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2.15 York
NOCTURN 8/1 ladbrokes
He has won three times at 6f on good to firm and good ground. Won on his latest outing when 2-1 fav at Windsor over 6f (good to firm) earlier this month, beating Blue Jack by a neck. Carries a 6lb penalty today for that success. Has won twice at Windsor this season.
2.55 UTTOXETER
DESCARO SP
Successful in two hurdle races at 2m on good and good to soft ground. Won on his latest NH outing in a claiming hurdle race when 4-1co-fav at Ludlow over 2m (good) last month, beating Lauberhorn by 4l.
3.15 York
MINCE 4/1 paddypower
Winner of seven races at 6f on ground varying from good to firm to soft. Won on her latest outing when 9-4fav in the Group 3 John Guest Bengough Stakes at Ascot over 6f (soft) in October last year, beating Soul by a head
3.40 Fontwell
OWNER OCCUPIER 10/1 bet365
Successful in two chases at 2m on good ground but last win was over two years ago. Finished 14l behind Peak Seasons when fifth of 8 at 9-2 on his latest outing in a chase at Towcester over 2m (good) last month.
4.25 York
PENIAPHOBIA 5/1 bet365
Foaled April 8. Half-brother to Safari Sunset, won at 5f. A winner at 17-2 at Pontefract over 5f (good to firm) on his latest outing earlier this month, beating Sartori by 2 1/4l.
5.10 Uttoexeter
ROBIN WILL SP
Successful in two chases at 2m 7f and 3m on good to soft and soft ground. Third of 8 behind Regal Rumpus beaten 9l at 4-9 fav on his latest outing in a chase at Exeter over 2m 3f (good) last month.
8.10 Bath
ALMALEKIAH 4/1 BETVICTOR
A winner at 6f on the all-weather. Beaten 3 1/2l by Purcell when second of 6 at 9-2 on her latest outing at Lingfield over 6f last month
DOUBLE
2.55 Uttoxeter
DESCARO SP
5:10 Uttoxeter
ROBIN WILL SP
3.40 Fontwell
OWNER OCCUPIER 10/1 bet365
I am so confident on this one I am going to make it my Nap. It has dropped to a nice mark and if it has a good run will take all the beating here, market confidence will make me feel a bit better on this too, for I expect it to be hammered in before off time.
Milesey (Betfair)
GambleAware
OWNER OCCUPIER gets a tentative vote under a nice weight and he might appreciate going up in trip. He struggled behind Peak Seasons when only managing fifth at Towcester but he’s dangerously well handicapped on a return to his best form and should be on offer at generous odds.
8/1 now, can even see it lower in some places.
Milesey
DOUBLE
2.55 Uttoxeter
DESCARO 1.92 betfair
5:10 Uttoxeter
ROBIN WILL 1.96 betfair
Milesey
The Ballymacoll Stud-owned/Sir Michael Stoute-trained filly Liber Nauticus (14:45 York) is out of a close relative to Conduit, who landed a St Leger, King George and a pair of Breeders’ Cup Turf titles in his illustrious career, and the daughter of Azamour can cement her place towards the head of the Oaks market by taking today’s Musidora Stakes. She went into plenty of notebooks when justifying market confidence to impressively land a one-mile Goodwood maiden in September on debut, and with significant improvement expected, she can take this Group 3-event en route to Epsom.
Back Liber Nauticus @ 2.0 in the 14:45 at York
Milesey
YORK PLACEPOT
————————-
13:45 – It is possible to make a case of sorts for the vast majority of the contenders in the opening leg but the pair we have settled on for Placepot purposes are Ruscello and Silvery Moon. The first mentioned arrives here on an upward curve having taken his form to a new level on his last two starts and he remains on an attractive mark having shaped well on his seasonal bow at Kempton last month, whilst Silvery Moon, trained by Tim Easterby, looked in need of his return at Pontefract last time and has now dropped below his last winning mark. The six-year-old ran well on his second start of last term, finishing second in a decent race at Ripon, and he is expected to strip fitter now he has a run under his belt.
14:15 – Non-runners have taken this field down to 15, leaving us with just the three places to aim at, so we will need to take a few in order to make it through. The first to make the cut is Farlow, who hasn’t been with Richard Fahey for long and looks to be building up to something when judged on his latest effort at Doncaster, and it is also worth including Singeur, who travelled well for a long way on his return at Pontefract, when fifth to York Glory, and is certainly not one to be writing off. We’re also going to stick in Mass Rally, who can be a law unto himself but went close more often than not last year and seems certain to be competitive this afternoon.
14:45 – The Musidora Stakes really boils down to just the two, namely Liber Nauticus and Woodland Aria, both of whom have tasted success on their only visits to the track. Given the competitive nature of this card we need to bank in here and the one chosen is the Sir Michael Stoute-trained Liber Nauticus, a close relative to the top-class Conduit, who could hardly have been more impressive at Goodwood last year, should make above-average improvement and rates as an exciting prospect for this season.
15:15 – I really fancy Swiss Spirit to go well here, with the four-year-old making his debut for new trainer John Gosden; he was gradually progressive last year and has always struck as one that could make an impact at the highest level. Slight reservations over the easing of the ground have led to me also including Hawkeyethenoo, who shaped well on his reappearance despite not being seen to best effect and out to come on for that outing.
15:50 – Cockney Sparrow, who made up into a useful juvenile hurdler over the winter, looks to be on a handy mark now returned to the Flat and she appeals as being a decent starting point in the penultimate leg. We’re also going to stick in Opera Box, who hasn’t stood much racing but has looked most promising on the occasions that she has made the track, particularly so when finishing second to subsequent Newmarket winner Boonga Roogeta at Doncaster on her handicap debut last time.
16:25 – Steventon Star is likely to take up a hefty chunk of the Placepot pool in this leg but he meets six horses who have all won, so this is far from a simple assignment; we’re going to take him on with a couple, namely Peniaphobia and Extortionist in the hope that the favourite misses out. The former won with a bit to spare at Pontefract earlier this month, getting the better of a couple of next time out winners, despite obvious signs of inexperience and he seems sure to improve whilst Extortionist looked above average in making a winning start at Nottingham and it would come as no surprise were he to step up on that now.
Selections:
13:45 – 6, 11
14:15 – 4, 10, 16
14:45 – 4
15:15 – 6, 11
15:50 – 6, 12
16:25 – 1, 3
= 48 lines
Milesey
————————————————–
2:15 YORK
NOCTURN
2:55 UTTOXETER
DESCARO
3:15 YORK
MINCE
3:40 FONTWELL
OWNER OCCUPIER
4:25 YORK
PENIAPHOBIA
5:10 UTTOXETER
ROBIN WILL
8:10 BATH
ALMALEKIAH ** non runner **
*********************
DOUBLE
2:55 UTTOXETER
DESCARO SP
5:10 UTTOXETER
ROBIN WILL SP
**********************
Milesey
Following you in on all your tips (equal stake on all bar Owner Occupier), apart from the Descaro and Robin Will singles. First time following your tips so I wish you (and me) the best of luck!
First time betting on the horses too.
Its been raining since midnight and still coming down showers expected till midday with light showers during racing at york gone be looking at soft ground picks likes of –
‘# First Mohican – 1345
#Romantic Settings – 1445
#Maarek – 1515
#Cockney Sparrow – 1550
I’m getting on nocturn 2day and I’m goin av a punt on owner occupier. Some great tips milesey but have you got a double for York pls
Liber Nauticus
2:45 York
Steventon Star
4:25 York
Milesey
If the going turns to soft in the rain today at York then this horse may be a great E/W shout at good odds,pasted this from another site and ive checked the claims so one to look out for if going suits…
”JACK DEXTER 12-1 from 20s , Has long looked the type to make up into a Pattern performer when there is give in the ground, and with conditions looking set to be in his favour at the time of writing, he can spring a minor surprise in the Duke Of York Stakes on the opening day of the Dante meeting (3.15). It’s easy to forget that he made his racecourse debut only just over a year ago, so quickly has he progressed through the sprinting ranks, and he returned as good as ever when winning a Listed race at Doncaster in March. The ground was probably too quick for him last time, when he faced a difficult task anyway under top weight in a race that has worked out extremely well, but conditions might be more in his favour this time; his form figures on ground officially described as soft or heavy read 111111, and the step up from high-class handicapper to Group sprinter is one that has been achieved by many horses in recent years”
Aye Sean, you could do a lot worse than to follow Hugh Taylor of attheraces.com!!! He’s been in profit every year since he started tipping on the site in 2009. (all tips and results are available to see on the site)
hahaha, well he won’t be in any profit today if he put his money on JACK DEXTER will he ?
Milesey
………………. and his 5:00 York tip, RIGHT TOUCH…………….. i’ll take that on with FRANK SPENCER on board ROBOT BOY @ 7/1
Milesey
I did put the post up only a few minutes ago so I knew that it lost. I was just commenting that Hugh Taylor has an excellent tipping record!
Thanks milesey keep up the great work u put into this site with mr f
Liber nauticus & Steventon star
£10 returns jus ova £50 @skybet
All the early betting moves ahead of today’s racing at York, Fontwell and Uttoxeter
York
13:45
Lahaag 7.26 in to 5.8
Itlaaq 16.76 out to 24
14:15
Louis The Pious 8.08 in to 6
Farlow 13.34 in to 9.6
Singeur 11.32 out to 14.5
Secret Witness 24.25 out to 38
14:45
Liber Nauticus 1.55 out to 1.91
Romantic Settings 22 in to 15
Discernable 42 in to 26
15:15
Mince 4.6 out to 5.9
Maarek 12 in to 6
Society Rock 9.2 out to 12.5
Jack Dexter 26 in to 15.5
15:50
Guising 9.6 in to 7.2
Novirak 17.5 in to 10
16:25
Steventon Star 2.26 out to 2.8
Haikbidiac 5.2 out to 8
Extortionist 6.4 in to 4.6
17:00
Right Touch 9.09 in to 7.6
Old Man Clegg 32.72 in to 23
George Rooke 12.73 in to 9.6
Fontwell
14:05
American Spin 4.58 in to 3.7
14:35
Shantou Breeze 6.2 in to 4
16:15
Montefeltro 1.34 out to 1.88
17:20
Benny The Swinger 4.14 in to 3.1
Uttoxeter
13:55
Wishes And Stars 9.6 in to
14:55
Descaro 1.66 out to 1.91
16:35
Natural Spring 3.7 out to 4.8
South Stack 7 in to 4.4
17:10
Robin Will 1.72 out to 1.9
Milesey
Sean Ireland, I was looking at jack dexters soft form looks very appealing so goin to put £10 ew on em n hope e dus da business 4 us.
Got any naps as cert as riskier ?
owner occupier dwn to 5s
Milesey, it appears you have chosen both Stevenson star and peniaphobia for the 4.25 at York. I have followed you on betfair with peniaphobia, should I be looking to change this to Stevenson star? Thanks in advance for your help
Hedge your bets and have ago on both, the ground is changing all the time, not sure how much rain is falling now for not got any live pictures from the course, stevenson star is favourite, but could take it on with PENIAPHOBIA…… it’s going to be an odd day with the market changing all the time to the conditions, either are in with a good chance.
Milesey
WITH 16mm of rain overnight, and more forecast, the going for day one of the York Dante meeting has already been changed from good to firm, to good, good to soft in places.
More than the 10mm predicted fell on the Knavesmire overnight, and while the main band of rain cleared the course at 8am, further showers are expected at least throughout the morning.
“We’re up to 16mm now, and with that in mind we are now good, good to soft in places. We’ve just got a persistent light drizzle at the moment but that is due to clear,” said clerk of the course William Derby.
“We are then expecting patchy rain through to about lunchtime, we could get none, we could get a further 2 or 3mm, and then a more showery afternoon.
“The GoingStick is currently 7.7 and the going is good, good to soft in places. We were anticipating rain so we didn’t water and as such the course has taken it really well. Today is set to be the worst day weather-wise, it should get brighter tomorrow.”
Milesey
Have you picked a NAP for today Milesey?
You won’t get that price now though, has been coming in all morning.
3.40 Fontwell
OWNER OCCUPIER 10/1 Bet365
I am so confident on this one I am going to make it my Nap. It has dropped to a nice mark and if it has a good run will take all the beating here, market confidence will make me feel a bit better on this too, for I expect it to be hammered in before off time.
Milesey
Milesey as you recommended PENIAPHOBIA and STEVENTON STAR do you think tht a reverse forecast is a good idea on tht race
Pick 2 horses to finish 1st, 2nd or 3rd in any order!
The toteswinger is a totepool bet available on races with six or more runners. You
need to select two horses to finish 1st, 2nd or 3rd in any order.
The toteswinger is one bet that gives you three chances to win. Your selections
can finish 1st & 2nd, 1st & 3rd or 2nd & 3rd
Milesey
Cheers,ill have a go on that then.
I see four I’ll do each way- Cheveton- Jack Dexter, Old Lord Clegg in the 5 o’clock of course and Sirius Prospect
Jack Dexter and Hawkeyethenoo ew in 3.15 for big Jim Goldie get on them.
Had a £5 reverse forecast on first Mohican n lahaag returned £77.60 not a bad way start the day
had your double milesey :)
It was my bday on the 12th and i noticed last night i had 10£ free bet on first mochican :D nice 50 quid bday present
get in liber nauticus :)
How did descaro do?
descaro 2nd, molaise lad 1st
Not a good today……………. see my last 2 out and that will be it for the horses today, be finish time, and then time for a beer and to watch the football tonight.
2:15 YORK
NOCTURN * 2ND **
Back Liber Nauticus @ 2.0 in the 14:45 at York ** 1ST **
2:55 UTTOXETER
DESCARO ** 2ND **
3:15 YORK
MINCE ** 10TH **
3:40 FONTWELL
OWNER OCCUPIER ** 4TH **
4:25 YORK
PENIAPHOBIA
5:10 UTTOXETER
ROBIN WILL
*********************
DOUBLE
2:55 UTTOXETER
DESCARO SP ** 2ND **
5:10 UTTOXETER
ROBIN WILL SP
**********************
Milesey
Milesey have you got any tips for the 5:00 @ York
steventon star will not win becouse odds going out but i very doubt it will win
You don’t get worried by a drifter do you ?
Means nothing, just maybe at the price it’s too short so people are looking for value elsewhere, don’t have it beat before it’s run !
Milesey
yes true then i will look at betting at perth any tips milesey
Steventon Star ** 1st **
PENIAPHOBIA ** 2nd **
4:25 York
Milesey
thank you milsey great double mate thanks :)
Some tips for PERTH for Gunner………………………………
PERTH 7:30
CLONDAW KNIGHT
PERTH 8:30
SPECIAL PORTRAIT
………………and an outsider in the 6:30, GREAT OCEAN ROAD @ 9/1
Milesey
5:10 Uttoxeter
ROBIN WILL ** fell at 2 out when just about to take the lead, still on the bridle and boom **
that’s it for the horses for me today………….. goodluck if your doing any races this evening.
Milesey
17:00 York
1st 7. Lancelot Du Lac 9.12 betfair sp
2nd 5. Lazarus Bell 49.06 betfair sp
3rd 17. Old Man Clegg 41.11 betfair sp
Milesey
cheers milesey mate i will have a go and keep up the work mate