Racing tips: All-Weather specialist Diamond Bay still has more to give off a mark of 88

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I want to touch on a couple of things before I talk about the unfortunate events of Coroebus at Longchamp yesterday. 

Yesterday's thread had a couple of noticeable conversations. One is the number of bets that I put up. When I started this role and was putting up multiple bets per day it came under scrutiny and since then I've posted a smaller selection of bets, which has tended to work better (in my opinion). I only tip horses I am confident will run well, obviously, it doesn't always pan out that way (not always going to win or run well despite being confident), but I'm not going to put up anything and everything if I don't like their chances. No matter what I do people will moan, that's always going to happen, but I feel like I had to explain my thoughts. Quantity isn't always better.

As for the foreign racing… I had two cards to choose from the UK racing yesterday, including York which had a decent Sunday card on including a Class 1 Listed race. However, after studying that card, nothing was of interest to me so I looked at the French racing, which is often very good on Sundays. Sure enough, I liked the chances of Coroebus who unfortunately lost his life in that race. I didn't get to watch the race at the live time as I totally forgot what time it was, and I'm thankful for that as I'd never want to see a horse break down like that, it's a shame when it happens, especially on the flat as you never expect it to happen. But, I can't say me putting up the occasional foreign race deters people away, if it does then it's a bit strange as 95%+ is British and Irish racing on this thread (from me anyway).

Anyway, I go on holiday tomorrow (Monday) and will be back on Friday, so will be posting selections for Sunday's racing. Hopefully, you have some winners from now till then, and I'll see you for Sunday's selections next week. Be lucky 🤞

Newcastle 7:00

A six-runner race but one which is competitive and the majority have decent chances of winning. However, DIAMOND BAY seems like a horse who hasn't stopped his progression yet and his mark of 88 could be on the lenient side based on his small but comfortable success at Lingfield last time around.

2m has been the trip this horse has been crying out for and combining it with the AW seems the best idea as he prefers this surface based on his strike rate. He went close at Kempton off a mark of 85, producing an RPR of 93, behind some good horses in the shape of Murau and Vino Victrix. The latter named horse has since come out and won in stylish fashion, winning by 3.75L in a Class 3 handicap.

Since that third-placed effort, Diamond Bay went and won at the always competitive Racing League meeting held at Lingfield on the AW. Those races are always a battle to win due to the great prize money on offer, but I think Diamond Bay won with a fair amount up his sleeve despite only winning by 0.75L. That track favours horses who are up with the pace, and Diamond Bay had to show a decent turn of foot to bridge the gap between him and the leaders. Once he got to them in the final furlong he did it quite comfortably and I think the 3lb he has gone up by the handicapper could be very lenient.

This race has Haveyoumissedme, who will more than likely try and go from the front as he has done over shorter and at this track (was a winning tip when doing so), but I think he could be better over slightly shorter, however, if getting an easy lead he could take full advantage of that. Author's Dream is getting on in his career, now aged 9 but he still has the ability to mix it at this level, shown when winning a Class 3 earlier this season. He has to be respected but you'd like to think he is susceptible to a progressive younger horse.

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