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Saturday's selections were well below par, even the gambled on ones, which was annoying but it happens in racing. Hopefully, we have better luck today.
Cork 3:00
The Paddy Power Cork Grand National Chase is the big handicap on Sunday, and I think that the JP McManus horse, SPADES ARE TRUMPS has a strong chance of landing the €23,600 pot.
It took this lad four years to find his second win over rules when he managed to win last time out at Kilbeggan, but there are reasons to believe his third win won't take as long to come. He beat a horse called Definite Plan by 6L last time, and that horse has done wonders since and has franked the form massively.
Since Gordon Elliot has returned to training, his horses who were previously trained by Denise Forster (whilst he was banned) have improved bundles, including Definite Plan. That horse won at Cheltenham last weekend, winning a Class 2 race, which produced an RPR of 140 and the winner received £31,000. Like I mentioned previously, the selection easily put him in his place, and that was after a 100 day layoff for Spades Are Trumps, whilst the runner-up was race fit.
The ground which he'll encounter today will be testing ground, and I think that's what connections will be hoping for. He won on yielding ground last time at Kilbeggan, but he's been withdrawn on ground which was deemed to be good, so they must feel that he prefers ground with a little juice. This is a new trip for him, but the way he powered clear over 3m 1f gave the impression that the extra yardage would be within his reach, and possibly bring out more improvement. He has only been raised 3lbs for that win, so the handicapper has definitely given him a chance of following up.
Carlisle 3:10
A step up in trip and on stamina sapping ground should be right up the street of JUGE ET PARTI. Since going over fences this horse has seen his form jump to a whole new level, and his strike rate over the larger obstacles definitely suggests that he prefers this to hurdling, which he wasn't bad at either.
James Ewart bought this lad for £20,000 in May and he returned the favour when winning on stable debut at Perth in the middle of the Summer, which produced a career best run. That day he showed the fact he is a strong stayer, and a longer trip would probably see him improve again, which is why I think today's extra 2f will suit him. The ground is clearly something which he needs, so the fact that Carlisle should be expecting some rain and the ground is already deemed to be soft, is a positive.
This race offers a decent prize of £13,008 so I get the impression that this race has been the plan for connections for some while. We have already seen what James can do when he targets one at a race, as we saw with the winning selection Empire De Maulde who won for us last weekend, winning a decent pot at Kelso, and I think he will have Juge Et Parti primed for this race.
A fair amount of the opposition seem to prefer better ground, or are probably in the grips of the handicapper, so I think this is a perfect race for the selection. The other horse which might be fancied by the punters is Hold That Thought who might enjoy the longer trip, and anytime the ground is testing, Venetia Williams' horses are well supported.
3:35 Lingfield- dhowin 6/1
Nothing too appealing today so just gone for 2 shorties in a double
Jeremy’s Jewel 1.15 cork
Espoir De Romay 2.00 Carlisle
Double pays 4/1
Also my National Hunt Chase selection Run Wild Fred makes his reappearance today, hopefully he puts in a decent performance today.
BOL
Bit of minefield out there today to say the least, especially with the going being soft/heavy at the Irish meeting
Rosfoyle 1.15 Cork @150s ran a fair 6th of 13 on his hurdle debut, drops down a furlong and 35s for 10th ew extra looks worth a dabble
GL
Scraped in 10th😁
😁 nice one Pete, can’t knock a 35-1 ew winner.
Don’t see why more don’t use this market.
It’s no different than a 33-1 ew to place in a 8 runner race 🏇
Well done Pete and Elvis is right as long as the numbers add up at the end a wins a win
GREAT TIPPING YESTERDAY DC
12-10 Lingfield Natural High 7/4
2-25 Cork Noble Yeats 10/30
2-30 Lingfield Kicksaftersix 15/8
Double Carpet great tipping from yourself yesterday.
Cheers
On a decent run yourself.
Hopefully we can keep it going today
GL
Naas – 1.00…Tartan Skirt. 8/1 EW.(*** very impressive last run winning by 6l without really being asked,improving sort)
Bet365 pays 1/4 odds for 4 places
GL
Few nice winners from various yesterday lads!
Took DCs double with my free bet and a single on Jeremys Jewel that I like and you’ve had a few good ones of lately DC. 👍
GL
Hill Sixteen along with Tartan Skirts also my tracker so Maia R/fc with Rizzles
BrayHill 11.50
Unlucky there azz
wasent it just gateacre pete thats horse racing for you mate
Don’t expect them to demolish the fence though mate
paddy the horse 12.10 well done all winners yesterday
Aircraft carrier 3-45 naas.
100-1 ew 6 places @ hills.
No ew extra on this race so far, if it appears will see what odds 10 places are
I clocked this one this morning too, 150s now but as you say, no ew extra which is strange
🇬🇧 Espoir de romay 2-00 Carlisle 7-4.
Barring a fall again won’t be far away.
🇫🇷 Sundoro 2-50 Saint cloud.
7-4 top 3 finish.
Evens top 4 finish
Ew extra up now Pete.
Taken 40-1 each way extra for 10 places 1/4 odds
And £1-00 each way at 100-1 earlier 6 places at hills.
If I counted that right Elvis you just hung onto 10th possible photo 😁😁👏👏
Quick Trixie.
Cork – 2.25…Millers Bank. 6/4
Hundingtim – 2,50…Cape Gentelman. 3/1
Cork – 3.00..Speeds Are Trimps. 5/1
Cape Gent and Millers Bank quite impressive on there chase debuts. More left in the tank there from both especially Millers Bank.
Been nice to have taken another winning Kennedy/Elliot combo In the 3rd leg there at 16/1!
whisky sour 3.45 ew well done all winners today
🇺🇸🐎
Small stakes early Trixie..
Belmont-R3…Love That Face. 7/4
Gulfstream -R3…Bramble Berry 6/4
Woodbine -R3…Seasons. 3/1
Main bet.
Yankee with 2x singles…
Woodbine-R7…Pledge 5/1.
R8… Riptide Rock. 11/4(***** bumped at the start then traffic and then switched wide in the straight to finish really well for 2nd in a better race,would have won if it wasn’t for the start)
Belmont-R8…Lady Rocket. 7/4
Santa Anita-R7…Floral Essence. 7/4(**** good improvement last run finishing 2nd and more improvement here is on I’d say)
GL all
Floral Essence is NR and no cash out or edit with Skybet so it’ll be a Trixie.
Pain in the a$$ not having Bet365!
Invested a few $s of my cash back from the single on Pledge at 5/1(***).
🇺🇸🐎💩
Kashusi Kimura beats my 2 picks at Woodbine into 2nd on a 13/2 and an 8/1!
He’s man for Woodbine but dunno why other jockeys let him get leads like that.
Onwards for 1 more single
Churchill- R9…Houst The Gold 6/4 Bet365 (***** deservedly got the win in stewards room last run but was finishing well the extra furlong should see him go in again.
I’m still waiting on odds from Boyle sport as not a lot do Churchill Downs I just hope it’s not been hammered by time prices come up.