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AFTER a no bet day I'm back with a couple of Wednesday picks.
Well done all winners on Tuesday and feel free to add your latest tips.
Newmarket 2:55
Elwazir is a well bred Colt by Frankel and out of Dash To The Front and a half brother to Speedy Boarding who cost 500,000 Guineas so much is expected of him. He didn't disappoint on debut when second to the Henry Candy trained Thrave and was ahead of the 101 rated Aidan O'Brien trained Coat Of Arms who had finished second in the Futurity Stakes and fourth in the Group One National Stakes. That was a good run by Elwazir against some more experienced rivals and horses from this yard usually improve for the run, I am expecting a big step forward from Elwazir who should be hard to beat.
Kempton 8:20
Noble Conquest stands out here. On his last run he was second to Isabella and nine lengths clear of third. The drop to seven furlongs should suit and with the expected improvement. I think this is the one to beat
Johnb's Wednesday Tips
- Newmarket 2:55 – Elwazir 6-4 NAP skybet
- Kempton 8:20 – Noble Conquest 5-1 NB bet365
- Double 14-1
Johnb’s Antepost Tips Update
- 1000 Guineas
- CLEMMIE advised at 25-1
- Now 3-1 best price and as low as 5-2 betway
- The Oaks
- MAGICAL advised at 33-1
- Now 14-1 best price and as low as 8-1 boylesports
Good luck hon boy
Sorry @mr-fixit had to have a pop #yellowcardgate
Been settled now.
???
High seas 1.15 gets her act together she has the ability to take this better in autumn too 3/1
Terrible from me yesterday, great shout DC with truffles.
Well done all other winners – seemed a tough day.
210 Worc – Baraza 7/4
850 Kemp – LAdy Kaviar 4/1
Good luck all
Nothing jumping out at me today so just a small ew on
INDEPENDENCE DAY 14/1 3.00 navan
This horse was running in listed races last year and had a mark of 103 and today runs off 68.
There’s clearly reasons for that but there was a bit of an improvement over C&D 3 runs ago when 3rd of 19. He was beaten 1L by DOONARD PRINCE and today has a 10lb swing for that 1L. Jockey who rode him that day gets back up today . DOONARD PRINCE was 2nd lto beaten 1/2L by LANDLINE and is 3lbs better off with him so there should be little between them pair but I’m taking the chance that INDEPENDENCE DAY can at least be competitive on revised terms.
BOL
Well done Dc yesterday
Cbeers
DC will have to bet this one after your tip yesterday .
gl
Busstop
Don’t hold it against me !!
GL today
Kempton
6.50- Traveller- 4/1
Navan
5.20- Espoir D’Soleil- 2/1
2 point singles and 1 point double
On ‘Di Fede’ @ 11/4 (Skybet/Bet365) – 19.50 Kempton
Has good write ups on the usual sites and I like the look of the speed ratings.
1.15 Nkt – Wild Impala
4.05 Nkt – Knight To Behold
5.15 Nkt – Regular Income – Have bet this each way as it is 28/1 with Ladbrokes
Good Luck
RIP Fayonagh – Champion Bumper winner. Six runs – five wins.
Broke a hind leg this morning in a routine piece of work under Davy Russell
That’s a tragedy
RIP
Afternoon all . Well done yesterdays winners.
WORCESTER
14.10. . BARAZA. . 15/8
15.55. . FOLLOW THE BEAR . .7/1
SEDGEFIELD
15.10. .APERTIX. . 5/2
16.55. . FRESH NEW DAWN. . 4/1
gl all
Cheers again mate
Ah sod it……one more and a total stab in the dark
DIERAMA 20/1 EW 1.50 navan
I’ve been looking at this race for quite a long time and keep going back to the selections only run over C&D when it won.
The 2nd that day was Snowstar who is now rated 93.
The 4th 79
The 5th won lto
And the 6th went on to win her next 3 and is now rated 103 so a mark of 73 here looks lenient based on that run.
Of the rest of the field
Only MAAREK and BUBBLY BELLINI have won off higher marks but that was 2015 and 2016 and at 10 I’d say their best days are behind them.
It’s also unusual to see Eddie Lyman with 2 in a race and rightly most of the attention may be on Magic Bear as she has the better recent form and drops down in class for this but maybe the selection can come through unnoticed.
Mo Henry has been running consistently and has a 5lb claimer on-board so must go close but is better over 6f.
Auckland has been running over a mile and above
Taexali is 1-28
Ma Fee Heela has only won over 7f and Kupa River 1M.
Ducky Mallon is 9lbs higher than his C&D win but does have a 7lb claimer on and ground wont be an issue so has ew claims and I just can’t fancy the rest.
It’s an interesting race and it’s just an interest punt for me as if it won and I’d not backed it I’d probably have to replace the TV !!
GL
Was liking rattling jewel in this race DC small rfc gl today
EW Thief
Trust you to pick the one horse I didn’t mention !!
Probably bolt in now
Gl
?? as long as the 1.2 mate
Haha well that went well…..not !!
??? indeed on we go
rhigolter rose 1.45 mohenry 1.50 lexington grace 2.20 ii piccolo grande 4.10 ew l15 ew singles well done all winners yesterday
??azz
cheers ew thief
Top shout azz
cheers dc
2 Stonkers there bud.
9-1 And 15-2.
Sooooperb !
cheers elvis
Afternoon all well done winners yesterday
Reinbeau prince 2.20n 14/1
Independence Day 3.00n 12/1 DC
Old Harry rocks 3.55w 8/1
Regular income 5.15n 16/1
Freddy
Lucymai 6.50k 14/1
North creek 8.20k 25/1
Ew singles & ew lucky63☘️Gl all
Not to be today lads.
BOL for the rest of the day
2.55 ELWAZIR poor run from the well backed fav not sure what went wrong maybe the ground was to fast for him last race was good to soft today’s ground was much faster still will keep a watch out for Him next time
Johnb’s Thursday Tips
Southwell
4:15
Nightfly 11/4 boylesports
Ludlow
4:35
Banditry 9/4 NAP/NB boylesports (double stakes)
double 11.19/1 boylesports