The Stuttgart Open kicked off the round of 16 on Wednesday, June 12, and it's already full of surprises. With Alexander Zverev pulling out and both Andy Murray and Flavio Cobolli knocked out, all eyes are now on Lorenzo Musetti, Jack Draper, Matteo Berrettini, and Denis Shapovalov.
Get ready for some day four action on Thursday, June 13, as Berrettini and Shapovalov take on each other. It's going to be a match you won’t want to miss. Need help with choosing the perfect bets for this match? Read on for our Berrettini vs Shapovalov prediction and betting tips.
Two-time BOSS Open champion Berrettini is back in action after skipping the French Open due to fitness concerns. His last appearance was in Monte-Carlo, where he was knocked out by Miomir Kecmanovic in the round of 64.
Berrettini hasn’t seen much court action this year, yet managed to grab a title in Marrakech. He has a 5-2 win-loss record this season and will be looking to dominate the Stuttgart Open once more.
Shapovalov is also back in action in 2024 after missing a major part of the last season due to an injury. Unfortunately, this year hasn't been too kind to him either, he stands with a 9-14 win-loss record and no titles.
The Canadian hasn't made it past the fourth round in any tournament this season. His last notable performance was at the French Open, where he beat Frances Tiafoe in the second round.
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How the Bookies View It: Berrettini the Favourite
Bookmaker bet365 is slightly leaning towards Berrettini to win this encounter, making him the favourite at 8/11. Shapovalov on the other hand stands at 11/10 to win. Set betting suggests a straight sets win for Berrettini 2-0, with this result paying 2/1.
Recent Head-to-Head: Advantage Shapovalov
Berrettini and Shapovalov have faced each other twice before this encounter. Interestingly, Shapovalov has a 2-0 edge in their head-to-head. Their last encounter was back in 2019 in the Davis Cup finals, where Shapovalov defeated Berrettini 7-6(5), 6-7(3), 7-6(5).
Anything Else Catch the Eye?
Berrettini made a comeback in his opening match in Stuttgart, after dropping the second set to defeat Roman Safiullin 7-6(8), 5-7, 7-5. He almost let the first set slip through his fingers, when his 5-2 lead in the tie-break disappeared. But Berrettini kept his cool, saved a set point at 6-7 on his serve, and finally secured the first set.
The Italian’s fitness held up well, considering he hadn't been on the court in a while, and the match dragged on for almost three hours. However, he powered through, hitting 46 winners and saving 83 percent of breakpoints.
On the other hand, Shapovalov secured his spot in the Round of 16 by defeating Matteo Martineau 7-6, 7-5. It was a tight match, but Shapovalov held his nerve to come out on top in straight sets. He fired off nine remarkable aces and hit a total of 31 winners, converting 50 percent of his breakpoints and saving 86 percent.
Berrettini vs Shapovalov Betting Tips & Prediction
Even though Shapovalov has the edge in their head-to-head matchups, he'll have a tough challenge trying to secure a win against Berrettini.
Their previous two encounters were on hard courts, but the Stuttgart Open marks the beginning of the grass-court season, and we all are aware that Berrettini works magic on grass. His 2019 and 2022 winning performances stand as a testament to this fact.
We're predicting a win for Berrettini in this match.
- Berrettini to win 2-1 @ 3/1
- Berrettini to win @ 8/11
Berrettini and Shapovalov will play on the Centre Court, not before 2:30pm local time on Thursday.
Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been playing or watching sports down under in New Zealand for the better part of three decades. With 12+ years experience as a professional writer, Bren loves to dive deep into all things sport to bring the best betting analysis and predictions here at Mr Fixits Tips.
