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IT'S finally arrived – the day of the greatest horse race in the world and Milesey's being lording it up at Aintree all week.
Here are his tips on the day the world will be watching the famous course.
1.45 Aintree
EDUARD 5-1
He has won two hurdle races and a NH flat race from 2m to 2m 1f on ground varying from good to soft. Beaten 3/4l by Mwaleshi when second of 6 at 4-5fav on his latest outing in a Grade 2 hurdle race in the Group 2 Premier Kelso Hurdle at Kelso over 2m 2f (soft) last month. Has won at Carlisle and Newcastle this season.
2.15 Aintree
OVERTURN 15-8
Has won seven hurdle races and three chases from 2m to 2m 3f on ground varying from good to firm to good to soft. Well beaten at 7-2 behind Simonsig when fourth of 7 on his latest outing in a Grade 1 chase in the Group 1 Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase at Cheltenham over 2m (soft) last month. Has won three times this season.
2.50 Aintree
GRAND CRUS 6-1
Winner of four hurdle races and three chases from 2m 4f to 3m on good and good to soft ground. Pulled up four out when 5- 2fav in the Group 2 Argento Chase at Cheltenham over 3m 1f (heavy) in a Grade 2 chase won by Cape Tribulation in January on his latest outing.
3.25 Aintree
OPENING BATSMAN 7-1
Winner of two hurdle races and three chases from 2m 3f to 3m on ground varying from good to soft. A winner at 12-1 in a Grade 3 chase in the Group 3 Racing Plus Chase at Kempton over 3m (good) on his latest outing in February, beating Rolling Aces by 2l. Has won three times this season.
4.15 Grand National
JOIN TOGETHER 20-1
He has won a hurdle race and two chases from 3m to 3m 1f on ground varying from good to soft. Pulled up four out when 9-2 fav at Doncaster over 3m 2f (good) in a chase won by Quentin Collonges last month on his latest outing.
RARE BOB 33-1
He has won four chases from 2m 4f to 3m 1f on soft and heavy ground but last win was over two years ago. Third of 17 behind Rich Revival beaten 2 1/4l at 12-1 on his latest outing in a chase at Naas over 3m (soft) last month.
QUISCOVER FONTAINE 50-1
Winner of four hurdle races, a NH flat race and two chases from 2m to 2m 3f on ground varying from good to heavy. Finished 20l behind Mount Benbulben when fifth of eight at 16-1 on his latest outing in a chase at Thurles over 2m 2f (soft) in February.
5.10 Aintree
SHOTAVODKA 7-1
He has won three hurdle races and a NH flat race from 2m to 2m 1f on ground varying from good to soft to heavy. A winner at 10-3 in a hurdle race at Newbury over 2m (heavy) on his latest outing last month, beating Changing The Guard by 2 1/4l. Has won three times this season.
5.45 Aintree
SGT RECKLESS 12-1
Successful in two NH flat races at 2m on good to soft ground. Well beaten at 8-1 behind Briar Hill when 13th of 23 on his latest outing in a Grade 1 NH flat race in the Group 1 Weatherbys Champion Bumper at Cheltenham over 2m (good to soft) last month. Has won at Lingfield and Wincanton this season.
OUTSIDER OF THE DAY
4.50 Chepstow
IS IT ME 20-1
Has won nine hurdle races from 2m to 3m 3f on good to firm and good ground. Well beaten at 16-1 behind Bondage when 10th of 13 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Perth over 3m (good) in September last year.
Milesey
GambleAware
Milesey,
I’m off to Lingfield later today – any recommendations?
Cheers fella
absolute nonsense was going to have a punt on Cappa Bleu and BallaBriggs but cant get prices
http://www.ozbet.com.au/UI/RacingUI/RaceMeetingDetail.aspx?fixtureDate=06042013&fixtureId=ORP
HORSE RACING AWAY FROM AINTREE
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1.55 LINGFIELD
BRIDGE THAT GAP 5/2
He has won three times from 1m 2f to 1m 3f on polytrack. Won on his latest outing when 11-4fav at Kempton over 1m 3f in February, beating Amana by 1l. Has also won at Lingfield this season.
3.00 LINGFIELD
VAN DER NEER 1/2
Successful at 6f and 7f. Beaten 1 3/4l by Kingsbarns when second of 7 at 5-1 on his latest outing in the Group 1 Racing Post Trophy at Doncaster over 1m (soft) in October last year.
3.40 LINGFIELD
SHAFAANI 1/1
Unplaced in all eight starts. Finished 1 1/2l behind Teophilip when fourth of 12 at 66-1 on her latest outing here over 7f last month.
5.55 LINGFIELD
MARKET TOWN 4/6
Placed once in two starts. Third of 18 behind Code Of Honor beaten 1 1/4l at 9-4fav on his latest outing at Newbury over 7f (good to firm) in September last year.
2.00 CHEPSTOW
OSCARGO ( NAP )
Successful in two hurdle races at 3m on good ground. Beaten 13l by Benheir when second of 4 at 8-13fav on his chase debut at Fontwell over 3m 2f (good to soft) in November last year.
3.55 NEWCASTLE
CAN YOU CONGA 1/1
Full brother to Take Your Partner, won four times at 5f and 6f. Beaten a neck by Riskit Fora Biskit when second of 6 at 4-1 on his racecourse debut at Lingfield over 6f in February.
2.55 NAVAN
AONVARR 6/4
A winner of a NH flat race at 2m 1f on good ground. Finished 13l behind Nearly Nama’d when fourth of 10 at 12-1 on his latest outing in a maiden hurdle race over this course and distance (heavy) last month.
4.00 NAVAN
DYLAN ROSS 7/2
He has won a hurdle race, two NH flat races and a chase at 2m on ground varying from good to soft – heavy. Finished 19l behind Savello when fourth of 6 at 9-2 on his latest outing in a chase at Leopardstown over 2m 1f (good to soft) last month.
4.35 NAVAN
RATHLIN 6/4
Winner of two hurdle races and three chases from 2m to 2m 5f on ground varying from soft to soft – heavy. Beaten 10l behind Dressedtothenines at 12-1 when seventh of 19 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Naas over 2m 3f (soft) last month.
6.50 WOLVERHAMPTON
ATHAAKEEL 8/1
Has won nine races at 6f including 7 wins on polytrack. Beaten 9l behind Homeboy at 16-1 when last of 7 on her latest outing at Lingfield over 6f last month. Has won twice at Wolverhampton this season.
10 OF THE BEST FOR TODAY
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FOOTBALL
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LAY OF THE DAY
Shrewsbury travel to Yeovil for a League One clash this afternoon and while they appear to have been written off by the Betfair market, they can pick up a positive result.
Yeovil are pushing for promotion to the Championship and their cause was aided last week as they recorded their first win in six to climb back into the play-off places. They had just started to wobble after their run of eight straight victories had come to an end at Doncaster towards the end of February.
The Glovers had then gone eight with just one win before Monday, and while they’d only lost two of those games, we’d happily take a draw today. Gary Johnson’s side haven’t won at Huish Park in their last three attempts though – drawing with Crawley and Walsall, and losing to Swindon.
Shrewsbury have picked up eight points from a possible 12 to ease their relegation worries in recent weeks. They are now up to 17th and seven points clear of Scunthorpe who currently top the relegation zone.
Graham Turner’s men hammered Crawley last time out with Tom Eaves netting a hat trick – taking his tally to six goals for the club since his loan move from Bolton. Their form on the road is quite impressive for a team in the bottom half of the division – two defeats in 11, with three victories from their last half dozen.
There may be 11 places between these two sides but Shrewsbury are arguably in the better form and playing away from home doesn’t seem to inconvenience them. That’s why with Yeovil trading around the 1.9 mark, I have to make them my lay of the day.
Recommended Bet
Lay Yeovil v Shrewsbury @ 1.9
BET OF THE DAY
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Portugal today: eight of Sporting Lisbon’s 12 Portuguese Liga home games have produced Under 2.5 Goals and so have 8/12 Moreirense away matches.
Recommended Bet: Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.93 in Sporting Lisbon v Moreirense
on behalf of ” MILESEY “
OVER and UNDER
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Saturday
Reading v Southampton
Motivation could not be any greater for Reading to win. Putting together a string of victories is the Royals’ only hope of pulling-off a miraculous escape from the clutches of relegation. It also offers the chance of payback for jilted Saints boss, turned Reading manager, Nigel Adkins. So expect Reading to come flying out of the traps in that typical Adkins style which, as we saw at Southampton, tends to bring goals.
Interestingly though, Mauricio Pochettino’s arrival has done little to stem the flow of goals at St. Mary’s. Of the nine games played since the Argentine’s arrival, seven have been high-scoring, with two nil-nils. So provided an opponent doesn’t manage to hold out, once one goal goes in, others have always followed.
But not only is holding-on for a 0-0 draw not in Reading’s interests, it’s also something that seems beyond them. The Londoners have conceded more goals than anyone else in the Premier League, with nine of their last ten games producing more than two and a half goals, while Adkins signalled his arrival at the club in typical fashion with last week’s 4-1 defeat at Arsenal.
Recommended Bet: Back Over 2.5 goals @ 1.83
Norwich v Swansea
Norwich are still very much in the thick of the relegation battle, which is surprising given their impressive home form, which has seen them lose just three of 15 matches at Carrow Road.
Woeful away form has been the problem, but at home the Canaries have been on-song, and the secret has been a strong defence. It’s helped Norwich to grind out a number of important victories. But notably there’ve also been a number of low-scoring stalemates. And as a result, Carrow Road has seen the 2nd-lowest number of goals of any ground in the Premier League this season.
Of their last five home games, four ended in such low-scoring draws, combined with a 2-1 win over Everton. But while the win-ratio hasn’t been great, Norwich will know they only need to continue chalking up points in this manner and it will see them stay up.
Swansea are already safe and don’t seem to have the firepower to threaten their hosts, having scored less than a goal a game on their travels this season. But with three nil-nils from their last seven away games, they also look to have the defensive strength to ensure that this match remains low-scoring.
Recommended Bet: Back Under 2.5 goals @ 1.84
Sunday
Chelsea v Sunderland
We all know about the arrival of Paulo Di Canio. The big unknown though, is how will his arrival affect the play of Sunderland.
Well, looking back at his time at Swindon, Di Canio’s side scored 155 goals in 95 games. That’s a goal ratio that would put them on a par with sides lying midtable in the Premier League at present. What’s more impressive though is his attention to defence, with just 76 goals conceded during those 95 matches. That’s an outstanding record which, if he could replicate it in the Premier League, would make his side the most watertight in the division.
Of course, this all conjecture, but there is some evidence to suggest that Di Caprio will try turn Sunderland into a solid unit, before he goes about making them into entertainers. His arrival should also give the players a boost, as they look to impress their new boss, and that, coupled with a cautious approach, could see the Mackems make life difficult for a Chelsea side who’ve become notoriously fickle under Rafa Benitez and who may just lack the appetite should this come down to a battle of who wants it most.
Recommended Bet: Back Under 2.5 goals @ 2.3
Liverpool v West Ham
Once again Liverpool proved a legal means of printing money last week, as they obliged us with goals for the 15th time in their last 16 matches.
And with some of their high-flying neighbours stumbling, it also gave belief to Liverpool’s dream they might still attain a Champions League spot come the end of the season.
To achieve that though, there can be no slip-ups from here on in. But if they are going to fail, it won’t be through lack of adventure. Since losing at home to West Brom, Liverpool have known they’re drinking at the last-chance saloon and have really gone for it. As a result, there’ve been first half goals in all five of their matches since, with some of those strikes coming as early as the second and sixth minutes.
Next up for Liverpool, it’s a West Ham side who are akin to butter in front of an open fire in terms of away form. Two thirds of the Hammers’ away games end in defeat. And this could be one of the most high-scoring ones, if their 3-2 loss in the reverse fixture for this match is anything to go by.
Recommended Bet: Back Over 2.5 goals @ 1.61
on behalf of ” MILESEY “
FOR SUNDAY
The Johnstone’s Paint Trophy final between League 1 side Crewe Alexandra and League 2 outfit Southend United.
I’m very tempted to tip the superbly named Britt Assombalonga of Southend, but my head has to rule my heart and go with the top scorer of the League 1 team.
That man is Mathias Pogba, who has scored 16 goals for Crewe this season. The Guinean international is likely to be priced at around 2.8 to score at any time and is our final pick of the weekend’s fixtures.
Back Pogba to score at 2.8
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off to West London to check out the best bets as QPR host Wigan Athletic – in what is a huge clash for both sides.
As far as relegation six-pointers go, they don’t come much bigger than this – with the hosts looking increasingly likely to be kicking off next season in the second tier.
Harry Redknapp’s side have suffered unforgivable defeats at the hands of Aston Villa and Fulham in their last two games, and are now a whopping seven points from safety with just seven left to play.
The home side will be without winger Shaun Wright-Phillips, who has undergone ankle surgery this week, but other than that it appears that ‘Arry has a full complement to choose from.
Todays opponents Wigan Athletic are the side that Redknapp’s charges will need to catch – which suggests that anything other than a win here will all but condemn the R’s to the drop.
The Latics travel south full of confidence having won five of their last six, and, incredibly, it appears that Roberto Martinez is likely to engineer another miraculous last-ditch survival.
A 1-0 win at home to Norwich last week was a huge result for the DW Stadium side, and, with an extra game to play compared to many of their rivals down the bottom, todays visitors will be desperate to leave Loftus Road with a positive result.
And the away boss will be boosted by the fitness of Callum McManaman, who was withdrawn at half time last weekend due to an ankle injury, but has been passed to play against QPR.
Over 2.5 goals
With both sides desperate for the points in this clash, I have a hunch that we’ll see goals – and Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.87.
A flutter on that market would have paid out in five of QPR’s last six outings, and with 11 goals notched in their last five games, it is clear that it is not a lack of quality in the final third which has been the home side’s achilles heel of late.
‘Arry is not the most cautious of managers at the best of times, but with this game being a case of ‘do or die’, I think we will see the R’s come flying out of the traps on their own patch.
And though results have not been satisfactory in the last couple of games, Rangers have mustered a whopping 21 shots on goal, which suggests that they are capable of carving out chances.
A look at the visitors’ recent results shows that the Latics faithful have also been getting their moneys worth of late.
Backing Over 2.5 goals would have sent you home with a smile on your face in eight of their last nine games, and that is also testament to the open nature of how Martinez likes his side to line up – especially at the DW Stadium.
Both Teams To Score
With an end to end clash in the pipeline, I reckon that, though short, the BTTS market is well worth a look pre-match.
It’s no secret that QPR harbour some real quality in their squad – but even so, they are always likely to ship a goal or two, as shown in recent weeks.
Christopher Samba came in for a lot of stick last week following a disastrous performance against Fulham, and he will be looking to make amends in this clash, but I still think that the visitors have the attacking threat to put their hosts on the back foot.
A bet on this market would’ve paid out in five of QPR’s last half a dozen outings, and five of Wigan’s last seven Premier League away games.
The Latics have not been involved in a goalless draw since February 2012, and that is a telling statistic, especially as QPR have shipped a massive 14 goals in six outings of late.
It is 1.67 for these sides to notch at least one each, and that’s well worth a back.
Wigan DRAW NO BET
QPR go into this game priced as favourites – and with just two wins from their last 10 outings, and one win from nine at Loftus Road, I am struggling to see the value in backing that.
Yes – Redknapp’s side desperately need to take maximum points from this clash, but Wigan are not a side you’d want to play at this stage in the season, and with forward Arouna Koné in impressive form having notched his 10th goal of the season against Norwich, the Latics are always likely to pose a threat.
Wigan are a tempting 3.25 to take maximum points from this clash, and I think that there is real value in that bet – but for the more cautious amongst us, the 2.26 on Wigan DRAW NO BET, with added insurance should the game end in a stalemate, could tick a box.
Recommended Bets
Over 2.5 goals @ 1.87
Both Teams To Score @ 1.67
Wigan DRAW NO BET @ 2.28
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on behalf of ” MILESEY “
Milesey, I’ll try to post some of your football tips later. Talking the dug a walk then going to the Bankies game. Hopefully get back in time to see the race then working at the Sunday Mail tonight.
up and go will win 1.45 @ aintree
” up and go ” think it up and left 8th was it out of 8 :)
up and go run a stunner just unlucky :)
That’s right it was unlucky to get passed by 7 other horses, a stunning ride, humour the man ;)
Sgt reckless what we thinking?
it needed a wee so it stop :)
boy the bell is a good thing at wolver
AINTREE
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1.45 Aintree
EDUARD 5-1 * 4TH *
2.15 Aintree
OVERTURN 3-1 * 2ND *
2.50 Aintree
GRAND CRUS 9-1 * 6TH *
3.25 Aintree
OPENING BATSMAN 7-1 * P/U *
4.15 Grand National
JOIN TOGETHER 20-1 * 12TH *
RARE BOB 33-1 * 5TH *
QUISCOVER FONTAINE 50-1 * 16TH *
5.10 Aintree
SHOTAVODKA 7-1 * 7TH *
5.45 Aintree
SGT RECKLESS 12-1 * 15TH *
OUTSIDER OF THE DAY
4.50 Chepstow
IS IT ME 20-1 * 8TH *
HORSE RACING AWAY FROM AINTREE
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1.55 LINGFIELD
BRIDGE THAT GAP 5/2 * 2ND *
3.00 LINGFIELD
VAN DER NEER 1/2 * 1ST *
3.40 LINGFIELD
SHAFAANI 1/1 * 1ST *
5.55 LINGFIELD
MARKET TOWN 4/6 * 1ST *
2.00 CHEPSTOW
OSCARGO ( NAP ) * 1ST *
3.55 NEWCASTLE
CAN YOU CONGA 1/1 * 4TH *
2.55 NAVAN
AONVARR 6/4 * 2ND *
4.00 NAVAN
DYLAN ROSS 7/2 * 2ND *
4.35 NAVAN
RATHLIN 6/4 * 4TH *
6.50 WOLVERHAMPTON
ATHAAKEEL 8/1 * 7TH *
10 OF THE BEST FOR TODAY
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on behalf of ” MILESEY “