MFT RacingTips Safe 03

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Croachill didn't settle in the first-time blinkers, which didn't help her chances of winning. She was travelling the best through the race, but her high head carriage and lack of willingness to win didn't help either, as she went down the outside and didn't pick up to get close enough to the two ahead of her. If she learns to settle she is well-handicapped, and maybe she is worth running in big fields so she can get some cover to help her relax.

Hamilton 2:20 – Abate 5/2 (2pt Bet365)

Hamilton has to be one of my favourite tracks to have a bet at, I'm not sure why but over the years I've had a decent strike rate there, so whenever there is an opportunity to have a selection there, I will.

This race is all about Abate and whether he'll bounce back to form like he usually does around this time of year. He likes to strike when the ground is quick, but generally over 6f, his mark normally takes a dip towards the back end of the year and over the winter and that has him spot on to land a race like this. He is on a very winnable mark of 75, which is 68 as Mia Nicholls takes off 7lbs. I'm not going to lie, I've not seen Mia ride, but she has 5 wins from 29 rides this year, which gives me the impression she is good value for her claim, and when she's already sat on a well-handicapped horse like Abate, it looks like a good combination.

I mentioned how he does most of his winning and running over 6f, that doesn't bother me as Hamilton is a very stiff uphill track which catches out a lot of horses who lack the stamina, so this trip today will be fine as we know he has the stamina for an extra furlong.

Hamilton 2:50 – Lieutenant Rascal 15/8 (2pt Bet365)

It's always a bit iffy going for 2yo's in races like this, as you have the unknown factor for many and the ones who haven't shown a great level of ability can suddenly sprout wings and win, but I think it's of notice that George Scott sends Lieutenant Rascal up to Scotland.

George Scott is 4/5 with his 2yo's at this track, which is a ridiculously good strike rate, albeit a small sample size. From the form on offer, this doesn't look like a strong race, and my horse ran well last time out behind a Kevin Ryan newcomer, which isn't a bad thing by any means as Kevin usually has a lot of above-average 2yo's. George has reached for the first-time blinkers, which should hopefully help eke out a bit of improvement and though Paul Mulrennan isn't my flavour of the year, with him giving me some poor rides, mainly getting the horses blocked in, I'd still see it as a decent booking as he is 3/10 when riding for the yard.

Beverley 3:40 – Bobby's Blessing 13/2 (1pt Bet365)

Unlike Hamilton, Beverley is probably one of my least favourite tracks to have a bet at, but I think Bobby's Blessing is worth a few quid on debut for the Charlie Johnston yard.

I think that backing 4yo's in novice/maiden races can be a good angle, especially when the form shown by the others isn't bulletproof. Saeed Bin Suroor is one of the better ones who places his horses very well when taking on the younger horses, but I think the pedigree and the jockey booking of Bobby's Blessing suggest that he could be well up to it on debut.

He is a half-brother to Atlanta's Bay who was a very useful handicap sprinter for David Menuisier, reaching ratings in the 90s and winning some decent prizes along the way. That horse has run well on various types of ground, but today's ground should be fine for my selection, as his sire was good on this type of ground and has produced some good fast ground horses.

Oisin Murphy takes the ride and is 2/7 for Charlie Johnston since he took over the reigns from his father. Oisin had a 19% SR for Mark when he was in charge, and considering their usual rider Franny Norton is riding at Beverley today, it makes you think why is Oisin getting the ride, especially when he's on his pursuit of getting another jockey's championship.

Horse Racing Tips
Abate
Hamilton Park - 2:20 pm

5/2 @ Bet365

Lieutenant Rascal
Hamilton Park - 2:50 pm

15/8 @ Bet365

Bobby's Blessing
Beverley - 3:40 pm

13/2 @ Bet365

15 Comments
  1. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    reach goal 12.15 happy Valley.. nap well done all winners yesterday

    1
  2. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    Mrs rhapsody 11.15 nb

  3. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    karigeen Kampala 1.55 yup on the odds on favourite song by 10 lengths last time

    1
  4. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    won that is

  5. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 1 year ago

    Global famenglory 7-10 Warwick 15-8 NAP 🏇

    1
  6. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 1 year ago

    Grey skies 7-50 cartmel 2-1 NB 🏇

    1
  7. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 1 year ago

    USA 🇺🇸

    Type of Ew play on….

    Deleware -R3…Special
    Lute 12/1 Paddy Power £3.5 win
    £7.5 top 4 place at 21/10.

    Trixie on…

    Deleware -R2..Three Sports Coats 11/8 ***
    Finger Lakes -R7…Lady Truflemburg 15/4 /****
    Horseshoe -R4…Tribal Spirit 11/4 ***

    GL all and well done winners today 👍
    GL and well done to winners today.

  8. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 1 year ago

    USA 🇺🇸

    Short price fab pi$h treble…

    Finger Lakes -R2..Bourbon Brown
    Deleware-R4…Alvy
    Thistledowm-R3….Red Hot Lass

    Treble pays 2.8/1. Paddy Power /*** 👌

  9. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 1 year ago

    8:00 Wexford- Doran’s river 7/1

    1
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 1 year ago

      8:10 Warwick- fortunate Fred 9/4

      1
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 1 year ago

      😂

  10. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    full metal jacket 8.30

  11. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 1 year ago

    Couple of nice winners today Rizzel . Looks like most folk are licking there wounds from the weekend 😂 keep your money and spend it on hookers !! Just as much of a fun way to kiss your money good bye !

    3
  12. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 1 year ago

    8:40 Warwick- Whitehall flyer 14/1 – I smell bender !! 😂

    1
  13. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    blakney piont 8.50 ew well done all winners today

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