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The early selection Bill Silvers didn't manage to land a blow when upped in class, I thought it was worth a try but at this moment in time he's not up to that kind of level. However, Wasdell Dundalk gave us a 2pt winning at Perth when winning in great fashion. There were a couple of fallers in that race, hopefully, they are all okay, but I think he would've won if that didn't happen.
Perth 2:37 – Idalko Bihoue 2/1 (1pt Bet365)
This four-runner field will more than likely be down to a three-runner field with Attitash running yesterday. Though it will be a low number of runners it's still a very intriguing race and I think Idalko Bihoue can make a winning chase debut.
The summer break doesn't concern me for my selection as he on his sole PTP start and won on his hurdles debut so he clearly appreciates a layoff and I doubt Nigel Twiston-Davies would be sending him up to Perth if he wasn't fit and ready. Nigel has a 27% strike rate at Perth, which has come from over 100+ runners, so that shows that he doesn't like to waste his bullets when sending his horses this far north from his Cotswold base. Also, the fact he is willing to travel to Scotland with a chase debutante gives me even more confidence that has been schooling well over fences and that he is well-handicapped off a mark of 127 for his handicap debut.
You'd probably have to say Snake Roll is the main threat, as the odds would suggest. However, I thought Snake Roll was going to kick on over hurdles after looking like a really nice novice early into the previous season but he didn't quite catch fire. He might be one of the typical horses where whatever they do over hurdles is a bonus as they are going to be a chaser, but his odds are far too short and you'd have to say he's going to be bulletproof at those odds on debut, so has to be taken on.
Newmarket 4:45 – True Legend 6/1 (1pt)
It might not be a wise decision to give True Legend another chance, but with Luke Morris back in the saddle, I think he is worth the shot.
I put this horse up at York's Ebor Festival meeting, when he ran in the Melrose handicap over 14f, a couple of furlongs from home he was cruising and Hollie Doyle sent him off, taking a few lengths out of the field but in hindsight that was either a suicide ride or he didn't quite stay, I'd say it's maybe a mixture but the fact Hollie sent him for home so early didn't exactly help the latter. He returned to his previous form last time out at Ascot in a decent Class 2 contest which saw him finish as runner-up behind a progressive horse and that performance produced an RPR of 96 which was 11lbs higher than his mark at the time. The handicapper decided to put him up 4lbs for that performance, which is a bit harsh but they must really rate that winner to do that, so based on him returning to form last time out I think he is worth another chance.
varian 211 from last 3, he had the most winners and best strike rate of anyone last september so the fact he has a 6/4 fav albeit in a minefield, makes him of interest, the 2nd fav is 7/1 so one to monitor in the 1445p.
he has one at 1900s, sadly 9/2 up against an 11/8f and any drift is likely bad news, but 5/1 is ew territory, the whole varian thing is a punt buthe had a 3yo winner yday in the same colours, so he’s included based on that. one of his at HQ at 1645 is unexposed bought by middleham park after a 20l win lto, dipped in deep potentially but is favourite around 7/2 if it doesnt work out he has lots out 2moro.
given i looked at last septembers stats, haggas was at the top for october he had 3 winners yday, another to (obviously i suppose) give consideration to. WAFEI is his only runner today, a sh 2nd to an appleby horse who sends his best here… the wathnan racing silks which have made a name for themselves this season, joint fav with once raced o’brien horse… a good watch no doubt.
the varian runner in the 1900 in now 12/1 from 9/2 and although it could place it now cannot win – surely.
the fav sniper’s eye is from simcock who has had 2 winners from his last 3. it has a patchy record from 5-6 runs, yet is a super skinny price. in my experience the ‘money’ is often accurate but it isnt one i will even consider touching.
the 9/4 horse remaining solid is from the crisford yard, pj macdonald is not a go to man for him, or hasn’t been, but is 2-2 for him this year which is a decent sign. the yard is also in sparkling form, 1312 from last 4.
3.35 Legend of Time 5/1
It’s fair to say Charlie Appelby hasn’t had the best of seasons up to now but seems to have turned a corner lately and has a 40% strike rate over the past 2 weeks.
LOT had Wafei (who runs in the first race) just a neck behind on debut so I’m hoping Wafei can Frank the form by running well.
Appelby has won the race in 2 of the last 3 years. Its difficult to way up the opposition having only had the 1 run and there’s not much between the top 3 in the market based on RPR’s but the runner up to Gosden’s horse was well beaten nto and Military was a 2/7 shot on debut so had nothing to beat but AOB has also won the race twice in the past from just 5 attempts so warrants respect. But I’ll stick with
Legend of Time at 5/1
4.45 Victory Dance 6/1
Yes it’s another Appelby horse and based on what he did 19 days ago comes with a health warning. But as I said earlier the Yard have turned a corner and Appelby clearly targets this race having won it in 3 times in the past from just 4 attempts and jockey Will Buick has also won the race 4 times from just 7 rides.
Victory Dance is also by Dubawi who has sired the winner more than any other Sire (3 wins) which has also got to be a positive.
I thought he might have been dropped a couple of pounds for his last run but stays on 102. But hes top rated in the race but still gets 7lb 3yr old allowance and 3yr olds have won 7 of the past 10 renewals.
BOL
rooster crowning 11.20 ew France well done all winners yesterday
empress star 12.25 ew france
empress star 12.25 ew france
empress star 12.25 ew france
yup we now that this one is intrestnpenelties 1.40 ew nb
2:10 pontefract- tilla Cordata 9/1
Close 😂
dukes command 1.50 ew nap
boom boom boom 1.55 ew
van gerwin 2.10 ew
Guys can I ask
I have paddy power account
And seems any time I put a horse on and it drifts I. Market I don’t get the price it wins at but the price I originally put it on at
Is there a reason for this as I thought you are supposed to get the better odds
Like today I had the 2.45 on it won at 6/1 but only paid out on my 4/1 which I had put it on at ?
They only offer BOG if you place your bet after 8.00am on the day of the race. Any time before you will get what odds it was at the time.
Bookies always moving the bar to help themselves.
If you go into promotions thestig you have to opt in👍👍
Bet you missed me today 🤷♂️👌👌
Got the first winner @ Newmarket and the first winner at pontefract.
On we go
BOL
i don’t bullsxxt
Won
silks
6 – Granny B @ 18/1
Win
Won
silks
2 – Bellum Justum @ 10/1
Win
onwards
mate dont listen to what i say. no need to single you out yday so sorry for that, always enjoyed your contributions, just thinking back to when i was green whacking too much on the word of others here, if people are betting out of their budget i suppose it is only their issue. keep up the good work :D
no worries mate.it’s only fun and entertainment..
see if i can find something later for my 50p
bol
Ah do I have to opt in ?
the bet was placed 30 mins before race time
Yes you might have to do it every now & then 👍
Jeezo never knew that EW thief
Thanks for that
Can’t believe how many times this has happened
And can’t believe I had to opt into this crazy
Found it mate now opted in lol
Dunkirk lads 5.40p 10-1☘️☘️gl all
how does this happen (southwell) and they get away with it!!!! so blatant!!!
the chances are 10000-1 probably or more that 3 winning horses to win at them odds
14/1 33/1 18/1
absolute bxxxocks
get the number sequence correct and !!
not bad for 20p
P
6. Owens Lad
11/2 6/1
28th Sep SOUTHWELL 18:30 HANDICAP 1m 3f 23y – Each Way
18:30 28 September 2023
Best odds
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 4 Places
P
8. Running Star
12/1 22/1
28th Sep SOUTHWELL 19:00 EVENT 1m 0f 13y – Each Way
19:00 28 September 2023
Best odds
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 3 Places
P
4. Enola Grey
17/2 11/1
28th Sep SOUTHWELL 19:30 HANDICAP 1m 0f 13y – Each Way
19:30 28 September 2023
Best odds
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 4 Places
P
4. Masterpainter
12/1 18/1
28th Sep SOUTHWELL 20:00 HANDICAP 1m 0f 13y – Each Way
20:00 28 September 2023
Best odds
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 3 Places
Stake
£0.20
Returns
£17.49
called their bluff on the last
thought they might do IT one more time
Basxards
Won
silks
6 – Dance Time @ 20/1
Win
20.30 Southwell – Paying 3 Places instead of 2