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Gone gave a great try from the front at Bath as I was expecting, but I think the early exertions to cement the lead definitely cost her as she was flagging close home and that resulted in her losing by half a length. There was at least four or five trying to get the lead but Joe Fanning stuck to his guns and used up a fair bit of petrol to get the lead.
Doncaster 3:00 – See The Fire 6/1 (0.5pt EW SkyBet 4pl)
It's always a risk going for 2yo's in Group races, but I liked what I saw from See The Fire on debut at Newmarket and I think today's conditions will suit.
She is an extremely well-bred filly, being out Sea The Stars and by Arabian Queen, who was a winner at the highest level (Group 1). The Mare has produced many good horses with Arabian Storm being the one with the black-type, but Spirit Mixer being the highest rated. I thought See The Fire was very impressive on debut, she looked professional, which is always a tough ask on debut for such a young horse. She won with more in hand than the winning margin suggests, as David Probert just nudged her out in the final half furlong to ensure she didn't get complacent. The runner-up went on to win on her next start, which obviously franked the form, and I think today's softer ground might play into her hands a bit more than the good ground she faced on debut. On pedigree, it would suggest that fast ground would be more her game, but her action looks like a horse who would be better on slightly softer ground, so the soft conditions at Doncaster (will probably dry to good to soft come racing) could bring out a fair bit of improvement.
Andrew Balding has been quoted saying that he believes she could be a very high-class filly, and with the pedigree and the way she introduced herself on the scene, he could be correct. This is obviously a big step up in grade to Class 1 level on just her second run, so inexperience might catch her out, but I don't think any horse in this race has shown an unstoppable level of form, and I think she offers great value.
Doncaster 3:35 – Golden Lyra 5/1 (1pt EW WHill 4pl)
Even though Tom Marquand is the retained rider for the William Haggas yard, I think if he wanted to ride Sumo Sam, he would've, but instead, he's gone for Golden Lyra and I think she has a great chance.
This is a step up in trip for Golden Lyra, but based on her previous efforts over shorter I think this is what she needs at this moment in her career. She has done her best running in France, so you might be sceptical with her back on British soil, but I wouldn't read too much into it. The form of her last run at Deauville in a Group 2 over 12.5f has turned into a great race. The winner has since finished 2nd in a Group 1 behind Warm Heart, trained by Aidan O'Brien, and Golden Lyra was only 1.5L behind the winner that day when doing her best running late in the race, suggesting that she needed further, and today she gets that test.
Being by Lope De Vega it's hardly rocket science to see that she performs best on testing ground, so hopefully, the ground doesn't dry out too much.
3:35 Doncaster- divine jewel 12/1 e/w
2:50 Epsom downs – marlay park 5/1
Fast Flo 6.30 Chelmsford @ 70s ew extra top 5
Worth a wee wager
GL
Mountainee -R3…More Love 8/11 ***** Coral
Silly price opened up with considering it was 10/11 before NRs.
🇺🇸 More Love had that won after 2 furlongs!
Done a 4 fold but last one is really only one worth recommending even with the other 2 winning (EVS and 8/15) as 1 was a quarter horse race.
2 furlongs blazed in 20 seconds and change from Rejuvenate at Mountaineer! 😯
Mountaineer R5…Warrior Empress 2/1. ***
Till tomorrow 🛌
Just looked at 2 races at donny the 3.00 and 3.35. No surprise there has been plenty of money for both the favs considering what they both did lto on similar conditions to what they face today.
But I’m going to take both on at the prices.
3.00 Just the 7 runners now which is a pity as I thought Les Bleus was a cracking ew bet but its just a modest straight win bet now.
She was 3rd in a group 3 at Newmarket beaten 4 1/4L by Fallen Angel who has backed that form up by winning a group 1 last weekend at the curragh. She flew home that day to snatch the 3rd spot with an SP of 40/1 so was totally unfenced.
She then went to Deauville and ran in a group 2 on soft and once again flew home.
Both those races were over 7f so surely stepping up to 1m is the right call.
Ryan Moore on board also catches the eye
Les Bleus 9/1 win bet
3.35 Again the fav absolutely hacked up at Goodwood lto in a bog but has been put up 15lbs for that win and I never like backing a horse that has been put up that much.
AOB has never won this race in 15 attempts so ive put a line through Boogie Woogie.
John Gosden has an excellent record in the race having won the last 2 and 4 of the last 8 but his runners would have to prove they will handle the going before I’d back them.
Night Sparkle makes his debut for Andrew Balding and has won his last 4 races but the last race was a h’cap and no horse has ever won this race having won a h’cap lto.
Crack of Light is interesting stepping up in trip and will handle conditions but I’ve landed on Ching Shih 6/1 ew 3 places.
Will love conditions and lto was only beaten 1 1/4L by Arrest who will have a big say in who wins the Leger if as expected conditions stay on the soft side. By Lope De Vega out of Madame Chang who won the group 1 fillies and mares on champions day on heavy ground.
Ching Shih 6/1 ew 3 places
BOL
The time and effort you put into your posts is very much appreciated on here. Win, lose or draw we don’t care, you are a true gentleman. Fingers crossed for you today.
Appreciate that Den I really enjoy trying to work races out and when I do get it right it’s such a good feeling.
Always great to have your insights, DC. I have learned so much from you. The great thing about horse racing is how many factors you have to consider in working out the puzzle.
Namely the bender factor !!! Which one is going to be fixed today !
keep me up 10.55 ew France
wrong colour 11.30 ew France well done all winners yesterday
Muchas Gracia’s 2-42 Marseille 🇫🇷 5-2.
Rubbish ⬆️⬆️
🇬🇧
Doncaster -1.50…Heritage House 11/1 Ew. Paddy Power
Money back top 4 as free bet up to £10
🇫🇷
Le Teste Dè Buch – 5.06…Queen Of Faries 2/1
GL all today
🇬🇧
Just as well I had a look as I thought I posted this above already.
Doncaster -2.25…Johannes Brahms 9/4 Bet365 or other various A-holes
Gluck yoll
Thought Heritage House had that there but take the Ew play especially with combination Tricast paying £58 n change 😉
Onwards 👉
Tricast ?
Combo tricast Elvis. 6x 34p(?)
Apologies I know no point saying when I didn’t post it but rarely would especially in UK race like that.
Usual do minimum of 50p but £2 in my Paddy Power account returned £44 n change. Thought it was £58 but that was all in with Heritage House Ew money.
GIDDY UP! 🏆🏇
YOU HAVE WON £44.55
Combination Tricast (x6)
7. Chic Colombine / 3. Granny Budgie / 11. Heritage House
14th Sep DONCASTER 13:50 EVENT 0m 6f 111y – Win
13:50 14 September 2023
Stake
£1.98
Returns
£44.55.
Does ye
Marlay park 2-50 epsom 3-1
Won this race in 2021 and 2nd last year beaten a neck.
3/4 career wins been at Epsom and won in September here last 2 years.
5 pound lower than last year’s race with the drivers claim.
Trainer had the 1-2 in this last year, he also runs secret strength today 12-1
Al Shabab 2-25 Doncaster
25-1 bet365 ew extra 9 places
See the fire 3-00 Doncaster
9-2 win
6-4 top 2 finish
Bet 365
20-80 stake
Shamwari 3-35 Doncaster
12-1 bet365 ew extra 5 places.
darnation 3.00 nap
larado 2.50 nb
knight sparkle 3.35
knight sparkle 3.35
Marlay park wins in September at Epsom again and trainer got the 1-2 again as last year, if anyone did the forecast well done but alas I just took the win.
see the fire 2nd was pleasing too
Nice shout elvis
Yeah Elvis nice shout.
Was waiting see how first few went and meant to back it but hey long as you and others did 👌
USA 🇺🇸
Canadian 27 x bets at 65p
Struggling to pick what to single?
Probably best few $s on Belmont races 3 and 6 just for prices. 🤔
Deleware -Race 4…Sansa Ariel 5/6
Belmont at The Big A -Race 2..Black Rain 6/5
Race 3…Catalina Crush 10/3
Race 6…Piccata Prince 5/2
Churchill Downs -R6..Sam’s Treasure 15/8. Side bet Reverse/Fc with Dot.
Numbers 1-5
Couple others later but see if one gets in as reserve and other maybe ‘Off Turf
Penn National -R1..Complete EVS Bet365
Looks far superior here but only Bet365 have odds and im vanquished. Still waiting on Email back and there back to doing BOG for USA 🤦♂️
GL all rest of the day
🫡 🇺🇸 👨⚖️
baraq 6.00 ew well done all winners today
6:00 Chelmsford- Dubai venture 11/1 e/w
Belterra -R3…Petty Thief. 8/1 Ew
Paddy Powe **
Way behind the favourite im this race last time bit was its comeback run and definitely needed so at the price small Ew
doves of piece 6.30
7:00 Chelmsford- darker 17/2 e/w
I need this one to win so I can get myself a hooker tonight off adult work 😂💰💰
Sneaked a place but I want a winner dammit ! 😂
Nap for 2moro if you want to get on before any market monement as it’s not the best odds as it is
2:05 sandown – cover point 5/2 💰💰
Race 5 thistledown- polly prissy pants 5/1 I’m backing this one with a name like that 😂
Race 2 horse shoe Indiana – that khenny 5/2
Looked a bit suspect that ride to me
sun festival 8.30
Horseshoe-R9…Spelterini EVS ***
He gets in from reserve but poor price. Godolphin horse and should win but go Reverse forecast 3-2.
No:2 is debut horse with good workouts ,Godolphin trained but not owned and there going well at Indianapolis
Double with last pick Sams Treasure ⬆️ to place or Dot top 3 be possible double with Paddy Power.
Well done winners today