This tip has expired. Please check our free horse racing tips section of the website to find the most up to date.
THOMMO casts his eye over the card at the first day of the Scottish Grand National meeting at Ayr to bring you a tip for every race.
1.50
GALVIN, sporting the Ronnie Bartlett colours carried so prominently last Saturday by Rathvinden in the Grand National, can get favourite backers off to a flying start on Ayr’s Friday card. Galvin was an unbeaten five from five for Gordon Elliott until travelling to Cheltenham last month and wasn’t disgraced in finishing sixth to City Island and subsequent impressive Aintree winner Champ in the Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle. Getaway Trump, fourth to Champ in the Challow Hurdle at Newbury in December, was a disappointment at Kelso last time but would have a leading chance on earlier form.
2.20
DEYRANN DE CARJAC was runner-up in a novice hurdle on this card 12 months ago and has been second-best at Chepstow, Market Rasen and Huntingdon this season. The Alan King-trained gelding was an easy winner at Warwick last May on good ground and is the type to go well fresh.
2.55
MYPLACEATMIDNIGHT represents a bit of value against likely warm favourite Rhythm Is A Dancer, a winner at Ludlow last time. Myplaceatmidnight won with authority at Plumpton last month over 2m 4f and Neil King clearly believes he will stay this extra distance.
3.25
GOLD PRESENT is capable of defying top weight in the Hillhouse Quarry Chase, a Listed contest over 2m 4f. Nicky Henderson’s gelding made a fine return to action at Ascot when third to Politologue and Charbel but flopped in the soft next time. Gold Present will appreciate this slight ease in grade. Born Survivor’s fourth to Aso in the BetBright Handicap Chase at Cheltenham on New Year’s Day puts him in the mix along with Monbeg River, second here to Forest Des Aigles in November. Forest Des Aigles was still travelling strongly when suffering an injury in the Topham Chase at Aintree won by Cadmium, so that form looks quite strong.
4.0
NIVEN is a tentative selection in a tricky-six-runner novices’ handicap chase. The ex-Irish geldinmg has run consistently well on three starts for Phil Kirby.
4.30
YEATS BABY scored with plenty in hand at Musselburgh and the Irish raider looks the one to beat in the three-mile mares’ handicap hurdle.
5.05
FOLLOW THE BEAR has fallen a couple of times, including on his last start at Cheltenham, but is better than his form figures would indicate. The top weight goes on any ground. Elliott and Russell team up with favourite From Eden but he doesn’t look particularly well handicapped.
Morning campers, just back from a week in rainy Algarve. Hard work last w/end trying to get my bets on for Aintree Festival. No betting shops, no bookies in bars taking bets, could only use one of my online accounts SKYBET .
Lucky31 and Lucky31 E/W with SKY paying 4 places.
2.20 A Deyrann de Carjac 7/2
3.25 A Born Survivor 7/2
3.40 N Shallow Hall 6/1
4.30 A Vivant 4/1
5.10 K Sonnetina 5/1. Was 20/1 last night.
3.25 A Dimple 16/1
3.40 N Blonde Warrior 12/1
4.20 F Itsaboutime 14/1 . Was 33/1 last night.
4.30 A Victoria Says 14/1 Was 22/1 last night.
5.40 K Divine Messenger 10/1 Was 14/1 last night.
Be lucky have fun play safe.
Morning all well done winners yesterday
Beggars wishes 3.25a 10-1
Topical 3.40n 20-1
Floating artist 4.10n 22-1
Arthur’s secret 5.05a 9-1
Reckless endeavor 5.40k 10-1
Swiss cross 7.45k 12-1
Rising sunshine 8.15k 16-1
Ew singles & ew super hienz ☘️Gl all
album 2.00 kick on kick on 2.35 festival of ages 3.05 trixie …ayr bets … galvin 1.50 equus miller 2.20 rythm is a dancer 2.55 born survivor 3.25 peppay le Pugh 4.00 hidden dillema 4.30 my way 5.05 well done winners👍👍👍
It’s quiet today 😄 It’s Galvin for me in the 1st in Ayr.
Really Good Looking Card at Newbury this Afternoon.
2:00 – Klopp of the Kop (NAP)
5:50 – Aperitif (each way) / Farnham (NB)
4.10 Newb – Turgenev 10/3 NAP
5.20 Newb – Fabulist 11/10 NB
1.50 Ayr – Galvin 6/5 (added to make a treble)
Good luck everyone 🤞
Good day yesterday with 2/2 well done all other winners.
April – 8.6pts
Ayr 14:55
Rhythm is a dancer 7/2 2pt win
Meydan 18:35
George villiers 4/1 1pt win
Afternoon All.
AYR
16.00. .Boagrius. .4/1
17.05. .From Eden. .9/2
FONTWELL
17.30. .Earl Of Wisdom. .7/1 . .E/W
At local track Bangor tomorrow as usual if anyone else is going.
GL ALL
Katiesheidinlisa 5-20 Newbury 7/2 nap
Star Catcher 4-45 Newbury 15/8 nb
Space Blues 4-10 Newbury 6/5
My Way 5-05 Ayr 7/2
lucky 15
2 singles nap/nb
2.20 Ayr ,Surprised Equus Miller is out to 7/1 lots of talk here about it 20/80 GL
La Maquina
9/2
Win – 17:40 Kempton
Moraawed
5/4
Win – 18:15 Kempton
Dawn Commando
10/11
Win – 20:15 Kempton
Cashel man 3.05 newbury
Some terrible results so far 🤦♂️
makes me wonder sometimes !!!!
Newbury 16-1 25-1, 16-1 and thats just the first 3 races
6400 -1
happens all the time
NOT !!!!
pay no attention to the odds, i guarantee it will improve your results, they are so manipulated they create so much doubt and adding them to your equation only makes things more difficult. no one needs a lecture but it is worth repeating, not to bet for the sake of it or on feelings, unless you are using stakes you dont mind throwing away.
look into each horse in the race you are considering betting on and if there isn’t a strong enough reason to go with one, move on. one of our best tools is the power to be selective and really trusting the good things you spot regardless of odds. that being said there is something to be said for market analysis/monitoring.
In terms of Newbury, SDS and Balding teamed up in the silks – 2 rides in fairness but one was a novice stakes race which is a lottery, anyway they have been smashing it up all over the place since his return to the UK even winning the big trial on Bye Bye Hong Kong yesterday… looked worth a bet especially as it won LTO. also, keep those green and pink silks in mind for this season PF Cole and Raul De Silva, always popping up at big odds.
Terrible today I had looked at Peppi Le Pugh this morning as my best fancy as well then changed my mind put up Turganev… Peppi romped it easily Turganev is still running Detori looked as though he wasnt even trying on it 🤦♂️
Happy with that
Nap wins 11/2 nice drift
Nb wins 15/8
well done again plug, decent strike rate when you nap a horse, keep it up
EW Singles + Lucky15 All Ayr
Cogry 3-35 Ayr 25/1
Ibis Du Rheu 1-55 Ayr 9/1
Wait For Me 4-10 Ayr 11/2
Forest Bihan 1-25 Ayr 9/1
A lot of racing early doors in Australia last chance to see the mighty winx ride her last race . Shame we never had her in Britain.