The US Open has brought us a very interesting first-round match between two struggling players. Dan Evans and Karen Khachanov have both struggled recently, which makes this one a super important match for both players. While both will likely be motivated, only one will win, and we’re going to make an argument as to why it’s going to be Evans.
An Evans vs Khachanov prediction is in store, and we will go over in detail what makes this US Open betting tip so alluring.
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Player form: Evans searching for wins
Evans has had a horrible year so far, winning only nine of the 29 matches he played. He hasn’t won a match on hard courts since the Miami Open but will have a chance to do so here. He’s been pretty solid in New York over the years, and we think that will help him.
Khachanov hasn’t struggled as much as Evans has, but the Russian is playing some of the worst tennis he’s played in a very long time right now. New York has been good to him, but he doesn’t match up well with Evans, which makes this somewhat problematic for him.
How the bookies view it: Khachanov heavily favoured
As expected, Karen Khachanov is heavily favoured in this one. The Russian is 7/20 to win, which are very low odds. He is the better player and has had a better year but the matches he’s had against Evans in the past certainly warrant a higher odds.
Due to the low odds on Khachanov, the 13/5 odds on Evans are huge value. This is because the Brit has never lost against Khachanov, and they have played four times.
Recent head-to-head: Evans never lost against Khachanov
As we mentioned above Evans has beaten Khachanov every time they played so far. Two of those were quite a while ago, but the most recent one in Barcelona last year shows that it’s really a matchup problem for Khachanov. They played 10 sets so far, and Khachanov has won only two, which was three years ago.
Anything else catch the eye?
The biggest selling point here is the matchup problem. Khachanov has never beaten Evans, and that’s across four years and four matches. They also played on different surfaces, and it didn’t really make any difference.
The style is crucial. Khachanov is a pretty solid baseliner whose consistency is questionable. Evans is a hugely consistent baseliner with tremendous defence and variety in his game.
Essentially, he’s the perfect counter for Khachanov, as he has all the tricks needed to bait him into errors. Khachanov doesn’t have the skill to consistently hit through Evans, which is why he’s faced so many issues in the matchup so far.
Evans vs Khachanov betting tips & predictions
Evans might have been struggling lately, but this is the perfect matchup for him to turn things around. His persistence is alone enough to give him a huge edge here and we think he’ll get it done. It won’t be easy, but it will get done.
- Evans to win @ 13/5
The match is scheduled to be played on the second day of the US Open on August 27th.
Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been playing or watching sports down under in New Zealand for the better part of three decades. With 12+ years experience as a professional writer, Bren loves to dive deep into all things sport to bring the best betting analysis and predictions here at Mr Fixits Tips.
In December 2020 we sadly 
