IT was two out of three winners on Monday including a nice 3-1 Super Single.
I put a lot of faith in Hungary, mainly because Latvia were so poor against the Faroes, and it paid off as they covered the -1 handicap.
Hungary also featured on a 7-2 Top Treble with Greece and France not to lose but the goals treble was beaten.
We've reached the final night of the World Cup qualifiers and I've posted a preview featuring the games involving British teams – Slovakia v Scotland, Slovenia v England and Germany v Northern Ireland.
I'll add to that in the morning after taking a closer look at other games and also those in South America.
My Super Single in the Record is both teams to score in Slovakia and there is a feeling the two nations need to go for victories. I'd love to see Scotland win but they need to improve massively on Saturday's showing.
Cork at Dundalk is the big game in the League of Ireland. Dundalk's lead at the top has been reduced to one point due to their involvement in the Europa League.
Stephen Kenny's men are trying to cope with a hectic schedule of 10 games in 28 days and lost 3-0 at home to Sligo on Saturday.
Cork have already beaten Dundalk three times this year – all to nil – and are 25-12 at Marathonbet to pick up the win that will send them top. A draw though may suit both and is being backed.
It's worth pointing out Dundalk haven't lost two in a row at home since September 2012 and never with Kenny in charge.
I don't often take a first scorer as the Super Single but with my figures in good shape I'm backing Robert Lewandowski to score first for Poland at home to Armenia. The Poles should win this well and Lewandowski will be hungry to add to the hat-trick he netted against Denmark at the weekend.
Poland lost Arkadiusz to injury in that game to there is even more chance of Bayern Munich hitman Lewandowski breaking the deadlock.
There aren't many value bets I fancy tonight but if you believe Cork won't lose back them on the double chance with Poland to score 2+ and Germany -1 at home to Northern Ireland.
Apart from Slovakia v Scotland and possibly Denmark v Montenegro and Chile v Peru there aren't too many btts candidates so I'm leaving it alone.
Remember to check out WeLoveBetting for their latest tips and video chat.
1.7pts Super Single
Lewandowski to score first (7.45pm)
(2-1, Marathonbet)
2.4pts Top Treble
Cork not to lose (7.05pm)
Poland to score 2+ (7.45pm)
Germany -1 (7.45pm)
(13-8, boylesports)
October Super Singles Total
Profit: 11.7pts
(10 bets, 7 winners, 1 void)
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got a nite owl up and an early one in asia WCQ wont be in till after ko’s tomorrow nite so sticking these up the now……….
a couple that just jump out as odds very favourable
Dundalk btts&overs 7/5
elche overs 8/5
double just under 4/1
wed WCQ
Poland o1.5tgs, germay o1.5tgs, Slovakia to score 11/10
notts co. o2.5mgs, Slovenia o1.5mgs, Lithuania o1.5tgs just over 3/1
6 timer just under 8/1
main bet will be on Denmark and Norway goals just not decided yet…………
Think Denmark btts & overs going to my main bet tonight as picked out late last night & usually think about during day & last few of picked have won but talked masel out of it
Good luck with your bets looks like could be a few goals tonight on your Australia btts & overs ta
adding SAWCQ
Bolivia, Columbia o2.5mgs 16/5
Slovakia 13/10 @PP
Griffiths anytime 9/2 @Coral
Would i be stupid to back san marino +4 on the handicap @ 6/5 and/or under 3.5mgls @ 2/1?
Yes
Ok
???
I may not be brave enough to put my money where mouth is on this one but I kind of like it @humble-tipper
Norway are piss poor.
Hope you backed it mate ?
World Cup Qualifying (19:45)
Slovenia vs England – card before 32:00
Slovenia vs England – England win
Slovakia vs Scotland – Slovakia to win either half
Treble 4.09/1 **NAP**
Ryman Premier Division (19:45)
Bognor Regis Town vs Merstham – over 2.5 MG’s
Leiston vs Canvey Island – over 2.5 MG’s
Double 6/5 **NB**
Asia World Cup Qualifiying (15:45)
Iran vs South Korea – BTTS 5/4
Isthmian Cup (19:45)
Staines Town vs Harrow Borough – Staines Town win 4/5
International 6-fold:
Northern Ireland U21 vs France U21 – France U21 HT result
Denmark vs Montenegro – over 2.5 MG’s
Slovenia vs England – England win
Slovenia vs England – over 20.5 multicorners
Slovakia vs Scotland – over 1.5 MG’s
Germany vs Northern Ireland – Germany to win both halves
25/1
Prices with Bet365
Good luck all
Kazakhstan – Romania – Draw or Romania & under 2.5 goals @ 1.90
Poland – Armenia – Poland to win & 3-5 goals @ 1.92
Denmark – Montenegro – Denmark over 1.5 goals @ 1.78
Czech R – Azerbaijan – Dockal to score @ 3.30
Germany – North Ireland – Germany to win & under 3.5 goals @ 1.97
Norway – San Marino – J. King over 1.5 goals @ 3.30
Lithuania – Malta – 1-0 , 2-0 , 3-0 @ 2.15
Slovakia – Scotland – Slovakia or draw & over 1.5 goals @ 1.88
Slovenia – England – Draw or England & under 2.5 goals @ 1.80
===============================
GL
Great stuff last nigh Mr F
Just looking through today’s internationals and u21 qualifiers – be up later in the morning
Enjoy your days off ??
Cheers, just walked 5 miles with the dug back home from the garage. Need brake pads – not walking back though.
With all the goals last night I some how managed to win nothing still in profit with all the qualifications and in hindsight always wait for team news before selecting goalscorers! What a doughnut!
The NO was a loser with Bragantino running out 2-0 winners so it’s onto today’s WCQs – seems like they’ve been going on forever ?
SLOVENIA v ENGLAND:
Remember when England were good?
Well, maybe not good but had a semblance of respect. There was a tag-line ‘England Expects’…well we can still use it:
England expects (a narrow spineless victory)
England expects (a shite manager)
England expects (a defensive howler or goalkeeping rick)
With all of the above critera now firmly in place, once again we can sit back, crank up the Laurel & Hardy music and enjoy…
OVER 2.5 MGS…13/10
ENGLAND NCS 5/6
How’s about this combo which pays a touch over evens:
OVER 1.5 MGS + OVER 8 CORNERS…1.02/1
Add Germany over 2.5 tgs and Czech Rep over 1.5 tgs to the combo.
3.86/1
Best of luck with all bets ?
Haha @hullshaker that England Expects part cracked me up :D :D :D
Also, depressingly accurate.
At least you guys once expected – Scotland expect too. We expect not to qualify.
pmsl & could not disagree, however, they have 100% record & not conceded a goal in the WCQ games & this could ”carry on” or indeed be one, with big shoes, squirty flowers & revolving bow ties all round.
Martin Skrtel is a 10/1 anytime goal scorer v Scotland tonight, worth a punt if he starts,
Av got a wee double on him and delle alli 1st gl double in shop at 220/1, worth a quid but if he starts he’s a certainty to be booked
Might have a nibble at that myself Alves.
About to kick off..
Czech U19 league
Hlucin v Teplice
Teplice Asian Handicap -2.5, -3
1.875
Over 1.5 First half goals
1.72
Over 1.5 First half goals
1.72
*WON*
and Teplice have just gone 2-1 up at 25 mins.
Bragantino RT7 falls 1 short last night, Japan lead 0-1 in Australia after almost half an hr with no corners
Over 6.5 asian corners 1.975
Australia RT5 11/8
4-3 FT
AC’s win byt RT5 falls 1 short again
About to kick off..
Czech U19 league
Hlucin v Teplice
Teplice Asian Handicap -2.5, -3
1.875
*WON*
Over 1.5 First half goals
1.72
*WON*
2 bets 2 winners. Decent start to the day.
Poland vs Armenia – over2.5
Hartberg vs Sturm Graz (Am) – over 2.5
Argentina vs Paraguay – over 2.5
Bognor vs Merstham – over 2.5
Denmark btts & overs 13/8
Poland over 2.5tgs
Lithuania over 1.5tgs
Notts County btts
Cork to score
4 Fold returns 4.64/1
Good luck all
england u21s v bosnia u21s
kick off 3pm
looking at squad i think the more dangerous players arenon the bench. i can see this being a slow starter and blowing up in 2nd half after a couple of subs
most goals scored 2nd half 1.95
2-0 already not going quite as slow as i hoped.
won was 2-0 ht its now 5-0 with plenty time spare.
Something a little different and a variation on a theme from Greg’s early goal betting strategy:
GERMANY
ENGLAND
POLAND
Corner before 10 minutes treble pays a touch over 3/1 ?
Like it Shaker… On it ?
Afternoon gents
Always struggle for time on a Tuesday – No NAP to day but have picked out two bets where I feel we should see goals
Austria u20 v Germany u20 KO 5
Belgium u20 v Lativa u20 KO 5.45
NI u20 v France u20 KO 5.45
Over 2.5 match goals treble 11/4
Denmark v Montengero KO 7.45
Back over 2.5 match goals 1/1
Good like with your bets
Thought I’d have a crack at Ladbrokes in-shop Goalfest coupon. Nothing new but I like these fancies :
Germany v N Ireland – 3 or more match goals (1/2)
Slovakia v Scotland – 2 or more match goals (4/9)
Poland v Armenia – 2 or more match goals (1/6)
Notts Co v Morecambe – 2 or more match goals (1/5)
(pays 2/1)
Bolivia btts
Venezuela over 2.5mgs
Double Returns 1.8/1
Have received goodwill payments from both Betfair and Bet365 over bets I placed on 1st Goal for Yarmolenko of Ukraine from the weekend. Initially settled as Kravets for 1st goal but now as own goal so paying Yarmo for 1st. Big surprise two days after the event but cheers anyway. Anyone else check, not sure if others are following suit.
Nice to see them doing it but they didn’t have to which is why they call it a “goodwill payment”.
inplay
england u21s
gray and redmond just come on gonna go half stakesnon anytime
gray 5 pays 30
redmond 5 pays 30
lost sorry was being greedy out of my profit for game
Betfair are offering 7/1 enhanced odds on all 19.45 ko, on the WCQ for over 1.5mgs.
nite owl
bragantino on a shocking run atm lost their last 6 but not shy of a goal here and there though to boot, criciuma on decent form winning last 5 from 6 therefore on
bragantino btts&overs 6/4 LOST
criciuma o1.5tgs 9/4 LOST
1st bets Wednesday, aussies v japan Australia scoring freely at home japan don’t mind a goal wherever they go
Australia btts&overs 6/4 LOST
Australia o1.5tgs 2/1 looks way too big to me anyway………. LOST
close but no cigar…………….
no more bets other than when I see teams up for a fgs lucky 15, ones got to land one day…………
Posted Y’day
Aus v Japan BTTS 4/5 WON :)
Notts County v Morecombe BTTS and Overs 20/21
will add
Germany, Poland > 1.5TGS, Denmark > 1.5 MGS 0.9/1
Lewo, Muller ATGS Double 1.2/1
Skybet were still offering 2/1 for btts in the Leichtenstein v Portugal u21 game even though Leichstenstein were 1-0 up. Whats the chance of getting away with that one. Just my luck if Portugal dont score.
My Single for tonight is:
Notts Co vs Morecambe over 2.5 btts. 20/21
Notts Co in there last 6 games have seen 20 goals
Morecambe in there last 6 games have seen 25 goals
4 of the last 6 have seen over and btts with 3 seeing over 3.5.
——————————–
Acca:
Needham Market vs Lowestoft over 2.5
Bognor vs Merstham over 2.5
Poland over 1.5 tgs
Notts Co vs Morecambe over 2.5
Denmark vs Mont over 1.5
5.2/1
Glad to see you are on the Notts County game as well …. would add Morecombe have the 5th best away record in the league. 80% of County’s home games have seen BTTS. Morecombe have only failed to net in 1/5 away games. Here comes the 0-0 ;) Good luck!
And it lands! Thank god for that cause my acca was atrocious ?
Not much I fancy tonight – but the Betfair enhanced odds of 7/1 for all 7.45 KOs to go over 1.5 caught my eye. Having a few pounds on that as well as a bet of the day dabble as usual
Thomas Muller Germany
Lewandoski Poland
Griffiths Scotland
1st goalscorers nothing to fear for Scotland,and I think this is the type of game we normally do well in.
Scotland well wort a punt at 3/1 to win.
Obviously I hope Scotland win but can’t bring myself to bet on them.
Poland -2
England -1
odds 6/1@realdealbet
£75
Notts county 7/5 win overs
Denmark 6/4 win overs
Czech rep 1/1 win overs.
3 x doubles and a treble.
Slovakia v Scotland
Both teams 20+ booking pts
11/10 @ skybet
Seems a fair bet considering the game being big for both teams
1st goal in scotlands game after 34th min evens
1st goal in englands game after 32 min evens
A double . 2 singles
Dele Ali anytime goal in england 3/1@ ladbrokes,i got 4/1 price boost in shop. GLA
Phone is playing up so thought I’d write this Q here….which is the better bet, a L15 or a Patent? Thinking of them for the weekend…. I’m asking really as i want to know which bookies hate the most
Bookies don’t hate any bets (aside from winners) Spursman sir…they do however LOVE Luckies and the folk who bet on them!!
Singles are the bets the bookies hate the most,if every punter did singles the bookies would make a lot less money.
I’ve learned that larger singles and a smaller Yankee is better. ?
Sturridge ATGS 8/5
Think there is some value in backing malta tonight. They aint that bad and can see a low scoring match. Malta +1.5, +2 asian line looks good to me. Evens.
fgs lucky 15 e/way 2 x £7.50
jovetic, muller, lewandowski, hamsik max return £777.03
GL all with a bet on tonite……….
Muller
Kadlec
Grosicki
AGS Treble
9.2/1
strep, I quite often do a l15 fgs e/way but only low stakes on high odds it pretty much wipes its backside though tbh 2 atgs pretty much sees money back, 3 atgs sees a wee bit profit, 4 atgs would see a healthy win, 4 fgs well that’s “one day rodders” stuff………….
Nice to see Dier joining the ‘howler’ club ?
taxi for southgate!
There be room for Strachan too. Just watched the first half and while Scotland are unlucky to be behind we’re not creating enough. Bit like England tonight.
0-10 minute corners treble…lost.
Only an interest bet but came in 4th, 11th and 15th minutes so not a million miles out.
not a true cover but with 2 from 3 in on my 11/10 treble cant see Poland not scoring in the 2nd half with Armenia down to 10 men, Poland o1.5tgs is 2/5 so taking Poland exact goals 1 at 3/1 just incase…………
It’s good idea.
Come on Poland!!
geezo oh that’s us 2 doon ffs oot already sakes………….. strachans got tae take a good look at himself better players on the bench and not even named in the squad too stubborn picking his favourites…………
I think he has to go – we’re basically out already and Slovenia look better than us.
Griffiths should have played and I said it before the game.
Slovenia england match over 0.5 goal line. Evens
mr f nae basically about it its gone weer oot…………. 3 points from 9 not good enuff needed 7 imo for us to have a fighting chance going into the other games grrrrrr…………..
On the plus side, cracking shout with the Lewandowski Super Single Mr F ?
Hullshaker. Im watching the poland match and unfortunately it looks like 99% an own goal.
Strachans pure pish.Husnae a clue who tae pick,bar his favourites.Sack him NOW !!!!!!
In play correct score 2-1 poland. 2.60
What a crap end to the internationals!!
Bring back proper football! Waste of 90 mins watching England play.
hull, its been given as a mkoyan OG on flash………….
Agree Crane,total waster.Did the same at the tic’..Balde at the time was doing ok but never played him .Goes with his favs wherever he manages.Rubbish at his job through & through.
naz, he’ll huv tae walk after this………….. nae vision hes no funny either tryin tae be a smart alex awe the time at press conferences either…………..
Denmark btts & overs 13/8
Poland over 2.5tgs
Lithuania over 1.5tgs
Notts County btts
Cork to score
4 Fold returns 4.64/1
**LOST** absolutely woeful almost as bad as Scotland
Said it for ages strachan not the man for job as won’t pick right players, only problem is not sure who will be want job
Big Sam will take it hahaha
Hoping for better luck in South American qualifiers
Well done all winners tonight, tough night
Notts County v Morecombe BTTS and Overs 20/21 WON :)
will add
Germany, Poland > 1.5TGS, Denmark > 1.5 MGS 0.9/1
Lewo, Muller ATGS Double 1.2/1
Sturridge ATGS
the additions were about as effective as Denmark, Poland, the Czechs and home nations this evening
apologies Poland with a late winner ;)
Polskaaaaaaaa Lewandowskiiiiii. Get in!
Correct score 2-1 winner.
There you go Andrjez ?? – keeps my Series bet in action!
Absolute dire night aside from that though – shame no bookies have a ‘Shite-ometer’ market – England and Scots fans could make a killing…
Thought I’d have a crack at Ladbrokes in-shop Goalfest coupon. Nothing new but I like these fancies :
Germany v N Ireland – 3 or more match goals (1/2)
Slovakia v Scotland – 2 or more match goals (4/9)
Poland v Armenia – 2 or more match goals (1/6)
Notts Co v Morecambe – 2 or more match goals (1/5)
(pays 2/1)
– foiled again by one goal, or lack of it. Goodbye, Internationals, don’t hurry back.
Can’t believe there saying that is an own goal we see worse own goals giving to the striker every weekend in the Premier League
Just watched it. It’s disappointing but I suppose it’s an OG.
See Pablo Escobar (not the fugitive drug baron) has scored 2 for Bolivia…Chris Guy mentioned him the other day and wonder if he was on him again tonight?
great shout andrze WD glad it landed brought in my main 11/10 and series bet too gallus…………
World Cup Qualifying (19:45)
Slovenia vs England – card before 32:00 (won)
Slovenia vs England – England win (lost)
Slovakia vs Scotland – Slovakia to win either half (won)
Treble 4.09/1 **NAP** LOST
Ryman Premier Division (19:45)
Bognor Regis Town vs Merstham – over 2.5 MG’s
Leiston vs Canvey Island – over 2.5 MG’s
Double 6/5 **NB** LOST
Asia World Cup Qualifiying (15:45)
Iran vs South Korea – BTTS 5/4 LOST
Isthmian Cup (19:45)
Staines Town vs Harrow Borough – Staines Town win 4/5 LOST
International 6-fold:
Northern Ireland U21 vs France U21 – France U21 HT result (won)
Denmark vs Montenegro – over 2.5 MG’s (lost)
Slovenia vs England – England win (lost)
Slovenia vs England – over 20.5 multicorners (won)
Slovakia vs Scotland – over 1.5 MG’s (won)
Germany vs Northern Ireland – Germany to win both halves (won)
25/1 LOST
Stinking day… glad to see the back of the back of these internationals. Personally had a few good days but mostly it was a story of near misses. An England win would’ve seen my NAP land but 0-0 it was. Some save from Hart mind. Well done all winners tonight.
IN-PLAY
Bolivia RT7 4/6 Bet365
5-1 up on them already & only requiring 2 more.
tonite, a couple that just jump out as odds very favourable
Dundalk btts&overs 7/5 WON
elche overs 8/5 LOST
double just under 4/1 LOST
sees profit…….
wed WCQ
Poland o1.5tgs, germay o1.5tgs, Slovakia to score 11/10 WON just did give a bit back though on a sort of cover…….
notts co. o2.5mgs, Slovenia o1.5mgs, Lithuania o1.5tgs just over 3/1 LOST fekn ingurlundshire never again grrrrr……
6 timer just under 8/1 LOST
fgs lucky 15 e/way 2 x £7.50
jovetic, muller, lewandowski, hamsik max return £777.03 LOST
lot of bets there but main treble landed and main single in Ireland too so sees a decent profit on nite, if only slovenia had went o1.5 would of been a wee belter……….
WD all with winners tonite……….
ps ma Bolivia, Columbia 16/5 overs looking good so may still be a belter, time will tell but………….
Bolivia overs in and Columbia 1-1 38 mins al take the cover Columbia u2.5mgs 3/1 yer never know…………
The Night Owl sees me in Brasil’s Serie B with a bottom of the table clash…
SAMPAIO CORRÊA VS. OESTE (23.15 KO):
I don’t have this down for a goal-fest but it does appeal nonetheless.
If you look at the last two H2Hs that were played out at Sampaio’s place, both games featured score draws with 1-1 and 2-2 scorelines.
Oeste aren’t in great form (nor are the home side!) but, again, look closely at their away scoring record: 12 of 16 games have seen them notch a goal and discount the lsst 2 aways against pretty decent opposition and it looks even better.
What of Sampaio’s scoring tally at home then? They have scored in 8 out of their last 11 games on home soil with 4 out of the most recent 4 getting the green light!
One selection:
BTTS…4/5
Good luck ?
adding SAWCQ
Bolivia, Columbia o2.5mgs 16/5 WON did give a wee bit back on the cover at 3/1 but………
cracking wee nite with an 11/10 main bet a 7/5 in Ireland and a 16/5 in SA and a win on the series bet gallus……. onwards
Kazakhstan – Romania – Draw or Romania & under 2.5 goals @ 1.90 – Won :)
Poland – Armenia – Poland to win & 3-5 goals @ 1.92 – Won :)
Denmark – Montenegro – Denmark over 1.5 goals @ 1.78 – Lost
Czech R – Azerbaijan – Dockal to score @ 3.30 – Lost
Germany – North Ireland – Germany to win & under 3.5 goals @ 1.97 – Won :)
Norway – San Marino – J. King over 1.5 goals @ 3.30 – Lost
Lithuania – Malta – 1-0 , 2-0 , 3-0 @ 2.15 – Won :)
Slovakia – Scotland – Slovakia or draw & over 1.5 goals @ 1.88 – Won :)
Slovenia – England – Draw or England & under 2.5 goals @ 1.80 – Won :)