MFT RacingTips Safe 06

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I thought Monday was going to continue the bad form but it wasn't the case as the two last selections pulled it out of the fire and made it a decent day.

Triple Trade was well supported and won as easy as he liked at odds of 13/8, after being tipped up at 5/1. Talap had to dig deeper and won in the final yards, he did drift out to 5/1 which is a shame as no BOG the night before means we've got to settle for the price tipped up, but it wasn't a massive drift.

Punchestown 4:50 – Brazil 11/2 (1pt ew PaddyPower 6pl)

This is obviously going to be a tough race to win, especially when Brazil has to carry 11st 9lbs in a race in which most of those towards the top of the weights have 7lb claimers, but I think he is the class horse in the race and this race has been in the plan of Padraig Roche for some time and he can run a big race.

We all know how good this horse is. He won the Juvenile Handicap race at the Cheltenham Festival in 2022 when beating Gaelic Warrior, which has turned into some good form. This year he has had a quiet campaign, running in some low-fielded races, but he hasn't done badly at all and has been disgraced in his losses. He was behind Champ Kiely on seasonal reappearance, that horse has since won a Grade 1. He beat Fil Dor with ease the time after in a Grade 3, and was beaten in a match race by No Looking Back, who looks like a decent prospect for the future in a Grade 2 race, beaten on ground which is far too soft for him anyway. He has had a recent run on the flat to blow away the cobwebs after having a 97-day break from racing, and that will have put him spot-on for this race today.

Mark Walsh has picked him out as the best chance of the JP McManus runners, and this horse should get the better ground he thrives on. I'm expecting a big run.

Punchestown 6:35 – Classic Getaway 7/2 (1pt)

This is a Grade 1 but it doesn't seem like a Grade 1 as it's full of horses who have a lot to answer, especially as chasers. The one I thought could be head and shoulders better than these at this trip is Classic Getaway, it just depends on his well-being as he's not seen on the track as much as you'd like.

As chasing debuts go, Classic Getaway's went as well as it could've possibly gone. He jumped great, hit fitness was great after a big layoff and the form of the race has started to work out nicely. He was ahead of Journey With Me before he fell, and he was always going to beat him even if the other horse stayed on his feet. JWM has since won some decent races and run against some good horses, so the fact he was firmly put in his place, suggests to me that he'll struggle to reverse the form, especially if the ground dries out as I firmly believe JWM needs bottomless ground to be seen to best effect. In that race, Angels Dawn was back in fourth, 32L behind the winner, he has since improved from a 118-rated handicapper to a 138-rated Cheltenham Festival-winning chaser. Minella Cocooner was second to Classic Getaway, and though he hasn't been seen since, he was a Grade 1 winning hurdler and was runner-up in a Grade 1s at the Cheltenham & Punchestown Festivals, so is no mug.

This horse hasn't been on the track since his chase debut in November, which is an obvious concern, but he has won off a layoff before, so clearly goes well fresh and I can't imagine he'd be turning up to this race not full tuned up. Danny Mullins takes the ride, which doesn't bother me as Paul has opted for another horse, as I think he's crazy going for Appreciate It based on him trying a new trip and his new tendency to go left at every fence.

I think Feronily is the main danger, an old selection of mine, he stays the trip and I think he is being overlooked in what is a fairly weak Grade 1.

Ffos Las 3:25 – Prince Des Fichaux 4/1 (1pt)

I thought that Prince Des Fichaux made an encouraging chase debut last time out when finishing third behind Robyndzone was well handicapped on older pieces of form and was behind Duc De Beauchene, who was also decently handicapped and has won a race since.

This horse was fancied to run a big race on chase debut, going off as 15/8F and I think they would've been pleased with the progress he made on his first start over fences. He made a couple of mistakes, which is normal for a horse with not much experience, but it gave them something to build on. With Sam Twiston-Davies taking backing over in the saddle I think he is great value against Robyndzone, who he faced again, but this time off much better weights

Epsom 3:00 – Lord Protector 9/2 (1pt)

With the recent rain coming at the back end of Monday, Epsom should be fairly testing conditions come the time of racing on Tuesday and that makes me like the chances of Lord Protector.

I firmly believe this 5yo son of Pastorious is still on a workable handicap mark of 97. He won off 92 last June when beating Jewel In My Crown, who was rated 83 at the time and that filly has since gone on to win a few races and improve her handicap mark to 95, and Lord Protector beat her by a length and was giving her 9lbs. He then ran a big race in a 39k handicap at Goodwood, where he finished fifth of 18 and didn't get the best of runs that day. He was held up from off the pace, had to go wide around the final bend and didn't get a clear run-through, but when he did he powered home and was an unlucky horse not to finish better than fifth. I think you can ignore his last run of last year, as that was far too bad to be true.

He has won on soft ground before, and the pedigree suggests soft ground should be fine for him. His trainer is in good form having two races on the weekend and one on Monday, so I'm expecting a good run on seasonal reappearance.

Horse Racing Tips
Brazil
Punchestown - 4:50 pm

11/2 @ PaddyPower

Classic Getaway
Punchestown - 6:35 pm

7/2 @ Bet365

Prince Des Fichaux
Ffos Las - 3:25 pm

4/1 @ Bet365

Lord Protector
Epsom - 3:00 pm

9/2 @ Bet365

22 Comments
  1. Avatar of Stephen DRAKE
    postman 2 years ago

    21 …………………
    YES (TWENTY ONE) Horses at Punchestown today for Willie Mullins! He has FIVE Favorites on the 8 race card.

    Elsewhere I like these today …..

    2:05 Yarmouth – Vitralite 6/4
    2:15 Ffos Las – Phillapa Sue 4/1
    5:10 Ffos Las – Bolsover Bill 2/1
    6:25 Wolverhampton – Eight Mile 9/4
    8:30 Wolverhampton – Native Beach 9/2

    B’ Lucky 😉

    5
    • Avatar of Stephen DRAKE
      postman 2 years ago

      Vitralite 🥇

      1
  2. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 2 years ago

    Soto sizzler 3-00 epsom.
    7-1 win bet365
    13-8 top 3 finish HILLS.

    Won this race last year off this mark.
    Ran at this meeting 3 times with a record of 121
    Recent epsom form overall reads 112212 so is a bit of a course specialist.

    3
    • Avatar of Elvis Parsley
      elvis parsley 2 years ago

      Stake on these is 20-80 %

    • Avatar of Elvis Parsley
      elvis parsley 2 years ago

      3rd 🏇

      3
  3. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 2 years ago

    Polyphonic 1-40 ffos las 2-1 bet365 price boost…🏇

    • Avatar of Elvis Parsley
      elvis parsley 2 years ago

      2nd ☹️

  4. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 2 years ago

    Icarat 1.40 ew

  5. Avatar of SPURS55
    spurs55 2 years ago

    Start with


    Tue
    13:40
    silks
    4 – Icarat @ 18/1
    Win
    13.40 Ffos Las

    1
  6. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 2 years ago

    phillipa sue 2.15

    1
  7. Avatar of Ewthief
    ew thief 2 years ago

    Afternoon all
    Recon mission 1.50e 12-1
    Brazen arrow 2.05y 12-1
    Bad company 3.00e 9-1
    Salagio bay 3.35e 7-1
    Ew singles & ew lucky15☘️☘️glall

    6
  8. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 2 years ago

    lord protector 3.00 bear the loose 3.15 kesaar power 3.50 jalape 4.10 st Patricks bridge 4.35 well done all winners yesterday

    1
  9. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 2 years ago

    Appreciate it 3-35 punchestown 7-2 🇮🇪 🏇

    1
    • Avatar of Elvis Parsley
      elvis parsley 2 years ago

      6-35 not 3-35

  10. Avatar of Ewthief
    ew thief 2 years ago

    The red dev way 800w unusual jockey booking
    18-1☘️☘️gl all

    1
  11. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 2 years ago

    feronilly 6.35 ew well done all winners today

    4
  12. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 2 years ago

    Thistledown -R5…Tragically Quickwick 9/4
    R7…Always Mischievous 7/2 Nap/**** Skybet
    R8…Domingues Night 6/1 Rev/Fcast 13-10
    Will Rodgers-R9…Chipoftheoldblock. 10/3

    Finger Lakes -R7..Ice Gold Gold 10/11. Would be Nap but bit short,possibly worth win and place double with any others?

    GL

    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 2 years ago

      Ice Cold Gold EVS Bet365 IF you have an account?

      I’ll take the 10/11. Skybet Boodt

    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 2 years ago

      Finger Lakes R5….Ice Gold Cold ⬆️

      For a Canadian and be my Nb but BIT close to first race there,didn’t realise

      GL and well done to the winners today. 👍

  13. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 2 years ago

    one big boum 7.45 ew

  14. Avatar of Gateacre Pete
    Gateacre Pete 2 years ago

    Pandemic Princess 9.00 wolves. 25s ew top 4
    GL

    1
  15. Avatar of SPURS55
    spurs55 2 years ago

    Lucky last 🤞

    4
    (13)
    Another Angel
    J: Mark Winn(5)
    T: Antony Brittain
    F: 462931
    CD
    12/1

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