VALUE TIPS FROM HIS THREAD – HE RECOMMENDS CHAMP AND PAISLEY PARK WIN DOUBLE.
Newbury – 1:50 pm Azzerti 2pt ew 9-1 William Hill.
Newbury – 2:25 pm Champ 4pt win double 6-5 UniBet.
Newbury – 3:00 pm Paisley Park win double 4-6 UniBet.
Newbury – 3:35 pm No Hidden Charges 1pt ew 20-1 William Hill.
Posted last night:
1.50 N Kalashnikov 7/2
2.25 N deyrann de Carjac 12/1 E/W
3.00 N beer Googles 33/1 E/W Waiting for price BET365 on Extra Place.
1.20 N Shan Blue 10/3
2.25 N deyrann de Carjac Black Op R/FC
3.35 N Champers On Ice 12/1 E/W Black Buble 20/1 E/W 2 against the field SKYBET paying 6.
12.30 L Key Commander 12/1 E/W
2.45 L Kayf Thou 4/1
1.30 S Elysee Star 15/4
4.15 S Face like thunder 22/1 E/W most Firms paying 4.
Beer Goggles 14/1 BET365 3 places.
Should be a STEWARDS ENQUIRY there, CHAMP impeding Black Op.
25/1 3rd does me. 5/1 winner
PP have a special for anyone interested
Kalashnikov, Champ, paisley Park all to win 10/1.
When I see those specials the alarm bells start to ring though.
Over this distance Vision Des Flos appeals so have taken 6/4 top 2 finish and a small win bet.
The rest of Newbury will be a watch.
A couple for Dundalk later
5.45 Nimitz
6.45 Shore Step ew
BOL
coconut splash 12.15 killcarry view 12.30 southfield stone 12.45 poseidon 1.05 well done all winners
Morning all well done winners yesterday
Tan 12.55s 11-1
Oldgrangewood 1.50n 11-2
Black buble 3.35n 16-1
Sooqaan 4.15s 13-2
Lihou 6.00k 9-1
Holiday magic 7.30k 11-2
Lordsbridge boy 8.00k 6-1
Ew singles & ew super hienz ☘️Gl all
Big well done bud with oldgrange ??, great start to my birthday ???
Cheers jimba have a gudn marra ??
N 1.50 Kalishnakov
N 3.35 One For The Team
L 3.55 Darling Daughter
Singles, doubles & treble
I’ll be putting my beer goggles on if it gets placed! GL everyone ??
Kept my GOGGLES for CHAMPERS. I will put my BIG CHAMPAGNE GOGGLES on instead at 12/1 BOOOMMM.
Bad News about Beer Goggles, being put down.
unlucky today coop, almost saved the bacon, at least it wasn’t disastrous.
Would of won that, pulled up lame. Don’t see you put any selections up?
R. 6 :: Samburu Shujaa :: EW / Newb.
R. 3 :: Sheriffmuir :: Win / Kempt.
Sheriffmuir second , and the 2nd Horse from Gosden won , I think not the better one , I ‘m sure Sheriffmuir is a horse for better races , its in my Notebook for the next run , hope we see Frankie on board in the future .
Hadn’t time to post today been very busy. But I hope some of you listened to me last week when I posted that double 7/2 pp special for today Champ x paisley park
?thanks was on
I don’t put any up because I don’t study the form as you guys do,I’d rather follow your selections ?
S DOW and MORRIS had a winner last night, they have one tonight at 6pm, bottom weight, 4 TIME CD WINNER, not won in C3 but was 3/6 in a C2, Morris on for last win, around 5/1 and will be good value for place market.
5/4 top 3, 5/1 win, 0.75/0.25
2000
finally i always pay attention to ivory runners, cd winner 2 starts back and only up 3lbs, he does however lose a 5lb claimer and that isnt ideal.
he made all last time and beat tonights rival by a neck, although visually he did it comfortably, that rival TRUE BELIEF has a big 7lb pull which puts him in with a great chance but i liked the look of the LORD, place for safety at 11/8
0.25 win 0.75 place
1930
will put Bullington Boy in to place top 3 at 9/4 also, appreciate these connections with egan on and although not any sort of a shoe in, he is on a lowly mark.
Kempton 19:30
Violets lad 9/2 1pt win
November -3pts
won lto only up 3, 3rd won today, going for 90 OTN fingers crossed :D