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Pic D'Orhy was an easy winner for yesterday's sole selection. He returned a drifted price of 5/4, which isn't a great price by any means, but it was definite value and he was a class above that field, with his accurate jumping being his main weapon against a bunch of poor jumpers.
Ascot 2:25
If truth be told, the staying division is a weak one, and it's up for debate who is the best staying hurdler from either Britain or Ireland. This race has your usual British contestants of Paisley Park and Thyme Hill etc, with the exception of Champ who is interesting. RONALD PUMP is no mug by any means, and I think he is better than this lot, and will prove that his Irish form isn't to be messed with.
Ronald Pump is a Grade 1 horse, there is no doubt in my mind that he is, despite the fact he has never won one. He has finished runner-up to Honeysuckle on two occasions in the Hatton's Grace, which alone is very strong form. Whether or not he is better over that slightly shorter trip, that's up for debate, but for sure he stays the 3m. He was runner-up in the Stayer's Hurdle at Cheltenham in 2020 which was won by Lisnagar Oscar at odds of 50/1. That horse hasn't won a race since, so was clearly a fluke result, and Ronald Pump was unlucky not to win, as he didn't jump his best throughout but still managed to make a race of it and finish 2nd. I think he will be a lot fitter than he was for the Hatton's Grace, and there is a possibility that this would've been his main target for the start of the season, in attempt of going for another crack at the Stayer's in March.
Like I briefly mentioned earlier, I don't really rate the others in the race. I think Champ is the most interesting runner in the field, as in my opinion they've made the correct decision of reverting to hurdles. Even though he won the RSA Chase when he was a novice over fences, he's never really looked a natural, and jumped like a Snooker table in the Gold Cup. He is a talented horse with a big engine, which we saw in the RSA where he motored up the hill to beat some smart horses in Allaho, Minella Indo and more. He might need this run, and with Jonjo Jr riding him for the first time, I think he can be watched. But if he won, it wouldn't surprise me. As for the others, Paisley looks a shadow of the horse he used to be. Thyme Hill still doesn't set the world alight in my opinion, and his form isn't that great, beating Roksana and was behind Paisley in this race last year.
Ascot 3:00
BELAMI DES PICTONS is a horse I've been waiting to back since he made his comeback run at Bangor last month where he eventually finished fourth behind Snow Leopardess. The way he travelled through the race was impressive for a horse who was running for the first time from a 600+ day absence, and the way he got tired suggested that he clearly needed the run, which is no great shock. I thought the next time they run him, he's got to have a great chance, and here we are today.
This race looks competitive, if not even more competitive than the Bangor race, which is something you'd expect from a Saturday Ascot racecard. However, I still believe he is well handicapped off his current mark of 135 and he clearly retains all of his ability at the age of 10. Venetia is a quality trainer, and normally starts to hit the ground running at this time of year. This time around she has started it a little earlier, and has been in very good form as of recent, and is a trainer who places her horses very well. The form of his return run has started to work out very well. The winner, Snow Leopardess won the Becher Chase and Blacklion also won next time out.
At the time of writing, he is the current market favourite, which isn't a surprise, but he is starting to drift out.
Haydock 11:50
My initial thoughts was Chti Balko has strong claims in this race, as he previously won this race last year off a higher mark, and generally runs well at this track on ground which should suit. However, I'm going to be giving a chance to FUSAIN, who makes his stable debut for Ann Duffield.
Ann, more well known for her training of Flat horses, has had a couple of runners over the jumps this week, which resulted in a 22/1 winner from a horse who was previously trained by Patrick Neville. This horse also came from that yard, but was unraced for that trainer, but did show some decent pieces of form when trained by Henry De Bromhead which includes an easy win over Kitty Galore, who is now rated 124 over fences, with the horse back in 3rd also being rated in the 120s. Fusain beat them by 12 and 12.25L, winning doing handstands. His form when racing on testing ground reads much better than good, and he was 2nd in a Gordon Elliot trained horse, who is now rated in the high 120s, but was in front of a JP McManus horse (Pure Genius), who is now rated 134.
His current odds of 16/1 make him worth a small EW bet, and the jockey booking of Kevin Brogan suggests they are thinking he will run a big race as he is one of the top conditional's in the country, and in this conditional jockeys' race, it is an eye-catching booking.
Haydock 2:40
I tipped up BUZZ DE TURCOING last time out where I said he was well-handicapped, and he did prove that. He was put up 6lbs for that win, but Samuel Drinkwater has reverted back to Jack Tudor who takes the ride and takes off a very handy 3lbs, which means he has effectively only gone up 3lbs for that win, which still makes him well-handicapped in my eyes. His win at Ayr might not have looked as impressive as I make him out to be, but he probably got to the front sooner than ideal, and he was given a good ride in a strange race which was blown apart when the eventual 3rd placed horse got an easy lead of things and made it a difficult race for the jockey's to weigh up. He gets into this on a decent weight of 10st 7lbs, and should get a good gallop to aim at, and should enjoy the ground. He is a previous course winner over 2m 7f on heavy, so this should be right up his street. If he's ever going to win a decent pot of prize money, this is his chance.
Buzz n/r I see. Thyme Hill 15/8 Jolly pinching money 15/8 i knew buzz could not hack the pace. took 11/4 robbed.
pump 4/1 for F?C
12.40 asc glencassley score e/w paying 5
13.50 asc palmers hill 10/3
1500 asc cloth cap 8/1
15.35 asc mack the man double carpet 4 places 28/1 5 paces.
no even money bets here or canter bets my 10 year granddaughter can pick out.
Esta vez el próximo año seremos millonarios 🇪🇸🍹🍹
if today goes as bad as yesterday i reckon you should give her your account details
i reckon henderson read your comments, either that or the horse fractured his pelvis in training. BOL today sir.
no need to shihead myizin just give ya free pass to come and see me. but no doubt bottled it again
Silver Streak died in a training accident today.
Feel for Evan Williams, Christmas hurdle win and champion hurdle 2nd elevated Williams yard and everyone loves a grey, well I do anyway.
A sad loss.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.racingpost.com/news/one-in-a-million-christmas-hurdle-hero-silver-streak-suffers-fatal-injury/527824/amp
Silver Streak died in a training accident today.
Feel for Evan Williams, Christmas hurdle win and champion hurdle 2nd elevated Williams yard and everyone loves a grey, well I do anyway.
A sad loss.
I love a grey Elvis. One of my favourites was Roy Rocket: used to come from off the pace at Brighton and win. He was a magnificent horse.
So sad Evans daughter comes into my shop and she is always raving on about Streaky terrible.
if megan nicolls ever comes in pass on my number, phwoarrr, just the right amount of posh.
Ascot 12.40 SO SAID I 8/1
Ascot 1.50 FINANCIER 11/1
Both prices BET365 and done both e/w and e/w double
Good luck everyone
you can’t get so I said @ 8/1 anywhere so stop making up prices
Currently 7/1 on bet365 from 8/1 so prices are out there
Newcastle 1:30 brelan D’as 4/1
Matty1 Anyone can check on oddschecker SO I SAID WAS 8/1 with bet365 from 08.12 to 09.09 i posted around 08.40
so check before you accuse please .
Why I Stated BET365 in the first place
stop talking shite
there’s literally no need to justify yourself to people who have never contributed. when you have people trying to post tips and everyone is nit picking.. doesn’t inspire people to help out. the market is manipulated, it can move points in and out in seconds. worrying over 1pt difference when the guy doesn’t even point track, doesn’t benefit the thread does it.
Not really hard time or energy to dig deep so bet accordingly, haven’t even looked at rivals so all in hope, will just enjoy shouting them home if any give us a good run, BOL.
15.35 Asc – Llandinabo Lad 14/1 ew 5 places
12.40 Asc – FATHER JOHN 16/1 ew 5 places
I couldn’t confidently tip anything in this race but this and THIRTYFOURSTITCHES 18/1 will carry my EW stakes for an interest.
11.50 Hay – GREEN BOOK 2/1
This is seemingly a two horse race at the odds. I was going to risk CASWELL BAY 18/1 ew but given GB’s form, I am hopeful it’s his day.
11.40 Lng – SHAMSON 25/1 ew
This has to be pennies, we’re certainly up against it here, we’re a 10yo over the minimum trip against 3 CD winners all well weighted and a short fav. Don’t let it cost you.
Will put Green Book in with Defi Sacre 13.40, Fizzy Feet 13.25 and Palmers Hill 13.50 in a trebles and 4fold a £1.25 stake (£5 total) returns £350, but again, stakes are so low no real studying – a why not bet.
ok well, it seems there is now a limit to how many characters that can be posted, i presumed i was banned, so prices accurate at time of writing. FATHER JOHN 25s and now is one to avoid.
SHAMSON 28/1 third, only backed EW because 8 runners and we got 3 places, of course a NR fcks that right up. happy with the pick regardless.
i see my mate giving louds again over the net, load 4 xxx. no bottle to come n me see thou. even offer him free accom to come over all accom. paid never come back apart from in a box. be back in feb till may pick your racecourse will arrange meet. how many times have i gorra tella ya.
rather come on her with my dudes and talk shit.
Sea of charm steps up in class and is probably out of his league in 2.00 Lingfield, but he won over C&D last time out, easing down by 3 lengths, so with only 8 in the race @ 190/1 for 4 places, he could be worth a small stakes ew extra.
GL with all your bets today
Morning All .Another tough Saturday betting wise but some decent racing to watch.
HAYDOCK
14.40. .Remastered. .5/2
ASCOT
13.15. .Lhomme Presse. .Took a much better price for this earlier but now only 11/10
14.25. .Thomas Derby. .8/1 . .Each way
NEWCASTLE
13.40. .Fate Champetre. .7/2
14.15. .Headscarf Lil. .7/2. .Trainer has 2 in the race difficult to split done a r/v f/c just in case.
GL ALL
Was on L’homme Presse myself at 6/5 and was quiet impressive bar going left.
Ernie from Nunney 12 05 ew
fugitif 12.15 well done all winners yesterday
money isn’t everything, but when you have near 50 races, some market moves are BANKERS.
each night i get a screen capture of every race card, SINCE DAY ONE was 4/1 and went off 8/13, now nothing is certain but if anyone would like me to email them the cards each night, then email legaldvds @ hotmail. com (sorry to double post admin but previous message moderated due to involving an email i presume..)…
this can be really helpful as it also allows you to discount horses, if it’s 4/1 out to 10/1 and you have no way of knowing except the very long method using oddschecker… so it is really helpful and as i say, some of the big market movers can be easily identified.
tyme Hill 2.25
Hello
Win
R. 6 – Remastered / Hayd…
Ascot
Trixie / EW
R. 3 – Knight in Dubai
R. 4 – Champ
R. 6 – Onemoreforzheroad
Good luck , enjoy the Weekend !!
Nice Place , Treble , Onemorefortheroad , 2nd , good ride by B. Frost .
goshen 3.35 well done all winners today
Bit Late but hey heres goes 🍹
3:15 Haydock – Welsh Saint
3:25 Newcastle -Trolley Boy
4:30 Wolverhampton – Amanda Hug n Kiss
5:30 Wolverhampton – Pink Crystal
now that was sick, 1 – 3 – 2 £528 tricast, i had 2 – 1 – 3 and 2 – 3 – 1 WHAT A MUG for not doing CTC.
12,40 Thur Beating The Odds 6/1
14.10 Thur Instant Return 14/1 E/W 5 places
12.50 Fake Connie Wilde 10/1
15.20 Fake Dinsdale 7/1
15.00 Kem Volos 11/1 E/W
15.30 Kem Red Bravo 12/1 E/W 4 places
u saved my xmas, risking lay such prices but dude you’re a legend
Sunday bonkers bet
Bold hero 12-40 thurles
100-1 ew 5 places @bet365
33-1 ew 7 places @betfair ew edge