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Minella Bobo jumped brilliantly and traveled nicely at Chepstow but he is probably better over a few furlongs shorter as once his gas tank emptied it was game over and he couldn't go with the winner who motored home. Jasmiwa was just very underwhelming, some money came in for her suggesting she would bounce back to form after the layoff but she just didn't seem to have anything in hand over the handicapper.
Fakenham 2:45 – Brandisova 13/8 (1pt)
With three non-runners we have a three-runner field and I think you have to take on the odds-on shot.
Brandisova runs Fakenham well, she won twice her last year on back-to-back runs, once over fences as well. Her jumping that time wasn't great, but she showed she had an engine and managed to stay strongly in treacherous conditions and if she put in a clean round of jumping it would've been a procession. Her jumping was better the next time out at Huntingdon, but it showed that she has to go left-handed as she was jumping quite badly out to her left, she was more accurate that day, but giving ground away at every fence wasn't ideal, but she still managed to finish 2nd, so full credit to her.
Lucy Wadham is in decent form at the moment and she has her horses in good condition. Regarde made a winning chasing debut last time out but it didn't look likely for the most part, especially when Gavin got serious turning for home. One of the front three fell, and that horse was staying on strongly so it's difficult to say whether Regarde would've won or not, but he stayed on well as well. He didn't exactly beat much that day, and I'm more than happy to take him on.
Fakenham 3:15 – Our Nel 4/1 (1pt)
I put up Our Nel when she was meant to run at Fontwell but the meeting got abandoned, I'm keeping the faith for this run at Fakenham.
This 5yo mare has a strong staying pedigree with horses staying over 3m in her pedigree so the step up to 2m 4f will be a step in the right direction. I also think the soft ground will assist her massively as she seems to have a soft ground action, which makes me think her runs on fast ground over the late summer period are better performances than what they look like on paper.
This is her handicap debut off a mark of 98, which is effectively 93 as Ben Bromley claims 5lbs. She arrives to this race having run at the back end of last month so should be much fitter than the majority of these.
Fakenham 3:45 – Magistrato 6/1 (1pt)
Though I really do respect Llandinabo Lad off a very low mark based on his old pieces of form and I respect Gitche Gumee on chase debut, I think Magistrato might be a runaway winner in this race if Chris Ward goes for the same tactics as last time out.
If you're following me with this selection then I'd recommend putting your seatbelt on because this could be a bumpy one as based on last time out and in plenty of previous runs, this horse is a keen goer and is hard to stop so Chris Ward will have to let him go on the front end and let him carry him as far as possible. There is always going to be a chance that he gasses out, but there's also a chance they give him too much room as they'll believe he's going too quick and they're collar them back, but at the same time he's going to put their jumping to the test and if it's not clean, good lucking catching this fella.
I think coming to Fakenham is a great idea, it's a tight track which suits speedy horses and it's left-handed which is key as he was jumping out to the left and vying left before his fences at Huntingdon.
You'll probably get better odds in the morning, and best odds guaranteed, so it might be worth waiting till then.
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Mountaineer -Race 3…Lost Anchor 14/2 Ew 3 place Coral ***
*⬆️ RACE 4 not 3 ?
Since last night was Nóice let’s do the Mountain..
Mountaineer -Race 3…Mac Daddy 7/4 ***+
R5…Think it Thru 9/4 ***
R7….Appraisal 5/4 ***+
R8…Honky Tonk Hero 9/2 ****
Good price but Ew would have been nice before an Non runner at 8/1!
GL
Royal Tapestry 1.30 Lingfield 3/1
600 mile trek for this colt today. Trainers only runner at the track. Backing his 2 year olds on the AW is very profitable. £48 level stakes profit. 26% strike rate. Steps up a furlong today after staying on in the final furlong in a better class race at Epsom. Nurse debut. Well bred. Alot to like.
antharis 10.55 France well done all winners yesterday
kainsburg 11.55 France
what a naff days racing today couldn’t find much else
2:15 fakenham- saisissante 9/1
Surely that’s Fakenham off! Shame, but the horses and jockeys safety needs to come first… more like an ice rink out there!
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Churchill Downs -R9….Amber Cascade 5/1 *****
Ew if you please for money back 1/5 odds 4 places Skybet
GL
Ach seconditis ⬆️
2x singles and a double…
Churchill Downs -Race 10…Honest Opinion 6/5 Skybet boost ****. Combo forecast 1-7-9.
Delta Downs -Race 1…Scrutinizer. 11/4 ***+ Coral and others
GL
Coco Mademoiselle 12.00 Stratford 6/4 tomorrow
Been waiting for this one of the Skeltons. Haven’t touched one of his since backing Unexpected Party a couple of weeks ago. There will be some seriously long faces tomorrow if this mare doesn’t deliver. She is an excellent jumper, she has schooled brilliantly over the summer. She will have no problem with the 2 mile 6 furlong, the ground is no problem at all. Her point to point form has taken a real boost through the runner up El Elefante. She transfers what she does at home to the track tomorrow she takes a length out of the field every hurdle. Not my usual kind of price but I’ve been waiting for her to run so I’m getting stuck in with my usual confident stake.
Just realised the price has vanished 5/4 best now. If anyone else likes the look of the bet I’d get on tonight as she will go off odds on tomorrow.
I’ll try re post this tomorrow on the correct page if I have time. All the best everyone.
Cheers ?