Racing tips: Beat The Edge will finally break his duck over rules at the 11th time of asking

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Maid O'Malley had no excuses for her run at Carlisle. Her jumping did deteriorate as the race went on, but she just seems like a horse who is flattered in better races and then doesn't provide the good when running against competition she is used to.

Market Rasen 1:15 – Lone Star 10/3 (1pt win)

Barrier Peaks heads the market and arrives looking for the hat trick. He is short enough in the market for me and I don't think he has beaten that much, so will have to improve a fair bit if he wants to make it 3 wins from his last 3 runs. LONE STAR looked like a horse who would be winning and breaking her maiden tag before she finally did last time at Newcastle, she had run some good races prior to that and looked like a horse who was about to go in.

Lone Star was a favourite for a race at Market Rasen the time before she won. She was running over 2m 7f and on soft ground, which doesn't seem ideal conditions but she ran better than her finishing position of fourth looks. She was front running and easily travelling the best until she got tired and then started to go backwards, so it wasn't a shock to see Philip Kirby drop her back in trip, which clearly worked wonders, getting her a first win in her career. She has gone up a fair few pounds in the weights for that win, but she travels so well through her races it looks like she might have more to give. Her jumping can let her down at times, which is a slight concern but from what I've seen the others in this race don't jump particularly well, hence why they are all below 100 rated.

The main danger would be Escobedo who steps up in trip. He is a flat horse and isn't bred for jumping but he might appreciate this new distance and gets a 6lb claimer doing the steering.

Market Rasem 2:15 – Lipa K 11/4 (1pt win)

I'm always quite skeptical when backing an Evans Williams horse, as he is a crafty trainer who loves to set up a gamble/well-handicapped one, and I've been on the receiving end of backing a horse of theirs and it looks like they're saving him/her for another day. I'm hoping that today is the day they let LIPA K free and he can strut his stuff and kickstart his career over hurdles.

I'm sure at some point they'll be wanting to get their 75k which they spent on this lad when he won a decent-looking Irish bumper on debut. He has since run three times over hurdles, and on both occasions when running over 2m he has looked like he has plenty of ability but was never really put into the race. They chucked a 2m 4f race in the mix of those two, which looked like it didn't suit and appeared that he ‘didn't stay', or was used to get a lower handicap mark. In the grand scheme of things the handicapper hasn't gone too low and has gone for a mark of 100, which means he has to carry 12stone today, which is never ideal, but this race doesn't look massively strong and when I consider how well he travels through his races, he should be able to make mincemeat of this field if his jumping holds up.

I think 11/4 or something similar is fair enough and I think we'll know our fate with how the market reacts closer to the off time.

Market Rasen 4:15 – Beat The Edge 15/8 (2pt win)

I'm quite confident of a big run by BEAT THE EDGE in this race (not sure why as my current form over the last week has stunk). He has been mightily unlucky not to win a race, especially the one at Wetherby when having the race at the palm of his hands before knuckling on landing after jumping the second from home in good style. I think this is the day where he gets his head in front.

It was quite amazing to see him finish second in the race at Wetherby where he made that late mistake, it was a fantastic sit by the jockey as Beat The Edge sprawled on landing. He rallied like a trooper and nearly managed to get the win. That was on good-to-soft ground, which I think he appreciates a lot more at this type of trip than extremely testing ground as he is a very strong traveller and he makes use of that. The run on heavy ground the time after was another top effort, but I think the heavy ground caught him out. The form of that race looks strong with the winner going on to frank the form by winning again, the third and fourth have also won since. The form of his second-placed effort at Wetherby looks strong as well with a few subsequent winners in that race too.

They tried him over a shorter trip last time out, and he showed he had the pace to keep up for a long way of that 2m 3f race, but he couldn't quite go on with the leading two that day, but back over 3m he should be tough to beat if jumping soundly. I like it when a horse has a high cruising speed, especially at a track like Market Rasen, so fingers crossed he can put it all together today.

Taunton 3:00 – Milan Bridge 9/4 (2pt win)

At a first glance and looking through the form of the horses in the race I thought MILAN BRIDGE might be a tad too short in the market, but once looking deeper into it I can see why he is the price he is.

This race doesn't look great, you have question marks over every single horse in the race, including my selection, but I think he is the most solid candidate despite not looking like a complete natural over fences. He didn't jump great at Sandown, but that can happen to novice chasers as it is a tough place to jump, especially as that was his first race over fences as he was given a walkover at Ascot as no other horse turned up! I thought his jumping was better at Wincanton last time out before he was brought down by a faller. He was a nice novice hurdler last season, winning 3/5 races and I think this sound ground is what he wants. With the Nicholls yard still flying and Cobden riding extremely well, you'd have to imagine he can win off 126, and it wouldn't surprise me if he won this quite easily.

Le Cameleon might have some supporters as he tries this trip for the first time. For me, I don't think this trip is what he wants though it might appear he sees his races out well over shorter. They might lead on him, set a slow pace and turn it into a sprint, but Milan Bridge was a winner over shorter over hurdles, so doesn't lack the speed. Frenchy Du Large is out of form and his jumping has been terrible since returning, so has to do a complete U-turn if he wants to win this. Dead Right is getting on in age and often gets going too late in his races and Neon Moon hasn't exactly set the world alight since going chasing, he's still unexposed but I haven't seen much to suggest he'll be winning this though the opposition is out of form.

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