Jannik Sinner will face Jack Draper in the US Open semi-final, and we have a prediction and betting tip for this match. It’s a pretty interesting matchup that might yield a surprise, but it’s very unlikely to happen.
While both have played well, only one has ever reached this stage of a Grand Slam previously. That will likely matter because getting to a Grand Slam final is no small feat. Draper might feel a bit of pressure. Read on for our Draper vs Sinner prediction and betting tips today.
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Player form: Sinner on fire
While both have been playing super solid tennis in New York so far, Sinner has looked somewhat more impressive. The Italian bested some really strong players along the way to make the semi-final.
Draper hasn’t dropped a set, which is crazy, but he hasn’t really played that many tough opponents. The draw opened up quite well for him, and he’s taken care of that. He is, though, playing on a high level; that part is true.
How the bookies view it: Sinner heavy favourite
Sinner, as the world No. 1, is of course the heavy favourite. It makes sense because he is the better player overall, not just here in New York, but over the last 12 months.
The Italian winning is priced at 1/5 which are very low odds for a Grand Slam semi-final, but that’s how much better he is deemed to be. On the opposing end, though, Draper is priced at 4/1, which are great odds, but he’s not very likely to win this one.
Recent head-to-head: Draper 1-0
While Draper does lead the head-to-head 1-0, the Brit hasn’t played Sinner in a while. That match came in 2021, and it happened on grass, which is likely his best surface. He was able to get the upset there, but it’s not likely he’ll repeat that this Friday.
Anything else catch the eye?
The problem for Draper in this one largely comes down to the matchup. It’s not a good one because he’ll have to beat Sinner from the baseline.
That’s very unlikely to happen because he hasn’t been that great of a hitter in his career. He’s been great this week, but Sinner has a long track record of smashing the ball. Over a best-of-five set match, it seems unlikely that the Italian won’t get it done.
Sinner vs Draper betting tips & predictions
Sinner is the better player, and he will show that here. While the odds for winning the match are low, we can get a bit creative to get better value. We expect Sinner to make a strong start and get through the first set quickly.
Take this one at under 8.5 for a juicy return, or under 9.5 for a nice but more moderate payout (4/5). Then, back Sinner to keep his foot on the throat and run through this in straight sets.
- Sinner to win 3-0 @ 11/10
- Under 8.5 games 1st set @ 5/2
It’s pretty clear what will happen here and why we’re firmly backing Sinner to get this done.
Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been playing or watching sports down under in New Zealand for the better part of three decades. With 12+ years experience as a professional writer, Bren loves to dive deep into all things sport to bring the best betting analysis and predictions here at Mr Fixits Tips.
