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HURRICANE RITA runs for Olly Murphy for the first time today at Towcester and connections really like her chances as they think she is on a low handicap mark.
Although a beaten favourite last time she was beaten by a 107 rated horse and her win at Ayr is also good form. I would expect Hurricane Rita to make the running here.
At Musselburgh, Civil Unrest’s biggest negative is that he hasn’t won from a handicap mark this high. But he has run well from marks around this, he is in form as he was second in August and a winner last time out.
Both those runs were over hurdles and he switches to chasing today but that shouldn’t bother him.
November is 33.64pts down, well done all winners and good luck today.
Johnb’s Thursday Tips
- Towcester 2:10 – Hurricane Rita 5-4 NAP skybet
- Musselburgh 3:00 – Civil Unrest 4-1 NB skybet
- Double 10.25-1
Johnb’s Antepost Tips Update
- 1000 Guineas
- CLEMMIE advised at 25-1
- Now 3-1 best price and as low as 5-2 betway
- The Oaks
- MAGICAL advised at 33-1
- Now 14-1 best price and as low as 8-1 boylesports
Main tips (repost):
NAP – 3:00 Musselburgh – Muwalla 9/2 2pt
NB – 2:20 Taunton – Ambre Des Marais 7/4 1pt
Bank (NAP/NB): + 27.06 pt
Patent:
12:20 Taunton – Diese Des Bieffes 1/2
1:30 Musselburgh – Canny Style 5/6
1:10 Towcester – Classic Jewel 11/8
7 x 1pt (7pt)
Bank (patent): + 0.11 pt
$$$
Will repost latter! Today main tips fail, and patent is miss one, so not grate but we will finish Novembar with very nice profit on main tips. Godd luck tommorow and lets hope for some profit on last day of November!!!
Overall tips (repost) – 4/1+ odds – 1pt ( 8/1+ 1pt EW (0.5 x 2)) – day 21 (15 bets – 15 pt):
12:55 Thurles – Tomcoole Lad 13/2
1:25 Thurles – Barra (Each Way) 7/1
1:55 Thurles – Killasser Boy (Each Way) 40/1
2:00 Musselburgh – No Such Number 13/2
2:10 Towcester – Cosmic Diamond 11/2
2:20 Taunton – Cabernet Dalene 4/1
2:40 Towcester – Timeforben 6/1
2:55 Thurles – Wee Tiger (Each Way) 16/1
3:20 Taunton – Princess Roania 6/1
3:25 Thurles – Be My Vinnie 6/1
5:45 Newcastle – Toms Anna (Each Way) 12/1
6:45 Newcastle – Foxrush Take Time 6/1
7:15 Newcastle – Sunhill Lad (Each Way) 14/1
7:45 Newcastle – Bertiewhittle (Each Way) 11/1
9:15 Newcastle – Kroy 9/2
Bank ( after day 20): + 97.35 pt
Today bookies are on their knees again. We have 7 winner today and 1 NR, so we generated profit of 33.4pt. So we just continue…
I will post every time around 6-7 pm when is out and when I sort and set them! Today been busy but i see odds and we dont lose anything, we now get bettar then been on start, so this is tips. All is in early setting bet for long run. If somone is NR I wil try to replace if notice on time.
* If somone dont like this tips just ignor it. They are transparent and statistic will update every day and months!!! Overall tips with pro rating and expirience is making most profit then anything else!$$$
TBT ( Tips by tracks)- (repost) – 1bet =1pt ( 8/1+ 0.5pt EW ( 2x 0.5pt)) – start bank 100pt – day 7 ( 12 bets – 12 pt):
Newcstle ( 3. track for profit):
5:45 Newcastle – Toms Anna (Each Way) 12/1
6:15 Newcastle – Hisar 5/4
6:45 Newcastle – Foxrush Take Time 6/1
7:15 Newcastle – Sunhill Lad (Each Way) 14/1
7:45 Newcastle – Bertiewhittle (Each Way) 11/1
8:15 Newcastle – Choral Clan 9/4
8:45 Newcastle – Ambrosia 9/4
9:15 Newcastle – Kroy 9/2
Taunton ( 13. Track for profit):
1:20 Taunton – Pengos Boy 4/1
2:20 Taunton – Cabernet Dalene 4/1
2:50 Taunton – Double Accord 15/8
3:20 Taunton – Princess Roania 6/1
Bank (TBT – after day 6): -19.88pt
Tomorrow we bet on Newcastle and Taunton races. Today we have 2 winner and lose some bank ( -1pt). Still not luck with tracks, but it is only matter of time when it turn to profit. I will repost latter but get bettar odd now!!!
IMPORTANT – Dont go this bank with high stake per bet, becous i testing it. It will give nice profit for sure, but another 6 month we will go low to see what happen. Start is very bad and probably this is not have consistent profit like Overall tips i post for big play!!! Testing to see if profit tracks will continue to produce more profit then regular Overalls.
Well done all winner today and good luck tommorow!!!
Ledbrokes trophy Saturday (repost):
Present man 99.12
American 99.09
Missed approach 99.05
Go for all tre to gambling:
American – win 6/1
Present man – win 16/1
Missed approach – win 33/1
I post this odds from big race in saturday to go for nice value. I will go with some stakes for gambling on all 3 so we will see what rating said to us!!! Good luck and will repost every day.
Will post somthing on mornning when i see some market movers. Good luck!!!
So it appears connections can’t always get it right when they think their horse will win, Black Dave finished 4th of 10 at so odds 6/4
Trainer David Evans was this month fined more than £3,000 after a betting-related hearing in which the BHA found him guilty of breaching rule (A)30.1 – conduct prejudicial to the integrity, proper conduct and/or good reputation of horseracing.
Evans backed Black Dave before withdrawing stablemate – and market leader – Tango Sky in a 6f handicap at Wolverhampton in January 2015, but he avoided having his licence suspended and was fined a total of £3,140, including the penalty for not immediately notifying the Racing Calendar office of a non-runner.
The BHA on Wednesday published its notes from the disciplinary panel hearing, including the transcript from the phone conversation in which Evans placed a bet on Black Dave to the tune of £6,000 and discussed his intent to withdraw Tango Sky with a Ladbrokes trader.
The David Evans-Ladbrokes transcript in full
Phone call on January 9, 2015: 08:43 – 2 minutes, 4 seconds
JT: Jeremy Thomas, trading
DE: David Evans, trainer
Call starts
JT: Ladbrokes, Jeremy speaking
DE: Morning Jeremy
JT: You all right?
DE: Yeah
JT: Good, good
DE: I want a good bet
JT: You want a good bet?
DE: If you can give me it? Yeah
JT: Go on
DE: Yeah, Black Dave
JT: Where is that running today?
DE: Wolverhampton in the first
JT: The first at Wolverhampton. (pause) How much you looking for Dave?
DE: A good bit. Are you in a good mood are ya?
JT: Not really. No
DE: Why? Why? Ain’t your money.
Both laughing
DE: You will probably win it anyway
JT: How much you looking for? I can do you a bit of 4-1
DE: I’m looking for six grand
JT: Six grand, okay just two seconds Dave
DE: Yep
At this point JT is asking senior trader Tony Milburn if he wants the bet
JT: Six grand at four
DE: Yeah
JT: That’s on for you Dave, yeah
DE: Right
JT: What’s the message there then? Just….(inaudible)
DE: Can I tell you something?
JT: Oh, you’ve got the other one there haven’t you?
DE: Yeah
JT: All right okay. Fair enough
DE: Ain’t gonna run
JT: It’s not going to go, no?
DE: Right, does that help you out?
JT: It will do, yeah, yeah
DE: Yeah
JT: What time is that getting pulled out? Can you….
DE: Ooh, I don’t know
JT: Okay
DE: Before nine o’clock, you don’t pay the jockey
(JT laughing)
JT: Oh really
DE: Hey, so that bet is on is it?
JT: So 8.59 that are coming out is it?
DE: No, I don’t know
(Both laughing)
JT: All right mate, that’s on for you, yes
DE: Thanks Jeremy
JT: Okay, cheers then, thanks Dave
DE: Right
Call concluded
Timeline of events on the raceday
8.35am Black Dave priced at 4-1 with Ladbrokes
8.38am Black Dave is shortened to 7-2
8.43am David Evans places a £6,000 bet on Black Dave with Ladbrokes at improved odds of 4-1 and informs the firm Tango Sky will be a non-runner
8.46am Black Dave is shortened to 100-30
8.47am Tango Sky is shortened to 3-1 (from 7-2), increasing the rule 4 to 25p in a £1
9.02am Black Dave shortens to 11-4 following bets from owners at the yard
9.04am Black Dave shortens to 5-2
9.39am Tango Sky is declared a non-runner and a new market is subsequently formed
I don’t know what the norm is but a £3k fine is hardly going to put them off.
To be honest I think what Ladbrokes did was far worse than what David Evans did, to shorten the odds of a horse you know is going to be a non runner can’t be right and I hope they are made to pay every winning punter the extra 5p in the pound, impossible for shop punters but online and phone punters should be refunded
They’re both in wrong but £3k – what’s the point?
I know, it’s not a deterrent, should have been more but it is good that the authorities have given punters the full story
Well I’ll be avoiding ladbrokes online and shops from now on. This kind of story puts me off backing horses. The normal punter is putting his faith in the trainer being honest, this clearly shows some are not.
Towcester
2.40- Potters Midnight- 5/1
3.40- Laughing Luis- 3/1
Thurles
12.55- Fidlers Now- 4/1
1 point singles and 0.50 point trixie
Another sharp practice bookies do is to cut a horse that is about to be withdrawn at start. Especially if it’s a shortish price. Happened yesterday a horse played up in stalls it was 9/2 and obviously was not gonna run but was clipped back to 4/1 just before announcement.
NAP AFFAIRE DHONNEUR 2.00 mussel
NB WHO’S MY JOCKEY 1.40 tow
NNB DOUBLE ACCORD 2.50 taun
Well done to all the winners yesterday
BOL
yup johnb I watched a program on utube racings dirty secrets amazing what gos on in racing people might find it intresting if they have got the time to watch it
are reet theer chaps well done all winners yesterday. head turner 12.25 russian service 1.40. hollow park 2.10. mighty missile 2.20 ew l15 ew singles aaron lad 12.40 silent steps 1.20 major quest also had a trixie on these three
major quest 3.20
Tomorrow’s fancies from Newcastle –
Hisar 6.15 (11/8) NAP
Blue Havana 6.45 (9/2)
Strange Society 7.15 (13/8) NB
Ambrosia 8.45 (5/2)
Repost
Nap /Nb Right touch 8/1 7.45 Newcastle 5pts
Nov + 6.88pts
I always believe that owners should give themselves the best chance of winning, after all they are the one paying the training fees, horses running over the wrong distance or going just to get a run into them isn’t against the laws of the sport and punters should be looking out for that sort of thing, another way is riding with different tactics, front running on a hold up horse or holding up a front runner is different because it can come down to deliberately deceiving the punter although something as simple as changing a jockey could give the change of tactics you want as some jockeys prefer to ride a different way.
What David Evans did may be classed as unethical but he didn’t do anything that would affect punters, the non runner favourite for anyone who backed it would have got their money back and for anyone that backed his other horse although he was beat, we know he was trying, which is why I said I thought the bookie was worse by shortening the odds deliberately to get a bigger rule 4
Going back to connections giving themselves the best chance possible to win
Is running a horse over a distance or ground that doesn’t suit any worse than team orders in formula one or a football team playing a far weakened team which we see a lot near the end of a season, I don’t think so but yet it’s always racing that is seen as corrupt
Horse Racing isn’t corrupt, but it’s not perfect and it’s certainly not just racing
Not one for posting horse tips really but got a good word for Rubydoobs e/w in the 3.30 at Musselburgh. 40/1 at the mo, so thought i’d share it with y’all
I will try small stake ew, becouse odds is very nice. Why not…
Surely not seconditis AGAIN.
On the almost odds on favourite nap.
Sometimes we all need a break I believe.
Johnb’s Friday Tips
Newbury
1:50
Adrien Du Pont 15/2 paddy power (0.5pt each way 1/4 odds 1-2)
Newbury
3:00
Thistlecrack 11/10 NAP/NB stan james (double stake)
Chelmsford City
8:15
Samharry 5/2 paddy power
also 3x 0.5pt doubles & 1x 0.5pt treble 15/2 10/11 5/2 paddy power
Overall tips – 4/1+ odds – 1pt ( 8/1+ 1pt EW (0.5 x 2)) – day 22 (23 bets – 23 pt):
12:10 Southwell – Katie Gale 4/1
12:30 Doncaster – Welcome Ben 4/1
12:45 Limerick – Glebe Girl (Each Way) 25/1
12:50 Newbury – Exitas (Each Way) 10/1
1:00 Doncaster – Barton Knoll 6/1
1:30 Doncaster – Nightline 13/2
2:10 Southwell – Ubla (Each Way) 8/1
2:15 Limerick Pats – Oscar 7/1
2:25 Newbury – O O Seven 7/1
2:35 Doncaster – Lough Salt 4/1
2:45 Southwell – African Blessing 9/2
3:20 Southwell – Topmeup (Each Way) 10/1
3:35 Newbury – Whataknight (Each Way) 8/1
5:30 Dundalk – Snow Patch 7/1
5:45 Chelmsford – Summer Icon 13/2
6:00 Dundalk – Oneoveryou 6/1
6:15 Chelmsford – Harbour Vision 13/2
7:30 Dundalk – Aunty Audrey 5/1
7:45 Chelmsford – Inuk 5/1
8:00 Dundalk – Poitin (Each Way) 16/1
8:45 Chelmsford – Ode To Glory (Each Way) 14/1
9:00 Dundalk – Weightfordave 9/2
9:15 Chelmsford – Choral Clan 7/1
Will repost latter with bank ( some tip still active). I will post every time around 6-7 pm when is out and when I sort and set them! All is in early setting bet for long run.
If somone is NR I wil try to replace if notice on time.
* If somone dont like this tips just ignor it. They are transparent and statistic will update every day and months!!! Overall tips with pro rating and expirience is making most profit then anything else!$$$
Main tips:
NAP – 2:00 Doncaster – Monbeg River 11/4 2pt
NB – 3:00 Newbury – Thistlecrack 1/1 1pt
Bank (NAP/NB): + 24.06 pt
Trixie:
1:15 Limerick – Sympa Des Flos 5/4
1:20 Newbury – Chef Des Obeaux 2/1
1:40 Southwell – Pearl Nation 4/7
4 x 1pt (4 pt)
Bank (patent): – 0.62 pt
* form tomorrow I will go for trixie ( 4 bets – 3 x dubles and one triples) to reduce stake and easy for statistic!!! Still testing ROI so only low stake!!!
Good luck tomorrow!
$$$
TBT ( Tips by tracks)- (repost) – 1bet =1pt ( 8/1+ 0.5pt EW ( 2x 0.5pt)) – start bank 100pt – day 8 ( 15 bets – 15 pt):
Chelmsford ( 1. track for profit):
5:45 – Summer Icon 13/2
6:15 – Harbour Vision 13/2
6:45 – Daybreak 5/2
7:15 – Alba Del Sole 9/4
7:45 – Inuk 5/1
8:15 – Samharry 11/4
8:45 – Ode To Glory (Each Way) 14/1
9:15 – Choral Clan 7/1
Limerick ( 27. track for profit, but have realy nice stats):
12:45 Limerick – Glebe Girl (Each Way) 25/1
1:15 Limerick – Sympa Des Flos 6/4
1:45 Limerick – Fairymount Boy 2/1
2:15 Limerick – Pats Oscar 7/1
2:50 Limerick – Ali Bin Nayef 9/4
3:25 Limerick – Lets Twist Again 13/8
3:55 Limerick – Motown Girl 1/1
Will repost latter with bank ( some tip still active).
IMPORTANT – Dont go this bank with high stake per bet, becous i testing it. It will give nice profit for sure, but another 6 month we will go low to see what happen. Start is very bad and probably this is not have consistent profit like Overall tips i post for big play!!! Testing to see if profit tracks will continue to produce more profit then regular Overalls.
Well done all winner today and good luck tommorow!!!
Captain Revelation 12.40 S