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HERE are Milesey's racing tips for Thursday. Please remember while some of these horses will win others will lose.
4.0 BRIGHTON
ABOVE THE STARS (nap) 11/8 TOTESPORT
Winner of five races from 5f to 6f on ground varying from firm to good to soft. Won on her latest outing when 7-4fav over this course and distance (good to firm) earlier this month, beating Putin by 1/2l. Has won 3 times this season.
LUCKY 15
3.10 Hamilton
AUNTIE MILDRED 5/1 BET365
A winner at 10-1 at Beverley over 5f (good to firm) on her latest outing earlier this month, beating Salvatore Fury by 3/4l.
5.20 Lingfield
BRIGHT GLOW 9/4 PADDYPOWER
A winner at 7f on polytrack. Beaten 1 3/4l by Sylvia Pankhurst when second of 10 at 4-1 on her latest outing here over 6f earlier this month.
8.10 Wetherby
DONT BE LATE 9/4 BETFRED
A winner at 9-2 in a hurdle race at Worcester over 2m 4f (good) on his latest outing earlier this month, beating Princesse Fleur by 4l. Carries a 7lb penalty today for that success.
7.15 Sandown
MODEL PUPIL 15/2 CORAL
Successful at 1m 2f and 1m 4f on good and soft ground. Finished 5l behind Universal when fourth of 9 at 4-1 on his latest outing in the Group 3 Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Stakes at Newbury over 1m 4f (good to soft) last month.
DOUBLE
4.10 Hamilton
CHESTER ARISTOCRAT 3/1 BET365
Successful twice at 6f on firm and good ground. A winner at 11-2 at Haydock over 6f (firm) on his latest outing earlier this month, beating Saloomy by 1/2l. Carries a 6lb penalty today for that success.
3.20 Lingfield
TOPAMICHI 9/4 BETVICTOR
A winner at 1m on heavy ground. Beaten a neck by Alcaeus when second of 12 at 15-2 on his latest outing at Redcar over 1m 2f (good to soft) earlier this month.
SANDOWN DOUBLE
7.50 DANADANA 6/4 LADBROKES
Winner of five races at 1m 2f on good to firm and good ground. Won on his latest outing when 10-3 fav in the Group 3 Huxley Stakes at Chester over 1m 2f (good) earlier this month, beating Highland Knight by 3/4l.
8.20 MONTIRIDGE 11/4 BETVICTOR
Successful twice at 7f on good and soft ground. Third of 6 behind Guest of Honour beaten 2 1/2l at 8-11fav on his latest outing at Windsor over 1m (good) earlier this month.
OUTSIDERS – PLACE and WIN
2.40 LINGFIELD
VANDROSS 16/1 BET365
Yet to place in three starts. Finished 14l behind Tawhid when sixth of 12 at 100-1 on his latest outing at Nottingham over 1m (soft) in October last year.
7.35 WETHERBY
EVERYLASTING 12/1 STANJAMES
Unplaced in all six starts. Well beaten at 6-1 behind Pyjama Game when fourth of 9 on his latest outing in a chase at Sedgefield over 3m 3f (good) earlier this month.
Milesey (Betfair)
GambleAware
Greyhound Derby kicks off live on Racing Post Greyhound TV this Friday and Saturday night, but ahead of that there’s live action from Hove and Monmore on Thursday and also at Romford.
Monmore’s 480m final (20:42) on Thursday evening is the ideal appetizer to start off what has to be a ‘must watch’ weekend on RPTV, although solving this particular puzzle is far from easy. But despite a far from ideal start in the heats last week, Nefan was still able to dominate his heat and with Kinloch Tiger not breaking to the best of his ability lately housed on his immediate inside, Corren Price’s charge should enjoy, what hopefully, will be a wining run from trap three.
The two heats of a 630m competition on the supporting card also look something of a test for punters, but a small lay of A Few Dollarsmore, with a tricky draw outside Amyjane in the first heat (20:10) should yield dividends.
Across at Hove, Tibetan Skies looks difficult to oppose in a four bend contest at 20:02 after Kevin Hutton’s charge’s impressive victory over the same CD last week. His strong running style means it’s hard to envisage him not picking up Droopys Harris, even if the former is able to skip into an early lead.
Hutton can enjoy a profitable evening with Ring The Alarm(20:50) appearing to hold a class edge on her rivals in a Bitches maiden event, while Portavoe Girl could hardly have wished for a better draw outside five railers in a six bend maiden at 22:11.
The re-match between Regency runner-up Musical Gaga – who was finishing even better than Fear Emoski that night – and Ayamzabeauty, beaten only two lengths herself in the final, looks the race of the night, particularly with Beanos Kenny – who went even quicker than ‘Emoski’ in winning a supporting race on the same card – also in the field. But Gaga’s overall profile still makes her the one to beat.
In what appears an equally hot puppy race (20:18), layers might consider a relatively cheap wager on Droopys Odell, who for all his excellent recent form nevertheless looks poorly drawn in a race where both Jaytee Lightning and especially Blonde Razor also have solid claims. Extreme Lad (21:40), without a previous look round, could also be one to take on.
Ernie Gaskin will bid to make it three wins in a week with Oakfield Lucy in the feature Maiden Stayers final (21:24) at Romford on Friday. An impressive winner last weekend, she again used her early speed to good effect in the heats on Monday and can again adopt similar winning tactics.
Millstreet Lar’s consistency at the traps can again serve him well in a 400m contest at 22:11, where a switch to trap three should further enhance his and trainer Paul Young’s claims.
Restbite, a shade unlucky not to get up last Friday, can make amends for Martyn Wiley in a maiden event at 20:18, while Peter Goodfellow, fresh from a three from three treble last Friday, can score again with Rathanny Annie, whose early speed may prove the key ingredient, in a bitches race (21:06).
Dean Childs’ Lughill Valarie, with the benefit of a rails draw this week, can also add to last week’s victory (21:56), while Airforce Roger’s switch to red, inside slow starter Airforce Newyork (22:26) can also score for the popular Essex based handler.
Recommended Bets
Tibetan Skies 20:02 Hove (Thu)
Ring The Alarm 20:50Hove (Thu)
Portavoe Girl 22:11 Hove (Thu)
*******************************
Millstreet Lar 22:11 Rom(Fri)
Oakfield Lucy 21:24 Rom(Fri)
Milesey
D O G S
———–
Tibetan Skies 20:02 Hove (Thu) ** 1ST @ 4/6 **
Ring The Alarm 20:50Hove (Thu)
Portavoe Girl 22:11 Hove (Thu)
Milesey
D O G S
———–
Tibetan Skies 20:02 Hove (Thu) ** 1ST @ 4/6 **
Ring The Alarm 20:50Hove (Thu) ** 2ND @ 2/1 **
Portavoe Girl 22:11 Hove (Thu) ** 1st @ 6/4 **
Milesey
Epsom Oaks
Secret Gesture whom Qatar Racing recently purchased a fifty per cent share in during the week, will face ten rivals in her bid for classic glory in the Investec Oaks at Epsom.
Both Moth and the Sir Michael Stoute trained Liber Nauticus, are joint second favourite’s at 3/1.
Currently 8/1 on the supplemented Hughie Morrison trained filly Banoffee, who has been supported from 12/1 in the past weeks.
Leon Blanche, Head of Communications at Boylesports, commented “Secret Gesture was very impressive in the Oaks Trial at Lingfield and remains a solid favourite with Boylesports at 9/4.”
Secret Gesture 9/4
Liber Nauticus 3/1
Moth 3/1
Banoffee 8/1
Say 10/1
Talent 14/1
Madame Defarge 25/1
Gertrude Versed 33/1
The Lark 33/1
Roz 40/1
Miss You Too 100/1
back TALENT @ 14/1 WIN AND PLACE
*********************************
Milesey
THE DERBY
—————
Runner BY Runner GUIDE
Battle of Marengo has done little wrong since debut, improving again when winning Derrinstown Trial at Leopardstown, beating Criterium winner Loch Garman. Step up in trip will suit in first-time cheekpieces.
Chopin was supplemented for $75,000 by new owner on back of impressive 8-length success in 8.5f Group 3, beating subsequent German Guineas runner-up. Certain he has more to offer stepped up in trip.
Dawn Approach is a top-class and unbeaten son of the 2008 Derby winner New Approach, and was most impressive when winning the Guineas on return last month by 5 lengths. Potential stamina doubt looks the only chink in his armour.
Festive Cheer was an easy winner of a Dundalk maiden at 2 yrs that worked out well and improved again when narrow third in 11f Longchamp Group 2 on return. Further step up in trip will suit.
Flying The Flag is out of the Irish Guineas and Nassau winner Halfway To Heaven, but looks down the Ballydoyle pecking order here having been held in the French and Irish Guineas so far this year.
Galileo Rock looks all stamina, closely related to high-class stayer Saddler’s Rock. Not beaten far in 1¼m Sandown Classic Trial on return and will relish longer trip, but possibly more of a Leger type.
Libertarian was held by Galileo Rock at Sandown but dented some lofty reputations when running out impressive winner of the Dante subsequently, finding plenty. Step up in trip will suit but a lot more needed here.
Mars was favourite for this even before he won 7f Dundalk maiden in good style last summer. Encouraging sixth in the Guineas only run since and will have plenty more to offer over middle distances.
Mirsaale booked his place in the field with success in the 1¼m trial at the course in April. Longer trip will be no problem but has a mountain to climb on form to get involved.
Ocean Applause is a fairly useful maiden but hasn’t beaten another rival on his last 2 starts. Impossible to make a case for in refitted headgear.
Ocovango is an unbeaten French-trained colt who made all readily in 1¼m Group 3 Prix Greffulhe last month. Trainer landed same race before scoring in this with Pour Moi in 2011 and should improve up in trip.
Ruler of The World is a Galileo half-brother to Duke of Marmalade. Another trial winner for Ballydoyle when running away with Chester Vase in first-time cheekpieces, storming clear. Respected with stamina assured.
1. Dawn Approach
2. Mars
3. Chopin
The unbeaten Dawn Approach is a confident selection to confirm his stamina and become the third 2000 Guineas winner in the last 5 years to follow up at Epsom. Ballydoyle will clearly have a major say over how matters unfold with Mars and Battle of Marengo arguably the pick of their hopefuls, while Chopin, the first-ever German-trained runner in the race, can also reach the frame.
Milesey
( betfair )
4:00 BRIGHTON
ABOVE THE STARS ( NAP ) 11/8 TOTESPORT
—————————————–
LUCKY 15
3:10 HAMILTON
AUNTIE MILDRED 5/1 BET365
5:20 LINGFIELD
BRIGHT GLOW 9/4 PADDYPOWER
8:10 WETHERBY
DONT BE LATE 9/4 BETFRED
7:15 SANDOWN
MODEL PUPIL 15/2 CORAL
——————————————
DOUBLE
4:10 HAMILTON
CHESTER ARISTOCRAT 3/1 BET365
3:20 LINGFIELD
TOPAMICHI 9/4 BETVICTOR
——————————————-
SANDOWN DOUBLE
7:50 DANADANA 6/4 LADBROKE
8:20 MONTIRIDGE 11/4 BETVICTOR
——————————————–
OUTSIDERS – PLACE and WIN
2:40 LINGFIELD
VANDROSS 16/1 BET365
7:35 WETHERBY
EVERYLASTING 12/1 STANJAMES
Milesey
SANDOWN PLACEPOT
——————————-
18:10- Tafawuk possibly found the run coming a bit soon when disappointing at Chepstow and it isn’t too difficult to forgive a horse one poor effort, especially at that venue. Tafawuk had looked like a horse to follow when winning on his reappearance at Leicester and remains with potential from this sort of mark. Significant Move was without a win in 2012 but he landed a bit of a touch on his return at Windsor before running respectably at Haydock. He still looks fairly treated based on his old form and should give a good account.
18:40-The draw had been something of a concern for Steventon Star, but his task has been made easier by a few non-runners and the strong-travelling son of Pastoral Pursuits rates as banker material to finish in the first two. His win at York sets the standard and he obviously remains open to further improvement given the way he travelled so strongly on the bridle for much of the way.
19:15- Godolphin look to hold a strong hand in this event – a race in which they boast a pretty formidable record – and it may be worth including their two main hopes, Cavalryman and Colour Vision. Cavalryman was an impressive winner over C&D last year and registered an emphatic victory on his most recent start at Meydan; he still remains relatively unexposed as a stayer. Colour Vision went off the boil a bit after winning the Ascot Gold Cup but he escapes a penalty for that success and has to be respected on his return.
19:50- Danadana didn’t appear at ease around the tight turns at Chester, so it was encouraging that he managed to still prevail, showing a good turn of foot in the process. He has to carry a 3 lb penalty for that victory but he looks like a progressive horse and this track is sure to suit better than Chester.
20:20- There’s not much between all five of these on paper and it could pay to take on the market principals in hope of a Placepot-busting result. Mango Diva built on a promising debut effort when winning at Kempton earlier this month, showing a good turn of foot to burst clear in the final furlong. This is obviously much tougher but she remains open to further improvement. Al Waab was bitterly disappointing on his reappearance at this course, but he boasts some useful juvenile form and it is too soon to completely write him off.
20:50- Trader Jack became a bit of a ‘cliff horse’ last season, always threatening to land a decent prize without ever managing to do so. His keen-going nature often counted against him, however, so a gelding operation over the winter allied with a drop back in trip to a mile could see him in a better light. Gaul Wood is a likeable type who often gives his running, appealing as the sort of horse you want in a Placepot, and he shaped better than the bare result at Chester last time.
Selections:
18:10- 4, 5
18:45- 4
19:15- 2, 4
19:50- 1
20:20- 1, 5
20:50- 5, 8
= 16 lines
—————————–
Winning the Epsom Derby takes about two and a half minutes and requires you to win one race. Winning the Greyhound Derby about half a minute longer and also only requires you to win one race – the final – but that’s as far as any comparisons can go. Before the Greyhound Derby winner is crowned on Saturday June 29, the six dogs will have run in six races (hence the ‘three minutes to win it’ theory) and have overcome over 150 rivals!
There can be only one starting point when looking at this year’s Greyhound Derby – Ballymac Eske. Barrie Draper’s superstar, already being compared with the great dual Derby champion Westmead Hawk, is the one they all have to beat and with the Scottish Derby already safely in the bag, talk of an unprecedented Triple Crown – which would also involve winning the Irish Derby – is already on the street. His impressive Juvenile victory – amazingly his first Wimbledon victory – coupled with the addition of far more early speed in his races should have answered any critics he may have had – not that there were many to start with!
But winning the Derby then suddenly got a whole lot tougher with virtually a ‘who’s who’ of Irish contenders suddenly in the melting pot. But which ones are likely to provide the most serious opposition?
Hardly an easy one to answer with many of them having had little experience of the Plough Lane circuit – although that obviously doesn’t apply to last year’s unlucky semi-finalist Droopys Jet or indeed finalist Judicial Ruling, but both have had little racing of late.
Ballymac Vic is one of the fastest dogs the Irish have, but has had little in the way of luck in major finals so far, while Kereight King, with A P McCoy among his owners, and now with Pat Curtin, has been a prolific winner courtesy of his superb early toe.
Perennial Irish champion handler Paul Hennessy has come mob-handed with any number of his team potential winners. Money Talks is particularly rated by his handler and may do even better at Wimbledon than he has in Ireland, while Priceless Sky also looks ideally suited to the south London circuit.
Graham Holland’s Knockglass Billy has an Irish Laurels victory to his name, but it’s his sprint speed that could take him a long way, and while the trip may be on the sharp side for Tyrur Sugar Ray, you wouldn’t be surprised to see him keep on qualifying, even if his requirement for a rails pitch is of some concern.
Think Derby and the name Charlie Lister is never far away, and rightly so with the ‘Derby king’ the race’s most successful handler ever with six victories. With most of the attention on ‘Eske’ and the Irish this year, Lister has been allowed a relatively quiet route through to the event, but never under-estimate his string. Lemon Pluto may turn out to be his best, granted his early speed and light campaign, while youngsters Golden Wonder and Sidaz Jack could easily belie their tender years.
Champion trainer Mark Wallis has won two of the last four Derbies, with Blonde Snapper still fresh in the mind after his triumph last year, and while his challenge is not quite so obvious this time, dogs like classy Bridge Honcho and high-class bitch Bridge Ruth plus Golden Sprint winner Glanmire Lad – provided he gets the trip – should ensure his participation through to the latter stages again.
And don’t believe Barrie Draper is all about Ballymac Eske. His supporting team of Puppy Derby winner Farloe Warhawk – one of the most prolific winners on the circuit and a greyhound who screams top-class – plus the talent that is Eden Star – what a story that would be given his numerous injury problems – could even provide Draper with multiple finalists come the last Saturday in June.
Matt Dartnall, who came so close with Farloe Ironman 12 months ago, relies on fascinating ex-Irish based Isabels Boy, whose ‘early’ should ensure he goes a long way, while everyone’s favourite Rab McNair, with wife Liz, go to the party with Arc winner Shaneboy Alley, whose status as a wide running early bird should serve him well.
Paul Young’s resurgence in the past 12 months ensures a strong battalion for potential Derby glory with strong-running Teejays Bluehawk and fast Jaytee Hellcat perhaps the best.
Markets are now available on both the Greyhound Derby winner and on the popular ‘back a dog to reach the final’ markets – so get stuck in. It is, after all, the world’s greatest greyhound race, and it’s so much better with a bet!
Milesey
All the early betting moves ahead of today’s racing at Brighton, Hamilton and Lingfield
Brighton
14:30
Atlantis City 4.46 in to 3.95
Ofcoursewecan 7.62 in to 5.9
Brigh 4.09 out to 6.4
15:00
Bloodsweatandtears 4.72 in to 3.9
15:30
Dodina 2.54 out to 3.65
16:00
Above The Stars 2.5 in to 2.18
Racy 3.4 out to 4.6
16:30
Putin 10 in to 6.6
17:00
Majestic Red 9.8 in to 7.6
17:30
Lady Bayside 6.54 in to 3.8
Yojojo 4.27 out to 6
Hamilton
14:40
Royal Opera 1.94 in to 1.57
15:10
Auntie Mildred 5.44 in to 3.95
16:10
Chester Aristocrat 4.15 in to 3.6
16:40
Alsahil 16 in to 7.6
17:10
Alcaeus 1.63 out to 1.79
Lingfield
14:20
Al Zein 8.63 in to 4.8
Whitefall 4.14 out to 5.6
Vandross 10.09 in to 5.5
15:50
Butterfly Mcqueen 1.7 out to 1.83
Astorgs Galaxy 6.22 in to 5
16:20
Vanity Rules 2.53 out to 2.98
Phaenomena 2.73 out to 4.2
Maypole Lass 8.33 in to 6.2
17:20
Bright Glow 2.96 out to 3.95
Moma Lee 4.3 in to 3.55
17:55
Midnight Feast 3.85 out to 4.4
Milesey
Think today I’m going to give the lucky 15 a miss, I backed it when 285/1 but haven’t won any since. Going to back milesy’s outsiders today, good luck everyone
Lingfield Market Movers
14:20
Al Zein 8.63 in to 4.8
Whitefall 4.14 out to 5.6
Vandross 10.09 in to 5.5
OUTSIDERS – PLACE and WIN
2:20 LINGFIELD
VANDROSS 16/1 BET365 ** 3RD **
Milesey
OUTSIDER – PLACE and WIN
7:35 WETHERBY
EVERYLASTING 12/1 STANJAMES ** 3RD **
Milesey
Damm time wrong for vandross haha went for auntie mildred above the stars topamichi and chester aristocrat trebles and quad
Sorry about that, i put it wrong in the main thread. Totally my fault …… was a long day yesterday.
Milesey
No worries least it wasnt a winner haha only a small ew id have had
Double comes in yipppeeeee
4:00 BRIGHTON
ABOVE THE STARS ( NAP ) 11/8 TOTESPORT ** 3RD ** DROPPED WHIP **
—————————————–
LUCKY 15
3:10 HAMILTON
AUNTIE MILDRED 5/1 BET365 ** 5TH **
5:20 LINGFIELD
BRIGHT GLOW 9/4 PADDYPOWER
8:10 WETHERBY
DONT BE LATE 9/4 BETFRED
7:15 SANDOWN
MODEL PUPIL 15/2 CORAL
——————————————
DOUBLE
4:10 HAMILTON
CHESTER ARISTOCRAT 3/1 BET365 ** 1ST **
3:20 LINGFIELD
TOPAMICHI 9/4 BETVICTOR ** 1ST **
——————————————-
SANDOWN DOUBLE
7:50 DANADANA 6/4 LADBROKE
8:20 MONTIRIDGE 11/4 BETVICTOR
——————————————–
OUTSIDERS – PLACE and WIN
2:20 LINGFIELD
VANDROSS 16/1 Bet365 ** 3RD **
7:35 WETHERBY
EVERYLASTING 12/1 STANJAMES
Milesey
DOUBLE
4:10 HAMILTON
CHESTER ARISTOCRAT 3/1 BET365 ** 1ST **
3:20 LINGFIELD
TOPAMICHI 9/4 BETVICTOR ** 1ST **
Milesey
MARKET STEAMER
16:10
Chester Aristocrat 4.15 in to 3.6
WON @ 6/5
always good to get on early ;)
Milesey
You’re so right Milesey:
Odds Total @ 9.00 a.m. 59.28 (11 Predictions)
Odds Total @ 1.30 p.m. 48.88 (Same 11 Predictions)
This means that if you had £10 level bet and they all came in you would be £100+ worse off.
Another useless stat.
Not really useless, just shows the difference, just like a couple of points here and there on a football coupon, can soon mount up to being alot of money on a treble, always good to shop around, and always good to take prices as early as possible, same as for the DERBY, Dawn approach in the ante post market was trading around the 12/1 – 9/1 mark till of cause it’s last race and it blew the opposition apart.
Milesey
Hi Milesey,
Only talking about the same day not ‘Antepost+’ – lol
Yes i know,
Wish i had DAWN APPROACH @ 10/1 though, oh well i have 11/10 so hope it romps away with the derby.
Milesey
Any good suggestions milesey, for a treble with good odds for this evening? :) going on holiday in less than two weeks so could do with adding some more funds to holiday pot.
I have rezwaan, spa’s dancer and ancient times for later. £1 on which returns a good £472.50.
Would appreciate something along the lines :) thanks in advance
DOUBLE
7:25 GOWRAN PARK
ANDALUCIA LADY 9/1 BETFRED
7:35 WETHERBY
EVERYLASTING 8/1 SPORTINGBET
Can find a double, win and place markets would be my suggestion, anything else this evening big odds wouldn’t be confident on picking anything, but it is a poor days racing.
Milesey
…………… sorry just found one
BUNRATTY 4/1
9:10 WETHERBY.
Milesey
BUNRATTY 4/1 ** WINS **
9:10 WETHERBY.
Milesey
Will put my only tip of the day on now (Roy Bowring follower, contacts) – My Sweet Lord
Thats how you do it Mr Milesey !!!!
1/1 ?
like i said come back and talk when you hit a 285/1 4 fold
I have no time for idiots, and surely you shouldn’t be on here after all your sh*t yesterday ?
Milesey
Cheers milesey :) appreciate your help mate. If I win I’ll send you a postcard! Lol
Cheers again :)
i will come back and to talk to you too when i can give 3 losers like you did (very long lond odds) remember !!!!
FRIDAY 31ST MAY 2013
———————————
HORSE RACING
———————–
EPSOM
———–
Waterway Run in the 13:35, She has arguably failed to build upon her Group 3 win in the 7f Oh So Sharp Stakes at Newmarket last September in three subsequent starts, but this represents an easier assignment than Group 1 starts in the Breeders Cup and a creditable 6th of 20 in the French 1,000 Guineas last time.
She is worth chancing at odds of around 11+ in a very winnable Group 3 contest. Maybe the ease in the ground will bring about some improvement in her, too.
Resurge’s form figures at Epsom read 121215772, and it is easy to make a convincing case for him return to winning form on the course today in the 14:10.
He won this race off a 3lb higher mark two seasons ago, and I think we can assume that trainer Stuart Kittow, who saddled a 20-1 winner at Salisbury last week, will have him cherry ripe for this. Look for odds of 8 upwards for him.
He did run below par on his reappearance last season on this course, but that came on unfavourably heavy ground, and the season before he ran a cracker to finish second over track and trip on his first start of the campaign. The story around him in simple then; he is a well-handicapped horse who loves the track and he is likely to be primed for his return. He probably wouldnt want much more rain, though.
Sri Putra doesn’t get the credit he deserves, and it could be that the market has underestimated him yet again in the Diomed Stakes a 14:45. He rates a bet at around the 6 mark.
He is certainly better than a Group 3 horse at his best – witness his York win last season and an excellent fifth in the Prince Of Wales’s Stakes – is officially the best horse in the race, and won first time out last season. That’ll do for me at the price.
The rain throughout the week is good news for Benzanno’s chance in the 15:20.
He goes best with cut in the ground, and luckily the handicapper has dropped him 3lb for a couple of below efforts recently on faster ground. Throw in course forum figures of 4212, and we have a tempting betting proposition at around 12 or bigger.
Recommended Bets
Back Waterway Run at 9.4 in the 13:35 at Epsom
Back Resurge at 7.8 in the 14:10 at Epsom
Back Sri Putra at 5.8 in the 14:45 at Epsom
Back Benzanno at 9.8 in the 15:20 at Epsom
16:00 EPSOM OAKS
Banoffee has quickly established herself in 2 unbeaten runs, winning Newbury maiden before showing big improvement to land Cheshire Oaks, overcoming trouble in running. Can’t dismiss.
Gertrude Versed was off the mark at fourth time of asking when easy winner of an 11f maiden at Kempton in January. Good second to Banoffee in Cheshire Oaks next time but had every chance that day.
Liber Nauticus created good impression on her sole 2-y-o run when winning maiden at Goodwood, and cemented position towards head of betting for this race when landing Musidora at York on return. Big player.
Madame Defarge is from a good family and belied market weakness when making winning debut at Yarmouth (1m) in the autumn. Good third in listed race at Newmarket on return but more needed here. Should stay.
Miss You Too has improved since joining this yard, second of 19 in valuable sales race at Newmarket before third in Group 1 at Saint-Cloud. Pulled hard when second in Oaks Trial at Lingfield and opposable.
Moth left form of 2 runs last year well behind when running out an impressive winner in maiden at the Curragh. Improved another chunk when third in 1000 Guineas and bred to relish this trip.
Roz was very progressive at 2, overcoming long odds to land maiden at Kempton and listed race at Sandown before excellent second in Fillies’ Mile. Ran poorly in 1000 Guineas on return, however.
Say didn’t show much in sole 2-y-o run but much improved this term, better for return when scoring by 9 lengths in 1½m maiden at Cork. Clearly has potential to improve a lot now up in class.
Secret Gesture is a well-bred filly who confirmed debut promise when easily landing odds in Newbury maiden, and most impressive when winning Lingfield Oaks Trial on return. Remains with plenty of potential.
Talent has a smart pedigree and looks on the way to proving that good herself, much improved for step up in trip when landing listed race at Newmarket on return. Trip won’t be an issue but more still required.
The Lark is a out of a half-sister to Sariska. Improved from debut to win maiden at Doncaster, and shaped well when third in listed race at Newbury on return. Will stay but probably flying too high too soon.
back TALENT place and WIN @ 24.0 betfair exchange for the OAKS.
Milesey
FRIDAY 31ST MAY 2013
———————————
HORSE RACING
———————–
EPSOM
———–
Waterway Run in the 13:35, She has arguably failed to build upon her Group 3 win in the 7f Oh So Sharp Stakes at Newmarket last September in three subsequent starts, but this represents an easier assignment than Group 1 starts in the Breeders Cup and a creditable 6th of 20 in the French 1,000 Guineas last time.
She is worth chancing at odds of around 11+ in a very winnable Group 3 contest. Maybe the ease in the ground will bring about some improvement in her, too.
Resurge’s form figures at Epsom read 121215772, and it is easy to make a convincing case for him return to winning form on the course today in the 14:10.
He won this race off a 3lb higher mark two seasons ago, and I think we can assume that trainer Stuart Kittow, who saddled a 20-1 winner at Salisbury last week, will have him cherry ripe for this. Look for odds of 8 upwards for him.
He did run below par on his reappearance last season on this course, but that came on unfavourably heavy ground, and the season before he ran a cracker to finish second over track and trip on his first start of the campaign. The story around him in simple then; he is a well-handicapped horse who loves the track and he is likely to be primed for his return. He probably wouldnt want much more rain, though.
Sri Putra doesn’t get the credit he deserves, and it could be that the market has underestimated him yet again in the Diomed Stakes a 14:45. He rates a bet at around the 6 mark.
He is certainly better than a Group 3 horse at his best – witness his York win last season and an excellent fifth in the Prince Of Wales’s Stakes – is officially the best horse in the race, and won first time out last season. That’ll do for me at the price.
The rain throughout the week is good news for Benzanno’s chance in the 15:20.
He goes best with cut in the ground, and luckily the handicapper has dropped him 3lb for a couple of below efforts recently on faster ground. Throw in course forum figures of 4212, and we have a tempting betting proposition at around 12 or bigger.
Recommended Bets
Back Waterway Run at 9.4 in the 13:35 at Epsom
Back Resurge at 7.8 in the 14:10 at Epsom
Back Sri Putra at 5.8 in the 14:45 at Epsom
Back Benzanno at 9.8 in the 15:20 at Epsom
16:00 EPSOM OAKS
Banoffee has quickly established herself in 2 unbeaten runs, winning Newbury maiden before showing big improvement to land Cheshire Oaks, overcoming trouble in running. Can’t dismiss.
Gertrude Versed was off the mark at fourth time of asking when easy winner of an 11f maiden at Kempton in January. Good second to Banoffee in Cheshire Oaks next time but had every chance that day.
Liber Nauticus created good impression on her sole 2-y-o run when winning maiden at Goodwood, and cemented position towards head of betting for this race when landing Musidora at York on return. Big player.
Madame Defarge is from a good family and belied market weakness when making winning debut at Yarmouth (1m) in the autumn. Good third in listed race at Newmarket on return but more needed here. Should stay.
Miss You Too has improved since joining this yard, second of 19 in valuable sales race at Newmarket before third in Group 1 at Saint-Cloud. Pulled hard when second in Oaks Trial at Lingfield and opposable.
Moth left form of 2 runs last year well behind when running out an impressive winner in maiden at the Curragh. Improved another chunk when third in 1000 Guineas and bred to relish this trip.
Roz was very progressive at 2, overcoming long odds to land maiden at Kempton and listed race at Sandown before excellent second in Fillies’ Mile. Ran poorly in 1000 Guineas on return, however.
Say didn’t show much in sole 2-y-o run but much improved this term, better for return when scoring by 9 lengths in 1½m maiden at Cork. Clearly has potential to improve a lot now up in class.
Secret Gesture is a well-bred filly who confirmed debut promise when easily landing odds in Newbury maiden, and most impressive when winning Lingfield Oaks Trial on return. Remains with plenty of potential.
Talent has a smart pedigree and looks on the way to proving that good herself, much improved for step up in trip when landing listed race at Newmarket on return. Trip won’t be an issue but more still required.
The Lark is a out of a half-sister to Sariska. Improved from debut to win maiden at Doncaster, and shaped well when third in listed race at Newbury on return. Will stay but probably flying too high too soon.
back TALENT place and WIN @ 24.0 betfair exchange for the OAKS.
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Milesey
Mr Milesly – Horses for tomorrow, I have not looked yet, will post my favourite to go in as per normal when i do !!! (gave one today – Won)
ATLETICO MINEIRO v CLUB TIJUANA…. 3am FRIDAY
One of the most fascinating ties of the quarter finals is Club Atletico Mineiro against Tijuana , Xolos were only formed in 2007 but have already earned their place amongst the best in Mexico. Atletico are one of the best sides in Brazil at the moment and are the tournament favourites.
Atletico Mineiro have experienced great success in the local state Minas Gerais championship (winning 42 titles) but have only managed the 1 win in Brazil Serie A. Mineiro have not had the best of years until recently. Finishing 2nd in 1999 was their only decent finish until last year. In 2012 with a fine squad assembled they challenged for the title for most of the long season. Fluminense prevailed in the end but Mineiro more than matched them. Mineiro in this seasons Minas Gerais state championsip have had a good warm up. In a weak regional section were only eternal rivals Cruzeiro challenges them they finished at champions again with an overall record of 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Including in this run was a sequence of 8 consecutive home wins. In Copa Libertadores this season Atletico Mineiro without a doubt have been the most impressive side so far. With 7 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat they have breezed through the tournament scoring 22 and conceding 11. They have a very dangerous squad with Ronaldinho turning back the clock and totally dominating games. Accompanied by tournament top scorer Jo and assisted by crack striker Diego Tardelli and backed up with the exciting midfielder Bernard. Atletico have a clean bill of health and a superb squad of players to choose from.
Club Tijuana are a very young club in Mexico but have all the right infrastructure to go far. They have a single league Mexico Apertura victory from 2012 to their name. Tijuana have not had a good Clausera, indeed they finished 10th of 18 teams with 6 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats. Struggling away from home for the majority of the closing season.Tijuana have been a revelation in this year’s Copa Libertadores however. With a record of 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat, they remain undefeated at home so far despite facing up to the likes of Corinthians, Palmeiras and Millionares. Key men of Xolos are attacking midfielder Fernando Arce, winger Fidel Martinez and defensive mainstay Javier Gandolfini. Missing this game with a suspension is Pablo Aguilar.
ATLETICO MINEIRO – CLUB TIJUANA: BETTING TIPS
A huge game for both sides and another game that I feel could be a cracking tie. I cannot look past Atletico Mineiro though. The home leg looked to have clinched the tie as yet again Xolos started soldidly and indeed raced into a 2-0 lead. Mineiro showed their class though and Diego Tardelli was the difference with a goal and an assist. I cannot see the Mexicans getting anything in Brazil and with a carnival atmosphere planned in Minas Gerais with thousands of Scream mask delivered it could be a horror show for Tijuana. I see an easy home win here and take Atletico Mineiro -1 goal at 1.73 with bet365 . The price on the home side is shortening, take the bet as soon as you can to get the top price.
Milesey
LA LIGA PREVIEW
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Real Madrid v Osasuna
Saturday 16:00 (Live on Sky Sports 1)
Real 1.27 Osasuna 13.5 draw 6.8
Jose Mourinho might not have picked them anyway, but there are some serious players who will not play for Real this weekend: Alonso, Ramos and Ronaldo are among them.
Osasuna are safe, so their long list of absentees won’t bother Jose Luis Mendilibar as much as it would have done if his team had not beaten Sevilla last weekend.
Real have won 10/10 at the Bernabeu in 2013. They’ve scored before half-time in 17/18 home games this season.
Osasuna have made a first-half breakthrough in only one of La Liga’s last 13 rounds. Sure, this won’t be Real’s first XI, but the reserves scored three at Sociedad a week ago, while Osasuna have recently conceded three at Granada and four at Valencia.
Recommended Bet
Back Real Madrid/Real Madrid @ 1.77
Barcelona v Malaga
Saturday 18:00 (Live on Sky Sports 1)
Barcelona 1.27 Malaga 12.0 draw 7.0
Barcelona have won this fixture ten times in a row. An eleventh success would take their 2012/13 points haul into three figures, matching Real’s 2011/12 record.
Sounds academic, but the feat would not go unnoticed in the Spanish press and opportunities to undermine Jose Mourinho are ones that Barca like to grab.
Messi is out for the season, but Manuel Pellegrini is out of Malaga forever at the end of this game. With him will go some of their best players – and most likely their chance of matching this season’s impressive results.
The Anchovies went off a while ago and have lost four straight away from home, conceding 15 times to Sociedad, Valencia and Real Madrid. They were behind at the break in all four.
Barcelona/Barcelona has some appeal at 1.75, but Malaga have scored first-half goals in 7/9 away from home.
Both Teams to Score is a similar price and has paid out in 12/18 at the Camp Nou this season.
Recommended Bet
Back Both Teams to Score @ 1.72
Deportivo La Coruna v Real Sociedad
Saturday 20:00 (Live on Sky Sports 1)
Deportivo 2.62 Sociedad 2.7 draw 3.9
The Sky Sports season finishes with the only match involving two teams with everything to play for.
Deportivo are the best-placed of the four sides who can still go down.
Real Sociedad are second best among the two teams who can claim fourth place, but for the first time in a while all of their best players are fit and available: Griezmann, Illaramendi and Vela have all missed matches recently, but will take their places alongside the more stalwart Xabi Prieto.
Philippe Montanier leaves to coach Rennes after this game, but Sociedad’s first teamers will be playing for themselves. If they win and Valencia don’t take three points at Sevilla – who have won 7/9 at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan – the Basques will play in next season’s Champions League.
Since the end of October, Sociedad are W7-D5-L1 against teams from outside the Big Two.
Deportivo are unbeaten in six at the Riazor (W3-D3-L0) but Sociedad’s firepower – they’ve scored twice or more in 9/14 away from home – might just be too much.
Recommended Bet
Back Sociedad Draw No Bet @ 2.02
Sevilla v Valencia
Saturday 20:00
Sevilla 3.5 Valencia 2.16 draw 3.8
Sky didn’t fancy it, but we do.
Under Unai Emery 8/9 Sevilla home games have produced Over 2.5 Goals.
The Andalusians will finish in mid-table whatever happens, but their ex-Valencia coach should be keen for a good showing against his old club.
The important players – Kondogbia, Medel, Rakitic, Navas – are available and the hosts should at least ensure that both teams score.
We can go further: there have been four goals or more in five of Valencia’s last nine away matches.
Recommended Bet
Back Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.54
Milesey
Well i can talk about this one since i´m portuguese and a Sporting season ticket owner. We do have a very strong squad in the toulon tournament since we are doing preparations for the u20 world cup. I don´t really know anything about the Belgians but about Portugal i can give my input. Portugal´s prime figures are the central defender Tiago Ilori who already is a starter in the Sporting´s main team and is atracting interest from squads such as Liverpool and Valência according to the newspapers. He is highly rated, strong in the air and very quick (holds the Sporting´s academy 100 meters record surpasing Nani´s result). He is still prone to concentration lapses and has some positional errors due to his inexperience. Edgar Ié also central defender, a product of the Sporting Academy who was sold to Barcelona last year. André Gomes, a midfielder from Benfica who played alot of games for their main team including Champions League and Europa League matches. Agostinho Cá also from the Sporting academy sold to Barcelona, highly rated player even more than Ié. João Mário tipped to be in next year´s Sporting main team. Ricardo Esgaio who was Sporting B top scorer (alot of penalties though) and also played some games for the main team. At front Ivan Cavaleiro and Betinho are decent players but are still playing in the B teams. We have a very strong defense and midfield but we suffer the same fate as our main National team without a good goalscorer.
I´m going to bet Portugal but i´m going to warn you guys that the players won´t go hard since they have a World Cup coming up and there is also the typical portuguese slacking when playing friendlies or non oficial tournaments. Going slow and evaluating before betting with more knowledge in the second game.
Nice place and win double up for today Milesey, not on it but good for those that were :-)
…………… thats’s all that went my way today, even the Bulgaria game i went safe +1, and they won 2 – 0 anyway.
DOUBLE
4:10 HAMILTON
CHESTER ARISTOCRAT 3/1 Bet365 ** 1ST **
3:20 LINGFIELD
TOPAMICHI 9/4 BetVictor ** 1ST **
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OUTSIDERS – PLACE and WIN
2:40 LINGFIELD
VANDROSS 16/1 Bet365 ** 3RD **
7:35 WETHERBY
EVERYLASTING 12/1 Stan James ** 3RD **
Milesey
8.20 MONTIRIDGE 11/4 BetVictor ** 1ST **
Milesey
Milesey just seen on Facebook tipster page 6.50 Bath Baron Spy tomorrow night, been backed into 12/1 from 20’s in 20 mins but betvictor still giving 14/1 on it wi BOG, do you think it’s worth an each way bet
Alot of money going on it, can see it at 14/1, you any reason why ? i can see it top weight and top handicapped, was 11th out of 14th last race when it was a 50-1 shot, it has won 11 times at varying distances, and is worth a punt for it seems this is where the money is going.
Milesey
Barons Spy has slipped down the ratings and is now 4lb lower than his victory over course and distance last season but arrives here in dire form.
I see ! this sums it up, it’s a gamble by punters , in the hope that it will produce a decent run and it’s lower in the weights then when it won at bath.
Milesey
on that fb page the guy was saying it’s been dropped back to 5 furlongs and when it was racing further it was running out of steam after that, also gd/gd to soft could suits, gonna shove an ew bet on but not til tomorrow, hopefully the £ will have dried up by then and price will drift. ‘more than a tipster’ his page if your on fb
Tricky race the 6.50. I checked out the runners- Dark Lane is in the mix- one I’ve done before and I think Divine Call is another good each way chance. Short of backing all three I might have to give it a miss.
I have shared ownership in STREET POWER who runs in this race :) :) currently @ 10/1 so i know where my money is going, and looking for some decent prize money as well, will speak to Jeremy in the morning.
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Racehorse Profile
Street Power is a high-grade handicapper who found his feet in his four-year-old season, winning five times. Since then he has always run at least five times each year, and has won multiple races in the last two season, as well as being regularly placed.
He is an enigmatic and on his day, an impressive individual who runs his races using ‘hold-up’ tactics. Virtually all of his wins have come when being allowed to gallop out the back of the field, and then come with a powerful run in the closing stages to steal races from tiring opponents.
He is currently seven, but will race in 2013 as an eight-year-old. Whilst no spring chicken, Street Power still has plenty of winning days ahead of him, as these sort of hardened handicappers thrive on their racing and because he was given plenty of time to mature as a younger horse, it means that he still has plenty of petrol left in the tank. For evidence of this, see his performance at Ascot in July last season, where he won a £7,000 added Class 3 race by coming from last position to lead in the last few strides.
Jeremy Gask is looking forward to another full year of racing from the gelding through 2013, which could start on the All-Weather surface during the winter and then transfer to the grass once the turf season gets going.
Jeremy says of Street Power “He’s an impressive and statuesque horse – he’s got his ways and needs riding in a particular way, but with the right jockey on board and the race run to suit, he always has a chance of winning – and that’s why he’s still winning races. He’s a standing dish at places like Ascot and Kempton, and I’m delighted that he’s going to get a good group of people to follow his exploits in 2013 because he deserves the adulation!”
Jeremy continued “He’s equally as good on the All-Weather as the turf – and takes his racing really, really well. You’ll notice that we took him racing about once a month through 2012, although he had a couple of races together as well. He’s a tough sort and thrives on his racing – I just have to find the right races for him to contest and he will winning for us.”
We expect this gelding will start his 2013 campaign early in the year on the All-Weather surface. He has won six times at Kempton on the artificial surface, so we fully expect to see him back at the track in January, February or March. Once the ground starts to provide options for the gelding on the turf he will return to the grass and run on a combination of the turf and All-Weather through the summer season.
“This lad is enjoying a break though until January, but still has plenty of petrol left in the tank, and he’s as hard as nails when it comes to his physical shape, so I am looking forward to getting another couple of wins from him next season if all goes well. He’s the sort that tends to handicap himself, so we’re always going to be thereabouts – and when the races are run to suit over six or seven furlongs, he’ll be running them down in the final furlong. We also have the option of going for either code [All-Weather or turf] as well, which helps enormously when you’re looking for racing opportunites for him.” added Jeremy.
Street Power will race in the South, but may also go up to tracks such as Wolverhampton or even Ayr if the right opportunities accur for him. However, shareholders should expect to see him race at Kempton and Ascot, all being well.
This is a very likeable gelding who should provide his shareholders with plenty of fun right from the start of 2013. His share period will start on January 1st and run right through to the start of November 2013.
7-Y-O (2005) – Bay/Brown gelding by Street Cry (IRE) out of Javana (USA)
This gelding was bred in America and was sold for $60,000 as a yearling. Street Cry was Irish bred, but did most of his racing in the US, winning a handful of Group 1’s around the World, including the Dubai World Cup. He is the top US sire at present, and stands for a whopping $150,000 and his line runs back to Mr Prospector.
Javana was unraced, but by a decent Brazilian bred mother who is from the Spinning World line.
Race Plans
It is easy to predict where Street Power will do all his racing in 2013. He is a proven winner at both Kempton and Ascot, and so it is those two tracks which will form the heart of his campaign.
However, as we saw last season, there is a good chance that the gelding could also go further afield. Last year he went to Lingfield and also made the trip up to Ayr for the Silver Cup. Jeremy hasn’t ruled out a similar attempt at that race again in 2013 – which would be a great ‘target’ race to win, being worth over £20,000 to the winner. Last year he was drawn on the wrong side of the racecourse, and suffered from a poor kick from the stalls, something Jeremy would be keen to put right if he goes there again.
A look at his racing from last season will show that he is a very competitive racehorse, rarely being beaten too far. His last couple of runs from last season can be ignored, as he was showing the signs of a long campaign, however this gelding has the knack of re-handicapping himself before scoring once again. Perhaps the most important factor for him is the pace of a race – he needs to be able to run off a good gallop, coming through horses in the last eighth of the race. Don’t expect to see him early in his races, he will be buried out the back, biding his time!
This horse also goes extremely well for the stable jockey Raul De Silva, so we expect to see him being ridden by the diminutive Brazilian. However, when Raul is not available, Street Power has been partnered by Jim Crowley, George Baker, Steve Drowne and Dale Swift. For shareholders it means you could well meet a varied group of jockeys at the racecourse!
Jeremy will be seeking out the opportunities which will suit this enigmatic, but decent class performer. We are really looking forward to his eight-year-old season, as he is a great horse to have available to our shareholders, and will be a popular horse to follow, hopefully racing as many times as he did in 2012, when he ran a total of thirteen times.
Race Record
Street Power has enjoyed a very successful racing career to date with regular racing through the last five seasons.
Value Guarantee
We expect to get 3-8 runs from all our horses per share period, however, you should expect periods of no racing as a result of recuperation from injury or training setbacks. This share period runs until November 1st 2013. During that time the horse may be rested or have time away from the track to recover and it is quite normal for a flat horse to have periods of 3-6 weeks rest between races.
With our flat and All-Weather racing shares we provide the following guarantee: If through training setback or injury it appears the horse will not race again in the share period, and it has not run at least twice within the share period, we will transfer you to another, if possible, similar racehorse. Please note that we are unable to pay prizemoney on any transfers but all other benefits are provided.
As a shareholder you must understand that we cannot guarantee your horses performance, a volume of runs (beyond the above guarantee) or that runs will be evenly spaced throughout the share period. This is the chance you take when owning any racehorse and we are unable to make refunds because of share periods which finish early due to injury or retirement. This is the chance all owners, including ourselves, take when participating in a racehorse.
Milesey
i find this website a very usefull tool of information, whatever sport it is. I gave bilash- reg holinsheads horse the other week, as it had won its first time out race the last two seasons, its now been a non-runner in its last 2 races. undoubtedly, trainers have to make a living in lower grade races. just as my local butcher- who makes brilliant chicken and breakfast cobs- come horse raceing trainer and farmer, mr bowering. based in edwinstow, near me in chesterfield. his horses with duck egg after duck egg after it on the form guide, then his horse will pop up at double carpets, at southwell or nottingham. watched 212 on sky greyhounds, impressed with ballymac, i am on king nicky, named after my german shepherd.i,m on holiday in majorca next thursday- no doubt bilash will win when i,m away. Good luck all.
It ran and won today steve at bath :
31ST MAY 2013
BATH 18:50
1st 11 Bilash 16/1
2nd 4 Italian Tom 8/1
3rd 5 Ginzan 8/1
Milesey