Racing tips: Hopefully Aidan O’Brien’s 3rd string can cause an upset in France

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Just the one selection from me today, and it's quite a big price EW punt. Nothing else caught my eye for Wednesday, good luck with whatever you're backing.

Longchamp 7:20

Aidan O'Brien has had a good record in this race in recent years, winning the last three renewals with horses such as Mogul, Japan and Kew Gardens. He sends three over for this race this year, and I'm opting for THE MEDITERRANEAN even though he has a lot to find on the bare form.

The past two winners of this race have come from the King George VII Stakes, and Aidan has sent many of other horses over the years in this race, straight from that specific Royal Ascot race, so it appears to be something he likes. Last year was slightly different as the racing schedule was disrupted and the Derby and Goodwood came after Royal Ascot, which meant that Mogul didn't exactly go straight from Royal Ascot to this race, but he still raced in the King George VII. This year Aidan sent The Mediterranean for the King George VII, and even though he was disappointing, I don't think the race suited him at all. This horse appears to be a bit of a plodder, so the fact they went a slow pace didn't suit. He was tapped for speed around the bend, but when he finally got into top gear he went past a couple of horses, and actually ran the quickest final furlong out of any horse in the race, which suggested he would prefer a stronger test of stamina. Alenquer was in that race, and though he looked impressive, I do think he liked the way the race was set up. The time prior to that race he beat Adayar at Sandown, and if the race was slightly further that day, Adayar probably would've won, so I think a strongly run race over 12f would find him out, especially if the ground was testing.

I'm not totally sure on how this race will pan out, as it's quite hard to weigh up the French horses and how they run. However, Aidan has sent three over, so I'd like to imagine one of them will go from the front, and if I'm totally honest, I wouldn't mind if it was The Mediterranean. On pedigree you'd have to say the slow ground isn't ideal, but at the odds and the way he stayed on last time on heavy ground, I think he will be fine. The main question about this horse is the quality he possesses. Hurricane Lane will obviously be the one to beat, but he is very short in the market, and I'd rather try and get him beat, especially with the recent record in this race for Aidan O'Brien.

I would recommend to reduce your stakes on this selection, if you're following, as there are risks attached.

Advised: Each Way

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