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NO joy on Friday and although my Nap Thistlecrack didn’t win the early vibes from connections were upbeat.
You could see from an early stage he was never going to be asked too much and when Tom Scudamore asked him for a big jump early on and then didn’t let the horse go, it was obvious what the intentions were.
You would still expect Thistlecrack to win but he pulled so hard and wasted so much energy that the tank just emptied late on. I couldn’t see any problems for the future as he moved well and he looked to be enjoying his return to the track.
You could see he really wanted to get on with things and run his rivals into the ground like he does, so that’s all good but sadly he wasn’t allowed to do that atlthough you can see why.
There has been a lot of overreactions on Twitter but I think the future is bright as the previous injury didn’t look the problem.
December 6pts down, well done all winners and good luck Saturday.
Fairyhouse 3:05
Sanibel Island is trained by Gordon Elliott and although I am not the trainer's biggest fan I do like this one. Sanibel Island hasn’t looked too clever on previous attempts at this distance but to me he looks like he wants this step up again.
He was disappointing on his season debut but did improve last time and will again. Leopardstown is a pretty fair track and flat. Although the finish is quite stiff, the fences are difficult but fair and should suit him but the main point is he is value in a very winnable race.
Newbury 3:35
Just Cameron is top weight but looks a great bet for Saturday. He has won some good races and had some very respectable runs in defeat. In 2015 he was second to Un De Sceaux beaten three lengths.
When looking at the form of Just Cameron he doesn’t do much first time out but second time out he improves massively. He really looked to need his last run but again should improve this time.
I honestly thought he would have been challenging for favouritism when the odds were made but double figures on him looks way too big and should have conditions to suit here in a race that isn’t as strong as his last one.
Johnb’s Saturday Tips
- Newbury 3:35 – Just Cameron 11-1 NAP betvictor (0.5pt eachway 1/5 odds 1-2-3)
- Fairyhouse 3:05 – Sanibel Island 12-1 NB coral (0.5pt eachway 1-5 odds 1-2-3-4)
- 0.5pt eachway double 143-1 betvictor
Johnb’s Antepost Tips Update
- 1000 Guineas
- CLEMMIE advised at 25-1
- Now 3-1 best price and as low as 5-2 betway
- The Oaks
- MAGICAL advised at 33-1
- Now 14-1 best price and as low as 8-1 boylesports
Gday all, not been on for a while
Skybet paying 7 places instead of 4 in the 3.00 Newbury, going for Present Man E/W @ 16/1
It will be tough to get one in 1st 7 in this race.
I’ve gone for
Whisper. 13-10 top 5 finish (NAP)
Cogry 16-1 ew
Double ross (last year’s 3rd) 6-1 top 5 finish and 50-1 ew .
Nap won.
Other 2 crud.
Main tips (repost):
NAP – 1:15 Doncaster – Irish Roe 3/1 2pt
NB – 2:05 Bangor – Whiskey In The Jar 5/4 1pt
Bank (NAP/NB): + 28.56 pt
Trixie:
12:05 Doncaster – Kalashnikov 8/11
12:25 Bangor – Tommy Silver 4/9
12:45 Newbury – Black Corton 6/4
4 x 1pt (4 pt)
Bank (patent): – 4.62 pt
Today we have nice winner in NAP and total bad day for trixie! So maybe more luck tommorow!!!
Good luck tomorrow!!!$$$
Overall tips ( repost) – 4/1+ odds – 1pt ( 8/1+ 1pt EW (0.5 x 2)) – day 23 (23 bets – 23 pt):
12:50 Fairyhouse – Retour En France 6/1
1:20 Newbury – Bouvreuil 6/1
1:25 Fairyhouse – Elusive Ivy (Each Way) 12/1
1:35 Bangor – Global Dream 13/2
1:50 Newbury – Old Guard 7/1
1:55 Fairyhouse – Roseriver Has 15/2
2:20 Doncaster – Just Milly 6/1
2:25 Newbury – Mount Mews 9/2
2:30 Fairyhouse – Icario (Each Way) 8/1
2:45 Newcastle – Silver Bullion (Each Way) 9/1
2:55 Doncaster – Lakefield Rebel 6/1
3:00 Newbury – Whisper (Each Way) 8/1
3:05 Fairyhouse – The Green Lady (Each Way) 20/1
3:15 Bangor – Flobury 11/2
3:20 Newcastle – Boric (Each Way) 12/1
3:35 Newbury – Theinval 6/1
3:45 Bangor – Stylish Moment 9/2
6:45 Wolverhampton – Imperial Red 9/2
7:15 Wolverhampton – Satchville Flyer (Each Way) 12/1
7:45 Wolverhampton – Perfect Cracker (Each Way) 10/1
8:15 Wolverhampton – Favorite Girl 7/1
8:45 Wolverhampton – Cohesion 4/1
9:15 Wolverhampton – Windsorlot (Each Way) 12/1
Bank ( after day 22): + 80.85 pt
Very bad yesterday, with only one winner and 3 NR, but it is normal and cant expect to bank growe all time. Bad day must take thay spot. We lose 13 pt from bank, so hope for nice saturday!!! I will post every time around 6-7 pm when is out and when I sort and set them! Today been busy but i see odds and we dont lose anything, we now get bettar then been on start, so this is tips. All is in early setting bet for long run. If somone is NR I wil try to replace if notice on time.
* If someone dont like this tips just ignore it. They are transparent and statistic will update every day and months!!! Overall tips with pro rating and expirience is making most profit then anything else!$$$
TBT ( Tips by tracks)- (repost) – 1bet =1pt ( 8/1+ 0.5pt EW ( 2x 0.5pt)) – start bank 100pt – day 9 ( 12 bets 12pt):
Newcastle ( 3. track for profit):
11:55 – Act Of Valour 11/8
12:30 – Ronn The Conn 3/1
1:05 – Coole Hall 5/2
1:40 – Point The Way 7/2
2:45 – Silver Bullion (Each Way) 9/1
3:20 – Boric (Each Way) 12/1
Bangor ( 13. track for profit, but have realy nice stats):
1:00 – Whitsundays 7/2
1:35 – Global Dream 13/2
2:05 – Pulp Fiction 9/4
2:40 – Marten 7/4
3:15 – Flobury 11/2
3:45 – Stylish Moment 9/2
Bank (TBT – after day 8): – 24.05 pt
Tomorrow we bet on two tracks with good profit. Yesterday we lose some bank ( – 3.67 pt), so still not luck for this profit track to turn in profit, but will be. It is sure.
IMPORTANT – Dont go this bank with high stake per bet, becous i testing it. It will give nice profit for sure, but another 6 month we will go low to see what happen. Start is very bad and probably this is not have consistent profit like Overall tips i post for big play!!! Testing to see if profit tracks will continue to produce more profit then regular Overalls.
Ledbrokes trophy Saturday (repost):
Present man 99.12
American 99.09
Missed approach 99.05
Go for all tre to gambling:
American – win 6/1
Present man – win 16/1
Missed approach – win 33/1
I post this odds from big race in saturday to go for nice value. I will go with some stakes for gambling on all 3 so we will see what rating said to us!!!
* – have some realy destroying trixie in last 2 day, but not post everything becouse ppl alredy complain that is too much from me ( and it is true statment), so will stop on this 3 bank as usually, and go with some casual tips and share some rating for gambling!!!
Well done all winner yesterday and good luck tomorow!!!
NEWBURY
1.50- Air Horse one- 7/2
2.25- High bridge- 3/1
3.00- Potters Legend- 33/1
3.35- Theinvel- 6/1
1 point singles and 0.10 point yankee
Whitsundays – Bangor 1.00 7/2
Enjoy Responsibly – Bangor 1.35 5/2
Jet Set – Don 12.40 3/1
William of orange – Don 1.05 4/1
BOL today lads.
NAP MAGIC OF LIGHT 7/4 12.50 fairy
NB BLACK CORTON 7/4 12.45 New
Also EW patent on the following
O MAONLAI 11/2 1.20 New
AIR HORSE ONE 7/2 1.50 New
AMERICAN 7/1 3.00 New
BOL
Nap/NB Geneva Barracks 8/1. 2.30 Fairyhouse 5pts
Dec-5pts
1.50 newbury – Court Minstrel 12/1
2.25 newbury – Armour de Nuit 9/1
3.00 newbury – American 13/2 & Whisper 8/1
Morning all well done winners yesterday
The orange rogue 12.30n 14/1
Cyrius moriviere 1.15d 9/1
Potters cross 1.20n 14/1
Maestro royal 1.50n 14/1
Missed approach 3.00n 25/1
Secret lightning 7.15w 66/1
Ew singles & ew lucky63☘️Gl all
13.20 newb .gold present
14.25 newb . high bridge
15.00 newb . American
3.00 American Newbury
3.20 beware the bear ? Newcastle
1.50 air horse one Newbury
Severe case of 2nditis today for me lads!!…??
2:20 Doncaster Sumkindofking @ 7/4
3:20 Newcastle Sam Red @ 7/1
2:30 Fairyhouse Geneva Barracks @ 6/1
2:40 Bangor Marten @ 5/6
LUCKY 15 ACC WIN AND SINGLES
??
Alan Thomson’s Tips had another great day 2winners and 2 2nds
great stuff again thx alan
The man’s in form – I’ll happily buy him a few beers when we meet up for Xmas drinks next week.
Do we like Apples Jade for the 1.30 Fairyhouse race tomorrow?
DC, Alan, JohnB?
Wn
Very tough to call. Apple’s has the advantage of a run but NC has won fto for the past 3 years so fitness won’t be an issue for him either. Should be a great race. If I had to pick one I’d slightly lean towards Apple’s Jade but not one for me to get involved in.
GL
Thanks for your view DC.
Main tips:
NAP – 3:30 Carlisle – Forest Des Aigles 5/2 2pt
NB – 3:40 Fairyhouse – Dinions 9/4 1pt
Bank (NAP/NB): + 33.06 pt
Trixie:
1:30 Fairyhouse – Apples Jade 6/4
1:10 Leicester – Octagon 2/5
3:30 Carlisle – Forest Des Aigles 9/4
4 x 1pt (4 pt)
Bank (trixie): – 8.62 pt
Today we get nice NAP and generated +4.5 pt profit in bank. Trixie is very bad 1/3, so lose all stake for today. Anyone who bet on this tips know that trixie is stil testing ROI so not do that with high stake. Main tips and Overalls have priority for high bet stake. Good luck tomorrow!!!
Overall tips – 4/1+ odds – 1pt ( 8/1+ 1pt EW (0.5 x 2)) – day 24 (12 bets – 12 pt):
12:20 Carlisle – Go Go Lucas 4/1
12:40 Leicester – Florrie Knox 7/1
12:50 Carlisle – Our Valentina 6/1
1:20 Carlisle – Tacenda 6/1
1:45 Leicester – Fox Appeal 6/1
2:05 Fairyhouse – Top Othe Ra (Each Way) 18/1
2:25 Carlisle – Presented 5/1
2:35 Fairyhouse – Rathvinden 4/1
2:50 Leicester – Remember Forever 9/2
3:00 Carlisle – Ebony Rose (Each Way) 14/1
3:10 Fairyhouse – Thunder And Roses (Each Way) 20/1
3:20 Leicester – Samson (Each Way) 11/1
Will repost latter with bank ( some tip still active). I will post every time around 6-7 pm when is out and when I sort and set them! All is in early setting bet for long run. If somone is NR I wil try to replace if notice on time.
* If somone dont like this tips just ignor it. They are transparent and statistic will update every day and months!!! Overall tips with pro rating and expirience is making most profit then anything else!$$$
*- miss one tip up – 1:55 Carlisle – Bahrikate 9/2
TBT ( Tips by tracks)- (repost) – 1bet =1pt ( 8/1+ 0.5pt EW ( 2x 0.5pt)) – start bank 100pt – day 10 ( 7 bets 7pt):
Carlisle (11. Track for profit):
12:20 – Go Go Lucas 4/1
12:50 – Our Valentina 6/1
1:20 – Tacenda 13/2
1:55 – Bahrikate 5/1
2:25 – Presented 5/1
3:00 – Ebony Rose (EW) 14/1
3:30 – Forest Des Aigles 5/2
Bank (TBT – after day 9): – 28.92 pt
Still no good in tips from profit tracks, but will turn in our direction soon. For tomorrow only one track with good profit. Good luck!!!
IMPORTANT – Dont go this bank with high stake per bet, becous i testing it. It will give nice profit for sure, but another 6 month we will go low to see what happen. Start is very bad and probably this is not have consistent profit like Overall tips i post for big play!!! Testing to see if profit tracks will continue to produce more profit then regular Overalls.
For tonight will try one more race for gambling to find value on rating:
7:45 Wolverhampton:
Alejandro 40/1 ew
Pensax boy 25/1 ew
Good luck and hope for bettar tomorrow!!!
Johnb’s Sunday Tips
Fairyhouse
1:00
Red Jack 8/1 paddy power (0.5pt eachway 1/4 odds 1-2)
Fairyhouse
1:30
Cilaos Emery 20/1 totesport (0.5pt eachway 1/4 odds 1-2)
Leicester
2:15
Oregon Gold 20/1 NAP Boylesports (0.5pt eachway 1/5 odds 1-2-3)
Carlisle
3:00
Hartforth 14/1 NB Boylesports (0.5pt eachway 1/4 odds 1-2-3)
also 0.10pt eachway Yankee 7/1 16/1 20/1 14/1 Boylesports
Will try this tomorrow maybe some nice profit from it.
Willie mullins and p townend can team up to good effect tomorrow. 4 live chances at fairyhouse tomorrow, and I’ll be on them all. 2 srtrong picks tomorrow…
Wide awake…carlisle.
The romford pele..leicester.
Here’s hoping for better than 2nds…BOL lads.