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AFTER a day of no racing on Friday it's a briliant day of action on Saturday.
My nap is Jupiter Rex in the 2.45 at Newton Abbot and I'm on it big style.
1:55 DON William Hill Spring Mile DUBAI H ILLS
2:05 HAY Tim Molony Handicap Chase KING FONTAINE
2:20 KEM BetVictor Magnolia Stakes GENZY
2:40 HAY BetVictor Handicap Hurdle LIFETIME
2:55 KEM BetVictor.com Rosebery Handicap GREYLAMI
3:05 DON William Hill Lincoln LAHAAG
3:15 HAY BetVictor.com Levy Board Handicap Chase SYDNEY PAGET
3:35 MUS Totepool.com Royal Mile (Handicap) NEWSTEAG ABBEY
3:50 HAY BetVictor Handicap Chase REGINALDINHO
6.05 Dubai World Cup HUNTERS LIGHT
The Dubai World Cup night card
A lot of the talk about those in the Godolphin Mile (1.10) surrounds Soft Falling Rain and he could literally still be anything, but his form in Dubai isn’t particularly strong and I think Surfer offers plenty of value against him.
Surfer has finished behind Hunter’s Light on his last two starts, both over further than the 1m he runs over on World Cup night, and the drop in trip looks sure to suit given he hit the front on both of those occasions before tiring. He is well drawn and looks to have slipped under the radar a little bit.
Tenenbaum is my idea of the best bet of the meeting in the Dubai Gold Cup at 1.45. He was patiently handled by Andre Fabre last year, progressing as he stepped up in trip, and he caught my eye on his recent reappearance when staying on steadily into fourth behind Ahzeemah, set too much to do and faring much better than Saddler’s Rock, for all the prices don’t reflect that.
What value there was in backing Secret Number for the UAE Derby at 2.25 has all gone and I think Lines of Battle can upset the favourite. It wouldn’t be much of an upset in truth, Aidan O’Brien’s charge thought good enough to run in the Breeder’s Cup Juvenile Turf last year, and he was far from disgraced having been forced wide throughout. Daddy Long Legs had a similar profile to this one prior to winning the race 12 months ago and Lines Of Battle is worth supporting to repeat the feat.
Shea Shea is a short price in the Al Quoz Sprint at 3.05 but he’s very difficult to oppose. Like so many of the Mike de Kock runners, he was badly in need of his reappearance before showing his true colours last time when bolting up in the Meydan Sprint. He had several of his rivals in behind, and whilst the likes of Sole Power and Spirit Quartz can be expected to finish closer with that run under their belts, it will be a surprise if either are good enough to reverse form.
The Dubai Golden Shaheen at 3.45 looks far harder to solve. Mental was impressive on his reappearance and is a worthy favourite but the draw is hardly ideal so it might be worth trying to find something at a bigger price and Kavanagh fits the bill. On the book he isn’t entitled to beat Mental, he was a length behind him in the Al Shindagha Sprint and is now 5 lb worse off, but he went for home soon enough that day before Mental pounced from much further back. Kavanagh has won on turf since then and is worth risking at double-figure odds.
Trade Storm is priced up more on visual impression than solid form in the 4.40 but in a race where nothing can boast a solid profile, it is worth sticking with David Simcock’s charge. He has flourished in Dubai this season, winning his last two starts with loads in hand, and whilst he is a prisoner to luck given how he is ridden, he has the right man for the job in Jamie Spencer. Godolphin are reportedly very confident about Sajjhaa and you could do worse than back the pair.
It’s hard to know what to make of Gentildonna in the Dubai Sheema Classic at 5.20, and a short price is enough to have me looking elsewhere. Await The Dawn probably didn’t achieve a great deal when winning a handicap on his penultimate start but he was very impressive in doing so and I maintain he wasn’t seen to best effect in a messy race more recently. There should be a sound pace on here, which will suit Await The Dawn who is being reinvented by Mike de Kock as a hold-up horse and he is the value call.
The World Cup itself which concludes matters at 6.05 is a cracking renewal and I think Godolphin can win it. Whether it is with Hunter’s Light or African Story I am not quite sure, the latter certainly a very interesting runner given the Godolphin Mile would have been a far easier assignment. He should stay and needs to be kept safe but Hunter’s Light just gets the verdict. He can boast an excellent strike rate, clearly loves this tapeta surface and is positively thriving at present, a good draw in stall 4 sealing matters.
All times GMT
Back Surfer in the 1.10
Back Tenenbaum in the 1.45 (NAP)
Back Lines Of Battle in the 2.25
Back Shea Shea in the 3.05 (NB)
Back Kavanagh in the 3.45
Back Trade Storm in the 4.40
Back Await The Dawn in the 5.20
Back Hunter’s Light in the 6.05
Milesey
GambleAware
Blue Square Lincoln Moneyback
From Blue Square
Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) – Saturday 30th March
3.05 Doncaster, live Channel 4
Doncaster’s Lincoln meeting has been re-scheduled after is was abandoned due to snow last Saturday and Blue Square is carrying over it’s Money Back Special Offer on the one mile handicap.
If your horse finishes second beaten by less than a length in the Lincoln at Doncaster on Saturday, Blue Square will give you your money back as a Free Bet.
This offer is open to both new and existing Blue Square Bet customers.
Offer only valid for win singles and win part of each way singles .
Refund will be made on the horse that finishes 2nd and is beaten by less than one length.
Distances are as follows: Nose=0.05 Lengths, Short Head=0.1 Length, Head=0.2 Length, Neck=0.3 Length
The offer will apply to first past the post and official result as per Blue Square Bet’s racing rules (part 1) 1.
Offer cannot be used in conjunction with any other Blue Square Bet offer.
Refunds will be matched 100% on stakes up to a maximum of £20 and will be in the form of a free bet token.
Maximum refund is £20 per customer per race (e.g. if you stake £200 on a horse and it qualifies for the offer you will receive a maximum free bet token of £20.)
Bets must be placed prior to the race.
The world’s richest race, the Dubai World Cup…
Treasure Beach was an Irish Derby winner in his time but failed to win for Aidan O’Brien last year, best effort when second to Point Of Entry in a Grade 1. Promising debut for this yard and should build on that.
Red Cadeux is a tough and reliable sort who won a couple last year, including the Hong Kong Vase on his final start. Shorter trip and different surface to contend with here so looks opposable.
Dullahan is a high-class performer in America if not the most consistent, best effort last year when winning a Grade 1 at Del Mar. Got worked up and trip sharp enough on return and claims on best form.
Hunter’s Light has an impressive strike rate, and has been most progressive at Meydan this year, winning the second and third legs of the Maktoum Challenge with plenty in hand. Looks one of the leading candidates.
Capponi progressed well in 2012, winning the third round of the Maktoum Challenge before finishing second in this corresponding event. Not seen since then which is a concern.
Side Glance is a consistent performer who won Epsom Group 3 last June before finishing placed on his next 4 starts. Good run behind Sajjhaa on return but should be outclassed in this.
Planteur is a very smart performer, whose 4 outings last term all came at the highest level, including when placed in Dubai World Cup. Made all to win listed race on return and could sneak a place again.
Royal Delta was well held in this last year but things didn’t pan out for her and she’s improved since then, winning 4 times in 2012. Confirmed wellbeing with recent win at Gulfstream and a leading player.
Meandre won a pair of Group 1’s last season, victory over Shareta at Saint-Cloud the pick of them. Held his form well otherwise and should come on for reappearance when tackling an unsuitable trip.
Monterosso won the Dubai World Cup in 2012, but has been well beaten since then, not showing a great deal when down the field behind Hunter’s Light latest. Could easily peak in this again but enough to prove.
African Story has an excellent record on this surface, winning 4 times including the Godolphin Mile last year. Better than ever on return when landing the Burj Nahaar and intriguing contender if staying.
Animal Kingdom won the Kentucky Derby in 2011 but last season was curtailed due to injury (was due to run in this). Has come back looking better than ever, second to Point Of Entry recently, and a leading player.
Kassiano has been progressing really well, winning 3 of his 5 starts this year. Best effort in defeat when second to Hunter’s Light last time and could easily reach a place once more under ideal conditions.
1. Hunter’s Light
2. Royal Delta
3. African Story
The Americans have struggled since this race was switched to tapeta and whilst this is their strongest challenge for some time, they may struggle to contain Hunter’s Light who is a horse that is simply thriving under these conditions. Royal Delta looks the best of those from the States with African Story an intriguing contender if seeing out this longer trip.
The Lincoln, takes place at Doncaster on Saturday…
Majestic Myles was placed in Group 3 company before winning 7f listed race at Chester (for second year running) in July. Ended year with a laboured effort in Park Stakes here, and has stamina to prove at 1m now.
Prince of Johanne has added another big handicap to his tally when landing Royal Hunt Cup in June. Back to form when a respectable sixth of 20 in 7f handicap here on final start, but is vulnerable to less exposed sorts.
Chapter Seven is a hold-up performer who handles cut well, and won 3 handicaps (including over C&D) last year for Richard Fahey. Ran respectably on AW for new yard last time, and better expected back on turf now.
Memory Cloth has shown useful form for this yard, landing handicaps at Ripon and Newcastle in the mud last year. Well beaten on return at Wolverhampton recently, and has plenty to prove now.
Strictly Silver posted some very useful efforts in competitive 7f/1m handicaps on turf last season, and better than ever when winning 8.6f handicap at Wolverhampton 2 weeks ago. Gelded since, and more to come.
Hit The Jackpot is a maiden winner who wasn’t disgraced in the Group 3 Ballysax Stakes in April 2012 for Dermot Weld, but failed to fire in refitted blinkers at Leopardstown in May. Hard to weigh up on debut for new yard.
Brae Hill often goes well in big-field handicaps, and landed this contest last year from an identical mark. Ran poorly on last couple of starts, but folly to dismiss him on return to action.
Lahaag has been progressive in short career, winning Yarmouth maiden in June, and 1m handicap at Nottingham in October. Shaped best when second at York (9f) later that month, and sure to improve further at 4 yrs.
Global Village was in fine form over 7f at Ascot in early part of last season, landing Victoria Cup and in frame in similar races next twice. Mid-field on AW return 2 weeks ago, and that should have put an edge on him.
Justonefortheroad has won twice in the mud over 7f early last season, and bounced back to form when beating Shamaal Nibras narrowly at Leicester (1m) in October. Remains on a handy mark if he can repeat that effort.
Captain Bertie was unlucky when fourth in Spring Mile here last year, and won Spring Cup at Newbury next time. Good second in Bunbury Cup afterwards, and clearly well suited to demands of such races. Big player here.
Eshtibaak continued his progress switched to handicaps when scoring on return at Lingfield (1¼m) last March, and endured a rough passage on both starts since. Remains unexposed, and one to bear in mind.
Swiftly Done resumed his progress when landing 1m events in mud here and at Newcastle last term, and easy to excuse lesser efforts in valuable events on last 2 starts. Capable of going well at a price.
Muffin McLeay landed a gamble in 1¼m Ripon handicap in July, but ran badly on heavy ground on final 2 starts, and wouldn’t want conditions to deteriorate if he’s to have any chance here.
Capaill Liath is pretty useful on his day, but is often held back by temperament, and while it’s easy to overlook a poor effort over an inadequate 6f at Wolverhampton on return, he’s easy to oppose at this level.
Gladys’ Gal cost just $800, but looked a bargain when winning 7f events at Lingfield (AW) and here in the summer of 2011. Absent since, but has attracted ante-post support, and not one to take lightly.
Anderiego won a pair of 1m York handicaps last summer. Also second over C&D off this mark in September, but has saved his best efforts so far for quicker conditions than these.
Chosen Character had an excellent 2012, winning 5 times, including 3 for this rider. Good second at Haydock when last seen in October and no surprise to see him go well on return with conditions to suit.
Jack’s Revenge enhanced good strike rate when landing 1m handicaps at Windsor and Newmarket last summer, and ended last season with an excellent second of 20 over 7f here in November. No forlorn hope on return.
Bancnuanaheireann is an ex-Jim Bolger inmate who has run plenty of good races since joining this yard, including fourth in the Cambridgeshire. Not seen to best effect on final start, and not underestimated now.
Levitate is a hold-up performer who won twice last summer for Alan McCabe, including over C&D. Creditable second at York in July, but well held in Cambridgeshire on final start. Starts off for new yard now.
Dubai Dynamo won twice over 1m and posted several other creditable efforts in 2012. Warmed up for this with a couple of decent efforts on AW this month, but others make more appeal in a race of this nature.
1. Captain Bertie
2. Lahaag
3. Eshtibaak
Captain Bertie was an unlucky loser on this card last year, and his proficiency in big-field events coupled with an ability to go well fresh make him the pick here. Lahaag and Eshtibaak are improving types, and merit consideration in a tough heat to call.
My tips for the national and what i have backed for the win and places:
JOIN TOGETHER 20-1
RARE BOB 33-1
QUISCOVER FONTAINE 50-1
and onto todays racing………………
** NAP ** Jupiter Rex (2:45 Newton Abbot) ** NAP **
1:55 DON William Hill Spring Mile ** DUBAI H ILLS **
2:05 HAY Tim Molony Handicap Chase ** KING FONTAINE **
2:20 KEM BetVictor Magnolia Stakes ** GENZY **
2:40 HAY BetVictor Handicap Hurdle ** LIFETIME **
2:55 KEM BetVictor.com Rosebery Handicap ** GREYLAMI **
3:05 DON William Hill Lincoln ** LAHAAG **
3:15 HAY BetVictor.com Levy Board Handicap Chase ** SYDNEY PAGET **
3:35 MUS totepool.com Royal Mile (Handicap) ** NEWSTEAD ABBEY **
3:50 HAY BetVictor Handicap Chase ** REGINALDINHO **
6.05 Dubai World Cup ** HUNTERS LIGHT **
Back Surfer in the 13:10
Back Tenenbaum in the 13:45 (NAP)
Back Lines Of Battle in the 14:25
Back Shea Shea in the 15:05 (NB)
Back Kavanagh in the 15:45
Back Trade Storm in the 16:40
Back Await The Dawn in the 17:20
Back Hunter’s Light in the 18:05
1. Hunter’s Light
2. Royal Delta
3. African Story
Milesey
OUTSIDER OF THE DAY
——————-
PLACE AND WIN
————–
GARDE COTIERE in the 13.55 at Doncaster. This gelding finished down the field behind Arabian Star in a handicap at Newmarket last May. He refused to settle and was firmly put in his place two furlongs from home. He had previously won a decent event at Newmarket in October 2010 beating Enabling in good style.
This individual has clearly had his issues, but has a touch of class and could go close at a big price for his astute trainer. At present he is trading at 18.0 on the exchange.
Milesey ( betfair )
Milesey pls can you give me a L15 from your tips above. Been cracking my head, going for small stakes today. Its easy to get a lot of losers from the days racing thanks
2.45 Newton Abbot
JUPITER REX
3:05 DONCASTER
LAHAAG
3:15 HAYDOCK
SYDNEY PAGET
MEYDAN
1.45 TENENBAUM
6.05 HUNTERS LIGHT
E/W BETS
——–
1.55 DONCASTER
GARDE COTIERE
3.05
BRAE HILL @ 19.5
I just can’t ignore this massive price for last years winner, and back down to the same mark he won off last year.
…………….. these are what i’m on today, just singles though on all of them, not a day to get carried away with all the racing on, just be selective in your choices.
Milesey
Thanks
Im going to take Frog Hollow E/W in the 1.55
Captain Bertie in the Lincoln
Hunters Light in the 6.05 Meydan
and over at Muss in the 3.35 im gonna take Carry on Sydney
HORSE RACING
————-
** NAP ** Jupiter Rex (2:45 Newton Abbot) ** NAP WIN @ 8/13**
2:05 HAY Tim Molony Handicap Chase ** KING FONTAINE 2ND @ 8/1**
2:20 KEM BetVictor Magnolia Stakes ** GENZY 3RD @ 6/1**
Back Lines Of Battle in the 14:25 ** WIN @ 12/1 **
E/W BET
3.05
BRAE HILL ** 3RD @ 18/1 **
Back Shea Shea in the 15:05 ** WIN @ 2/1 **
3:35 MUS Totepool.com Royal Mile (Handicap) NEWSTEAD ABBEY
** WINNER @ 7/1 ** *8 WINNER @ 7/1 **
Milesey
** NAP ** Jupiter Rex (2:45 Newton Abbot) ** NAP WIN @ 8/13**
2:05 HAY Tim Molony Handicap Chase ** KING FONTAINE 2ND @ 8/1**
2:20 KEM BetVictor Magnolia Stakes ** GENZY 3RD @ 6/1**
Back Lines Of Battle in the 14:25 ** WIN @ 12/1 **
E/W BET
3.05
BRAE HILL ** 3RD @ 18/1 **
Back Shea Shea in the 15:05 ** WIN @ 2/1 **
3:35 MUS totepool.com Royal Mile (Handicap) ** NEWSTEAD ABBEY WIN @ 7/1 **
Milesey
HORSE RACING
————-
** NAP ** Jupiter Rex (2:45 Newton Abbot) ** NAP WIN @ 8/13**
2:05 HAY Tim Molony Handicap Chase ** KING FONTAINE 2ND @ 8/1**
2:20 KEM BetVictor Magnolia Stakes ** GENZY 3RD @ 6/1**
Back Lines Of Battle in the 14:25 ** WIN @ 12/1 **
E/W BET
3.05
BRAE HILL ** 3RD @ 18/1 **
Back Shea Shea in the 15:05 ** WIN @ 2/1 **
3:35 MUS totepool.com Royal Mile (Handicap) ** NEWSTEAD ABBEY WIN @ 7/1 **
Back Trade Storm in the 16:40
Back Await The Dawn in the 17:20
Back Hunter’s Light in the 18:05
HORSE RACING
SUNDAY 31ST MARCH 2013
———————-
FAIRYHOUSE 2.25
ANNIE POWER
ANNIE POWER was most impressive when winning a Grade 2 event at Naas last month and Willie Mullins’ mare is fancied to maintain her unbeaten record today.
Willie Mullins is making a concerted effort to win this for the first time in ten years with a trio of entries. Zuzka landed a Grade 3 at Leopardstown’s Christmas fixture where stablemate Glens Melody was almost 7l back in third. Both are useful but look the second and third strings behind ANNIE POWER here and Ruby Walsh can steer her to her seventh successive victory. She’s proving herself one of the great finds of the season and had few problems beating the classy Defy Logic in a Naas Grade 2 last month.
Winner of three hurdle races and three NH flat races at 2m on ground varying from soft to soft – heavy. A winner at 5-2 in a Grade 2 hurdle race in the Group 2 paddypower.com Novice Hurdle at Naas over 2m (soft – heavy) on her latest outing last month, beating Defy Logic by 3 1/2l.
PLUMPTON 2.30
TOP GAMBLE
TOP GAMBLE looked an above average hurdling recruit when smoothly accounting for a dozen rivals at Ffos Las in early February. Making all, the son of Presenting was always in command and is hard to oppose here in pursuance of the three-timer. He also appears a gelding with scope for considerable progress. The sole concern is that all three runs to date have seen him encounter heavy conditions and he will face notably quicker ground here.
TOP GAMBLE made an impressive winning hurdles debut over 2m at Ffos Las last month and he looks sure to take plenty of beating, despite his penalty, with the step up in trip unlikely to pose a problem.
Successful in a hurdle race and a NH flat race at 2m on heavy ground. A winner at 2-1 in a hurdle race at Ffos Las over 2m (heavy) on his latest outing last month, beating Sidney Melbourne by 6l. Has won twice at Ffos Las this season.
PLUMPTON 3.30
UPTON MEAD
Upton Mead and his young conditional rider have been making hay of late but he is up 15lb for two recent wins and this looks a somewhat tougher assignment. He remains one for the shortlist, whilst Tchang Goon is once again way out of the handicap and Lough Coi has landed both successes this term on heavy ground and faces a demanding ask off topweight under faster conditions.
UPTON MEAD is on an upward curve and although he has been raised 8lb for his 2m4f success here earlier this month, he might be able to complete the hat-trick
He has won three chases from 2m 1f to 2m 4f on ground varying from good to soft to heavy. Won on his latest outing in a chase when 11-8fav here over 2m 4f (soft) earlier this month, beating Callhimwhatyouwant by 11l. Has won 3 times this season.
CORK 4.15
ROI DU MEE
ROI DU MEE has a penalty for his Grade 2 success over Prince De Beauchene at Fairyhouse last month but is such a tough and consistent performer that he can gain his 12th career victory.
ROI DU MEE is enjoying a splendid run of form at present and comes into this fresh on the back of a Grade 2 (3m1f) success at Fairyhouse. Everything points to another bold bid from Gordon Elliott’s improving charge and he makes more appeal than Call The Police. The latter has been in good form himself this season, winning twice, but he was well held latest and needs to raise his game a little to get the better of the selection.
Has won two hurdle races and eight chases from 2m to 3m 1f on ground varying from soft to soft – heavy. A winner at 5-1 in a Grade 2 chase in the Group 2 At The Races Bobbyjo Chase at Fairyhouse over 3m 1f (soft) on his latest outing last month, beating Prince De Beauchene by 2l.
MUSSELBURGH 4.55
SKYTRAIN
SKYTRAIN looks to be going the right way, following up his Lingfield win at the beginning of the month with another excellent display at Wolverhampton last time, finishing second. Like many from the Mark Johnston stable, he can be expected to progress further and makes more appeal than recent Southwell scorer Red Gift and Lingfield winner The Scuttler.
A winner at 7f on the all-weather. Beaten 3 1/2l by Newstead Abbey when second of 6 at 15-8fav on his latest outing at Wolverhampton over 7f earlier this month
GRAND NATIONAL 2013
TIPS
JOIN TOGETHER 20-1
Paul Nicholls has always referred to this horse as a staying chaser in the making and his run in the Becher Chase seems to underline those potential qualities. Just held by the gallant Hello Bud at Aintree he looks likely to improve further when tried over extreme distances and his generally clean and efficient jumping marks him down as a horse to watch closely for the Grand National. The handicapper does not appear to have reacted too unfavourably to Join Together’s Becher run so connections must be very hopeful of following up on the stable’s fine win the Grand National.
RARE BOB 33-1
Rare Bob has been a useful handicapper for Dessie Hughes. The Highlight of his career so far is a win a 42k race at Leopardstown in 2010/11. All Rare Bobs wins have come on soft or heavy ground but that is not to say that this is horse is a mudlark as he has run some fine races on good ground. He has finished fourth in an Irish National as well as running good races in the John Smiths Handicap at Aintree in 2010 and again in 2011. This shows that good ground would not be a handicap to him in the Grand National. More of a concern would be the form he showed at the track when tackling the Becher Chase of 2011. Rare Bob’s trainer Dessie Hughes has a fine record in that race and so Rare Bob’s participation was highly anticipated but he weakened badly after the third last and was beaten over sixty lengths into fifth place. Dessie Hughes record over the Aintree fences in recent years would mean that this horse deserves consideration but his performance in the Becher Chase would dampen enthusiasm.
QUISCOVER FONTAINE 50-1
Quiscover Fontaine finished sixth in the 2010 Arkle Chase at Cheltenham to Sizing Europe so has obviously always been well regarded, Quiscover Fontaine was given an entry in the 2011 Grand National but ultimately did not take up that engagement, connections preferring instead to run in the Irish National at Fairyhouse. Willie Mullins had previously kept the French bred gelding at distances up to 2m 5f so his chances at Fairyhouse were rather unknown with relation to him getting the trip. As it turned out he stayed well to finish fourth behind Organisedconfusion. Willie Mullins did run him in the 2012 Grand National and Quiscover Fontaine was still going well when falling at the 17th fence. That run was rather ignored by most pundits as he was a relative outsider but he was still in with a great chance when he came down. Like many recent Grand National winners he has been campaigned partly over hurdles this season indicating that connections believe there is some scope with the horse’s current chase rating and he looks a very lively contender and should definitely be of interest to those punters looking to for an outsider with a good chance. Still engaged in the Irish National so make sure your bet is non-runner no bet if you are backing him for Aintree.
Milesey
RACING TIPS ARE HERE MR F for tomorrow
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Milesey
Milesey, have posted what I can see. Let me know if anything needs added.