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THE Scottish Grand National takes pride of place on Saturday. Milesey's preview for the big race is on another post but here are his tips for the main event and some others.
7.15 Wolverhampton
SAHARIA (Nap)
Winner of seven races from 7f to 1m 1f on polytrack. Won on his latest outing when 4-7 fav at Lingfield over 1m earlier this month, beating Benandonner by 4l. Has won three times this season.
2.40 Ayr
SAMETEGAL 9/2 BET365
Has won three hurdle races at 2m on good to soft ground. Third of 17 behind Our Conor beaten 18l at 33-1 on his latest outing in a Grade 1 hurdle race in the Group 1 JCB Triumph Hurdle at Cheltenham over 2m 1f (good to soft) last month. Has won three times this season.
3.50 Ayr – Scottish Natonal
RIVAL D'ESTRUVAL 8/1 BET365
Winner of three hurdle races and two chases from 2m 4f to 3m on ground varying from good to heavy. Fell two out when 8-1 at Cheltenham over 4m (good to soft) in a chase won by Back In Focus last month on his latest outing. Has won at Kelso and Carlisle this season.
OUR MICK E/W 16/1 BET365
Winner of a hurdle race, a NH flat race and three chases from 2m 1f to 2m 4f on ground varying from good to heavy. Beaten 10l by Golden Chieftain when second of 24 at 13-2 fav on his latest outing in a Grade 3 chase in the Group 3 JLT Specialty Handicap Chase at Cheltenham over 3m (soft) last month.
FILL THE POWER E/W 33/1 BET365
He has won two hurdle races and a chase from 2m 4f to 2m 6f on good and good to soft ground. Well beaten at 7-1 behind Big Occasion when fifth of 11 on his latest outing in a chase at Uttoxeter over 4m 1f (heavy) last month.
5.0 Ayr
DANIMIX 7/2 BET365
Winner of a hurdle race, a NH flat race and three chases from 2m to 3m 1f on ground varying from good to firm to good to soft. Won on his latest outing in a chase when 13-8 joint fav at Wetherby over 3m 1f (good to soft) earlier this month, beating Real Milan by 3/4l. Has won three times this season.
7.0 Nottingham
LILAC TREE SP BET365
A winner at 3-1 at Kempton over 7f on his latest outing in November last year, beating Swift Bounty by 3/4l.
1:50 Newbury
NOBLE MISSION 11/8 BET365
He has won three times from 1m to 1m 4f on ground varying from good to soft. Beaten 1/2l by Hazel Lavery when second of 10 at 7-2 joint fav on his latest outing over this course and distance (heavy) in October last year.
2:55 Newbury
ROSDHU QUEEN 7/4 BET365
She has won four times from 5f to 6f on good to firm and good ground. A winner at 4-1 in the Group 1 Jaguar Cars Cheveley Park Stakes at Newmarket over 6f (good) on her latest outing in September last year, beating Winning Express by 1l.
3:30 Newbury
OLYMPIC GLORY 4/5 BET365
He has won four times from 6f to 7f on ground varying from good to heavy. Won on his latest outing when 6-4fav in the Group 1 Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere at Longchamp over 7f (good to soft) in October last year, beating What A Name by 1 1/4l.
Milesey (Betfair)
GambleAware
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GOLF
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AFTER ROUND 2 – LEADER -6
THE RBC HERITAGE
Rory Sabbatini @ 250.0 -4 ( 38.0 ON THE EXCHANGE NOW )
Ted Potter Jnr @ 320.0 -3 ( 65.0 ON THE EXCHANGE NOW )
Scott Brown @ 280.0 -2 ( 150.0 ON THE EXCHANGE NOW )
Brian Gay @ 75.0 E ( 160.0 ON THE EXCHANGE NOW )
Tommy Gainey @ 330.0 +1 ( 200.0 ON THE EXCHANGE NOW )
———————————–
Zach Johnson @ 50.0 +2 ** CUT **
Ben Crane @ 80.0 +2
Matt Every @ 240.0 +2
Ernie Els @ 70.0 +4
Michael Thompson @ 95.0 +4
AFTER ROUND 2 – LEADER -6
SPANISH OPEN
Andreas Harto @ 200.0 -4 ( 25.0 ON THE EXCHANGE NOW )
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Ricardo Santos @ 90.0 +5 ** CUT **
Alvaro Quiros @ 80.0 +6
Michael Hoey @ 130.0 +7
Mikael Lundberg @ 400.0 +7
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Milesey
Huge crowd turns out to farewell Black Caviar at Caulfield
MORE than 10,000 adoring fans have gathered at Caulfield to farewell Black Caviar and show their appreciation of the champion.
Wearing a salmon and black saddlecloth and carrying the number 25 to signify her wins, she was paraded around the mounting yard by her strapper Donna Fisher before jockey Luke Nolen wearing her silks jumped aboard.
Nolen cantered her up and down the straight in front of the crowd, which included many children before handing her back to Fisher.
Trainer Peter Moody received a special trophy from the Melbourne Racing Club during the presentation which took 20 minutes.
Moody said Black Caviar had never looked better but it was a perfect time for her to leave the track as a winner.
Victorian Premier Dr Denis Napthine said there would never be another horse like her.
All the jockeys came out in their silks to say farewell to the superstar
Hi,
With so many recommendations, what’s your daily double today?
Regards
DOUBLE
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1:50 Newbury
NOBLE MISSION 11/8 Bet365
He has won three times from 1m to 1m 4f on ground varying from good to soft. Beaten 1/2l by Hazel Lavery when second of 10 at 7-2 joint fav on his latest outing over this course and distance (heavy) in October last year.
2:55 Newbury
ROSDHU QUEEN 7/4 Bet365
She has won four times from 5f to 6f on good to firm and good ground. A winner at 4-1 in the Group 1 Jaguar Cars Cheveley Park Stakes at Newmarket over 6f (good) on her latest outing in September last year, beating Winning Express by 1l.
ADD FOR A TREBLE
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3:30 Newbury
OLYMPIC GLORY 4/5 Bet365
He has won four times from 6f to 7f on ground varying from good to heavy. Won on his latest outing when 6-4fav in the Group 1 Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere at Longchamp over 7f (good to soft) in October last year, beating What A Name by 1 1/4l.
Milesey
OUTSIDER OF THE DAY
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2:20 NEWBURY
HAAF A SIXPENCE @ 19.5
He is 3lb better off for the 1 ¼ length he was beaten by the favourite, Eradicate, last time yet is over twice the price. There is more to come from him and I suspect his high draw could be a positive here.
Milesey
GET IN !!
WOOOOOOOOOOOHOOOOOOOOOOOO
OUTSIDER OF THE DAY
2:20 NEWBURY
HAAF A SIXPENCE @ 19.5 ** WINNER **
Milesey
Gone for 2 Multiples today, Total Stake £25
Pre Half Time Multiple with bet365
1.15 Newbury CACTUS VALLEY 5/1
2.05 Ayr TAP NIGHT 6/4
2.15 Thirsk AL FREEJ 3/1
3.20 Naas SMOKE CHARGER 6/1
3.55 Naas MAAREK 3/1
£1 Trebles (Min £40 Return)
£0.85 4-Folds (Min £460 Return)
£0.75 Accum (£3936
£15 Stake
Post Half Time Multiple with bet365
4.05 Newbury GLORIOUS PROTECT 11/2
4.30 Naas SRUCAHAN 6/1
5.05 Naas EINSTEINS FOLLY 7/2
5.15 Tramore HIGH DESERT 4/1
5.30 Nottingham WICKAMBROOK 9/4
£0.70 Trebles (Min £51 Return)
£0.50 4-Folds (Min £531 Return)
£0.50 Accum (£4333 Return)
£10 Stake
Lets go in search of Saturday’s monster Jackpot pool at Ayr.
There will no doubt be some who are placing a Jackpot for the first time today, lured in by the seven-figure prize, so we’ll quickly run through the rules of the bet before we begin.
Unlike the Placepot, in which you can perm with as little as a 5p unit stake, the Jackpot has a minimum unit stake of 50p, with a minimum total spend of £1. Normally (and, indeed, in this article’s suggestions) the bet will be a permutation, meaning that multiple selections are taken in one or more of the races; this obviously raises your chances, but also your total stake. The amount of permutations (or ‘lines’) on your bet can be calculated by multiplying the amount of selections in each race. Hopefully it’ll all be clear in the selections at the bottom of this article. Here goes…
13:30 – Leg one and I’m already wishing this was a Placepot, as there are a good few in this race that are in-form yet not recently in the habit of winning. The three that fit most readily into that category are Rhymers Ha’, Mubrook and Shanroe Society, and we’ll take the last two of that trio as Rhymers Ha’ may well struggle to get home. We’ll also include Reaping The Reward, who has been off nearly two years but makes his handicap debut from a potentially lenient mark: it doesn’t take a great leap of imagination to see a horse that has beaten Tap Night being well handicapped off 115.
14:05 – In a seamless link, Tap Night actually features in leg two, the Future Champions Novices’ Chase, and what’s more we’re going to include him, a second-placed finish to Captain Conan at Aintree a fortnight ago the best form on offer in this race. Rajdhani Express’ form isn’t far behind that level, and having come in a Cheltenham Festival handicap it’s arguably more solid, while Grand Annual fourth Drumshambo is likeable and may well improve for the return to two and a half miles, which would put him thereabouts.
14:40 – A select field for the Scottish Champion Hurdle, but it can be whittled down to three that holds especially strong claims. Court Minstrel won the Sussex equivalent of this race last time in fine fashion and appeals as still well handicapped despite a 10-lb rise in the weights. Ifandwhybutnot caught the eye when ninth in the County Hurdle, taken wide throughout and paying for covering the extra distance late in the day. Finally, Grumeti has to sneak in there; his absence since winning a Grade 1 at Aintree last spring means he’s probably all-or-nothing, but he was one of the best juveniles around last season and could be well treated on a BHA mark of 153.
15:15 – A fairly weak race for a listed handicap, though a couple of those that posed a threat being non-runners helps us out somewhat. We can attack with two, namely Petit Robin and Sacre Toi. Petit Robin has developed into a thoroughly likeable character this term under crack amateur Nico de Boinville, though the switch to crack professional Barry Geraghty is no bad thing. Sacre Toi strictly has it to do on figures, but given the rate at which he’s been progressing this season it’d be foolhardy to rule out further improvement. Pepite Rose is respected, but reluctantly left out in a bid to save some lines.
15:50 – Ostensibly the toughest race on the card, the Scottish National could wind up being a real line-saver. Basically, Rival d’Estruval is a standout and could be simply too good from a BHA mark of 143. He looked set to beat Back In Focus when falling two out at the Festival, and what price would that horse be in this race off such a mark? We’re going to include a reserve option, though, and Our Mick looks the best option: he appeals as a stayer and is usually a prominent racer, something which often puts horses at an advantage in races like this.
16:25 – It’ll be torturous if we actually get this far, but leg six looks the best opportunity we’ll get for a banker. That banker is Kian’s Delight. Progressive last summer, he returned with an underwhelming run in the County Hurdle but looked much more like his old self when a staying-on eighth at Aintree last time. Finally granted the sort of stamina test that will suit at the same time as his yard hits form, everything looks right for Kian’s Delight to deliver on the last leg. And if he does, I’ll see you on the beach in Antigua!
Selections:
13:30 – 5, 6, 11
14:05 – 1, 2, 6
14:40 – 1, 4, 8
15:15 – 1, 9
15:50 – 4, 6
16:25 – 8
= 108 lines
Milesey
( betfair )
Placepots
NEWBURY 1,7,13,8,4,6
BANGOR 9,2,8,4,6,5
THIRSK 4,7,9,9,3,3
AYR 6,6,3,5,6,2 + Tote JACKPOT
Am on PHIL THE POWER ew in the national good luck folks.
Seen your tip Milesey but left it alone to focus on the football and now i’m kicking myself, serves me right :-)
Followed you outsider tip Milesey. Thank you very much!
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HORSE RACING
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7.15 Wolverhampton
SAHARIA (Nap) ** 1ST **
2.40 Ayr
SAMETEGAL 9/2 Bet365 ** 2ND **
3.50 Ayr – Scottish Natonal
RIVAL D’ESTRUVAL 8/1 Bet365 ** FELL **
OUR MICK E/W 16/1 Bet365 ** PU **
FILL THE POWER E/W 33/1 Bet365 ** 5TH **
5.0 Ayr
DANIMIX 7/2 Bet365 ** 4TH **
7.0 Nottingham
LILAC TREE 3.9 ** 4TH **
1:50 Newbury
NOBLE MISSION 11/8 Bet365 ** 3RD **
2:55 Newbury
ROSDHU QUEEN 7/4 Bet365 ** 4TH **
3:30 Newbury
OLYMPIC GLORY 4/5 Bet365 ** 1ST **
OUTSIDER OF THE DAY
2:20 NEWBURY
HAAF A SIXPENCE @ 19.5 ** 1ST **
Selections:
13:30 – 5, 6, 11
14:05 – 1, 2, 6
14:40 – 1, 4, 8
15:15 – 1, 9
15:50 – 4, 6
16:25 – 8
Result
13:30 – 5, 2, 6
14:05 – 2, 6, 4
14:40 – 4, 7, 9
15:15 – 5, 2, 3
15:50 – 9, 17, 14
16:25 – 5, 7, 6
Milesey