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AFTER a packed Easter Monday card it's back to work for some but not Milesey who is on holiday.
He may be taking it easier but he's still spending time looking for winners and here are his Tuesday tips.
Southwell 4.20
ELUSIVE HAWK
Travelled strongly when notching over track and trip last Monday and rates the one to beat now turned out under a penalty. Arrives in fine fettle and is hard to oppose. Scored at Kempton before last week’s cosy win over track and trip and can shrug off a penalty in this.
Winner of seven races at 6f including five wins on the all-weather (4 FB, 1 PO). Won on his latest outing when 11-8 fav over this course and distance last month, beating Ace Master by 1 3/4l. Carries a 6lb penalty today for that success. Has also won at Kempton this season.
Kempton 3.30
CLOCK OPERA
Preference is for the William Stone-trained Clock Opera who was outpaced over 6f last time and may improve for this extra furlong. The booking of Richard Hughes also appears significant on his handicap debut. Placed twice in five starts. Beaten 4 1/2l by Sand Boy when second of 5 at 3-1 on her latest outing here over 6f in January. Having her first run for a new stable today, previously with Mrs K Burke.
Kempton 4.00
FLEUR DE LA VIE
Signed off 2012 by landing a polytrack hat-trick over this trip, including over C&D for the middle leg. Ralph Beckett’s mare returns from a 225-day break but a 7lb rise may not be sufficient to stifle her improvement if returning in the same mood. She has won three times at 1m 4f on polytrack. Won on her latest outing when 2-1 fav at Wolverhampton over 1m 4f in August last year, beating Honest Deal by 3 1/2l.
Exeter 4.10
ROBIN WILL
Comes into this on the back of impressive wins over 3m here and at Leicester and the drop in trip should not be too much of a problem so he should take all the beating.
Successful in two chases at 2m 7f and 3m on good to soft and soft ground. Won on his latest outing in a chase when 4-6 fav here over 3m (soft) last month, beating Vintage Class by 27l. Has won three times this season.
Fairyhouse 4.05
DAYS HOTEL
It’s difficult to look past DAYS HOTEL. With a top rating of 159 he is very well off at these weights and will prove a tough nut to crack if arriving in the same mood as when readily landing a Grade 2 prize at Naas last time. His biggest danger looks to be Foildubh.
Another small field in which DAYS HOTEL can complete a quartet of Grade 2 victories. Henry De Bromhead’s classy chaser has been beaten just once in his last five starts, when tackling a longer trip at Thurles in January, and his comfortable defeat of Realt Dubh at Naas the following month looks good enough for this.
Winner of a hurdle race and four chases at 2m on ground varying from soft to soft – heavy. Won on his latest outing in a Grade 2 chase when 5-4 fav in the Group 2 Paddy Power.com Chase at Naas over 2m (soft – heavy) in February, beating Realt Dubh by 6l.
Fairyhouse 6.35
TAMMYS HILL
Should prove a cut above these rivals. His record in this sphere is mightily impressive (won or been placed in each of his eight hunter chase appearances when completing) and a repeat of his neck defeat at the hands of subsequent Cheltenham Festival winner Salsify at Leopardstown two runs back would make him near impossible to beat.
This should prove a walk in the park for TAMMYS HILL who twice beat Salsify before narrowly beaten by the Cheltenham winner at Leopardstown. He was racing over a trip too short when behind Warne here in February and should get back on the winning trail.
Has won four chases from 2m 6f to 3m on ground varying from good to soft – heavy. Beaten 6l by Warne when second of 11 at 4-6 fav on his latest outing in a chase here over 2m 5f (soft) in February.
Milesey (Betfair)
My tips for the national and what i have backed for the win and places:
JOIN TOGETHER 20-1
RARE BOB 33-1
QUISCOVER FONTAINE 50-1
BetVictor Grand National 6 Places
From BetVictor
Claim it Now
John Smiths Grand National, 4.15 Aintree 6th April 2013.
40 runners will go to post for the Grand National 2013, the annual highlight of the National Hunt calendar and one of the biggest and most historic occasions in the world of sport.
Last years winner Ballabriggs will be among the field competing in the stamina sapping four-and-a-half mile race over 30 treacherous fences.
Leading online bookmaker BetVictor is paying two extra places on this year’s Grand National when punters will receive 1/4 odds a place 1,2,3,4,5,6.
The offer is available to each way bets placed on the race from 13:00 on Tuesday 26th March 2013.
JOIN TOGETHER 20-1
Paul Nicholls has always referred to this horse as a staying chaser in the making and his run in the Becher Chase seems to underline those potential qualities. Just held by the gallant Hello Bud at Aintree he looks likely to improve further when tried over extreme distances and his generally clean and efficient jumping marks him down as a horse to watch closely for the Grand National. The handicapper does not appear to have reacted too unfavourably to Join Together’s Becher run so connections must be very hopeful of following up on the stable’s fine win the Grand National.
RARE BOB 33-1
Rare Bob has been a useful handicapper for Dessie Hughes. The Highlight of his career so far is a win a 42k race at Leopardstown in 2010/11. All Rare Bobs wins have come on soft or heavy ground but that is not to say that this is horse is a mudlark as he has run some fine races on good ground. He has finished fourth in an Irish National as well as running good races in the John Smiths Handicap at Aintree in 2010 and again in 2011. This shows that good ground would not be a handicap to him in the Grand National. More of a concern would be the form he showed at the track when tackling the Becher Chase of 2011. Rare Bob’s trainer Dessie Hughes has a fine record in that race and so Rare Bob’s participation was highly anticipated but he weakened badly after the third last and was beaten over sixty lengths into fifth place. Dessie Hughes record over the Aintree fences in recent years would mean that this horse deserves consideration but his performance in the Becher Chase would dampen enthusiasm.
QUISCOVER FONTAINE 50-1
Quiscover Fontaine finished sixth in the 2010 Arkle Chase at Cheltenham to Sizing Europe so has obviously always been well regarded, Quiscover Fontaine was given an entry in the 2011 Grand National but ultimately did not take up that engagement, connections preferring instead to run in the Irish National at Fairyhouse. Willie Mullins had previously kept the French bred gelding at distances up to 2m 5f so his chances at Fairyhouse were rather unknown with relation to him getting the trip. As it turned out he stayed well to finish fourth behind Organisedconfusion. Willie Mullins did run him in the 2012 Grand National and Quiscover Fontaine was still going well when falling at the 17th fence. That run was rather ignored by most pundits as he was a relative outsider but he was still in with a great chance when he came down. Like many recent Grand National winners he has been campaigned partly over hurdles this season indicating that connections believe there is some scope with the horse’s current chase rating and he looks a very lively contender and should definitely be of interest to those punters looking to for an outsider with a good chance. Still engaged in the Irish National so make sure your bet is non-runner no bet if you are backing him for Aintree.
49 LEFT IN FOR THE GRAND NATIONAL SATURDAY 6TH APRIL 2013
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Imperial Commander heads a list of 49 horses left in the John Smith’s Grand National at Aintree on Saturday following the five-day stage.
The 2010 Cheltenham Gold Cup hero’s trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies, who has won the world’s greatest steeplechase twice with Earth Summit (1998) and Bindaree (2002), has also left in Major Malarkey and Viking Blond.
The big guns at the head of the market have all stood their ground, headed by ante-post favourite On His Own, whose handler Willie Mullins is also represented by Quel Esprit and Quiscover Fontaine.
Owner Trevor Hemmings has Ballabriggs, the winner in 2011, who tries again. His trainer Donald McCain also has Weird Al, Across The Bay and Cloudy Lane, who is not certain to get a run.
The second, third and fourth home 12 months ago, Sunnyhillboy, Seabass and Cappa Bleu, are set to renew rivalry while other horses with proven Aintree form are 2011 runner-up Oscar Time, 2010 fourth Big Fella Thanks and triple Topham winner Always Waining.
Colbert Station, Teaforthree, Join Together and Chicago Grey are among the other fancied horses remaining in the line-up.
Further spice is added with Manchester United manager Sir Alex Ferguson having shares in both What A Friend and Harry The Viking, both trained by Paul Nicholls.
The eight horses to come out were Prince de Beauchene, Bob Lingo, Tofino Bay, Lion Na Bearnai, Bostons Angel, Beshabar, Wyck Hill and Magnanimity.
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Dutch betting is a very powerful way of increasing the probability of a win scenario. It means betting on more than one outcome in the same event to make money, by Dutching the bets.
Why Use The Dutch Bets Method.
It increases the probability of winning, because you are spreading your stake over more than one runner.
When Is The Best Time To Use Dutching?
If you have more than one fancy in a race and can’t decided which to bet on. You have a choice to either leave the race alone totally, or Dutch your bet ’spreading your stake between the 2 runners you like.’
On a rare occasion as members know we do have the odd dutched bet in a race with The BetPlan.
Does A Dutch Bet Reduce My Returns?
Yes it does, because you are spreading your stake between more than one runner so your return will be lower if one wins, due to the loss on the other runner (but remember one must win). Both horses can’t win and if there is a dead heat then your odds will be reduced.
Can I Dutch My Bet On More Than 2 Horses?
Of course you can, but remember although your chances of winning may increase by having more horses running for you. The overall return on investment will reduce because your stake will be spread over more runners.
How Do I Calculate How Much To Put On Each Horse?
There is a formula to work out the spread of stake, but most people now use dutching calculators.
Here are a couple of links to the better race calculators that are free to use.
UK Horse Racing calculator
OddsChecker Calculator
Do I Always Have To Stake To Get The Same Return On Every Horse?
No, there are a number of ways to alter your stake, depending on how you feel about the runners. You could just cover stake one or a number of runners. This means if you really fancy horse A, but are worried about horse B.
Then you just reduce the amount on horse B to win back your stake only, then increase the percentage on your main fancy horse A to win more profit. In other works an insurance policy on horse B.
Are There Systems I Can Use On Dutching?
There are many systems that have been built around dutch betting over the years, because of the higher percentage strike rate. Some are better than others I will at a later date follow this subject and give you a few systems you can use, so watch this space.
Does Dutching Make More More Than Other Types Of Bets?
Used properly and with practice dutch betting can be very profitable, but like anything else the better you get at it the more money you make.
Allegedly this style of betting was named after Al Capone’s accountant (Dutch Schultz) who invented it and who I’m I to argue, they did make a lot of money. However it might have been because the bookie wouldn’t argue over which runners were bet on.
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Hedging Bets
Bet hedging is an essential strategy for any punter looking to make profits out of sports betting in the long run. Statistically speaking all sports bettors are looking at a long term loss if they are unable to overcome the house-edge that is built into the systems bookmakers use to determine odds on sports events.
Hedge betting serve can serve two purposes for punters. On the one hand it can provide insurance on a primary selection failing to generate a return. Hedge betting can also significantly improve the probability of bets on any given event generating a profit.
What is Hedge Betting?
Simply put, hedge betting involves placing more than one bet on a single sports event. By covering a variety of different outcomes a sports bettor will hope to increase his chances of earning an overall profit by winning one of these bets.
There are many different types of hedge bets. Each-way betting is a well known form of hedge betting where a bet on a place and a win is placed on a single selection. Alternatively a number of selections will be made in the outright markets for a sports event in the hope that one of these wins.
Hedge betting can also involve putting a number of different types of bets on a single sports event – for example backing one team to win a football match and then betting on the other team to win by a specific margin or with a specific score.
Are there risks?
All sports betting carries an element of risk. Hedge betting carries lower risk than placing a single bet on an event, however this comes at a cost in terms of profits generated. Profit margins on hedge bets are normally narrower than on single bets, and punters who pursue this strategy in the long term must prepare for occasionally losing all their bets on a specific event.
Hedge Betting Example:
A punter wishes to place a bet on a tennis match between Serena Williams and her sister Venus Williams. Serena is priced at Evens for the match while Venus is trading at 2/1.
The punter is keen on backing Serena at these odds but wishes to cover himself in the event that Venus engineers an upset. He is confident that the match will be hard-fought and go to three sets, and therefore decides to hedge his bet on Serena by backing Venus for a 2-1 victory in the set betting markets at odds of 5/1.
The punter backs Serena in the match betting markets with $10 and places a $3 bet on Venus Williams in the set betting market. If Serena Williams wins the match he will earn a $7 profit overall ($10 – $3), while a 2-1 win by Venus will generate a profit of $5 ($15 – $10).
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What is scalping on Betfair?
Scalping is short term trading. It is a form of sports arbitrage betting. A scalping trader looks to make lots of small profits, which in time add up. Scalping relies on lots of active participants in the market. Scalping on Betfair on UK horse racing is the best place for this type of sports arbitrage betting. This is because you have lots of liquidity in these markets, in particular just before the start of the race, because you get a surge of money coming into the market.
The concept is simple, if you back a price you must lay at a lower price, or, if you lay a price you must back a higher price to make a profit. Whatever happens your profit is guaranteed and is equal to the difference or spread between the back and lay price. The Betfair betting exchange is an ideal place to trade in this way.
Scalping on Betfair basics
You can scalp any betting market. However, you must have enough people participating in the market or enough liquidity. The UK horse racing market on Betfair lends its self to scalping because of the amount of participants and volume of money entering the market. When we talk about scalping here we will be referring to UK horse racing for the reasons mentioned.
Scalping on Betfair involves pre race scalping rather than trading prices when a horse race is in play. The pre race market is not susceptible to out side events like ‘in play’ markets, reducing the risk.
Scalping a pre race market involves popping in an out of the market taking quick small profits. These are called scratch trades. With the pre race market there is no danger that the price is going to shoot off in one direction, for example, if a rider falls of the horse.
Scalping this pre race market on Betfair is good because the race hasn’t actually started. There are no physical events happening that are moving the market. But, the price still moves around enough to make money. This movement in the price is really just noise (random movement in odds). Scalping this market with larger stakes is less risky because there is no excessive volatility. Scalping on Betfair with larger stakes is where profits can really pick up.
The Betfair betting exchange is good for scalping because you can back and lay the favourite horse quickly.
If you would like an account with the Betfair betting exchange we suggest you look at our Betfair free bet page so you can get a free bet when you sign up.
Are scalping opportunities on Betfair consistent?
Scalping opportunities are presented with every UK horse racing event that is covered on the Betfair betting exchange.
Scalping common mistakes ?
Not keeping to timescale’s
Remember scalping on Betfair involves only a short timescale. You can’t let your opinion of whether or not a horse might actually win effect your judgment. Sometimes the odds movement of a horse can give the impression it might win. For example, if the odds shorten continuously this is an indication the sentiment has dramatically improved for the horse. A horse with odds like this is called a steamer. Never back a horse who looks like it might win because this is plain gambling not trading.
Not getting out quickly
Scalping on Betfair really does have to be short term. We have no idea where the price will go. If the trade becomes unprofitable, you have to assume that the loss will get worse and get out quickly. If you let a price continue to move to far you can wipe out all your profits for that session. The key is to scalp your profits quickly and and cut losses even quicker. Set an acceptable level of profit you expect possibly 2 to 3 ticks. If it moves again you cut your losses at 1 or 2 ticks. Each scalping scratch trade should have a time scale of 10 to 20 seconds at most.
Not appreciating the benefits of a scratch trade
Scratch trades are a form of scalping when the trader enters and exits the trade very quickly. This form of scalping is all about money management and involves cutting loses from loosing scalping trades quickly. Some people don’t like scratch trades because the odds can continue to move in a profitable direction after exiting the trade. This can be annoying because the trader has missed out on a profit. But, a scratch trade will get the trader out if the prices moves in the wrong direction. Trading psychology matters. A missed profit has a different effect on some people than a saved loss.
If you don’t do a lot of scratch trades losses would mount. It’s no fun spending all the time regaining losses.
It is better to not lose and not win than it is to lose then win.
Don’t let a losing trade ride as a bet
Successful traders expect to take profits and loses of about the same size. The frequency of profits should outweigh that of losses. Traders don’t want losses to get out of hand other wise you are on an up hill struggle to regain them. The worst thing you can do is hang onto a bet because it’s losing and let it play out as the race commences. This is not the way and is simply gambling.
You can lose your entire profits by doing this. So it is not advisable.
Using scratch trades
Scratching trades may end up costing few profits but it will also save lots of losses. Many people dwell on the times when they scratch and, as soon as they did so, the trade went in the right direction and they could have made a few ticks profit if only they hadn’t scratched so quickly.
As a result they stop doing quick scratch trades. Missing that profit causes them to either forget how many times the scratch trade saves them from a loss, or they give up on the scratch trade way too soon before realizing this.
The following exercises will demonstrate how often the scratch trade can save you from losing, and will also get you into the habit of doing them. Many people don’t realize just how quickly they should scratch a trade because they feel stupid getting out of a trade so soon after getting into it, especially at the same price and so soon after getting into the position.
Remember, at this stage you are not trying to make money. Whether a trade ends up winning, losing or breaking even at this point is irrelevant.
Log into BetTrader about 10 minutes before the first UK horse race is about to start and open that race in the main display window, selecting the Ladder interface.
Select the £2 stake button, this will be the biggest bet that you will place today. There is no point in doing trades any larger than £2 bets at this stage. A good way to learn is to make as many mistakes as you can and not be afraid of getting it wrong in order to have a go. If you’re placing large trades then you will be trying to get everything right from the very start and missing out on one of your best ways of learning; to mess up a few trades!
So, with the stake button set at 2 pounds (or currency equivalent), submit a Lay bet by clicking in the pink box on the left side of the ladder next to the price you want to Lay. Remember, you are not trying to make money so whether you think that the price is going to go up or down is irrelevant. You have no opinion and do not care if you win or lose this trade.
What is important is that you get matched, so choose the price 1 tick below what the Last Traded Price was and wait to see if you get matched.
As you are waiting to get matched keep the mouse hand hovering over the blue back box on the right side of the ladder directly opposite your Lay bid.
If the price moves up then move your Lay bid up by clicking and dragging it up the next box above it. Then hover the mouse hand over the Back box opposite the new price on the right side of that same price.
As soon as your Lay bet gets matched it will disappear from the unmatched bet column and your position will display above the ladder as a green number 2. Now click your mouse so that a 2 pound Back bet gets placed at the same price at which you just Layed. The time between getting matched with your Lay bet and submitting your Back bet to get out at the same price should be less than 5 seconds.
Here are a few possible scenarios:
1. You Lay 2 @ 1.71 and as soon as you are matched you place a Back bet of 2 @ 1.71 which is matched instantly. You could see that your Back bet would be matched instantly at 1.71 because 1.71 was still strongly bid in the pink column when you submitted it. 1.72 trades out and the market goes up to 1.72/1.73.
2. You Lay 2 @ 1.71 and as soon as you are matched you place a Back bet of 2 @ 1.71 which is matched instantly. You hoped that your Back bet would be matched instantly at 1.71 because you could see that the 1.71 bid in the pink column was reducing in size as Backers were hitting it and almost immediately 1.71 trades out and the market goes down to 1.70/1.71.
3. You Lay 2 @ 1.71 and as soon as you are matched you place a Back bet of 2 @ 1.71 which is not matched instantly and remains as an unmatched bet. This is because the 1.71 bid which you were a part of got taken in full and the market went immediately to 1.70/1.71 when you got matched on your Lay. However, because you placed your Back 2@ 1.71 quickly you were very close to the front of the queue and your Back bet at 1.71 gets matched. Then 1.70 trades out and the market goes down to 1.69/1.70.
4. You Lay 2 @ 1.71 and as soon as you are matched you place a Back bet of 2 @ 1.71 which is not matched instantly and remains as an unmatched bet. This is because the 1.71 bid which you were a part of got taken in full and the market went immediately to 1.70/1.71 when you got matched on your Lay. Your Back bet doesn’t’t get matched and the market goes down to 1.69/1.70.
If done in normal trading conditions where the trader is trying to make money, Scenario 1 is often their last scratch trade! They scratch and immediately lose out on a profit. The memory of Scenario 1 stays with someone much stronger than scenarios 2 and 3 which are often forgotten about. But this shouldn’t’t be the case.
Scenarios 2 and 3 are the classic scratch trade. In both cases you have gotten out of the market quickly just as it has started to turn against you. Remember what happens immediately after you have scratched, often you will see the price move down several more ticks and if you hadn’t’t scratched when you had you would have taken a several tick loss.
Scenario 4 can be used as practice for getting out of a losing position. You are trying to Back in a falling market, experiment with how large your losses are in relation to how long you keep the position. You will find over time that the less time you are in a losing trade, the less you lose, but test this out for yourself.
Don’t take losses personally, in these scratch trade exercises we are not even trying to make a profit. And besides, the losses are tiny, each one is well worth the few pence it costs you. There’s no such thing as a free lesson, but at least the lessons are very cheap!
Your definition of success at this stage is not how much money you make but instead how many trades you manage to do in each race.
When learning to trade, trying to avoid making mistakes from the very start is the biggest obstacle to success because your attachment to the money restrains you from pressing all the buttons and seeing what happens when you try stuff.
Take advantage of being able to trade so cheap and trade, trade, trade for the next month. You’ll be amazed at how much more comfortable and knowledgeable about price movements you’ll be once you stop trying to make money and instead do loads of trades. Then you’ll be ready to start trying to make money
Milesey
your racing tips did good yesterday top :) jokey :)
Tuesday, Southwell 15:50
Even Stevens is a fibresand specialist who got a bit closer to that form on polytrack when fourth from this mark (6f) at Lingfield in February. That has to bode well back on favoured surface.
El Viento has been hit and miss since winning at Ripon in summer of 2011, taking advantage of reduced mark back at that venue in August. Record fresh is mixed, and takes on some proven fibresand performers here.
Royal Bajan bounced back from the doldrums under an enterprising ride when winning over this trip at Wolverhampton in January. Typically in and out since, but course record of 12 offers hope.
Gladiatrix only made her debut in May, and progressed fast in the autumn, completing the 4-timer at Bath in October. Not in same form later that month, and hold-up tactics a worry on fibresand debut.
Rusty Rocket has scored 3 times at 5f/7f in 2012. Usually needs first run back, so opening seventh over 6f here last month is excused, though still has his work cut out against several fibresand specialists.
Lost In Paris proved hit and miss in 2012, though a repeat of the form he showed when successful from this mark at Catterick (5f) in July would see him competitive. Runner-up sole fibresand outing.
Bubbly Ballerina is a fairly useful sort who was successful twice on polytrack at Lingfield this winter. Fair effort under a penalty there last week, but has to prove she’s as effective on this surface.
Al Khan is well handicapped on 2-y-o form (fifth in the Acomb), and finally took advantage in a 7f Kempton contest a month ago. Runner-up both starts since, but may not have the pace for 5f on course debut.
Six Wives went close to a tenth career win when touched off at Wolverhampton in November. Better signs than of late when fourth back there recently, and this multiple C&D winner is now on a good mark.
Lucky Dan won 3 times at up to 7f in 2012 and back to best when landing 5f handicap at Wolverhampton in Febraury. Solid third back there last time, but 2 previous runs here ealrier in career were poor.
1. Even Stevens
2. Six Wives
3. Al Khan
Al Khan remains well treated, but a drop to 5f on fibresand debut will provide a totally different test, so it should pay to stick with the Scott Dixon pair Even Stevens and Six Wives. Both are course specialists, with the former preferred.
Tammys Hill has an excellent strike-rate in points and hunter chases, and was a notable absentee from the Irish Foxhunters Chase challenge at Cheltenham, having previously met subsequent winner Salsify on three occasions this term and winning two of those encounters. He was reportedly amiss when second to Warne at this course last time and he looks to have been found a good opportunity to erase the disappointment of his Cheltenham absence.
Fairyhouse
Back Tammys Hill in the 18:35
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Valero Texas Open 2013
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Lay Rory McIlroy for a top-five finish @ 2.0
Lay Rory McIlroy for a top-ten finish @ 4.0
CHARL SCHWARTZEL 12.5
CHRIS KIRK 40.0
HARRIS ENGLISH 100.0
BRIAN GAY 110.0
GARY WOODLAND 110.0
ROSS FISHER 130.0
CHARLIE BELJAN 170.0
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HORSE RACING TIPS
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Southwell 4.20
ELUSIVE HAWK @ 2.28
Kempton 3.30
CLOCK OPERA @ 4.8
Kempton 4.00
FLEUR DE LA VIE @ 4.2
Exeter 4.10
ROBIN WILL @ 1.59
Fairyhouse 4.05
DAYS HOTEL @ 1.75
Fairyhouse 6.35
TAMMYS HILL @ 1.39
Southwell 15:50
1. Even Stevens @ 2.56
2. Six Wives @ 9.0
3. Al Khan @ 9.4
OUTSIDER OF THE DAY
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MY VIKING BAY 14.10 at Exeter. This mare finished third to All Annalena at Towcester last Sunday. She ran on in good style in the closing stages, but could not mount a challenge behind the easy winner. She had previously won a seller in good style over this course. I think she will appreciate the return to selling company and should run well at a decent price. At present she is trading at 14.0 on the exchange.
Milesey ( betfair )
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17.40 EXETER
JUPITER REX @ 2.16
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JUPITER REX @ 2.16
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17.40 EXETER
JUPITER REX @ 2.16
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17.40 EXETER
JUPITER REX @ 2.16
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Take it ya fancy Jupeiter Rex then Milesey…as wella s clare balding and a bit of Doggin!! haha. Ya sure Jupiter aint visiting the well too often?.3rd run this week???…
PLACE and WIN
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4.35 FAIRYHOUSE
BARNEYS HONOUR
Winner of two hurdle races and three chases from 2m to 2m 1f on ground varying from soft to soft – heavy. Beaten 8l by Mount Colah when second of 12 at 3-1fav on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Navan over 2m (heavy) last month.
Milesey ( betfair )
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HORSE RACING TIPS
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Southwell 4.20
ELUSIVE HAWK @ 2.28
Kempton 3.30
CLOCK OPERA @ 4.8
Kempton 4.00
FLEUR DE LA VIE @ 4.2
Exeter 4.10
ROBIN WILL @ 1.59
Fairyhouse 4.05
DAYS HOTEL @ 1.75
Fairyhouse 6.35
TAMMYS HILL @ 1.39
Southwell 15:50
1. Even Stevens @ 2.56
2. Six Wives @ 9.0
3. Al Khan @ 9.4
OUTSIDER OF THE DAY
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MY VIKING BAY 14.10 at Exeter. This mare finished third to All Annalena at Towcester last Sunday. She ran on in good style in the closing stages, but could not mount a challenge behind the easy winner. She had previously won a seller in good style over this course. I think she will appreciate the return to selling company and should run well at a decent price. At present she is trading at 14.0 on the exchange.
PLACE and WIN
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4.35 FAIRYHOUSE
BARNEYS HONOUR @ 15.5
SOUTHWELL DOUBLE
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3:50 Southwell
EVEN STEVENS
4:20 Southwell
ELUSIVE HAWK
NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP
NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP
17.40 EXETER
JUPITER REX @ 2.16
NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP
NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP
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GOODLUCK TODAY
…………………………………………..
Milesey ( betfair )
My Viking Bay (N/R)
Barneys Honour (N/R)
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HORSE RACING TIPS
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Southwell 4.20
ELUSIVE HAWK @ 2.28
Kempton 3.30
CLOCK OPERA @ 4.8
Kempton 4.00
FLEUR DE LA VIE @ 4.2
Exeter 4.10
ROBIN WILL @ 1.59
Fairyhouse 4.05
DAYS HOTEL @ 1.75
Fairyhouse 6.35
TAMMYS HILL @ 1.39
OUTSIDER OF THE DAY
——————–
MY VIKING BAY
14.10 Exeter ***** N/R *****
PLACE and WIN
————–
4.35 FAIRYHOUSE
BARNEYS HONOUR @ 15.5 ***** N/R *****
3:50 Southwell
EVEN STEVENS ***** N/R *****
NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP
NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP
17.40 EXETER
JUPITER REX @ 2.16
NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP
NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP
Milesey ( betfair )
Even Stevens (N/R)
Mazovian won the race last year 3lb lower this year could the coooooo do it again ? hope so :)
GORDON ELLIOTT’S VIEWS ON SHADOW CATCHER
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16:35 Fairyhouse
Shadow Catcher
Shadow Catcher ran a cracker in the first time cheekpieces at Cheltenham in the County Hurdle to take a running on fourth at the finish, and he was doing all of his best work at the business end that day on soft ground over this trip, so he has conditions set to suit him again. The same connections won the Powers gold cup with Realt Mor on Sunday and the Fred Winter at the festival with Flaxen Flare, so hopefully their good luck continues. Davy Condon is booked to take the ride again, and he gets on well with this horse so I’d be hopeful of him putting in another good performance and I think he’d have big chance if the first time blinkers have the desired effect.
Milesey ( betfair )
Your not having much luck with your outsiders Milesey with them being Non Runners….might have a pop on one of your tips if i get to the bookies
milesy of for 10p e/w 3 pound lucky 15 do you have 4 horses that will land me a small profit?
focail maith unlimited vitznau mon desir try them if u like.
thanks john I am a fellow henderson haha I trust you already, what times fella?
Just got a tip for the 17.35 at fayryhouse. On Blueberry hill 11/1
Mick – I hope u find your thrrrrillllll…on bluebery hillllllllll :-) ;-)
AC – Elusive Hawk did the biz..8/13 as well…got him at EVS…cmon Jupiter Rex
Unfortunately I missed Elusive Hawks triumph, however I’ve placed £20 on Jupiter Rex. I’ll have all my fingers and toes crossed for this one!
Got him at evens as well …. Gents … JUPITER REX is a NON RUNNER
F sake!! Milesey must be pullin em oot on purpose. Ach well…double money AC..take that..bird in the hand….
What is it with all of these non runners
What a bloody day.
Four non runners in the racing and your main Slovakian football bet postponed. lol
AC/Dean?Bryan…ach none of like havin to pull oot until we’re finished.. ;-) but I suppose better pullin Rex oot than the bugger running poorly cos hes hungover or something and doing our money!!
A bit early to be on the bevvy Guido, no?
It is ma birthday the day Bryan…but no not so far :-) Ach these horse hava mind of their own..nippin into bars after curfew at Newmarket and the like fura hauf n hauf!! :-)
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HORSE RACING TIPS
———————-
Southwell 4.20
ELUSIVE HAWK @ 2.28 ** WIN **
Kempton 3.30
CLOCK OPERA @ 4.8 ***** N/R *****
Kempton 4.00
FLEUR DE LA VIE @ 4.2 ** 5TH **
Exeter 4.10
ROBIN WILL @ 1.59 ** 3RD **
Fairyhouse 4.05
DAYS HOTEL @ 1.75 ** 2ND **
Fairyhouse 6.35
TAMMYS HILL @ 1.39
OUTSIDER OF THE DAY
——————–
MY VIKING BAY
14.10 Exeter ***** N/R *****
PLACE and WIN
————–
4.35 FAIRYHOUSE
BARNEYS HONOUR @ 15.5 ***** N/R *****
3:50 Southwell
EVEN STEVENS ***** N/R *****
NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP
NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP
17.40 EXETER
JUPITER REX @ 2.16 ** N/R ** N/R ** N/R **
NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP
NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP***NAP
Milesey ( betfair )
I dunno Guido … I like leaving my ladies looking like a painters radio ;) … Ah well, least the first part came in going to stick it all on something later … just can’t decide what just yet
hahaha..painter radio :-) Pesonally AC, Id be on Bayern. I know what ya mean tho..in a dilemma myself with tonite..Bayern defo be in my line, no sure boot rest..Dumbarton?? Just did that Austrian teM Milesey tipped Lustenau..sounds like a BIG JOCK things..loostin efter ma big wummin Aggie..
17.40 EXETER
JUPITER REX ***** N/R ***** DOH!!!
Mick cheers went on it after Kim Tian Road came in,nice last hour so many thanks :-)
HORSE RACING TIPS
WEDNESDAY 3RD APRIL 2013
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SOUTHWELL 3.20
APACHE RISING **NAP**NAP
APACHE RISING ran out an impressive winner over this C&D last week and a 6lb penalty might not be enough to stop him taking all the beating again this afternoon.
APACHE RISING stands out in this and should oblige despite carrying a penalty for last week’s victory over track and trip. He scored by six lengths on that occasion and will take all the beating if running up to a similar level.
He has won three times from 7f to 1m on fibresand. A winner at 5-2 over this course and distance on his latest outing last month, beating Luv U Whatever by 6l. Carries a 6lb penalty today for that success. Has won twice at Southwell this season.
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WETHERBY 3.10
REAL MILAN
REAL MILAN can be forgiven his two most recent efforts in strong company, most recently finishing eighth in the RSA Chase at Cheltenham, and, having looked good in winning his first two starts over fences earlier in the season, Donald McCain’s charge can bounce back to form in the first-time tongue tie today.
REAL MILAN for Donald McCain, who will find this far easier than when well beaten in the RSA Chase at the Cheltenham Festival behind Lord Windermere and co. Put a line through his previous unfortunate experience at Ascot and concentrate on two impressive victories over fences the twice before. He receives 7lb from Danimix and can get back on track here.
Winner of two hurdle races, a NH flat race and two chases from 2m 1f to 3m 1f on ground varying from good to soft to heavy. Well beaten at 20-1 when eighth of 11 on his latest outing in a Grade 1 chase in the Group 1 RSA Chase at Cheltenham over 3m (good to soft) last month. Has won at Ayr and Carlisle this season.
LINGFIELD 4.30
HANDIWORK
Michael Bell’s handicap debutant HANDIWORK, who is unexposed beyond 1m and bred to stay this longer trip
HANDIWORK for the Michael Bell team. He posted three mid-division finishes in juvenile maidens last term over a mile and should certainly be suited by this major step-up in trip. The son of Motivator has always looked more of a three-year-old and is a hopeful choice.
Yet to place in three starts. Finished 10l behind Debdebdeb when fifth of 9 at 12-1 on his latest outing at Kempton over 1m in February.
KEMPTON 6.00
POLISH CROWN
POLISH CROWN was a beaten favourite on her penultimate start at Wolverhampton but returned from a break in good order when opening her account at the same venue over 6f last month. She flopped at Ayr on her sole start in handicap company last year but the heavy ground that day didn’t suit and she is worth another chance, off 1lb lower, on this faster surface.
Polish Crown got off the mark in a Wolverhampton maiden on her reappearance and is a leading contender back in handicap company. She makes more appeal than Modern Lady, who usually finds at least one too good and is getting no respite from the handicapper as a consequence.
A winner at 3-1 at Wolverhampton over 6f on her latest outing last month, beating Sixties Queen by 1/2l.
KEMPTON 6.30
HURRICANE SPIRIT
Hans Adielsson’s string are in terrific form at present and his HURRICANE SPIRIT looks to have been found another good opportunity to supplement the yard’s winners last month. The selection comes out best at the adjusted weights, has winning course and distance form, and gets on well with regular jockey Nicole Nordblad.
HURRICANE SPIRIT as been making hay in similar company recently and won his fourth claimer of the year when scoring over a mile here last time.
Has won 13 races from 5f to 1m 2f including 12 wins on polytrack. Won on his latest outing when 5-6fav here over 1m last month, beating Officer In Command by 3/4l. Has won 3 times this season.
KEMPTON 8.30
SAM SPADE
the unexposed Sam Spade, who enjoyed a pipeopener over 1m2f in a course maiden, could appreciate this drop in trip, and starts life in handicaps off a fair mark this evening
Sam Spade is dropped back in distance after failing to make his mark over 1m2f here on his comeback
Yet to place in three starts. Finished 7l behind Spillway when fifth of 9 at 7-1 on his latest outing here over 1m 2f last month.
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OUTSIDER
WETHERBY 5.10
VODKA RED
Placed in a hurdle race from three starts. Beaten 12l by Kissing Clara when second of 8 at 25-1 on his latest outing in a selling hurdle race at Stratford over 2m (good to firm) in August ’11.
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Milesey ( betfair )
GOLF
———————-
Valero Texas Open 2013
———————-
Lay Rory McIlroy for a top-five finish @ 2.0
Lay Rory McIlroy for a top-ten finish @ 4.0
CHARL SCHWARTZEL 12.5
CHRIS KIRK 40.0
HARRIS ENGLISH 100.0
BRIAN GAY 110.0
GARY WOODLAND 110.0
ROSS FISHER 130.0
CHARLIE BELJAN 170.0
Shawn Stefani @ 300.0
HORSE RACING
WEDNESDAY 3RD APRIL 2013
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SOUTHWELL 3.20
APACHE RISING **NAP**NAP
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WETHERBY 3.10
REAL MILAN
LINGFIELD 4.30
HANDIWORK
KEMPTON 6.00
POLISH CROWN
KEMPTON 6.30
HURRICANE SPIRIT
KEMPTON 8.30
SAM SPADE
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OUTSIDER
WETHERBY 5.10
VODKA RED
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Milesey ( betfair )
Milesey, I’ll post the racing and the golf soon. Just back from the park.