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I LANDED a nice double-stake nap on Sunday when Mama Africa won at 2-1.
Thanks to the drift it was a 4pts profit on the day. October is now 1.56pts down.
Well done to all the Sunday winners – here are Monday's tips.
Pontefract 4.20
Aristo Du Plessis changes code here for his flat debut and has the potential to be the class horse of the race. Favourite Know Your Limit is top rated on 80 but Aristo Du Plessis judged on his hurdling mark could be a 90+ rated flat horse and with the jockey's claim he should have a weight advantage.
We also have Spencer on the favourite so hopefully he will hold him up and connections of Aristo realise this and get their jockey to ride him positively and make it a strong pace as he will easily stay the distance. This could be over quickly if he can get an uncontested lead.
Pontefract 4.50
Minotaur is another horse that has changed codes but does have plenty of flat experience. He ran a good fourth last time out at Leicester but looked in need of the run. This is a weaker race and he should take a bit of beating as he is a listed winner in France just a year ago.
Johnb’s MondayTips
- Pontefract 4.20
- Aristo Du Plessis 9-1 bet365
- Pontefract 4.50
- Minotaur 11-10 NAP/NB bet365 (double stake)
- Double 20-1
Johnb’s Antepost Tips Update
- 1000 Guineas
- CLEMMIE advised at 25-1
- The Oaks
- MAGICAL advised at 33-1
I remember that Leicester race and thought to myself 25 -1 looks huge for a listed winner who then won 2 hurdles easy as you like.
he went down by 5 lengths but was a good show as it was only ran over 1 mile 3, which was the shortest distance it had run.
this is 2 mile 2, which should suit as he sauntered home over 2 mile 6 at cartmel so stays.
best price now 10-11 so by breakfast time may be too short.
john.
do you think aristo might be using this for a blowout before the jumps campaign ?
he hasn’t ran since February and his jumps form from jan 2016 wasn’t great, beaten by some large distances though they were in class 1 and 2 races.
In the past you would get connections using a flat run just to get a horse ready and with some connections that’s still true, part of my work is an advisory service to connections and I have advised the connections of 40+ horses to go the flat route for a few runs, yes still to get them ready for the jumps but also to pick up extra money, there is a lot of money out there in winnable flat races for these nh horses, any layoff isn’t ideal but this is a winnable race for Aristo Du Plessis, he is a proven front runner in a race where he could get an easy lead from a good draw, if he gets away early and makes it a good strong pace then he would be hard to catch, the jockey has to be positive though on a horse with plenty of stamina running over a less than ideal distance, Spencer on the favourite is a big plus because of his racing style
think I will jib out on the aristo to win.
betfair have
minatour win 5-6
aristo du plessis top 3 finish 7-5
pays just over 3-1.
Plumpton
2.30- Action Replay- 6/4 (NAP)
4.30- Benficial Joy- 9/4
Pontefract
3.50- Old Persian -13/8
2 point singles and 0.50 point trixie
1 point single on
Pontefract- 2.20- Voice of The North -7/1
Good Luck all
Win 4.40 – Misu Pete
Plum 5.00 – Glimpse Of Gold
Good Luck
NAP ST ANDREWS 11/4 5.30 plum
And will try a couple of small ew bets on
MISS CRICK 16/1 4.00 plum
DESILVANO 25/1 4.30 plum
BOL
DC had picked out ST ANDREWS as well
Think I WILLIAMS might also have a good e/w chance TEAK in the 16.30
gl
Busstop
Yeah can’t ignore trainers record at the track.
Teak should be thereabouts
GL today
NAP and miss crick both nr’s
DC he’s took them both out TEAK a n/r as well
Morning all… Well done yesterdays winners..P Nicholls saved my day yesterday with 4 winners from his 5 races.
PLUMPTON
17.00. .FLASHMAN. . 5/1
17.30. . ST ANDREWS. .11/4
2 WINS AND A DOUBLE
——————————–
16.00 . .ADRRASTOS. .9/1.. E/W
16.30. . TEAK. . 9/1 E/W
and an E/W double
gl all
Morning all
Bazooka 2.10w 12/1
Harlequin striker 3.10w 11/2
Aardwolf 3.20p 14/1
Flowing clarets 3.40w 5/1
Lisheen castle 3.50p 11/1
My name is rio 5.20p 14/1
Ew singles & ew lucky63☘️Gl all
Flowing claret..nice one thief
well done we thief
ew
Fairyhouse card tomorrow is a reschedule from the abandoned card on Saturday.
There was plenty of money for CADRELLI on Sat and was backed down to 2/1 with boyles and 5/2 paddys but 9/2 was available with some uk firms.
Worth keeping an eye on the market once they open.
Trainer is 3-5 Here and smullen booked for the first time.
I actually think smullen will have a good day and as he’s 4 behind KEANE in the jockeys title will need it.
GL
axe cap 1.40 fast and hot 2.10 ventura crest 2.20 hoofalong 5.20 l15 singles well done all winners yesterday
Hey all can anyone tell me if there was a rule 4 at 5:20 ponfaract ??
There was but this might have been answered.
Paddy power refusing to take bets on CADRELLI
100/30 PP 9/2 Skybet
4-1 on bet365 Cadrelli
10-3 0N Paddy
Yeah he’s back up
Two for tomorrow
Toola boola 1.40 12/1
Encrypted 3.10 6/1
Singles and double 90/1
Going to have few pound EW on Captain Scooby at 33s with paddy power 5pm Yarmouth.
FIRST THOUGHTS for a Trixie tomorrow but may do a Yankee with another pick/tip,take D.Cs n hope its worth the wait ?
Bronze Age..1.45 FH 5/2*
Cardelli..3.45 4/1
It Dont Come Easy…3.10 2/1
GL gents and well done the winners